424 Main St · New Eagle, PA
Flood risk 9/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.4/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$55,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
HUGE4the$$!1stFlrMstR. Bath & Laundry!Kitn w/ Nwr Flrs & BEAUTY WdCabntsKit & WdFlrs=DnRm & Hall!4thBRCptv, 3rdBRKitn. MOVE-IN COND!HOME WARRANTY www. visualtour.com/shownp. asp?T=733372
Key facts
- 7,000 sq ft lot
- Built 1900
- Listed 39 days
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: On-street parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: 2-story property; Resale
- Exterior features: Public transportation access
Interior
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
- Interior features: Finished basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $55k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $351 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $55k).
- Recommended offer: $53k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#630 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: health & safety D, schools F, amenities F.
- Ringgold SD (suburban): math 19% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #452 of 539 in PA (top 84%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 8 active listings in the ZIP; 489 units permitted in Washington County in 2024 (30 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $380 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Washington County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $15k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 39 days — a 3% lower offer ($53k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 20y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $17k (24%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $46k; 21% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.2% of price; flood insurance adds $56/mo; built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 39 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.99% ✓
- Cap rate
- 15.17%
- Cash-on-cash
- 31.72%
- DSCR
- 2.41
- GRM
- 4.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $188,951
- List price
- $55,000
- Delta
- -70.89%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 12 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 21.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.88×
- Total profit
- $13,571
- Equity at exit
- $8,201
- IRR
- 29.7%
- Equity multiple
- 3.66×
- Total profit
- $41,040
- Equity at exit
- $4,755
Cash invested: $15,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 15067
- Home prices YoY
- -9.5%
- Active inventory
- 8
- Price-to-rent
- 4.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,094 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$288
- Tax from tax record
- −$146 /mo · $1,750/yr
- Insurance
- −$23
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$56 /mo · $666/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$230
- Net cashflow
- $351
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $13,750
- Closing costs
- $1,650
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $55,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $55,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $55,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-15pricedays on market $55,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $71,900 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $71,900 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $71,900 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $71,900 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $71,900 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $71,900 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $71,900 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $71,900 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $71,900 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $71,900 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-05-10$71,900 Active 61-char remark
-
2007-03-22soldstatus $45,500
-
2007-03-20soldstatus $45,500 202-char remark
Show marketing remark (202 chars)
HUGE4the$$!1stFlrMstR. Bath & Laundry!Kitn w/ Nwr Flrs & BEAUTY WdCabntsKit & WdFlrs=DnRm & Hall!4thBRCptv, 3rdBRKitn. MOVE-IN COND!HOME WARRANTY www. visualtour.com/shownp. asp?T=733372
-
2006-08-30$47,500 202-char remark
Show marketing remark (202 chars)
HUGE4the$$!1stFlrMstR. Bath & Laundry!Kitn w/ Nwr Flrs & BEAUTY WdCabntsKit & WdFlrs=DnRm & Hall!4thBRCptv, 3rdBRKitn. MOVE-IN COND!HOME WARRANTY www. visualtour.com/shownp. asp?T=733372
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,750 · $146/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,750 · $146/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,127
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,081
- − Property taxes
- −$1,750
- − Insurance
- −$942
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,050
- − Management
- −$1,050
- − Depreciation
- −$1,600
- Taxable income
- $3,654
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$877
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,341/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Ringgold SD
- NCES district ID
- 4220400
- Math proficiency
- 19% ▼ -20.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 36% ▼ -18.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,754
- Composite
- 23.75/100
- National rank
- #7819
- State rank
- #452 of 539 in PA
Livability — New Eagle
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #630
- US rank
- #6069
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- New Eagle, PA
- City population
- 2,207
- Population (ZIP)
- 2,207
Population outlook (Washington County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 208,060 people
- By 2030
- 207,168 · -0.4%
- By 2040
- 202,738 · -2.6%
- By 2050
- 195,269 · -6.1%
- By 2075
- 175,588 · -15.6%
- By 2100
- 145,827 · -29.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (94%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 94% Two or more races 4% Black 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 8% American 2% Serbian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Washington
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+25.5) · D 36.9% · R 62.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.8pp toward R · 2008: -4.7pp · 2024: -25.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+25.5 2020: R+22.8 2016: R+25.3 2012: R+13.3 2008: R+4.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -18.74%
- Current HPI
- 178.1645
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
||
| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
||
| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
||
| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
|
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Price history
+15.8% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-14 Price Changed $55,000 West Penn MLS
- 2026-05-10 Listed $71,900 West Penn MLS
- 2007-03-22 Sold (Public Records) $45,500 Public Records
- 2007-03-20 Sold (MLS) $45,500 West Penn MLS
- 2006-08-30 Listed $47,500 West Penn MLS
Property tax history
+1.7%/yrLatest (2026): $1,750 · +9.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…