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123 Groves Rd
B+ Composite 77.35
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.9/10.0

$90,000

123 Groves Rd · Pikeville, TN 37367
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,234 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 3 Days on market
Built 1947 9,583 sqft lot $73/sqft · 59% below area ↓ 23% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Step into a home that whispers stories from generations past. Nestled in a quiet neighborhood, this unique property offers a rare blend of vintage character and spacious living. From its classic architectural details to its inviting layout, every corner holds the promise of something special. Whether you're drawn to its nostalgic appeal or dreaming of your own design touches, this home is ready to inspire. Large windows, generous rooms, and a welcoming front porch set the stage for your next chapter. Come see the possibilities—this one won't stay a secret for long.

Key facts

  • 9,583 sq ft lot
  • Built 1947
  • Listed 3 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $90k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($17k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $90k).
  • Cap rate 24.8% vs local median 4.8% in Pikeville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 59/100 on livability (#296 in TN) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A, housing B+; Watch: health & safety C-, schools F, amenities F.
  • Bledsoe County (rural): math 19% / reading 27% proficiency, ranked #104 of 139 in TN (top 75%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 69% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 155 active listings in the ZIP.
  • At $2,458/mo this rent would consume 54% of the median local household income ($55k/yr) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $10k of equity ($622 loan paydown + $9k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Bledsoe County population projected at +36% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 4 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (18%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1947 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 8→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $90,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1947 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.73%
Cap rate
24.79%
Cash-on-cash
66.06%
DSCR
3.94
GRM
3.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$221,327
List price
$90,000
Delta
-54.86%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
14 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
110 Cleveland Ave 0.33mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,288 (+4%) 2mo $193,000 $150 67
106 Cleveland Ave 0.33mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,232 (-0%) 12mo $250,000 $203 66
203 Cherry St 0.30mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,392 (+13%) 4mo $138,000 $99 54
118 Cleveland Ave 0.34mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,288 (+4%) 19mo $220,000 $171 52
114 Cleveland Ave 0.33mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,288 (+4%) 22mo $220,000 $171 50

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
77.5%
Equity multiple
6.45×
Total profit
$137,362
Equity at exit
$81,079
10-year hold
IRR
71.6%
Equity multiple
14.29×
Total profit
$335,023
Equity at exit
$174,850

Cash invested: $25,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Tennessee
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
14-day notice (URLTA); generally landlord-favorable; Nashville court paced moderate.

ZIP-level market 37367

Home prices YoY
34.5%
Active inventory
155
Price-to-rent
3.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,458 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$472
Tax from tax record
$46 /mo · $546/yr
Insurance
$38
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$516
Net cashflow
$1,387

Break-even live

Break-even rent $702
Max offer price $90,000
Occupancy floor 39%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$22,500
Closing costs
$2,700
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $90,000 Active 3 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $90,000 Active 2 DOM
  3. 2026-06-15
    pricedays on marketlisting id $90,000 Active 1 DOM
  4. 2026-06-10
    days on market $99,900 Active 162 DOM
  5. 2026-06-09
    days on market $99,900 Active 161 DOM
  6. 2026-06-08
    days on market $99,900 Active 160 DOM
  7. 2026-06-07
    days on market $99,900 Active 159 DOM
  8. 2026-06-03
    days on market $99,900 Active 155 DOM
  9. 2026-06-02
    days on market $99,900 Active 154 DOM
  10. 2026-06-01
    days on market $99,900 Active 153 DOM
  11. 2026-05-31
    days on market $99,900 Active 152 DOM
  12. 2026-05-30
    days on market $99,900 Active 151 DOM
  13. 2026-03-13
    price $99,900 577-char remark
    Show marketing remark (577 chars)

    Step into a home that whispers stories from generations past. Nestled in a quiet neighborhood, this unique property offers a rare blend of vintage character and spacious living. From its classic architectural details to its inviting layout, every corner holds the promise of something special. Whether you're drawn to its nostalgic appeal or dreaming of your own design touches, this home is ready to inspire. Large windows, generous rooms, and a welcoming front porch set the stage for your next chapter. Come see the possibilities—this one won't stay a secret for long.

  14. 2026-03-13
    price $99,900 577-char remark
    Show marketing remark (577 chars)

    Step into a home that whispers stories from generations past. Nestled in a quiet neighborhood, this unique property offers a rare blend of vintage character and spacious living. From its classic architectural details to its inviting layout, every corner holds the promise of something special. Whether you're drawn to its nostalgic appeal or dreaming of your own design touches, this home is ready to inspire. Large windows, generous rooms, and a welcoming front porch set the stage for your next chapter. Come see the possibilities—this one won't stay a secret for long.

  15. 2025-12-30
    listed $109,900 Active 577-char remark
    Show marketing remark (577 chars)

    Step into a home that whispers stories from generations past. Nestled in a quiet neighborhood, this unique property offers a rare blend of vintage character and spacious living. From its classic architectural details to its inviting layout, every corner holds the promise of something special. Whether you're drawn to its nostalgic appeal or dreaming of your own design touches, this home is ready to inspire. Large windows, generous rooms, and a welcoming front porch set the stage for your next chapter. Come see the possibilities—this one won't stay a secret for long.

  16. 2025-12-30
    listed $109,900 Active 577-char remark
    Show marketing remark (577 chars)

    Step into a home that whispers stories from generations past. Nestled in a quiet neighborhood, this unique property offers a rare blend of vintage character and spacious living. From its classic architectural details to its inviting layout, every corner holds the promise of something special. Whether you're drawn to its nostalgic appeal or dreaming of your own design touches, this home is ready to inspire. Large windows, generous rooms, and a welcoming front porch set the stage for your next chapter. Come see the possibilities—this one won't stay a secret for long.

  17. 2025-12-25
    historical
  18. 2025-12-25
    listed $129,900
  19. 2025-09-29
    listed $129,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TN · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$546 · $46/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$639 · $53/mo
Expected delta
+$93/yr (+$8/mo · 17.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 8 d/yr ≥103°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 9% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$29,501
− Mortgage interest
−$5,041
− Property taxes
−$546
− Insurance
−$450
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,360
− Management
−$2,360
− Depreciation
−$2,618
Taxable income
$16,125
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$3,870
After-tax cash flow
$12,776/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Bledsoe County
NCES district ID
4700270
Math proficiency
19% ▼ -13.00%
Reading proficiency
27% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$35,901
Composite
19.02/100
National rank
#8845
State rank
#104 of 139 in TN

Livability — Pikeville

Score
59/100
State rank
#296
US rank
#20539

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment F Housing B+ Health & safety C- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Pikeville, TN
County
Bledsoe · 11,736 people
Population (ZIP)
11,736
Household income
$54,696
Rent vs Own
21.1% rent · 78.9% own
Severe rent burden
2.1

Population outlook (Bledsoe County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
18,085 people
By 2030
19,649 · +8.6%
By 2040
22,438 · +24.1%
By 2050
24,582 · +35.9%
By 2075
26,769 · +48.0%
By 2100
25,033 · +38.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (86%)
Race & ethnicity
White 86% Black 7% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Italian 1% Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · German/W. Germanic 1% Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Bledsoe

2024 margin
Solid R (+70.5) · D 14.4% · R 84.9%
2008→2024 swing
-36.0pp toward R · 2008: -34.5pp · 2024: -70.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+70.5 2020: R+65.2 2016: R+58.6 2012: R+40.3 2008: R+34.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 106.44%
Current HPI
415.344
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.78%
F500 in state
22

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-23.1% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-13 Price Changed $99,900 RCAOR
  • 2026-03-13 Price Changed $99,900 GCAR
  • 2025-12-30 Listed $109,900 GCAR
  • 2025-12-30 Listed $109,900 RCAOR
  • 2025-12-25 Listing Removed REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-12-25 Listed $129,900 REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-09-29 Listed $129,900 RCAOR

Property tax history

+6.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $546 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…