92 Morrison Way Way SE · Ludowici, GA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +12.5/30.0
- Appreciation +5.6/10.0
- ARV discount +4.3/15.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- DSCR +3.7/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- 1% rule +3.0/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.3/10.0
$324,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome to this exceptional William II plan by Dryden Homes, perfectly positioned on a desirable corner lot in Johnston Station. This beautifully maintained 4-bedroom home offers a striking two-story foyer and a versatile layout with both formal living and dining spaces, with the dining room featuring elegant wainscoting and crown molding. The main living area flows effortlessly into the open kitchen, complete with granite countertops, white shaker cabinetry, stainless steel appliances, and a functional island overlooking the family room with a cozy fireplace. Luxury vinyl plank flooring runs throughout the main living areas, adding both style and durability. Upstairs, you'll find generousl
Key facts
- Two-story foyer
- Granite countertops
- Corner lot
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Community has sidewalks
Exterior
- Parking: Two total parking spaces; Two covered spaces; Two-car garage with garage door opener; Driveway
- Security: Smoke detectors
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single family residence; Two-story home; Residential property
- Construction: Brick, vinyl siding, frame and wood siding construction; Slab foundation
- Exterior features: Privacy fencing; Shingle roof; Corner lot; Paved road frontage on a city street; Sidewalks; Has a view; Insulation (energy efficient)
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric oven; Microwave; Refrigerator; Electric water heater
- Bedrooms: Total rooms: 12 (includes bedrooms and other rooms)
- Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; One half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Crown molding; Entrance foyer; Kitchen island; Pantry; Recessed lighting; Double-pane windows; Unfurnished; Fireplace in family room
- Laundry & utility: Irrigation equipment
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $325k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-50 ($-596/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $316k (2.7% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $261k (19.7% below list).
- Recommended offer: $261k (19.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#74 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, crime A; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
- Long County (rural): math 26% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #115 of 174 in GA (top 66%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Smiley Elementary School (1,258 students, 67% FRL); Long County Middle School (math 21% / reading 27%, grade F, #311 of 470 statewide, top 68%, 945 students, 69% FRL); Long County High School (math 37% / reading 22%, grade F, #140 of 424 statewide, top 35%, 1,209 students, 70% FRL).
- Market conditions: 412 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 298 units permitted in Long County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 42% of the median local income ($75k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $6k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $4k appreciation (1.2% local appreciation)).
- Long County population projected at +72% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (1.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $91k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 57 days — a 3% lower offer ($315k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $255k; 27% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 57 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 20% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.80% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.11%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.65%
- DSCR
- 0.97
- GRM
- 10.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $303,626
- List price
- $324,900
- Delta
- 7.01%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 299 Archibald Ave SE | 0.19mi | 4/2.5 | 2,319 (0%) | 11mo | $317,000 | $137 | 82 |
| 3703 Old Macon Darien Rd SE | 0.38mi | 4/2.5 | 2,321 (+0%) | 2mo | $300,000 | $129 | 80 |
| 54 Allen Rawls Way SE | 0.09mi | 4/3.5 | 2,104 (-9%) | 12mo | $300,000 | $143 | 66 |
| 286 SE Archibald Ave SE | 0.22mi | 4/2.5 | 2,522 (+9%) | 15mo | $317,000 | $126 | 63 |
| 232 Archibald Ave SE | 0.15mi | 4/2.5 | 2,080 (-10%) | 16mo | $296,000 | $142 | 63 |
| 792 South Macon St | 0.59mi | 4/3.0 | 2,388 (+3%) | 5mo | $351,915 | $147 | 61 |
| 12 Rimes Ave SE | 0.17mi | 4/2.5 | 1,997 (-14%) | 10mo | $297,000 | $149 | 60 |
| 24 Anna Way Way SE | 0.12mi | 4/2.5 | 1,983 (-14%) | 14mo | $282,900 | $143 | 59 |
| 755 S Macon St | 0.63mi | 4/2.5 | 2,064 (-11%) | 5mo | $314,000 | $152 | 48 |
| 761 S Macon St | 0.62mi | 4/2.5 | 2,184 (-6%) | 16mo | $325,000 | $149 | 48 |
| 185 SE Rimes Ave | 0.24mi | 5/3.0 (+1) | 2,638 (+14%) | 14mo | $330,000 | $125 | 47 |
| 1568 Buster Phillips Rd SE | 0.54mi | 4/3.0 | 2,632 (+14%) | 15mo | $405,000 | $154 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
1.16% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 1.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.06×
- Total profit
- $5,397
- Equity at exit
- $113,604
- IRR
- 5.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.71×
- Total profit
- $64,595
- Equity at exit
- $153,070
Cash invested: $90,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 31316
- Home prices YoY
- 0.6%
- Active inventory
- 412
- Price-to-rent
- 10.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,609 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,704
- Tax from tax record
- −$271 /mo · $3,255/yr
- Insurance
- −$135
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$548
- Net cashflow
- $-50
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $134 | -5% $42 | +0% $-50 | +5% $-142 | +10% $-234 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-256 | -5% $-153 | +0% $-50 | +5% $53 | +10% $156 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $114 | -0.5pp $33 | base $-50 | +0.5pp $-134 | +1.0pp $-219 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $81,225
- Closing costs
- $9,747
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 53 Allen Rawls Way SE Ludowici, GA | 5.0 | 3.0 | 2410 | $2,650 | $1.10 | 46d | 1 | 0.11mi |
| 147 Rimes Ave SE Ludowici, GA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1782 | $2,100 | $1.18 | 46d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 149 W Franklin St Ludowici, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1704 | $2,250 | $1.32 | 46d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 171 Baker Field Ln SE Ludowici, GA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1807 | $2,350 | $1.30 | 46d | 1 | 0.89mi |
Listing history 27 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $324,900 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-19days on market $324,900 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $324,900 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $324,900 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $324,900 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $324,900 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $324,900 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $324,900 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $324,900 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $324,900 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $324,900 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $324,900 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $324,900 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $324,900 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $324,900 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $324,900 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $324,900 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $324,900 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-04-25$334,900 Active 1125-char remark
-
2026-04-16historical
-
2026-04-01price $334,900
-
2026-03-26price $334,900
-
2026-03-12$339,900 Active
-
2021-12-29soldstatus $255,000
-
2021-12-29soldstatus $255,000
-
2021-05-12$251,100
-
2021-05-12$251,100
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $3,255 · $271/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,255 · $271/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $31,303
- − Mortgage interest
- −$18,199
- − Property taxes
- −$3,255
- − Insurance
- −$1,624
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,504
- − Management
- −$2,504
- − Depreciation
- −$9,452
- Taxable loss
- −$6,236
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,497
- After-tax cash flow
- $901/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This well-maintained, move-in-ready home in Johnston Station offers a good condition with potential for minor updates to enhance its resale and rental value.
Value-add opportunities
- Resale Paint exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and value
- Both Replace carpet with hardwood or tile — Improves aesthetics and is easier to clean
- Both Install smart home devices — Enhances convenience and marketability
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Resale Paint exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and value ↑
- Both Replace carpet with hardwood or tile — Improves aesthetics and is easier to clean ↑
- Both Install smart home devices — Enhances convenience and marketability ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Long County
- NCES district ID
- 1303360
- Math proficiency
- 26% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 26% ▼ -13.00%
- Median HH income
- $45,958
- Composite
- 22.51/100
- National rank
- #8090
- State rank
- #115 of 174 in GA
Livability — Ludowici
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #74
- US rank
- #6449
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Ludowici, GA
- County
- Long County · 13,812 people
- City population
- 13,812
- Metro
- Hinesville, GA
- Population (ZIP)
- 13,812
- Household income
- $74,766
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 109.0
Population outlook (Long County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 24,669 people
- By 2030
- 28,223 · +14.4%
- By 2040
- 35,430 · +43.6%
- By 2050
- 42,403 · +71.9%
- By 2075
- 56,996 · +131.0%
- By 2100
- 64,185 · +160.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 61% Black 23% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 8%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 1% Italian 1% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 6% Other Asian/Pacific 1% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Long
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+29.5) · D 35.1% · R 64.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -5.4pp toward R · 2008: -24.1pp · 2024: -29.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+29.5 2020: R+26.4 2016: R+30.8 2012: R+22.9 2008: R+24.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 1.16%
- Current HPI
- 195.2978
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Hinesville, GA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $160B |
|
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
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| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
|
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Price history
+29.4% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-19 Price Changed $324,900 HABR
- 2026-04-25 Listed $334,900 HABR
- 2026-04-16 Listing Removed — Hive MLS
- 2026-04-01 Price Changed $334,900 HABR
- 2026-03-26 Price Changed $334,900 Hive MLS
- 2026-03-12 Listed $339,900 Hive MLS
- 2021-12-29 Sold (MLS) $255,000 HABR
- 2021-12-29 Sold (MLS) $255,000 Hive MLS
- 2021-05-12 Listed $251,100 HABR
- 2021-05-12 Listed $251,100 Hive MLS
Property tax history
+18.7%/yrLatest (2025): $3,255 · -2.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…