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128 Three C Rd
D- Composite 39.14
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +11.7/30.0
  • ARV discount +8.2/15.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • DSCR +3.5/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.4/10.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Schools +2.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$199,000

128 Three C Rd · Odum, GA 31545
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,568 sqft · Manufactured · 227 Days on market
Built 2025 Good condition 1.00 ac lot $127/sqft · at area comps Est $202k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Check out this beautiful new 3-bedroom, 2-bath Clayton mobile home offering 1,568 heated square feet of comfortable living space! Nestled on a 1 acre lot in the Odum School District. The home boasts an open floor plan with a spacious living area, modern kitchen, and split bedroom layout for added privacy. Relax outdoors on the covered front and back porches, or take advantage of the covered carport parking. Qualifying for FHA, VA, and Conventional financing. Don’t miss this opportunity! Call today to schedule your private showing and make this new home yours!Pictures are of previous homes and vary in color. Outside pictures will be updated upon completion.

Key facts

  • Open floor plan
  • Odum school district
  • 1 acre lot

Tags

1 ACRE LOTODUM SCHOOL DISTRICTOPEN FLOOR PLANMODERN KITCHENCOVERED FRONT AND BACK PORCHESCOVERED CARPORT PARKING

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $199k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-57 ($-680/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $191k (4.1% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $167k (16.1% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $167k (16.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.0% vs local median 4.0% in Odum — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 59/100 on livability (#400 in GA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A-; Watch: schools D+, crime D-, amenities F.
  • Wayne County (rural): math 35% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #68 of 174 in GA (top 39%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 60% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 172 active listings in the ZIP; 163 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Wayne County population projected to shrink 10% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 227 days — a 12% lower offer ($175k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Recommended offer $166,913 (16.1% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 227 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 16% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.84%
Cap rate
5.95%
Cash-on-cash
-1.22%
DSCR
0.95
GRM
9.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$202,000
List price
$199,000
Delta
-1.49%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
2 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
236 Three C Rd 0.15mi 3/2.0 1,568 (0%) 4mo $199,000 $127 90
300 Three C Rd 0.32mi 3/2.0 1,568 (0%) 1mo $205,000 $131 85

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-18.3%
Equity multiple
0.36×
Total profit
$-35,828
Equity at exit
$29,672
10-year hold
IRR
-10.6%
Equity multiple
0.36×
Total profit
$-35,741
Equity at exit
$17,206

Cash invested: $55,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Georgia
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 31545

Home prices YoY
-6.4%
Active inventory
172
Price-to-rent
9.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,669 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,044
Tax est. 1.5%
$249 /mo · $2,985/yr
Insurance
$83
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$351
Net cashflow
$-57

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,741
Max offer price $190,805
Occupancy floor 98%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $81 -5% $12 +0% $-57 +5% $-125 +10% $-194
Rent -10% $-188 -5% $-123 +0% $-57 +5% $9 +10% $75
Rate -1.0pp $44 -0.5pp $-6 base $-57 +0.5pp $-108 +1.0pp $-161

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$49,750
Closing costs
$5,970
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $199,000 Active 227 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $199,000 Active 226 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $199,000 Active 225 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $199,000 Active 224 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $199,000 Active 223 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $199,000 Active 221 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $199,000 Active 220 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $199,000 Active 218 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $199,000 Active 217 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $199,000 Active 216 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $199,000 Active 215 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $199,000 Active 212 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $199,000 Active 210 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $199,000 Active 209 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $199,000 Active 208 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $199,000 Active 207 DOM
  17. 2025-11-04
    listed $199,000 Active 670-char remark
    Show marketing remark (616 chars)

    Check out this beautiful new 3-bedroom, 2-bath Clayton mobile home offering 1,568 heated square feet of comfortable living space! Nestled on a 1 acre lot in the Odum School District. The home boasts an open floor plan with a spacious living area, modern kitchen, and split bedroom layout for added privacy. Relax outdoors on the covered front and back porches, or take advantage of the covered carport parking. Qualifying for FHA, VA, and Conventional financing. Don't miss this opportunity! Call today to schedule your private showing and make this new home yours! Outside pictures will be updated upon completion.

  18. 2025-11-04
    listed $199,000 Active 616-char remark
    Show marketing remark (616 chars)

    Check out this beautiful new 3-bedroom, 2-bath Clayton mobile home offering 1,568 heated square feet of comfortable living space! Nestled on a 1 acre lot in the Odum School District. The home boasts an open floor plan with a spacious living area, modern kitchen, and split bedroom layout for added privacy. Relax outdoors on the covered front and back porches, or take advantage of the covered carport parking. Qualifying for FHA, VA, and Conventional financing. Don't miss this opportunity! Call today to schedule your private showing and make this new home yours! Outside pictures will be updated upon completion.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,030
− Mortgage interest
−$11,147
− Property taxes
−$2,985
− Insurance
−$995
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,602
− Management
−$1,602
− Depreciation
−$5,789
Taxable loss
−$4,091
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$982
After-tax cash flow
$302/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 1 photo

Good 80/100 None rehab

This Clayton mobile home is in excellent condition with no visible repairs or maintenance needed. It offers a good investment opportunity with potential for minor cosmetic improvements to enhance its resale and rental value.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Painting exterior and interior — Enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
  • Both Landscaping and curb appeal improvements — Improves curb appeal and enhances property value
  • Both Add a small garden or flower bed near the front porch — Enhances curb appeal and adds aesthetic value

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Painting exterior and interior — Enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
  • Both Landscaping and curb appeal improvements — Improves curb appeal and enhances property value
  • Both Add a small garden or flower bed near the front porch — Enhances curb appeal and adds aesthetic value

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Wayne County
NCES district ID
1305550
Math proficiency
35% ▼ -4.00%
Reading proficiency
35% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$38,918
Composite
29.3/100
National rank
#6554
State rank
#68 of 174 in GA

Livability — Odum

Score
59/100
State rank
#400
US rank
#19789

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D- Employment F Housing A- Health & safety D- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
16,057

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
28,891 people
By 2030
28,388 · -1.7%
By 2040
27,396 · -5.2%
By 2050
26,135 · -9.5%
By 2075
23,253 · -19.5%
By 2100
19,481 · -32.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (67%)
Race & ethnicity
White 67% Black 20% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 4% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 2% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada, Philippines
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Asian/Pacific 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Wayne

2024 margin
Solid R (+59.8) · D 20.0% · R 79.7%
2008→2024 swing
-14.8pp toward R · 2008: -44.9pp · 2024: -59.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+59.8 2020: R+57.1 2016: R+58.9 2012: R+48.3 2008: R+44.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -17.10%
Current HPI
249.3504
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.66%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2025-11-04 Listed $199,000 HABR
  • 2025-11-04 Listed $199,000 GIAR

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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