107 Mockingbird Ln · Burnsville, NC
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $906 – $1,684
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 91°F)
- 8 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +16.5/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +5.1/10.0
- Schools +4.5/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- 1% rule +3.1/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$135,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Affordable Opportunity with Mountain Views – Prime Burnsville Location! Welcome to 107 Mockingbird Lane—an excellent opportunity to own a well-maintained manufactured home just minutes from the heart of Burnsville! This 2-bedroom, 1.5-bath 1980 single wide offers permanent foundation and great potential for updates, making it ideal for first-time buyers, investors, or those seeking a peaceful mountain retreat. Enjoy easy access with a covered front porch and handicap-accessible ramp, plus a back deck perfect for taking in the mountain views. Situated on a manageable 0.517-acre lot, the property also features a gravel driveway and an outbuilding for additional storage. Location i
Key facts
- Covered front porch
- Permanent foundation
- Back deck
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Property has additional parcel(s); Private maintained gravel road access
- Financial info: Deed restrictions to be placed by seller prohibiting trash, junk, litter, and disassembly of motor vehicles
- HOA & community: No HOA
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway parking (parking in driveway)
- Utilities: Well water; Septic system; Electricity connected
- Home design: Manufactured singlewide home; Single-family residence; One story; Entry at main level; Facing direction not specified
- Construction: Manufactured construction; Vinyl exterior; Composition roof; Crawl space / permanent foundation; Built as one-level
- Exterior features: Covered front and rear porches; Partial fencing; Outbuilding; Ramp access to main level; Cleared lot with views; Other exterior features
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms on the main level
- Flooring: Laminate flooring; Vinyl flooring
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom on the main level; 1 half bathroom on the main level
- Heating & cooling: Kerosene heating; Other heating (see remarks); Window unit(s) for cooling
- Interior features: 7 total rooms; Storage; Other miscellaneous interior features
- Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer; Laundry located in hall on the main level
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath manufactured listed at $135k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $78 ($940/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $110k (18.5% below list).
- Recommended offer: $110k (18.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 7.0% vs local median 2.3% in Burnsville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#64 in NC, #4,938 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: commute F, employment F.
- Yancey County Schools (rural): math 55% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #56 of 178 in NC (top 32%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Blue Ridge Elementary (math 72% / reading 62%, grade B+, #120 of 1,410 statewide, top 9%, 371 students, 58% FRL); Mountain Heritage High (math 62% / reading 57%, grade C+, #216 of 535 statewide, top 43%, 639 students, 48% FRL) — zoned schools at 53% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: 310 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 100 units permitted in Yancey County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $933 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Yancey County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 79 days — a 6% lower offer ($127k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $32k; list at $135k implies a 322% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 79 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 19% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.81% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.99%
- Cash-on-cash
- 2.49%
- DSCR
- 1.11
- GRM
- 10.2
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -12.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.55×
- Total profit
- $-16,960
- Equity at exit
- $20,129
- IRR
- -3.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.77×
- Total profit
- $-8,634
- Equity at exit
- $11,672
Cash invested: $37,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State North Carolina
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 28714
- Home prices YoY
- -9.3%
- Active inventory
- 310
- Price-to-rent
- 10.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,100 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$708
- Tax from tax record
- −$26 /mo · $318/yr
- Insurance
- −$56
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$231
- Net cashflow
- $78
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $33,750
- Closing costs
- $4,050
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 477 Charlie Brown Rd Unit 9 Burnsville, NC | 2.0 | 1.0 | 815 | $1,100 | $1.35 | 23d | 1 | 0.66mi |
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $135,000 Active 79 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $135,000 Active 78 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $135,000 Active 77 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $135,000 Active 76 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $135,000 Active 74 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $135,000 Active 73 DOM
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2026-06-10days on market $135,000 Active 71 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $135,000 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $135,000 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-07pricedays on market $135,000 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $145,000 Active 64 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $145,000 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $145,000 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $145,000 Active 61 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $145,000 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-05-11price $145,000
-
2026-03-31$150,000 Active
-
2015-03-20soldstatus $32,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $318 · $26/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,107 · $92/mo
- Expected delta
- +$789/yr (+$66/mo · 248.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 8 d/yr ≥91°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,200
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,562
- − Property taxes
- −$318
- − Insurance
- −$675
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,056
- − Management
- −$1,056
- − Depreciation
- −$3,927
- Taxable loss
- −$1,394
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$335
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,274/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Yancey County Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3705070
- Math proficiency
- 55% ▲ 6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 52% ▲ 5.00%
- Median HH income
- $37,576
- Composite
- 44.52/100
- National rank
- #2795
- State rank
- #56 of 178 in NC
Livability — Burnsville
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #64
- US rank
- #4938
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 16,621
Population outlook (Yancey County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 16,797 people
- By 2030
- 16,215 · -3.5%
- By 2040
- 14,830 · -11.7%
- By 2050
- 13,469 · -19.8%
- By 2075
- 10,583 · -37.0%
- By 2100
- 7,497 · -55.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (91%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 91% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 6% Italian 4% Slovak 3%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 4%
Political lean MEDSL · Yancey
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+34.4) · D 32.3% · R 66.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -28.7pp toward R · 2008: -5.8pp · 2024: -34.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+34.4 2020: R+33.7 2016: R+32.5 2012: R+13.9 2008: R+5.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -30.39%
- Current HPI
- 297.9461
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 26
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 2 | $213B |
|
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| Retail | 2 | $95B |
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| Industrial Conglomerate | 1 | $38B |
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $35B |
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| Utilities | 1 | $30B |
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| Industrial Machinery | 1 | $19B |
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Price history
+353.1% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-11 Price Changed $145,000 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-31 Listed $150,000 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2015-03-20 Sold (Public Records) $32,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+10.0%/yrLatest (2018): $318 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…