6940 Highbridge Road, Lot #15 · De Witt, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 95°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Schools +6.2/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +1.0/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$47,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Cherished by the same owner for many years, this warm and inviting 2-bedroom, 1-bath manufactured home is now ready to welcome someone new. Tucked inside a sought-after park in the JD School District, this well-maintained home has been lovingly cared for and shows it. Step out onto the enclosed porch and take in peaceful views of the golf course and lush landscaping — the perfect spot for your morning coffee or a quiet evening unwind. Whether you're downsizing, investing, or simply looking for an affordable place to call home, this gem checks all the boxes.
Key facts
- Jd school district
- Peaceful views
- Sought-after park
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $47k. Condition is rated poor.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($14k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $47k).
- Recommended offer: $44k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 36.7% vs local median 3.8% in De Witt — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Jamesville-Dewitt Central School District (suburban): math 69% / reading 71% proficiency, ranked #124 of 590 in NY (top 21%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 13% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Market conditions: 65 active listings in the ZIP; 616 units permitted in Onondaga County in 2024 (256 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $325 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Onondaga County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $13k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 83 days — a 6% lower offer ($44k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $8k (15%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 83 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Built in 1964 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 4.08% ✓
- Cap rate
- 36.71%
- Cash-on-cash
- 108.65%
- DSCR
- 5.83
- GRM
- 2.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $78,111
- List price
- $47,000
- Delta
- -29.59%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 1 within 2.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 6.19×
- Total profit
- $68,301
- Equity at exit
- $7,008
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 12.95×
- Total profit
- $157,311
- Equity at exit
- $4,064
Cash invested: $13,160 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 13066
- Home prices YoY
- -28.0%
- Active inventory
- 65
- Price-to-rent
- 2.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,919 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$246
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$59 /mo · $705/yr
- Insurance
- −$20
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$403
- Net cashflow
- $1,192
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,224 | -5% $1,208 | +0% $1,192 | +5% $1,175 | +10% $1,159 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $1,040 | -5% $1,116 | +0% $1,192 | +5% $1,267 | +10% $1,343 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,215 | -0.5pp $1,203 | base $1,192 | +0.5pp $1,179 | +1.0pp $1,167 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $11,750
- Closing costs
- $1,410
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 24 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $47,000 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $47,000 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $47,000 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $47,000 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-06-15pricedays on market $47,000 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $55,000 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-06-13pricedays on market $55,000 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $54,000 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $54,000 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $54,000 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-07remarks 563-char remark
-
2026-06-07pricedays on market $54,000 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $55,000 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $55,000 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $55,000 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $55,000 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-05-07price $54,000 569-char remark
Show marketing remark (569 chars)
Cherished by the same owner for many years, this warm and inviting 2-bedroom, 1-bath manufactured home is now ready to welcome someone new. Tucked inside a sought-after park in the JD School District, this well-maintained home has been lovingly cared for and shows it. Step out onto the enclosed porch and take in peaceful views of the golf course and lush landscaping — the perfect spot for your morning coffee or a quiet evening unwind. Whether you're downsizing, investing, or simply looking for an affordable place to call home, this gem checks all the boxes.
-
2026-04-14price $58,000 569-char remark
Show marketing remark (569 chars)
Cherished by the same owner for many years, this warm and inviting 2-bedroom, 1-bath manufactured home is now ready to welcome someone new. Tucked inside a sought-after park in the JD School District, this well-maintained home has been lovingly cared for and shows it. Step out onto the enclosed porch and take in peaceful views of the golf course and lush landscaping — the perfect spot for your morning coffee or a quiet evening unwind. Whether you're downsizing, investing, or simply looking for an affordable place to call home, this gem checks all the boxes.
-
2026-03-30$59,500 Active 569-char remark
Show marketing remark (517 chars)
Opportunity knocks with this charming 2-bedroom, 2-bath manufactured home nestled in a fantastic location within the JD School District! With several updates already in place and a convenient storage shed included, this home offers great value and functionality. Enjoy the ease of single-level living with two full baths and plenty of space to make it your own. Just minutes from Fayetteville's shopping, dining, and amenities, this is your chance to get into a great community at an affordable price. Don't miss out!
-
2026-03-30$55,000 Active 517-char remark
Show marketing remark (517 chars)
Opportunity knocks with this charming 2-bedroom, 2-bath manufactured home nestled in a fantastic location within the JD School District! With several updates already in place and a convenient storage shed included, this home offers great value and functionality. Enjoy the ease of single-level living with two full baths and plenty of space to make it your own. Just minutes from Fayetteville's shopping, dining, and amenities, this is your chance to get into a great community at an affordable price. Don't miss out!
-
2026-03-29$74,000 Active
-
2025-11-07soldstatus $56,000 Closed
-
2025-09-03status Pending
-
2025-08-24$64,900 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,033
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,633
- − Property taxes
- −$705
- − Insurance
- −$235
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,843
- − Management
- −$1,843
- − Depreciation
- −$1,367
- Taxable income
- $14,407
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,458
- After-tax cash flow
- $10,840/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 1 photo
This manufactured home requires extensive repairs and improvements to its exterior and road conditions, significantly impacting its resale and rental value.
Repairs flagged
- Major Road repair — Significant cracking and damage to the asphalt road surface
- Major Landscaping — No visible fencing or landscaping
- Major Exterior repairs — No visible roof or siding condition
Value-add opportunities
- Resale Road repair — A repaired road can significantly improve the home's curb appeal and accessibility
- Rental Landscaping — Landscaping can enhance the home's curb appeal and attract renters
- Both Exterior repairs — Improving the roof and siding can increase the home's overall condition and attract both buyers and renters
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| Road repair · Significant cracking and damage to the asphalt road surface | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Landscaping · No visible fencing or landscaping | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Exterior repairs · No visible roof or siding condition | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 3 items | $45,000–150,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Resale Road repair — A repaired road can significantly improve the home's curb appeal and accessibility ↑
- Rental Landscaping — Landscaping can enhance the home's curb appeal and attract renters ↑
- Both Exterior repairs — Improving the roof and siding can increase the home's overall condition and attract both buyers and renters ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Jamesville-Dewitt Central School District
- NCES district ID
- 3609090
- Math proficiency
- 69% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 71% ▲ 3.00%
- Median HH income
- $74,483
- Composite
- 61.71/100
- National rank
- #739
- State rank
- #124 of 590 in NY
Livability — De Witt
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- City population
- 8,713
- Population (ZIP)
- 12,680
Population outlook (Onondaga County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 467,894 people
- By 2030
- 463,381 · -1.0%
- By 2040
- 447,697 · -4.3%
- By 2050
- 426,399 · -8.9%
- By 2075
- 373,661 · -20.1%
- By 2100
- 307,967 · -34.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (88%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 88% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 3% Black 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Scotch-Irish 3% Lithuanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Other Indo-European 2% Chinese 2% Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Onondaga
- 2024 margin
- D (+17.3) · D 58.6% · R 41.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.0pp toward R · 2008: 20.3pp · 2024: 17.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+17.3 2020: D+20.6 2016: D+12.8 2012: D+21.1 2008: D+20.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -124.65%
- Current HPI
- 319.9702
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
-16.8% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-07 Price Changed $54,000 CNYIS
- 2026-04-14 Price Changed $58,000 CNYIS
- 2026-03-30 Listed $55,000 CNYIS
- 2026-03-30 Listed $59,500 CNYIS
- 2026-03-29 Listed $74,000 CNYIS
- 2025-11-07 Sold (MLS) $56,000 CNYIS
- 2025-09-03 Pending — CNYIS
- 2025-08-24 Listed $64,900 CNYIS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…