781 Palmer Rd Unit 4D · Yonkers, NY
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.24%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 8 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- 1% rule +7.8/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Cash flow +7.0/30.0
- Schools +4.1/10.0
- Rent growth +3.6/5.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- DSCR +1.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$185,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Immaculate, Spacious And Airy Corner Unit On Top Floor. Assigned Parking $40/Per Month, $60/Garage Parking (Wait List). Great Building In Walking Distance To Bronxville Village And Train.
Key facts
- Quartz countertops
- Ample street parking
- Updated interior
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $185k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-268 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $185k).
- Recommended offer: $182k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#528 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A, commute B; Watch: amenities F, cost of living F.
- Yonkers City School District (suburban): math 41% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #413 of 590 in NY (top 70%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Yonkers Early Childhood Academy (327 students, 72% FRL); Yonkers Middle School (math 17% / reading 37%, grade F, #587 of 729 statewide, top 81%, 601 students, 88% FRL); Yonkers High School (math 92% / reading 88%, grade A+, #238 of 1,100 statewide, top 23%, 1,060 students, 76% FRL) — zoned schools average 79% FRL vs 64% district-wide (15 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.3%/yr); 245 active listings in the ZIP; 17 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 14d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 954 units permitted in Westchester County in 2024 (649 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Westchester County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 21 days — a 2% lower offer ($182k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 23y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $117k; list at $185k implies a 58% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 36% of rent; built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.28% ✓
- Cap rate
- 4.56%
- Cash-on-cash
- -6.20%
- DSCR
- 0.72
- GRM
- 6.5
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.27% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -24.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.16×
- Total profit
- $-43,401
- Equity at exit
- $27,584
- IRR
- -13.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.14×
- Total profit
- $-44,548
- Equity at exit
- $15,995
Cash invested: $51,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 5 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City Yonkers
- 5 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+20
ZIP-level market 10708
- Rents YoY
- 4.3%
- Active inventory
- 245
- Price-to-rent
- 6.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,369 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$970
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$231 /mo · $2,775/yr
- Insurance
- −$77
- HOA est. from 1 same-building comp
- −$861
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$498
- Net cashflow
- $-268
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $46,250
- Closing costs
- $5,550
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 17 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Kenilworth Rd Unit The Cottage Yonkers, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $1,950 | $3.25 | 14d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 42 Winchester Ave Unit 2A Yonkers, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $2,100 | $3.00 | 14d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 8 Wainwright Ave Unit 2A Yonkers, NY | — | 1.0 | 700 | $1,600 | $2.29 | 7d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 12 Wainwright Ave Apt 1B Yonkers, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,950 | $2.79 | 44d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 717 Tuckahoe Rd Unit 16A Yonkers, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $2,495 | $3.84 | 5d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 247 Mile Square Rd Yonkers, NY | — | 1.0 | 350 | $1,650 | $4.71 | 5d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 247 Mile Square Rd Unit 1ST Yonkers, NY | — | 1.5 | 350 | $1,650 | $4.71 | 5d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 21 Scarsdale Rd Yonkers, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 835 | $3,795 | $4.54 | 2d | 21 | 1.04mi |
| 50 Columbus Ave Unit 817 Tuckahoe, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $3,000 | $4.00 | 22d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 42 Broad St W Mount Vernon, NY | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1014 | $3,956 | $3.90 | 24d | 15 | 1.25mi |
| 42 Broad St W Mount Vernon, NY | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 955 | $2,841 | $2.97 | 2d | 16 | 1.25mi |
| 669 N Terrace Ave Mount Vernon, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $2,031 | $2.71 | 25d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 601 Ridge Hill Blvd Yonkers, NY | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 819 | $3,500 | $4.27 | 7d | 14 | 1.44mi |
| 33 William St Mount Vernon, NY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 725 | $1,850 | $2.55 | 22d | 2 | 1.44mi |
| 40 Jackson Ave Eastchester, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 725 | $2,950 | $4.07 | 15d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 23 Belknap Ave Yonkers, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $2,300 | $3.29 | 25d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 2 Consulate Dr Unit 1J Tuckahoe, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $2,700 | $3.60 | 12d | 1 | 1.49mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $0 · $0/yr
- Likely covers
- parking
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-04-09status Pending
-
2026-03-19$185,000 Active
-
2004-04-27soldstatus $117,000 187-char remark
Show marketing remark (187 chars)
Immaculate, Spacious And Airy Corner Unit On Top Floor. Assigned Parking $40/Per Month, $60/Garage Parking (Wait List). Great Building In Walking Distance To Bronxville Village And Train.
-
2004-01-27price $119,000 187-char remark
Show marketing remark (187 chars)
Immaculate, Spacious And Airy Corner Unit On Top Floor. Assigned Parking $40/Per Month, $60/Garage Parking (Wait List). Great Building In Walking Distance To Bronxville Village And Train.
-
2004-01-27historical 187-char remark
Show marketing remark (187 chars)
Immaculate, Spacious And Airy Corner Unit On Top Floor. Assigned Parking $40/Per Month, $60/Garage Parking (Wait List). Great Building In Walking Distance To Bronxville Village And Train.
-
2003-12-15$117,000 187-char remark
Show marketing remark (187 chars)
Immaculate, Spacious And Airy Corner Unit On Top Floor. Assigned Parking $40/Per Month, $60/Garage Parking (Wait List). Great Building In Walking Distance To Bronxville Village And Train.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 24% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 5/10 Major 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $28,431
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,363
- − Property taxes
- −$2,775
- − Insurance
- −$925
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,275
- − Management
- −$2,275
- − HOA
- −$10,332
- − Depreciation
- −$5,382
- Taxable loss
- −$5,894
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,415
- After-tax cash flow
- $-1,799/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Yonkers City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3631920
- Math proficiency
- 41% ▼ -1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 54% ▲ 14.00%
- Median HH income
- $58,042
- Composite
- 41.43/100
- National rank
- #3471
- State rank
- #413 of 590 in NY
Livability — Yonkers
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #528
- US rank
- #9394
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Yonkers, NY
- County
- Westchester County · 709,332 people
- City population
- 212,407
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 22,482
- Household income
- $126,343
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 357.0
Population outlook (Westchester County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,028,035 people
- By 2030
- 1,051,636 · +2.3%
- By 2040
- 1,098,520 · +6.9%
- By 2050
- 1,136,044 · +10.5%
- By 2075
- 1,196,925 · +16.4%
- By 2100
- 1,175,147 · +14.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (69%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 69% Hispanic / Latino 17% Two or more races 10% Black 6% Asian 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 7% Dominican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Lithuanian 2% Scotch-Irish 1%
- Foreign-born
- 16% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 76% English-only · Spanish 10% Other Indo-European 6% Other Asian/Pacific 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Westchester
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+26.3) · D 63.1% · R 36.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -1.3pp toward R · 2008: 27.6pp · 2024: 26.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+26.3 2020: D+36.3 2016: D+32.8 2012: D+22.2 2008: D+27.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -668.11%
- Current HPI
- 203.4295
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.27%
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+58.1% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-09 Pending — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-19 Listed $185,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2004-04-27 Sold (MLS) $117,000 HGMLS
- 2004-01-27 Delisted — HGMLS
- 2004-01-27 Price Changed $119,000 HGMLS
- 2003-12-15 Listed $117,000 HGMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…