235 Oak Cir N · Stockbridge, GA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 7 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +19.1/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +6.5/10.0
- DSCR +6.0/10.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.7/5.0
- Schools +2.6/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$139,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Investor Special - One of the few detached units in the community, offering stronger resale and rental potential compared to nearby comps. Property is in as-is condition and will require a light cosmetic rehab-perfect for investors looking for a quick flip or solid rental. Estimated repairs in the $25k-$35k range depending on scope. Strong upside with comps supporting attractive resale or rental potential. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, and major highways. Sold as-is. No blind offers. Cash or conventional only.
Key facts
- Detached units
- 6,534 sq ft lot
- Garage
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $139k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $147 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $139k).
- Recommended offer: $135k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.6% vs local median 4.3% in Stockbridge — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 60/100 on livability (#389 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, cost of living A; Watch: crime D, schools D-, amenities F.
- Henry County (rural): math 24% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #89 of 174 in GA (top 51%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 586 active listings in the ZIP; 21 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,989 units permitted in Henry County in 2024 (92 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $961 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Henry County population projected at +29% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 41 days — a 3% lower offer ($135k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 4y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $40k (22%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.8% of price.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 41 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.15% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.56%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.52%
- DSCR
- 1.20
- GRM
- 7.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $264,220
- List price
- $139,000
- Delta
- -47.39%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 205 Ridge Run | 0.21mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,472 (+6%) | 15mo | $219,900 | $149 | 62 |
| 120 Mossy Brook Dr | 0.36mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,248 (-10%) | 1mo | $180,000 | $144 | 59 |
| 152 Club Cir | 0.54mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,488 (+7%) | 2mo | $263,000 | $177 | 56 |
| 119 Club Cir | 0.36mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,431 (+3%) | 21mo | $235,000 | $164 | 56 |
| 131 Turning Pt | 0.60mi | 3/2.5 (+1) | 1,500 (+8%) | 4mo | $244,900 | $163 | 48 |
| 165 Davis Rd | 0.43mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,250 (-10%) | 15mo | $248,000 | $198 | 46 |
| 150 Club Cir | 0.55mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,452 (+5%) | 22mo | $263,000 | $181 | 43 |
| 122 Creek Cir | 0.39mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,571 (+13%) | 15mo | $279,900 | $178 | 42 |
| 116 Turning Pt | 0.67mi | 2/2.5 | 1,300 (-6%) | 18mo | $180,000 | $138 | 41 |
| 128 Club Dr | 0.72mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,565 (+13%) | 17mo | $223,000 | $142 | 26 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.87% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -11.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.58×
- Total profit
- $-16,411
- Equity at exit
- $20,725
- IRR
- -6.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.62×
- Total profit
- $-14,939
- Equity at exit
- $12,018
Cash invested: $38,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 30281
- Home prices YoY
- -33.6%
- Rents YoY
- 0.9%
- Active inventory
- 586
- Price-to-rent
- 7.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,594 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$729
- Tax from tax record
- −$326 /mo · $3,910/yr
- Insurance
- −$58
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$335
- Net cashflow
- $147
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $34,750
- Closing costs
- $4,170
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 21 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sentry Oak Ct Unit B Stockbridge, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1816 | $1,600 | $0.88 | 43d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 131 Turning Pt Stockbridge, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1454 | $2,100 | $1.44 | 43d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 5220 N Henry Blvd Stockbridge, GA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1149 | $1,630 | $1.42 | 43d | 3 | 0.80mi |
| 5220 N Henry Blvd Stockbridge, GA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 908 | $1,395 | $1.54 | 24d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 104 Bowen St Unit B Stockbridge, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 880 | $1,500 | $1.70 | 18d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 119 Richard Way Stockbridge, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1244 | $1,700 | $1.37 | 1d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 609 Seaboard Dr Stockbridge, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1720 | $2,130 | $1.24 | 5d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 307 Hamilton Glenn #305 Stockbridge, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1754 | $1,300 | $0.74 | 4d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 149 Appleton Blvd Unit C Stockbridge, GA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1042 | $1,195 | $1.15 | 24d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 149 Appleton Blvd Unit C Stockbridge, GA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1042 | $1,195 | $1.15 | 21d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 149 Appleton Blvd Unit C Stockbridge, GA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1042 | $1,195 | $1.15 | 1d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 109 Appleton Blvd Unit C Stockbridge, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,600 | $1.45 | 43d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 108 Appleton Blvd Unit B Stockbridge, GA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 885 | $935 | $1.06 | 43d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 115 Rock Quarry Rd Stockbridge, GA | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1020 | $1,349 | $1.32 | 1d | 6 | 1.28mi |
| 50 Evergreen Way Stockbridge, GA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1070 | $1,488 | $1.39 | 1d | 19 | 1.28mi |
| 217 Briarpatch Ct Stockbridge, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1228 | $1,995 | $1.62 | 43d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 4059 Angels Dr Stockbridge, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1430 | $1,879 | $1.31 | 43d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 885 Fountain Cir Unit 885 Stockbridge, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1152 | $1,300 | $1.13 | 11d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 885 Fountain Cir Stockbridge, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1152 | $1,300 | $1.13 | 12d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 119 Lambert Dr Stockbridge, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1392 | $1,800 | $1.29 | 4d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 200 Glynn Addy Dr Stockbridge, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1288 | $1,595 | $1.24 | 21d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 22 events
-
2026-06-10status $139,000 Under Contract 41 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $139,000 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $139,000 Active 40 DOM
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2026-06-07pricedays on market $139,000 Active 39 DOM
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2026-06-04statusdays on market $149,000 Active 36 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $149,000 Back On Market 35 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $149,000 Back On Market 34 DOM
-
2026-06-02status $149,000 Back On Market 33 DOM
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2026-05-18status Price Change 529-char remark
Show marketing remark (529 chars)
Investor Special - One of the few detached units in the community, offering stronger resale and rental potential compared to nearby comps. Property is in as-is condition and will require a light cosmetic rehab-perfect for investors looking for a quick flip or solid rental. Estimated repairs in the $25k-$35k range depending on scope. Strong upside with comps supporting attractive resale or rental potential. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, and major highways. Sold as-is. No blind offers. Cash or conventional only.
-
2026-05-18price $149,000 529-char remark
Show marketing remark (529 chars)
Investor Special - One of the few detached units in the community, offering stronger resale and rental potential compared to nearby comps. Property is in as-is condition and will require a light cosmetic rehab-perfect for investors looking for a quick flip or solid rental. Estimated repairs in the $25k-$35k range depending on scope. Strong upside with comps supporting attractive resale or rental potential. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, and major highways. Sold as-is. No blind offers. Cash or conventional only.
-
2026-05-12status Under Contract 529-char remark
Show marketing remark (529 chars)
Investor Special - One of the few detached units in the community, offering stronger resale and rental potential compared to nearby comps. Property is in as-is condition and will require a light cosmetic rehab-perfect for investors looking for a quick flip or solid rental. Estimated repairs in the $25k-$35k range depending on scope. Strong upside with comps supporting attractive resale or rental potential. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, and major highways. Sold as-is. No blind offers. Cash or conventional only.
-
2026-05-09price $159,000 529-char remark
Show marketing remark (529 chars)
Investor Special - One of the few detached units in the community, offering stronger resale and rental potential compared to nearby comps. Property is in as-is condition and will require a light cosmetic rehab-perfect for investors looking for a quick flip or solid rental. Estimated repairs in the $25k-$35k range depending on scope. Strong upside with comps supporting attractive resale or rental potential. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, and major highways. Sold as-is. No blind offers. Cash or conventional only.
-
2026-04-24price $169,000 529-char remark
Show marketing remark (529 chars)
Investor Special - One of the few detached units in the community, offering stronger resale and rental potential compared to nearby comps. Property is in as-is condition and will require a light cosmetic rehab-perfect for investors looking for a quick flip or solid rental. Estimated repairs in the $25k-$35k range depending on scope. Strong upside with comps supporting attractive resale or rental potential. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, and major highways. Sold as-is. No blind offers. Cash or conventional only.
-
2026-04-14$179,000 New 529-char remark
Show marketing remark (529 chars)
Investor Special - One of the few detached units in the community, offering stronger resale and rental potential compared to nearby comps. Property is in as-is condition and will require a light cosmetic rehab-perfect for investors looking for a quick flip or solid rental. Estimated repairs in the $25k-$35k range depending on scope. Strong upside with comps supporting attractive resale or rental potential. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, and major highways. Sold as-is. No blind offers. Cash or conventional only.
-
2022-11-21soldstatus $210,000
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2022-11-10soldstatus $210,000 Sold 144-char remark
Show marketing remark (144 chars)
Great townhouse for first time buyer! 2 bedrooms 2 baths, living room, dining room, new roof, new tankless water heater. Don't wait! See it now!
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2022-10-05status Under Contract 144-char remark
Show marketing remark (144 chars)
Great townhouse for first time buyer! 2 bedrooms 2 baths, living room, dining room, new roof, new tankless water heater. Don't wait! See it now!
-
2022-09-20price $204,900 144-char remark
Show marketing remark (144 chars)
Great townhouse for first time buyer! 2 bedrooms 2 baths, living room, dining room, new roof, new tankless water heater. Don't wait! See it now!
-
2022-09-07status Back On Market 144-char remark
Show marketing remark (144 chars)
Great townhouse for first time buyer! 2 bedrooms 2 baths, living room, dining room, new roof, new tankless water heater. Don't wait! See it now!
-
2022-08-31status Under Contract 144-char remark
Show marketing remark (144 chars)
Great townhouse for first time buyer! 2 bedrooms 2 baths, living room, dining room, new roof, new tankless water heater. Don't wait! See it now!
-
2022-08-19$209,900 New 144-char remark
Show marketing remark (144 chars)
Great townhouse for first time buyer! 2 bedrooms 2 baths, living room, dining room, new roof, new tankless water heater. Don't wait! See it now!
-
1993-10-01soldstatus $69,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $3,910 · $326/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,910 · $326/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,129
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,786
- − Property taxes
- −$3,910
- − Insurance
- −$695
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,530
- − Management
- −$1,530
- − Depreciation
- −$4,044
- Taxable loss
- −$366
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$88
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,848/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Henry County
- NCES district ID
- 1302820
- Math proficiency
- 24% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 33% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $62,594
- Composite
- 26.13/100
- National rank
- #7279
- State rank
- #89 of 174 in GA
Livability — Stockbridge
- Score
- 60/100
- State rank
- #389
- US rank
- #19479
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Stockbridge, GA
- County
- Henry County · 316,359 people
- City population
- 71,603
- Metro
- Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
- Population (ZIP)
- 71,603
- Household income
- $71,213
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2464.0
Population outlook (Henry County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 249,041 people
- By 2030
- 264,369 · +6.2%
- By 2040
- 294,459 · +18.2%
- By 2050
- 322,249 · +29.4%
- By 2075
- 392,310 · +57.5%
- By 2100
- 437,836 · +75.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.61)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 55% White 28% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 6% Asian 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 7%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 1% Italian 1% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 86% English-only · Spanish 8% Vietnamese 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Henry
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+29.7) · D 64.5% · R 34.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +37.1pp toward D · 2008: -7.5pp · 2024: 29.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+29.7 2020: D+20.5 2016: D+4.3 2012: R+3.2 2008: R+7.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -104.76%
- Current HPI
- 207.2332
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.87%
- Metro
- Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $160B |
|
||
| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
||
| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
|
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Price history
+115.9% since first listed14 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-18 Relisted — GAMLS
- 2026-05-18 Price Changed $149,000 GAMLS
- 2026-05-12 Pending — GAMLS
- 2026-05-09 Price Changed $159,000 GAMLS
- 2026-04-24 Price Changed $169,000 GAMLS
- 2026-04-14 Listed $179,000 GAMLS
- 2022-11-21 Sold (Public Records) $210,000 Public Records
- 2022-11-10 Sold (MLS) $210,000 GAMLS
- 2022-10-05 Pending — GAMLS
- 2022-09-20 Price Changed $204,900 GAMLS
- 2022-09-07 Relisted — GAMLS
- 2022-08-31 Pending — GAMLS
- 2022-08-19 Listed $209,900 GAMLS
- 1993-10-01 Sold (Public Records) $69,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+13.0%/yrLatest (2025): $3,910 · +3.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…