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21201 NE 58th St #27
B+ Composite 78.11
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Schools +4.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$54,900

21201 NE 58th St #27 · Camas, WA 98682
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 924 sqft · Manufactured public records · 72 Days on market
Built 1984 $59/sqft · 28% below area Est $77k · 28% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Conveniently located just 10 minutes from I-205 and the 192nd corridor for shopping, dining, and Costco. Located in a 55+ community

Key facts

  • Dining
  • Costco
  • Garage

Tags

10 MINUTES FROM I-205192ND CORRIDOR FOR SHOPPINGDININGCOSTCO

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $55k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($15k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $55k).
  • Recommended offer: $52k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 34.5% vs local median 1.7% in Camas — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#181 in WA, #4,740 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living F.
  • Evergreen School District (Clark) (urban): math 41% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #164 of 291 in WA (top 56%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents flat; 461 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 3,547 units permitted in Clark County in 2024 (1,361 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $380 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Clark County population projected at +29% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.6% rent growth), your $15k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 72 days — a 6% lower offer ($52k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 27y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $5k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $25k; list at $55k implies a 120% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Recommended offer $51,606 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 72 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
3.85%
Cap rate
34.52%
Cash-on-cash
100.82%
DSCR
5.49
GRM
2.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$76,745
List price
$54,900
Delta
-28.46%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
14 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
21201 NE 58th St #26 0.00mi 2/2.0 (-1) 938 (+2%) 13mo $114,500 $122 82
21201 NE 58th St #34 0.00mi 2/1.0 (-1) 975 (+6%) 1mo $75,000 $77 81
21201 NE 58th St #30 0.00mi 2/1.0 (-1) 966 (+4%) 23mo $105,000 $109 65
21201 NE 58th St #10 0.00mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,008 (+9%) 19mo $58,997 $59 64

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.63% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
99.2%
Equity multiple
5.45×
Total profit
$68,462
Equity at exit
$8,186
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
10.52×
Total profit
$146,379
Equity at exit
$4,747

Cash invested: $15,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
28 Tenant-Leaning
State Washington
28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Just-cause statewide (2021); Seattle layers rent control restrictions + relocation assistance; very tenant-friendly.

ZIP-level market 98682

Rents YoY
0.6%
Active inventory
461
Price-to-rent
2.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,115 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$288
Tax est. 1.5%
$69 /mo · $824/yr
Insurance
$23
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$444
Net cashflow
$1,291

Break-even live

Break-even rent $480
Max offer price $54,900
Occupancy floor 34%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$13,725
Closing costs
$1,647
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $54,900 Active 72 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $54,900 Active 71 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $54,900 Active 70 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    pricedays on market $54,900 Active 69 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $58,000 Active 67 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $58,000 Active 66 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $58,000 Active 63 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $58,000 Active 62 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    pricedays on market $58,000 Active 61 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $60,000 Active 57 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $60,000 Active 56 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $60,000 Active 55 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $60,000 Active 54 DOM
  14. 2026-04-07
    listed $60,000 Active 131-char remark
    Show marketing remark (131 chars)

    Conveniently located just 10 minutes from I-205 and the 192nd corridor for shopping, dining, and Costco. Located in a 55+ community

  15. 1999-08-25
    soldstatus $24,900 185-char remark
    Show marketing remark (185 chars)

    SUBJECT TO PARK MANAGERS APPROVAL. 1984 FLEETWOOD 14X66. 2 BR/2 BT. NEWER CARPETS, NEWER STANDING STEEL ROOF-WELL MAINTAINED, NEAT, CLEAN, SKYLIGHT. NO DOGS OR CATS. NON SMOKER HOME.

  16. 1999-06-28
    listed $24,900 185-char remark
    Show marketing remark (185 chars)

    SUBJECT TO PARK MANAGERS APPROVAL. 1984 FLEETWOOD 14X66. 2 BR/2 BT. NEWER CARPETS, NEWER STANDING STEEL ROOF-WELL MAINTAINED, NEAT, CLEAN, SKYLIGHT. NO DOGS OR CATS. NON SMOKER HOME.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$25,380
− Mortgage interest
−$3,075
− Property taxes
−$824
− Insurance
−$274
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,030
− Management
−$2,030
− Depreciation
−$1,597
Taxable income
$15,549
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$3,732
After-tax cash flow
$11,766/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Evergreen School District (Clark)
NCES district ID
5302700
Math proficiency
41% ▼ -3.00%
Reading proficiency
51% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$59,418
Composite
42.53/100
National rank
#6859
State rank
#164 of 291 in WA

Livability — Camas

Score
74/100
State rank
#181
US rank
#4740

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living F Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety A- User ratings C

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Clark County · 513,189 people
City population
35,867
Metro
Portland-Vancouver-Hillsboro, OR-WA
Population (ZIP)
68,305
Household income
$99,918
Rent vs Own
29.6% rent · 70.4% own
Severe rent burden
1618.0

Population outlook (Clark County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
529,610 people
By 2030
563,242 · +6.4%
By 2040
625,905 · +18.2%
By 2050
681,558 · +28.7%
By 2075
805,967 · +52.2%
By 2100
877,450 · +65.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (69%)
Race & ethnicity
White 69% Hispanic / Latino 15% Two or more races 13% Asian 6% Black 2% Pacific Islander 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 12%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 3% Subsaharan African 3% Scotch-Irish 2%
Foreign-born
13% · Canada, Vietnam, South Korea
Languages at home
79% English-only · Spanish 8% Russian/Polish/Slavic 6% Other Asian/Pacific 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Clark

2024 margin
Lean D (+7.0) · D 52.1% · R 45.1% · Other 2.8%
2008→2024 swing
+0.9pp no change · 2008: 6.1pp · 2024: 7.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+7.0 2020: D+5.1 2016: D+0.1 2012: D+0.1 2008: D+6.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -303.95%
Current HPI
307.0529
Rent YoY
▲ 0.63%
Metro
Portland-Vancouver-Hillsboro, OR-WA
State GDP YoY
▲ 4.65%
F500 in state
22

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+141.0% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-07 Listed $60,000 RMLS
  • 1999-08-25 Sold (MLS) $24,900 RMLS
  • 1999-06-28 Listed $24,900 RMLS

Property tax history

-2.3%/yr

Latest (2026): $101 · +34.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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