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53 Benteen Dr
F Composite 28.32
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Cash flow +6.3/30.0
  • Schools +3.7/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.2/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +0.8/10.0
  • DSCR +0.6/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$264,900

53 Benteen Dr · Lincoln, ND 58504
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 864 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 1 Days on market
Built 1982 9,291 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Key facts

  • Utility room
  • Galley-style kitchen
  • Laundry area

Tags

OPEN-CONCEPT MAIN LIVING AREAGALLEY-STYLE KITCHENBACKYARD DECKLAUNDRY AREASPACIOUS FAMILY ROOMUTILITY ROOM

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage with automatic door opener; Garage faces front; Driveway; On-street parking; 1 garage space
  • Security: Smoke detectors
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single family residence; Two levels; HardiPlank type siding; Shingle roof
  • Construction: Built with HardiPlank-type exterior; Shingle roof; Finished below-grade living area (daylight basement)
  • Exterior features: Private yard; Deck; Fenced backyard with full chain-link fence; Level, rectangular lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Range; Microwave; Refrigerator; Dishwasher not listed
  • Bedrooms: Total of 13 rooms (bedroom count not specified)
  • Flooring: Tile; Carpet
  • Bathrooms: One three-quarter bathroom; One half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Ceiling fans for cooling; Forced air heating; Natural gas heating
  • Interior features: Ceiling fans; Window treatments; Finished daylight basement
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $265k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-466 ($-6k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $183k (31.1% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $154k (42.0% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $154k (42.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#38 in ND) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Bismarck 1 (urban): math 41% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #25 of 53 in ND (top 47%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; only 19% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.8%/yr); 262 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 259 units permitted in Burleigh County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Burleigh County population projected at +61% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $153,767 (42.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.58%
Cap rate
4.18%
Cash-on-cash
-7.54%
DSCR
0.66
GRM
14.4

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.81% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-29.7%
Equity multiple
0.02×
Total profit
$-72,981
Equity at exit
$39,497
10-year hold
IRR
-31.6%
Equity multiple
-0.39×
Total profit
$-103,264
Equity at exit
$22,904

Cash invested: $74,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
82 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State North Dakota
82 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 58504

Rents YoY
2.8%
Active inventory
262
Price-to-rent
14.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,538 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,389
Tax from tax record
$181 /mo · $2,177/yr
Insurance
$110
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$323
Net cashflow
$-466

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,128
Max offer price $182,541
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-316 -5% $-391 +0% $-466 +5% $-541 +10% $-616
Rent -10% $-588 -5% $-527 +0% $-466 +5% $-405 +10% $-345
Rate -1.0pp $-333 -0.5pp $-399 base $-466 +0.5pp $-535 +1.0pp $-605

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$66,225
Closing costs
$7,947
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 1 events

  1. 2026-06-13
    listed $264,900 Pending 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast ND · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,177 · $181/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,596 · $216/mo
Expected delta
+$419/yr (+$35/mo · 19.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 72% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 12 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,452
− Mortgage interest
−$14,839
− Property taxes
−$2,177
− Insurance
−$1,324
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,476
− Management
−$1,476
− Depreciation
−$7,706
Taxable loss
−$10,547
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,531
After-tax cash flow
$-3,063/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Bismarck 1
NCES district ID
3800014
Math proficiency
41% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
42% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$60,649
Composite
36.76/100
National rank
#4577
State rank
#25 of 53 in ND

Livability — Lincoln

Score
73/100
State rank
#38
US rank
#5588

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety D- User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Lincoln, ND
County
Burleigh County · 97,300 people
Metro
Bismarck, ND
Population (ZIP)
30,212
Household income
$85,637
Rent vs Own
25.6% rent · 74.4% own
Severe rent burden
400.0

Population outlook (Burleigh County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
119,359 people
By 2030
133,047 · +11.5%
By 2040
161,545 · +35.3%
By 2050
191,960 · +60.8%
By 2075
274,569 · +130.0%
By 2100
350,910 · +194.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (84%)
Race & ethnicity
White 84% Native American 8% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 4%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 13% Scotch-Irish 5% Romanian 2%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Burleigh

2024 margin
Solid R (+43.2) · D 27.5% · R 70.7% · Other 1.8%
2008→2024 swing
-19.7pp toward R · 2008: -23.6pp · 2024: -43.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+43.2 2020: R+40.2 2016: R+46.1 2012: R+32.1 2008: R+23.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -158.70%
Current HPI
210.0651
Rent YoY
▲ 2.81%
Metro
Bismarck, ND
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.09%
F500 in state
2

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in ND)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-12 Pending GNMLS
  • 2026-06-10 Listed $264,900 GNMLS

Property tax history

+9.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,177 · -8.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…