9507 Kelvin Ln #2331 · Schiller Park, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 7 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +14.3/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +4.9/10.0
- DSCR +4.4/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.6/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$150,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
1BEDROOM CONDO IN DESIRABLE LOCATION. 5 MINS TO O'HARE OR BLUE LINE - TRANSPORTATION - SHOPPINGS. VERY WELL KEPT, AFFORDABLE - GREAT STARTER UNIT. SCHEDULE A SHOWING TODAY . Asmt Incl:Water, Parking, Common Insurance, Clubhouse, Exercise Facilities, Pool, Exterior Maintenance, Lawn Care, Scavenger, Snow Removal
Key facts
- Clubhouse
- Prime location
- $230 HOA
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Managed building with 5 units; Senior tax freeze exemption reported
- HOA & community: Monthly association fee of $230; Association fee includes water, parking, insurance, clubhouse, exercise facilities, pool, exterior maintenance, lawn care, trash removal, and snow removal; On-site manager (Monday through Saturday); Association amenities include exercise room, storage, health club, on-site manager/engineer, and pool; Pets allowed (cats and dogs) with number and size limits
Exterior
- Parking: 2 parking spaces (assigned; guest parking available)
- Utilities: Lake Michigan water source; Public sewer; 100 amp electric service
- Home design: Attached single-unit condo; Entry level: 1
- Construction: Brick construction; Asphalt roof; Built approximately 61–70 years ago; Property built before 1978
- Exterior features: Common landscaped grounds; Commuter bus and commuter train access nearby
Interior
- Kitchen: Range; Microwave; Dishwasher; Refrigerator; Eating area / table space
- Bedrooms: 1 bedroom (Master Bedroom on main level); Additional bedroom listings indicate possible extra bedrooms
- Flooring: Carpet in living, dining and bedroom areas; Vinyl flooring in kitchen
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Electric forced air heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: 4 total rooms; Screens on windows; Some photos are virtually staged
- Laundry & utility: Laundry room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $150k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $28 ($341/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $148k (1.1% below list).
- Recommended offer: $141k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 6.5% vs local median 3.1% in Schiller Park — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 78/100 on livability (#147 in IL, #2,716 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, cost of living B+; Watch: amenities D+, schools D-.
- Leyden Chsd 212 (suburban): math 15% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #451 of 620 in IL (top 73%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 21 active listings in the ZIP; 15 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 6,272 units permitted in Cook County in 2024 (4,658 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 66 days — a 6% lower offer ($141k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 8y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $65k; list at $150k implies a 131% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 66 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1964 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.99% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.52%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.81%
- DSCR
- 1.04
- GRM
- 8.4
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -14.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.47×
- Total profit
- $-22,410
- Equity at exit
- $22,365
- IRR
- -6.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.60×
- Total profit
- $-16,829
- Equity at exit
- $12,969
Cash invested: $42,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 60176
- Home prices YoY
- -32.6%
- Active inventory
- 21
- Price-to-rent
- 8.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,483 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$787
- Tax from tax record
- −$64 /mo · $767/yr
- Insurance
- −$62
- HOA
- −$230
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$311
- Net cashflow
- $28
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $37,500
- Closing costs
- $4,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 15 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5029 N East River Rd Unit 2A Norridge, IL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,500 | $2.14 | 24d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 5102 N Leonard Dr Unit 2B Norridge, IL | — | 1.0 | 600 | $1,475 | $2.46 | 24d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 3812 25th Ave Unit 12 Schiller Park, IL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,550 | $2.21 | 24d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 3812 25th Ave Unit 12 Schiller Park, IL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $1,550 | $2.38 | 14d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 3812 25th Ave Schiller Park, IL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $1,550 | $2.38 | 3d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 3810 25th Ave Schiller Park, IL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $1,450 | $2.23 | 6d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 3810 25th Ave Unit 4 Schiller Park, IL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $1,500 | $2.31 | 24d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 9610 Ivanhoe Ave Unit 2 Schiller Park, IL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $1,450 | $2.23 | 24d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 9612 Ivanhoe Ave Unit 2 Schiller Park, IL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $1,550 | $2.58 | 7d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 9620 Ivanhoe Ave Unit 15 Schiller Park, IL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $1,450 | $2.23 | 7d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 9620 Ivanhoe Ave Unit 14 Schiller Park, IL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,550 | $2.21 | 15d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 9620 Ivanhoe Ave Schiller Park, IL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $1,450 | $2.23 | 24d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 9612 Ivanhoe Ave Schiller Park, IL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $1,550 | $2.38 | 24d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 9612 Ivanhoe Ave Schiller Park, IL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $1,550 | $2.58 | 22d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 3723 Ruby St Schiller Park, IL | — | 1.0 | 400 | $1,200 | $3.00 | 24d | 1 | 1.35mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $230 · $2,760/yr
- Likely covers
- waterlandscapingsnow removalexterior maint.pool
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 22 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $150,000 Active 66 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $150,000 Active 65 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $150,000 Active 64 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $150,000 Active 63 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $150,000 Active 61 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $150,000 Active 57 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $150,000 Active 56 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $150,000 Active 55 DOM
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2026-06-04days on market $150,000 Active 52 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $150,000 Active 51 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $150,000 Active 50 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $150,000 Active 49 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $150,000 Active 48 DOM
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2026-04-13$150,000 Active
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2022-07-25historical Contingent - Continue to Show
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2022-07-22historical
-
2022-07-11Active
-
2018-10-11soldstatus $65,000
-
2018-10-05soldstatus $65,000 Closed Sale 312-char remark
Show marketing remark (312 chars)
1BEDROOM CONDO IN DESIRABLE LOCATION. 5 MINS TO O'HARE OR BLUE LINE - TRANSPORTATION - SHOPPINGS. VERY WELL KEPT, AFFORDABLE - GREAT STARTER UNIT. SCHEDULE A SHOWING TODAY . Asmt Incl:Water, Parking, Common Insurance, Clubhouse, Exercise Facilities, Pool, Exterior Maintenance, Lawn Care, Scavenger, Snow Removal
-
2018-09-01status Contingent (Do Not Show) 312-char remark
Show marketing remark (312 chars)
1BEDROOM CONDO IN DESIRABLE LOCATION. 5 MINS TO O'HARE OR BLUE LINE - TRANSPORTATION - SHOPPINGS. VERY WELL KEPT, AFFORDABLE - GREAT STARTER UNIT. SCHEDULE A SHOWING TODAY . Asmt Incl:Water, Parking, Common Insurance, Clubhouse, Exercise Facilities, Pool, Exterior Maintenance, Lawn Care, Scavenger, Snow Removal
-
2018-07-28price $70,000 312-char remark
Show marketing remark (312 chars)
1BEDROOM CONDO IN DESIRABLE LOCATION. 5 MINS TO O'HARE OR BLUE LINE - TRANSPORTATION - SHOPPINGS. VERY WELL KEPT, AFFORDABLE - GREAT STARTER UNIT. SCHEDULE A SHOWING TODAY . Asmt Incl:Water, Parking, Common Insurance, Clubhouse, Exercise Facilities, Pool, Exterior Maintenance, Lawn Care, Scavenger, Snow Removal
-
2018-07-04$83,000 New 312-char remark
Show marketing remark (312 chars)
1BEDROOM CONDO IN DESIRABLE LOCATION. 5 MINS TO O'HARE OR BLUE LINE - TRANSPORTATION - SHOPPINGS. VERY WELL KEPT, AFFORDABLE - GREAT STARTER UNIT. SCHEDULE A SHOWING TODAY . Asmt Incl:Water, Parking, Common Insurance, Clubhouse, Exercise Facilities, Pool, Exterior Maintenance, Lawn Care, Scavenger, Snow Removal
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $767 · $64/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,086 · $174/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,319/yr (+$110/mo · 172.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,793
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,402
- − Property taxes
- −$767
- − Insurance
- −$750
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,423
- − Management
- −$1,423
- − HOA
- −$2,760
- − Depreciation
- −$4,364
- Taxable loss
- −$2,096
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$503
- After-tax cash flow
- $844/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Leyden Chsd 212
- NCES district ID
- 1722740
- Math proficiency
- 15% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 20% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $55,738
- Composite
- 16.37/100
- National rank
- #9200
- State rank
- #451 of 620 in IL
Livability — Schiller Park
- Score
- 78/100
- State rank
- #147
- US rank
- #2716
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Schiller Park, IL
- County
- Cook County · 4,486,803 people
- City population
- 11,393
- Metro
- Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
- Population (ZIP)
- 11,393
- Household income
- $69,696
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 481.0
Population outlook (Cook County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 5,347,519 people
- By 2030
- 5,357,703 · +0.2%
- By 2040
- 5,324,924 · -0.4%
- By 2050
- 5,230,762 · -2.2%
- By 2075
- 4,785,735 · -10.5%
- By 2100
- 4,188,836 · -21.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (64%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 64% Hispanic / Latino 30% Two or more races 7% Asian 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 22% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 14% Subsaharan African 4% French 1%
- Foreign-born
- 39% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 44% English-only · Spanish 23% Russian/Polish/Slavic 17% Other Indo-European 8%
Political lean MEDSL · Cook
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+42.0) · D 70.4% · R 28.4% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -11.4pp toward R · 2008: 53.4pp · 2024: 42.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+42.0 2020: D+50.3 2016: D+53.0 2012: D+49.4 2008: D+53.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -113.26%
- Current HPI
- 233.9376
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
||
| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
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| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
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Price history
+80.7% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-13 Listed $150,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-07-25 Contingent — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-07-22 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-07-11 Listed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-10-11 Sold (Public Records) $65,000 Public Records
- 2018-10-05 Sold (MLS) $65,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-09-01 Pending — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-07-28 Price Changed $70,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-07-04 Listed $83,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
-7.7%/yrLatest (2023): $767 · +10.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…