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7324 White River Ln #166
B+ Composite 77.9
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.1/5.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Schools +3.1/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$55,000

7324 White River Ln #166 · Foothill Farms, CA 95842
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 672 sqft · Manufactured public records · 227 Days on market
Built 1973 $82/sqft · 30% below area Est $79k · 30% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Now with a new price of $55,000! Welcome to this delightful 2-bedroom, 1-bathroom charming mobile home, featuring brand new carpet, new vinyl flooring in the kitchen and bathroom, and like-new kitchen appliances. This home is located in the highly sought-after all-ages Meadowbrook Mobile Home Park in northeast Sacramento. Conveniently located just minutes away from the freeway, this home offers easy access to everyday essentials, including Home Depot and Walmart Supercenter, both less than a half a mile away. As a resident of Meadowbrook, you'll enjoy access to fantastic community amenities, including two sparkling, newly renovated swimming pools, a basketball court, and lush green lawns w

Key facts

  • Lush green lawns
  • Basketball court
  • Picnic areas

Tags

NEWLY RENOVATED SWIMMING POOLSBASKETBALL COURTLUSH GREEN LAWNSPICNIC AREAS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $55k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($14k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $55k).
  • Recommended offer: $48k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 31.9% vs local median 3.9% in Foothill Farms — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 64/100 on livability (#433 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, schools A; Watch: employment D+, crime F, amenities F.
  • Twin Rivers Unified (suburban): math 29% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #970 of 1,400 in CA (top 69%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 76% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.5%/yr); 130 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 4d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 6,825 units permitted in Sacramento County in 2024 (1,752 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($68k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $380 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Sacramento County population projected at +17% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.5% rent growth), your $15k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 227 days — a 12% lower offer ($48k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $48,400 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 227 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1973 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
3.45%
Cap rate
31.92%
Cash-on-cash
91.54%
DSCR
5.07
GRM
2.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$78,861
List price
$55,000
Delta
-30.26%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
7412 Azimuth Ln 0.14mi 3/2.0 (+1) 720 (+7%) 14mo $82,000 $114 61
7448 Azimuth Ln 0.13mi 2/2.0 720 (+7%) 23mo $47,000 $65 58

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 6.52% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
96.1%
Equity multiple
5.73×
Total profit
$72,851
Equity at exit
$8,201
10-year hold
IRR
99.5%
Equity multiple
13.36×
Total profit
$190,419
Equity at exit
$4,755

Cash invested: $15,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

ZIP-level market 95842

Home prices YoY
-30.3%
Rents YoY
6.5%
Active inventory
130
Price-to-rent
2.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,896 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$288
Tax from tax record
$11 /mo · $138/yr
Insurance
$23
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$398
Net cashflow
$1,175

Break-even live

Break-even rent $409
Max offer price $55,000
Occupancy floor 33%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$13,750
Closing costs
$1,650
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 5 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
6413 Tupelo Dr Citrus Heights, CA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 775 $2,000 $2.58 1d 10 0.66mi
7918 Blazingwood Dr Citrus Heights, CA 1.0 1.0 420 $1,600 $3.81 14d 1 0.70mi
6430 Verner Ave Sacramento, CA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 705 $2,295 $3.25 23d 1 1.29mi
6546 Auburn Blvd Citrus Heights, CA 2.0 1.0 624 $1,853 $2.97 4d 10 1.44mi
6650 Crosswoods Cir Citrus Heights, CA 1.0 1.0 465 $1,575 $3.39 1d 6 1.44mi

Listing history 14 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $55,000 Active 227 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $55,000 Active 226 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $55,000 Active 225 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $55,000 Active 224 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $55,000 Active 222 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    remarks 699-char remark
  7. 2026-06-13
    pricedays on market $55,000 Active 221 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $62,000 Active 218 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $62,000 Active 217 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $62,000 Active 216 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $62,000 Active 212 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $62,000 Active 211 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $62,000 Active 210 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $62,000 Active 209 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$138 · $11/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$418 · $35/mo
Expected delta
+$280/yr (+$23/mo · 203.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 10/10 Extreme 34 unhealthy d/yr today · 36 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,748
− Mortgage interest
−$3,081
− Property taxes
−$138
− Insurance
−$275
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,820
− Management
−$1,820
− Depreciation
−$1,600
Taxable income
$14,014
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$3,363
After-tax cash flow
$10,733/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Twin Rivers Unified
NCES district ID
0601332
Math proficiency
29% ▲ 2.00%
Reading proficiency
37% ▲ 2.00%
Median HH income
$42,481
Composite
30.67/100
National rank
#11437
State rank
#970 of 1400 in CA

Livability — Foothill Farms

Score
64/100
State rank
#433
US rank
#14728

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living F Crime F Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Foothill Farms, CA
County
Sacramento County · 1,539,646 people
City population
35,031
Metro
Sacramento-Roseville-Folsom, CA
Population (ZIP)
34,034
Household income
$68,276
Rent vs Own
49.5% rent · 50.5% own
Severe rent burden
1906.0

Population outlook (Sacramento County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,660,763 people
By 2030
1,732,990 · +4.3%
By 2040
1,855,755 · +11.7%
By 2050
1,941,335 · +16.9%
By 2075
2,046,162 · +23.2%
By 2100
1,961,444 · +18.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.71)
Race & ethnicity
White 45% Hispanic / Latino 23% Two or more races 14% Asian 12% Black 12% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 19%
Common ancestry
Scotch-Irish 5% Subsaharan African 5% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
26% · Canada, Vietnam, South Korea
Languages at home
61% English-only · Spanish 14% Russian/Polish/Slavic 11% Other Indo-European 5%

Political lean MEDSL · Sacramento

2024 margin
D (+19.7) · D 58.1% · R 38.4% · Other 3.5%
2008→2024 swing
+0.7pp no change · 2008: 19.0pp · 2024: 19.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+19.7 2020: D+25.3 2016: D+23.7 2012: D+16.3 2008: D+19.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -166.74%
Current HPI
384.1812
Rent YoY
▲ 6.52%
Metro
Sacramento-Roseville-Folsom, CA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Property tax history

+6.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $138 · +1.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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