204 Shannon St · Echols County, GA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 7/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 12 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 12 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.3/30.0
- DSCR +8.4/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.4/10.0
- Appreciation +5.0/10.0
- Schools +3.2/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$134,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Rare find in Statenville. Nice mobile home on . 75 acre lot. Call today to set up your showing.
Key facts
- 0.75 acre lot
- Built 2004
- Listed 38 days
Property features AI
Exterior
- Utilities: Septic tank
- Home design: Single-story mobile home; Residential property
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Built as a mobile home
- Exterior features: Metal roof
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Refrigerator
- Flooring: Carpet; Tile; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Interior features: Dishwasher; Refrigerator
- Laundry & utility: Dedicated laundry room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $135k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $308 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $135k).
- Recommended offer: $131k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#233 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: employment C-, health & safety D, schools F.
- Echols County (rural): math 38% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #54 of 174 in GA (top 31%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 73% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 2 active listings in the ZIP; 13 units permitted in Echols County in 2024 (10 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $5k of equity ($933 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
- Echols County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $38k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 38 days — a 3% lower offer ($131k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $52k; list at $135k implies a 162% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 38 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.04% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.03%
- Cash-on-cash
- 9.78%
- DSCR
- 1.44
- GRM
- 8.0
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 16.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.95×
- Total profit
- $35,807
- Equity at exit
- $60,657
- IRR
- 18.1%
- Equity multiple
- 3.65×
- Total profit
- $99,921
- Equity at exit
- $93,479
Cash invested: $37,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 31648
- Active inventory
- 2
- Price-to-rent
- 8.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,405 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$707
- Tax from tax record
- −$39 /mo · $463/yr
- Insurance
- −$56
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$295
- Net cashflow
- $308
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $33,725
- Closing costs
- $4,047
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $134,900 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $134,900 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $134,900 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $134,900 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $134,900 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $134,900 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $134,900 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $134,900 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $134,900 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $134,900 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $134,900 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-02remarks 613-char remark
-
2026-06-02pricedays on market $134,900 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $139,900 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $139,900 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $139,900 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-05-11$139,900 Active 137-char remark
-
2021-01-12soldstatus $51,500
Show marketing remark (95 chars)
Rare find in Statenville. Nice mobile home on . 75 acre lot. Call today to set up your showing.
-
2020-10-09$59,999
Show marketing remark (95 chars)
Rare find in Statenville. Nice mobile home on . 75 acre lot. Call today to set up your showing.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $463 · $39/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,241 · $103/mo
- Expected delta
- +$778/yr (+$65/mo · 168.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 7/10 Severe
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 6/10 Major 12 unhealthy d/yr today · 12 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,863
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,556
- − Property taxes
- −$463
- − Insurance
- −$674
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,349
- − Management
- −$1,349
- − Depreciation
- −$3,924
- Taxable income
- $1,547
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$371
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,324/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Echols County
- NCES district ID
- 1301950
- Math proficiency
- 38% ▲ 1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 40% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $34,360
- Composite
- 32.17/100
- National rank
- #5786
- State rank
- #54 of 174 in GA
Livability — Echols County
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #233
- US rank
- #13454
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Echols County, GA
- City population
- 12,616
- Population (ZIP)
- 840
Population outlook (Echols County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 4,066 people
- By 2030
- 4,034 · -0.8%
- By 2040
- 3,927 · -3.4%
- By 2050
- 3,768 · -7.3%
- By 2075
- 3,283 · -19.3%
- By 2100
- 2,976 · -26.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.55)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 62% Hispanic / Latino 19% Black 12% Asian 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 10%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 86% English-only · Spanish 12% Korean 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Echols
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+82.1) · D 8.8% · R 90.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -16.3pp toward R · 2008: -65.7pp · 2024: -82.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+82.1 2020: R+75.6 2016: R+72.3 2012: R+67.5 2008: R+65.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- —
- Current HPI
- —
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $160B |
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
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| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
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Price history
+124.8% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-02 Price Changed $134,900 SGMLS
- 2026-05-11 Listed $139,900 SGMLS
- 2021-01-12 Sold (MLS) $51,500 SGMLS
- 2020-10-09 Listed $59,999 SGMLS
Property tax history
-1.7%/yrLatest (2022): $463 · -6.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…