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1011 Macfarlane Duplex
C- Composite 52.48
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.3/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +4.7/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.6/5.0
  • Schools +3.6/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.5/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.8/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$320,000

1011 Macfarlane · Aberdeen, WA 98520
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,520 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 47 Days on market
Built 1976 Average condition 6,000 sqft lot $211/sqft · 62% above area Est $392k · 18% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks

Enjoy a stable tenancy with this nicw duplex in a great location. 2 bedroom 1 bath makes for a nice place to live. Close to the ocean. Units have been upgraded

Key facts

  • Close to the ocean
  • Great location
  • Upgraded units

Tags

GREAT LOCATIONCLOSE TO THE OCEANUPGRADED UNITS

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Listing terms: Cash, Conventional, See remarks
  • Financial info: Total monthly income reported: $2,800; Gross scheduled income: $33,600; Gross adjusted income: $26,556; Net operating income: $26,556; Total expenses: $7,044; Electric expense: $84; Insurance expense: $800; Other expense: $585; Gross rent multiplier: 10.41; Vacancy rate: 10%; 3 total units in building; 2 units in building noted in another field

Exterior

  • Parking: 2 covered parking spaces; 2 garage spaces; 2 uncovered parking spaces; Approximately 576 sq ft garage
  • Utilities: Electric service; Sewer connected
  • Home design: Residential income duplex; Single-story structure
  • Construction: Wood construction; Composition roof; Block foundation; Built on a duplex structure
  • Exterior features: Wood exterior

Interior

  • Kitchen: Unit 2011: Range/oven, Refrigerator, Dishwasher; Unit 2013: Range/oven, Refrigerator, Dishwasher
  • Bedrooms: Unit 2011: 2 bedrooms; Unit 2013: 2 bedrooms
  • Flooring: Laminate
  • Bathrooms: Unit 2011: 1 bathroom; Unit 2013: 1 bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Baseboard heating; No central cooling
  • Interior features: Laminate flooring; Baseboard heating
  • Laundry & utility: No in-unit washer/dryer reported for units

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $320k. Condition is rated average.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $116 ($1k/yr) — positive. Per door: $58/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $272k (15.0% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $272k (15.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.7% vs local median 4.1% in Aberdeen — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 81/100 on livability (#73 in WA, #1,320 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools D+, crime D-, employment F.
  • Aberdeen School District (town): math 35% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #222 of 291 in WA (top 76%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.3%/yr); 257 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 297 units permitted in Grays Harbor County in 2024 (17 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $2,721/mo this rent would consume 56% of the median local household income ($58k/yr) (locally 635% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Grays Harbor County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 47 days — a 3% lower offer ($310k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 5y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $30k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $268k; 19% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Recommended offer $272,100 (15.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 47 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 15% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  4. Built in 1976 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.85%
Cap rate
6.73%
Cash-on-cash
1.56%
DSCR
1.07
GRM
9.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$391,584
List price
$320,000
Delta
-18.28%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
2 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
522 -524 W Cushing St 0.41mi 4/2.0 1,482 (-2%) 10mo $310,000 $209 68
526 -528 W Cushing St 0.40mi 4/2.0 1,482 (-2%) 11mo $310,000 $209 68
518 -520 W Cushing St 0.42mi 4/2.0 1,482 (-2%) 10mo $310,000 $209 67

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.35% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-12.5%
Equity multiple
0.54×
Total profit
$-40,779
Equity at exit
$47,713
10-year hold
IRR
-1.6%
Equity multiple
0.88×
Total profit
$-10,462
Equity at exit
$27,668

Cash invested: $89,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
28 Tenant-Leaning
State Washington
28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Just-cause statewide (2021); Seattle layers rent control restrictions + relocation assistance; very tenant-friendly.

ZIP-level market 98520

Rents YoY
4.3%
Active inventory
257
Price-to-rent
19.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,721 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,678
Tax from tax record
$222 /mo · $2,664/yr
Insurance
$133
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$571
Net cashflow
$116

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,574
Max offer price $320,000
Occupancy floor 91%

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $2,721

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$80,000
Closing costs
$9,600
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
908 E 1st St Aberdeen, WA 3.0 1.0 1608 $2,100 $1.31 43d 1 1.13mi
912 Bell Dr Cosmopolis, WA 3.0 2.0 1877 $2,600 $1.39 43d 1 1.45mi

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $320,000 Active 47 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $320,000 Active 46 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $320,000 Active 45 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $320,000 Active 44 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $320,000 Active 43 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $320,000 Active 41 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $320,000 Active 40 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $320,000 Active 37 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $320,000 Active 36 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $320,000 Active 35 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $320,000 Active 31 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $320,000 Active 30 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $320,000 Active 29 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $320,000 Active 28 DOM
  15. 2026-05-30
    price $320,000 Active 27 DOM
  16. 2025-10-23
    listed $350,000 Active
  17. 2021-04-01
    soldstatus $268,000 Sold
  18. 2021-03-19
    status Pending
  19. 2021-02-28
    status Pending Inspection
  20. 2021-02-17
    listed $268,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast WA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,664 · $222/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,136 · $261/mo
Expected delta
+$472/yr (+$39/mo · 17.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X · 24% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 1/10 Low 8 d/yr ≥78°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 6/10 Major 7 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$32,652
− Mortgage interest
−$17,925
− Property taxes
−$2,664
− Insurance
−$1,600
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,612
− Management
−$2,612
− Depreciation
−$9,309
Taxable loss
−$4,070
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$977
After-tax cash flow
$2,371/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Average 55/100 Cosmetic rehab

A stable two-unit duplex with basic updates and some wear, offering good potential for cosmetic upgrades to increase value.

Repairs flagged

  • Minor kitchen cabinets — basic cabinetry
  • Minor bathroom fixtures — dated fixtures
  • Minor exterior siding — some discoloration

Value-add opportunities

  • Both update kitchen cabinets — modernizes kitchen and adds value
  • Both update bathroom fixtures — modernizes bathroom and adds value
  • Both paint interior walls — enhances interior appearance and adds value

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair itemSeverityEst. cost
kitchen cabinets · basic cabinetry Minor $500–3,000
bathroom fixtures · dated fixtures Minor $500–3,000
exterior siding · some discoloration Minor $500–3,000
Total estimated repair cost · 3 items $1,500–9,000

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both update kitchen cabinets — modernizes kitchen and adds value
  • Both update bathroom fixtures — modernizes bathroom and adds value
  • Both paint interior walls — enhances interior appearance and adds value

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Aberdeen School District
NCES district ID
5300030
Math proficiency
35% ▼ -1.00%
Reading proficiency
45% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$41,896
Composite
36.13/100
National rank
#9477
State rank
#222 of 291 in WA

Livability — Aberdeen

Score
81/100
State rank
#73
US rank
#1320

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime D- Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Aberdeen, WA
County
Grays Harbor County · 44,693 people
City population
24,888
Metro
Aberdeen, WA
Population (ZIP)
24,888
Household income
$58,153
Rent vs Own
35.4% rent · 64.6% own
Severe rent burden
635.0

Population outlook (Grays Harbor County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
66,443 people
By 2030
63,255 · -4.8%
By 2040
56,466 · -15.0%
By 2050
50,516 · -24.0%
By 2075
39,296 · -40.9%
By 2100
31,142 · -53.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (70%)
Race & ethnicity
White 70% Hispanic / Latino 16% Two or more races 9% Black 4% Native American 3% Asian 1% Pacific Islander 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 11%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 4% Italian 3% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
7% · Canada
Languages at home
87% English-only · Spanish 10% Other Asian/Pacific 1% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Grays Harbor

2024 margin
Lean R (+6.0) · D 45.6% · R 51.6% · Other 2.8%
2008→2024 swing
-20.6pp toward R · 2008: 14.6pp · 2024: -6.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+6.0 2020: R+6.6 2016: R+7.1 2012: D+14.0 2008: D+14.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -138.75%
Current HPI
207.7393
Rent YoY
▲ 4.35%
Metro
Aberdeen, WA
State GDP YoY
▲ 4.65%
F500 in state
22

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+30.6% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-30 Relisted NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-10-23 Listed $350,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-04-01 Sold (MLS) $268,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-03-19 Pending NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-02-28 Pending NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-02-17 Listed $268,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+14.1%/yr

Latest (2026): $2,664 · +6.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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