30 Oxford Ct · Algonquin, IL
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
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- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +14.4/30.0
- DSCR +4.4/10.0
- ARV discount +4.2/15.0
- 1% rule +4.0/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.5/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$329,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Key facts
- Garage
- Built 1990
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Garage
- Home design: Townhouse; 2-story building; Building contains 4 units
Interior
- Kitchen: Microwave; Dishwasher
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
- Bathrooms: 2.5 bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Air conditioning
- Interior features: Fireplace; 6 total rooms
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath townhouse listed at $329k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $64 ($764/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $296k (10.1% below list).
- Recommended offer: $296k (10.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.5% vs local median 3.8% in Algonquin — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 78/100 on livability (#137 in IL, #2,503 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: cost of living C-, amenities F, commute F.
- CUSD 300 (suburban): math 24% / reading 27% proficiency, ranked #261 of 620 in IL (top 42%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Eastview Elem School (math 42% / reading 42%, grade F, #336 of 2,056 statewide, top 18%, 385 students, 0% FRL); Algonquin Middle School (math 25% / reading 31%, grade F, #284 of 665 statewide, top 44%, 399 students, 0% FRL); Dundee-Crown High School (math 20% / reading 21%, grade F, #350 of 693 statewide, top 51%, 2,636 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 37% district-wide (37 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: 117 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 1d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 1,595 units permitted in McHenry County in 2024 (485 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- McHenry County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.90% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.53%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.83%
- DSCR
- 1.04
- GRM
- 9.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $306,816
- Comps found
- 5
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 953 Old Oak Cir #0 | 0.12mi | 3/2.5 | 1,632 (0%) | 2mo | $306,000 | $188 | 93 |
| 404 Ballard Dr | 0.25mi | 3/2.5 | 1,628 (-0%) | 1mo | $269,000 | $165 | 87 |
| 903 Old Oak Cir | 0.09mi | 3/2.5 | 1,474 (-10%) | 5mo | $325,000 | $220 | 75 |
| 410 Ballard Dr | 0.23mi | 3/2.5 | 1,628 (-0%) | 16mo | $283,000 | $174 | 75 |
| 973 Old Oak Cir | 0.12mi | 3/2.5 | 1,474 (-10%) | 24mo | $282,000 | $191 | 58 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -15.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.47×
- Total profit
- $-49,211
- Equity at exit
- $49,055
- IRR
- -6.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.59×
- Total profit
- $-37,448
- Equity at exit
- $28,446
Cash invested: $92,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 60102
- Active inventory
- 117
- Price-to-rent
- 9.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,959 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,725
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$411 /mo · $4,935/yr
- Insurance
- −$137
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$621
- Net cashflow
- $64
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $291 | -5% $177 | +0% $64 | +5% $-50 | +10% $-164 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-170 | -5% $-53 | +0% $64 | +5% $181 | +10% $297 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $229 | -0.5pp $147 | base $64 | +0.5pp $-22 | +1.0pp $-108 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $82,250
- Closing costs
- $9,870
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 973 Old Oak Cir Algonquin, IL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1600 | $2,995 | $1.87 | 0d | 1 | 0.10mi |
| 1037 N Harrison St Algonquin, IL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1600 | $3,500 | $2.19 | 20d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 1 N Main St Algonquin, IL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1111 | $2,550 | $2.30 | 0d | 2 | 0.62mi |
| 18 Madison St Unit 2 Algonquin, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1145 | $1,800 | $1.57 | 1d | 1 | 0.75mi |
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $329,000 Coming Soon 9 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $329,000 Coming Soon 6 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $329,000 Coming Soon 5 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $329,000 Coming Soon 4 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $329,000 Coming Soon 3 DOM
-
2026-06-13$329,000 Coming Soon 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $35,504
- − Mortgage interest
- −$18,429
- − Property taxes
- −$4,935
- − Insurance
- −$1,645
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,840
- − Management
- −$2,840
- − Depreciation
- −$9,571
- Taxable loss
- −$4,757
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,142
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,906/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- CUSD 300
- NCES district ID
- 1708550
- Math proficiency
- 24% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 27% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $77,706
- Composite
- 25.12/100
- National rank
- #7524
- State rank
- #261 of 620 in IL
Livability — Algonquin
- Score
- 78/100
- State rank
- #137
- US rank
- #2503
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Algonquin, IL
- County
- McHenry County · 204,279 people
- City population
- 32,286
- Metro
- Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
- Population (ZIP)
- 32,286
- Household income
- $132,949
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 255.0
Population outlook (McHenry County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 305,342 people
- By 2030
- 301,491 · -1.3%
- By 2040
- 288,211 · -5.6%
- By 2050
- 268,430 · -12.1%
- By 2075
- 226,209 · -25.9%
- By 2100
- 181,247 · -40.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (74%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 74% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 8% Asian 5% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 10% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 14% Iranian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 12% · Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 80% English-only · Spanish 9% Russian/Polish/Slavic 3% Other Indo-European 3%
Political lean MEDSL · McHenry
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+5.3) · D 46.6% · R 51.9% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -10.6pp toward R · 2008: 5.3pp · 2024: -5.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+5.3 2020: R+2.5 2016: R+8.1 2012: R+8.8 2008: D+5.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -124.68%
- Current HPI
- 203.4513
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
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| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
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| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
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| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
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Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…