27 Ritton St · Sidney, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 91°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +28.9/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +6.3/10.0
- Schools +3.8/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$75,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Charming 3-bedroom, 2-bath home in a quiet neighborhood with great potential. Features a functional layout, Detached garage, and nice yard space. Needs a heavy/ Full rehab, this home can truly shine great opportunity for investors.
Key facts
- Nice yard space
- Detached garage
- 0.25 acre lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $75k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $253 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $75k).
- Recommended offer: $70k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.3% vs local median 5.9% in Sidney — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#476 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A; Watch: schools D+, employment D, amenities F.
- Sidney Central School District (town): math 44% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #462 of 590 in NY (top 78%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 32 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 66 units permitted in Delaware County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $2k of equity ($519 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (2.6% local appreciation)).
- Delaware County population projected at -27% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (2.6% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 83 days — a 6% lower offer ($70k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 21y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $65k (46%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 5.0% of price; built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 83 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.67% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.34%
- Cash-on-cash
- 14.47%
- DSCR
- 1.64
- GRM
- 5.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $177,365
- List price
- $75,000
- Delta
- -57.71%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 78 W Main St | 0.20mi | 3/1.5 | 1,332 (+6%) | 5mo | $120,000 | $90 | 75 |
| 22 Ritton St | 0.05mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,365 (+8%) | 3mo | $155,000 | $114 | 72 |
| 24 Sunset Ave | 0.21mi | 3/2.0 | 1,348 (+7%) | 8mo | $197,000 | $146 | 72 |
| 3 Glen Ave | 0.17mi | 3/1.0 | 1,182 (-6%) | 7mo | $94,900 | $80 | 72 |
| 4 Spruce St | 0.33mi | 3/1.0 | 1,266 (+0%) | 11mo | $176,000 | $139 | 70 |
| 65 E Main St | 0.63mi | 3/2.0 | 1,254 (-0%) | 4mo | $149,900 | $120 | 67 |
| 2 Patterson St | 0.47mi | 3/1.0 | 1,174 (-7%) | 9mo | $33,000 | $28 | 55 |
| 254 Bird Ave | 0.54mi | 3/1.5 | 1,152 (-9%) | 4mo | $50,000 | $43 | 55 |
| 10 Cayuga | 0.50mi | 3/1.5 | 1,400 (+11%) | 1mo | $171,000 | $122 | 55 |
| 71 E Main St | 0.66mi | 3/1.0 | 1,196 (-5%) | 4mo | $25,000 | $21 | 54 |
| 5 Seneca St | 0.44mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,100 (-13%) | 4mo | $185,000 | $168 | 48 |
| 274-276 Johnston Cir | 0.59mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,152 (-9%) | 13mo | $93,000 | $81 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
2.6% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 20.3%
- Equity multiple
- 2.13×
- Total profit
- $23,754
- Equity at exit
- $32,067
- IRR
- 21.9%
- Equity multiple
- 4.05×
- Total profit
- $64,152
- Equity at exit
- $48,167
Cash invested: $21,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 13838
- Home prices YoY
- 0.8%
- Active inventory
- 32
- Price-to-rent
- 5.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,250 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$393
- Tax from tax record
- −$310 /mo · $3,717/yr
- Insurance
- −$31
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$262
- Net cashflow
- $253
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $18,750
- Closing costs
- $2,250
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5355 Main St Sidney, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1500 | $1,250 | $0.83 | 43d | 1 | 0.58mi |
Listing history 11 events
-
2026-06-01days on market $75,000 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $75,000 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-03-15price $75,000 231-char remark
Show marketing remark (231 chars)
Charming 3-bedroom, 2-bath home in a quiet neighborhood with great potential. Features a functional layout, Detached garage, and nice yard space. Needs a heavy/ Full rehab, this home can truly shine great opportunity for investors.
-
2026-03-10$140,000 Active 231-char remark
Show marketing remark (231 chars)
Charming 3-bedroom, 2-bath home in a quiet neighborhood with great potential. Features a functional layout, Detached garage, and nice yard space. Needs a heavy/ Full rehab, this home can truly shine great opportunity for investors.
-
2010-11-16soldstatus $109,000
-
2009-04-06$126,900
-
2009-03-30historical
-
2008-09-11$149,900
-
2006-03-03soldstatus $120,000
-
2005-10-25$124,900
-
1993-12-01soldstatus $61,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,717 · $310/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,717 · $310/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥91°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,000
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,201
- − Property taxes
- −$3,717
- − Insurance
- −$375
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,200
- − Management
- −$1,200
- − Depreciation
- −$2,182
- Taxable income
- $2,125
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$510
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,528/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Sidney Central School District
- NCES district ID
- 3626850
- Math proficiency
- 44% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 47% ▲ 5.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,110
- Composite
- 38.29/100
- National rank
- #4232
- State rank
- #462 of 590 in NY
Livability — Sidney
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #476
- US rank
- #8397
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Sidney, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 4,185
Population outlook (Delaware County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 42,668 people
- By 2030
- 40,337 · -5.5%
- By 2040
- 35,514 · -16.8%
- By 2050
- 31,265 · -26.7%
- By 2075
- 24,455 · -42.7%
- By 2100
- 19,529 · -54.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (86%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 86% Two or more races 12% Hispanic / Latino 8% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 10% Iranian 9% Lithuanian 4%
- Foreign-born
- 1%
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · German/W. Germanic 5% Other Asian/Pacific 2% Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Delaware
- 2024 margin
- R (+19.8) · D 40.1% · R 59.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -14.6pp toward R · 2008: -5.2pp · 2024: -19.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+19.8 2020: R+18.4 2016: R+29.2 2012: R+9.6 2008: R+5.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- Current HPI
- 324.4858
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+21.2% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-15 Price Changed $75,000 WNYREIS
- 2026-03-10 Listed $140,000 WNYREIS
- 2010-11-16 Sold (Public Records) $109,000 Public Records
- 2009-04-06 Listed $126,900 UNYREIS
- 2009-03-30 Listing Removed — UNYREIS
- 2008-09-11 Listed $149,900 UNYREIS
- 2006-03-03 Sold (MLS) $120,000 UNYREIS
- 2005-10-25 Listed $124,900 UNYREIS
- 1993-12-01 Sold (Public Records) $61,900 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.0%/yrLatest (2025): $3,717 · +2.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…