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1055 County Road 222
B- Composite 68.52
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +29.1/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.1/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +4.2/10.0
  • Condition / age +3.8/5.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$86,900

1055 County Road 222 · Blue Springs, MS 38828
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,216 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 166 Days on market
Built 2000 Good condition 1.40 ac lot ↓ 3% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to peaceful country living in Union county. This 3 bed, 2 bath single wide home offers convenience and room to spread out on approx. 1.4 acres. Recent updates have been completed to allow the home to qualify for FHA financing, making this an excellent opportunity for first-time buyers, downsizers, or anyone looking for affordable country living. Home is just a short drive to New Albany and Tupelo for expanded shopping, dining, and entertainment options. Grocery stores, restaurants. pharmacies, and retail shopping are approx. 10-15 min. away.

Key facts

  • 1.4-acre lot
  • Spacious living area
  • Primary suite

Tags

1.4-ACRE LOTSPACIOUS LIVING AREAPRIMARY SUITESPACE FOR GARDENINGPRIVACY AND QUIETFIXER-UPPER

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
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What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $87k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $299 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $87k).
  • Recommended offer: $76k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 67/100 on livability (#82 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
  • Union County School District (rural): math 54% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #13 of 130 in MS (top 10%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: 29 active listings in the ZIP; 17 units permitted in Union County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $601 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Union County population projected at +19% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 166 days — a 12% lower offer ($76k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wind risk, 24% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $76,472 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 166 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.31%
Cap rate
10.42%
Cash-on-cash
14.75%
DSCR
1.66
GRM
6.4

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
5.3%
Equity multiple
1.20×
Total profit
$4,987
Equity at exit
$12,957
10-year hold
IRR
14.7%
Equity multiple
2.19×
Total profit
$28,944
Equity at exit
$7,514

Cash invested: $24,332 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Mississippi
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; very landlord-favorable; no rent control.

ZIP-level market 38828

Home prices YoY
-14.5%
Active inventory
29
Price-to-rent
6.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,139 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$456
Tax est. 1.5%
$109 /mo · $1,304/yr
Insurance
$36
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$239
Net cashflow
$299

Break-even live

Break-even rent $760
Max offer price $86,900
Occupancy floor 69%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $359 -5% $329 +0% $299 +5% $269 +10% $239
Rent -10% $209 -5% $254 +0% $299 +5% $344 +10% $389
Rate -1.0pp $343 -0.5pp $321 base $299 +0.5pp $277 +1.0pp $254

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$21,725
Closing costs
$2,607
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $86,900 Active 166 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $86,900 Active 165 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $86,900 Active 164 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $86,900 Active 163 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $86,900 Active 162 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $86,900 Active 160 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $86,900 Active 159 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $86,900 Active 156 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $86,900 Active 155 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $86,900 Active 154 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $86,900 Active 150 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $86,900 Active 149 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $86,900 Active 148 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $86,900 Active 147 DOM
  15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $86,900 Active 146 DOM
  16. 2026-02-10
    price $86,900 555-char remark
    Show marketing remark (555 chars)

    Welcome to peaceful country living in Union county. This 3 bed, 2 bath single wide home offers convenience and room to spread out on approx. 1.4 acres. Recent updates have been completed to allow the home to qualify for FHA financing, making this an excellent opportunity for first-time buyers, downsizers, or anyone looking for affordable country living. Home is just a short drive to New Albany and Tupelo for expanded shopping, dining, and entertainment options. Grocery stores, restaurants. pharmacies, and retail shopping are approx. 10-15 min. away.

  17. 2026-01-04
    listed $89,900 Active 555-char remark
    Show marketing remark (555 chars)

    Welcome to peaceful country living in Union county. This 3 bed, 2 bath single wide home offers convenience and room to spread out on approx. 1.4 acres. Recent updates have been completed to allow the home to qualify for FHA financing, making this an excellent opportunity for first-time buyers, downsizers, or anyone looking for affordable country living. Home is just a short drive to New Albany and Tupelo for expanded shopping, dining, and entertainment options. Grocery stores, restaurants. pharmacies, and retail shopping are approx. 10-15 min. away.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 5/10 Major 24% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,666
− Mortgage interest
−$4,868
− Property taxes
−$1,304
− Insurance
−$434
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,093
− Management
−$1,093
− Depreciation
−$2,528
Taxable income
$2,346
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$563
After-tax cash flow
$3,027/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 75/100 Cosmetic rehab

This single-wide home in Blue Springs, MS, is in good condition with recent updates. It offers a good opportunity for first-time buyers, downsizers, or anyone looking for affordable country living. The home is move-in ready with minor cosmetic improvements that could further enhance its value.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Painting interior walls and ceilings — Fresh paint can enhance the home's curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
  • Both Landscaping and curb appeal improvements — Enhanced landscaping can improve the home's curb appeal and attract potential buyers.
  • Both Upgrading kitchen appliances — Modern appliances can increase the home's appeal and value.
  • Both Upgrading bathroom fixtures — Modern fixtures can enhance the home's appeal and value.
  • Both Adding a small deck or patio — An outdoor space can increase the home's appeal and value, especially for potential buyers looking for outdoor living space.

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Painting interior walls and ceilings — Fresh paint can enhance the home's curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
  • Both Landscaping and curb appeal improvements — Enhanced landscaping can improve the home's curb appeal and attract potential buyers.
  • Both Upgrading kitchen appliances — Modern appliances can increase the home's appeal and value.
  • Both Upgrading bathroom fixtures — Modern fixtures can enhance the home's appeal and value.
  • Both Adding a small deck or patio — An outdoor space can increase the home's appeal and value, especially for potential buyers looking for outdoor living space.

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Union County School District
NCES district ID
2804350
Math proficiency
54% ▼ -15.00%
Reading proficiency
48% ▼ -11.00%
Median HH income
$37,935
Composite
42.49/100
National rank
#3209
State rank
#13 of 130 in MS

Livability — Blue Springs

Score
67/100
State rank
#82
US rank
#10723

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B+ Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
4,532

Population outlook (Union County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
30,992 people
By 2030
32,294 · +4.2%
By 2040
34,789 · +12.3%
By 2050
36,987 · +19.3%
By 2075
40,835 · +31.8%
By 2100
40,538 · +30.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (85%)
Race & ethnicity
White 85% Black 12% Two or more races 1%
Common ancestry
Slovak 6% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
99% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Union

2024 margin
Solid R (+70.1) · D 14.5% · R 84.6%
2008→2024 swing
-20.2pp toward R · 2008: -49.9pp · 2024: -70.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+70.1 2020: R+64.8 2016: R+63.2 2012: R+51.0 2008: R+49.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -24.94%
Current HPI
146.7045
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

-3.3% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-02-10 Price Changed $86,900 LBOR
  • 2026-01-04 Listed $89,900 LBOR

Property tax history

+1.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $74 · +1.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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