1202 N Grant · Brady, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 6 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +29.1/30.0
- ARV discount +11.6/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +8.3/10.0
- 1% rule +7.9/10.0
- Schools +4.0/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$79,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This charming 2 bedroom, 1 bath bungalow offers the perfect blend of comfort and style with its light-filled interior and hardwood floors. Fresh paint throughout gives the home a clean, modern feel, while the recently installed roof provides added peace of mind. Step outside to enjoy a newly constructed privacy fence, creating an ideal space for relaxing or entertaining. The property also includes a convenient storage building, adding extra functionality to this delightful home.
Key facts
- Hardwood floors
- 5,009 sq ft lot
- Built 1948
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $79k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $273 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $79k).
- Recommended offer: $74k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.4% vs local median 3.4% in Brady — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#270 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D, schools D-, amenities F.
- Brady ISD (rural): math 50% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #238 of 826 in TX (top 29%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 105 active listings in the ZIP; 2 units permitted in McCulloch County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $6k of equity ($546 loan paydown + $5k appreciation (6.5% local appreciation)).
- At projected returns (6.5% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 89 days — a 6% lower offer ($74k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1948 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 6→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 89 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1948 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.29% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.44%
- Cash-on-cash
- 14.81%
- DSCR
- 1.66
- GRM
- 6.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $86,840
- List price
- $79,000
- Delta
- -9.03%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 12 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1505 N Graham | 0.21mi | 2/1.0 | 846 (-0%) | 10mo | $65,000 | $77 | 81 |
| 1607 N Graham | 0.29mi | 2/1.0 | 804 (-5%) | 5mo | $105,000 | $131 | 73 |
| 201 E Victoria | 0.40mi | 2/1.0 | 932 (+10%) | 4mo | $27,500 | $30 | 61 |
| 905 Bee St | 0.43mi | 2/1.0 | 728 (-14%) | 4mo | $33,500 | $46 | 52 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
6.53% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 28.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.93×
- Total profit
- $42,706
- Equity at exit
- $52,321
- IRR
- 26.5%
- Equity multiple
- 6.04×
- Total profit
- $111,435
- Equity at exit
- $97,265
Cash invested: $22,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 76825
- Home prices YoY
- 4.2%
- Active inventory
- 105
- Price-to-rent
- 6.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,021 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$414
- Tax from tax record
- −$86 /mo · $1,033/yr
- Insurance
- −$33
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$214
- Net cashflow
- $273
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $318 | -5% $295 | +0% $273 | +5% $251 | +10% $228 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $192 | -5% $233 | +0% $273 | +5% $313 | +10% $354 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $313 | -0.5pp $293 | base $273 | +0.5pp $253 | +1.0pp $232 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $19,750
- Closing costs
- $2,370
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 24 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $79,000 Active 89 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $79,000 Active 87 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $79,000 Active 86 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $79,000 Active 85 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $79,000 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $79,000 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $79,000 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $79,000 Active 78 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $79,000 Active 77 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $79,000 Active 76 DOM
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2026-06-05days on market $79,000 Active 74 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $79,000 Active 72 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $79,000 Active 71 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $79,000 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $79,000 Active 69 DOM
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2026-04-03status Active 483-char remark
Show marketing remark (483 chars)
This charming 2 bedroom, 1 bath bungalow offers the perfect blend of comfort and style with its light-filled interior and hardwood floors. Fresh paint throughout gives the home a clean, modern feel, while the recently installed roof provides added peace of mind. Step outside to enjoy a newly constructed privacy fence, creating an ideal space for relaxing or entertaining. The property also includes a convenient storage building, adding extra functionality to this delightful home.
-
2026-03-25historical Active Option Contract 483-char remark
Show marketing remark (483 chars)
This charming 2 bedroom, 1 bath bungalow offers the perfect blend of comfort and style with its light-filled interior and hardwood floors. Fresh paint throughout gives the home a clean, modern feel, while the recently installed roof provides added peace of mind. Step outside to enjoy a newly constructed privacy fence, creating an ideal space for relaxing or entertaining. The property also includes a convenient storage building, adding extra functionality to this delightful home.
-
2026-03-20$79,000 Active 483-char remark
Show marketing remark (483 chars)
This charming 2 bedroom, 1 bath bungalow offers the perfect blend of comfort and style with its light-filled interior and hardwood floors. Fresh paint throughout gives the home a clean, modern feel, while the recently installed roof provides added peace of mind. Step outside to enjoy a newly constructed privacy fence, creating an ideal space for relaxing or entertaining. The property also includes a convenient storage building, adding extra functionality to this delightful home.
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2006-03-08soldstatus
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2006-03-07soldstatus
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2005-11-04soldstatus
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2005-08-15soldstatus
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2004-05-25soldstatus
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2004-05-13soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,033 · $86/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,446 · $120/mo
- Expected delta
- +$413/yr (+$34/mo · 40.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 6/10 Major 6 d/yr ≥105°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,248
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,425
- − Property taxes
- −$1,033
- − Insurance
- −$395
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$980
- − Management
- −$980
- − Depreciation
- −$2,298
- Taxable income
- $2,137
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$513
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,764/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Brady ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4811110
- Math proficiency
- 50% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 46% ▲ 2.00%
- Median HH income
- $38,179
- Composite
- 40.02/100
- National rank
- #3826
- State rank
- #238 of 826 in TX
Livability — Brady
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #270
- US rank
- #6336
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Brady, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 6,595
Population outlook (McCulloch County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 8,509 people
- By 2030
- 8,544 · +0.4%
- By 2040
- 8,555 · +0.5%
- By 2050
- 8,486 · -0.3%
- By 2075
- 8,089 · -4.9%
- By 2100
- 6,599 · -22.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (60%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 60% Hispanic / Latino 33% Two or more races 21%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 30%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 8% Lithuanian 3% Portuguese 2%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 72% English-only · Spanish 27%
Political lean MEDSL · McCulloch
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+73.4) · D 12.9% · R 86.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -22.4pp toward R · 2008: -51.0pp · 2024: -73.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+73.4 2020: R+70.3 2016: R+67.0 2012: R+62.9 2008: R+51.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 6.53%
- Current HPI
- 161.5061
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
9 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-03 Relisted — NTREIS
- 2026-03-25 Contingent — NTREIS
- 2026-03-20 Listed $79,000 NTREIS
- 2006-03-08 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2006-03-07 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2005-11-04 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2005-08-15 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2004-05-25 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2004-05-13 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+4.0%/yrLatest (2025): $1,033 · +2.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…