10617 Skewlee Gardens Dr · Thonotosassa, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 111°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 24 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +13.5/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- DSCR +4.1/10.0
- 1% rule +3.8/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$364,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Short Sale. PRICE REDUCED! Totally renovated mobile home in Thonotosassa! Set on a quiet dead-end street, this property is just five minutes from I-4. Inside, it`s an all-new residence, complete with brand-new floors, repainted walls in neutral colors andand replaced A/C. The kitchen is filled with wood cabinets, easy-care laminate counters and white Maytag and Frigidaire appliances, with a convenient breakfast bar that`s ideal for everyday dining. The master offers a double closet and new laminate floors, and the private master bath features a stand-alone shower and a single vanity with easy-care counters. The carpeted guest bedrooms shared the second full bath, which comes with a shower/tub. Outside, surrounding the backyard is a privacy-enhancing wooden fence, creating a tranquil retreat-like space and the play fort will stay! As a special bonus, the new, three-tier wooden deck provides 360 square feet of space! "List price may not be sufficient to pay the total of all liens & costs of sale, & sale ofProperty at full listing price may require approval of seller's lender(s). "
Key facts
- Generous lot
- Large breakfast bar
- Spacious kitchen
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Homestead exempt; Zoned RSC-6
- HOA & community: No association
Exterior
- Security: Smoke detector(s)
- Utilities: Well water; Septic tank; Cable available; Underground utilities
- Home design: Manufactured double-wide home; Single-story; Faces west; Entry level: 1
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Shingle roof; Crawlspace foundation; Built as a double-wide manufactured home
- Exterior features: Rear porch; Sidewalk; Sliding doors; Shed(s); Oak trees on property; Paved lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 5 bedrooms
- Bathrooms: 3 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Open floorplan; Split bedroom layout; Walk-in closets; Blinds; Smoke detectors
- Laundry & utility: Indoor laundry room; Inside utility / family room area
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath manufactured listed at $365k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $15 ($174/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $320k (12.4% below list).
- Recommended offer: $320k (12.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#673 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment D-.
- Hillsborough (suburban): math 47% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #41 of 73 in FL (top 56%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Mcdonald Elementary School (math 30% / reading 34%, grade F, #1,797 of 2,144 statewide, top 86%, 559 students, 82% FRL); Burnett Middle School (math 21% / reading 29%, grade F, #517 of 571 statewide, top 91%, 628 students, 73% FRL); Armwood High School (math 28% / reading 38%, grade F, #406 of 667 statewide, top 61%, 2,400 students, 66% FRL) — zoned schools average 74% FRL vs 52% district-wide (22 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 30% at this address vs 48% district-wide (-18 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Hillsborough average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: 120 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 9,053 units permitted in Hillsborough County in 2024 (4,555 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $3,198/mo this rent would consume 56% of the median local household income ($69k/yr) (locally 306% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $11k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Hillsborough County population projected at +37% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 26 days — a 2% lower offer ($359k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 17y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $60k; list at $365k implies a 508% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.88% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.34%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.17%
- DSCR
- 1.01
- GRM
- 9.5
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -16.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.43×
- Total profit
- $-58,163
- Equity at exit
- $54,408
- IRR
- -7.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.52×
- Total profit
- $-49,285
- Equity at exit
- $31,550
Cash invested: $102,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33592
- Home prices YoY
- -7.8%
- Active inventory
- 120
- Price-to-rent
- 9.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,198 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,914
- Tax from tax record
- −$446 /mo · $5,354/yr
- Insurance
- −$152
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$672
- Net cashflow
- $15
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $221 | -5% $118 | +0% $15 | +5% $-89 | +10% $-192 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-238 | -5% $-112 | +0% $15 | +5% $141 | +10% $267 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $198 | -0.5pp $107 | base $15 | +0.5pp $-80 | +1.0pp $-176 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $91,225
- Closing costs
- $10,947
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10027 Dolphin Gull Cir Thonotosassa, FL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2691 | $3,450 | $1.28 | 22d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 10067 Dolphin Gull Cir Thonotosassa, FL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2675 | $3,500 | $1.31 | 14d | 1 | 1.23mi |
Listing history 23 events
-
2026-06-21pricedays on market $364,900 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $374,900 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $374,900 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $374,900 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $374,900 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $374,900 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $374,900 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $374,900 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $374,900 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $374,900 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $374,900 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $374,900 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $374,900 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $374,900 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $374,900 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-05-26$374,900 Active
-
2018-08-06soldstatus $60,000
-
2009-11-13soldstatus $45,000 1116-char remark
Show marketing remark (1116 chars)
Short Sale. PRICE REDUCED! Totally renovated mobile home in Thonotosassa! Set on a quiet dead-end street, this property is just five minutes from I-4. Inside, it`s an all-new residence, complete with brand-new floors, repainted walls in neutral colors andand replaced A/C. The kitchen is filled with wood cabinets, easy-care laminate counters and white Maytag and Frigidaire appliances, with a convenient breakfast bar that`s ideal for everyday dining. The master offers a double closet and new laminate floors, and the private master bath features a stand-alone shower and a single vanity with easy-care counters. The carpeted guest bedrooms shared the second full bath, which comes with a shower/tub. Outside, surrounding the backyard is a privacy-enhancing wooden fence, creating a tranquil retreat-like space and the play fort will stay! As a special bonus, the new, three-tier wooden deck provides 360 square feet of space! "List price may not be sufficient to pay the total of all liens & costs of sale, & sale ofProperty at full listing price may require approval of seller's lender(s). "
-
2009-04-13$49,900 1116-char remark
Show marketing remark (1116 chars)
Short Sale. PRICE REDUCED! Totally renovated mobile home in Thonotosassa! Set on a quiet dead-end street, this property is just five minutes from I-4. Inside, it`s an all-new residence, complete with brand-new floors, repainted walls in neutral colors andand replaced A/C. The kitchen is filled with wood cabinets, easy-care laminate counters and white Maytag and Frigidaire appliances, with a convenient breakfast bar that`s ideal for everyday dining. The master offers a double closet and new laminate floors, and the private master bath features a stand-alone shower and a single vanity with easy-care counters. The carpeted guest bedrooms shared the second full bath, which comes with a shower/tub. Outside, surrounding the backyard is a privacy-enhancing wooden fence, creating a tranquil retreat-like space and the play fort will stay! As a special bonus, the new, three-tier wooden deck provides 360 square feet of space! "List price may not be sufficient to pay the total of all liens & costs of sale, & sale ofProperty at full listing price may require approval of seller's lender(s). "
-
2001-07-16soldstatus $59,000
-
1989-12-01soldstatus $29,500
-
1985-02-01soldstatus $20,500
-
1983-07-01soldstatus $17,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $5,354 · $446/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $5,354 · $446/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $38,374
- − Mortgage interest
- −$20,440
- − Property taxes
- −$5,354
- − Insurance
- −$1,824
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,070
- − Management
- −$3,070
- − Depreciation
- −$10,615
- Taxable loss
- −$6,000
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,440
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,614/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Hillsborough
- NCES district ID
- 1200870
- Math proficiency
- 47% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $50,622
- Composite
- 41.6/100
- National rank
- #3435
- State rank
- #41 of 73 in FL
Livability — Thonotosassa
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #673
- US rank
- #13914
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Thonotosassa, FL
- County
- Hillsborough County · 1,540,968 people
- City population
- 12,333
- Metro
- Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 12,333
- Household income
- $68,802
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 306.0
Population outlook (Hillsborough County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,607,022 people
- By 2030
- 1,733,968 · +7.9%
- By 2040
- 1,979,565 · +23.2%
- By 2050
- 2,203,427 · +37.1%
- By 2075
- 2,667,893 · +66.0%
- By 2100
- 2,891,558 · +79.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 62% Hispanic / Latino 16% Black 15% Two or more races 7% Asian 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6% Puerto Rican 4% Cuban 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Italian 2% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada, Jamaica, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 82% English-only · Spanish 12% Other Indo-European 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Hillsborough
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 47.8% · R 50.9% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -10.2pp toward R · 2008: 7.1pp · 2024: -3.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+3.1 2020: D+6.9 2016: D+6.8 2012: D+6.7 2008: D+7.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -30.90%
- Current HPI
- 364.3745
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
||
| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
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Price history
+2105.3% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-26 Listed $374,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-08-06 Sold (Public Records) $60,000 Public Records
- 2009-11-13 Sold (MLS) $45,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2009-04-13 Listed $49,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2001-07-16 Sold (Public Records) $59,000 Public Records
- 1989-12-01 Sold (Public Records) $29,500 Public Records
- 1985-02-01 Sold (Public Records) $20,500 Public Records
- 1983-07-01 Sold (Public Records) $17,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+14.5%/yrLatest (2025): $5,354 · +302.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…