CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
10617 Skewlee Gardens Dr
D Composite 41.22
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +13.5/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +4.2/10.0
  • DSCR +4.1/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.8/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$364,900

10617 Skewlee Gardens Dr · Thonotosassa, FL 33592
4 bd · 3.0 ba · 2,280 sqft · Manufactured public records · 26 Days on market
Built 2018 0.92 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Short Sale. PRICE REDUCED! Totally renovated mobile home in Thonotosassa! Set on a quiet dead-end street, this property is just five minutes from I-4. Inside, it`s an all-new residence, complete with brand-new floors, repainted walls in neutral colors andand replaced A/C. The kitchen is filled with wood cabinets, easy-care laminate counters and white Maytag and Frigidaire appliances, with a convenient breakfast bar that`s ideal for everyday dining. The master offers a double closet and new laminate floors, and the private master bath features a stand-alone shower and a single vanity with easy-care counters. The carpeted guest bedrooms shared the second full bath, which comes with a shower/tub. Outside, surrounding the backyard is a privacy-enhancing wooden fence, creating a tranquil retreat-like space and the play fort will stay! As a special bonus, the new, three-tier wooden deck provides 360 square feet of space! "List price may not be sufficient to pay the total of all liens & costs of sale, & sale ofProperty at full listing price may require approval of seller's lender(s). "

Key facts

  • Generous lot
  • Large breakfast bar
  • Spacious kitchen

Tags

GENEROUS LOTEASY ACCESS TO TAMPASPACIOUS KITCHENSTAINLESS STEEL APPLIANCESFARMHOUSE SINKLARGE BREAKFAST BAR

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Homestead exempt; Zoned RSC-6
  • HOA & community: No association

Exterior

  • Security: Smoke detector(s)
  • Utilities: Well water; Septic tank; Cable available; Underground utilities
  • Home design: Manufactured double-wide home; Single-story; Faces west; Entry level: 1
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Shingle roof; Crawlspace foundation; Built as a double-wide manufactured home
  • Exterior features: Rear porch; Sidewalk; Sliding doors; Shed(s); Oak trees on property; Paved lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Range; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 5 bedrooms
  • Bathrooms: 3 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Open floorplan; Split bedroom layout; Walk-in closets; Blinds; Smoke detectors
  • Laundry & utility: Indoor laundry room; Inside utility / family room area

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath manufactured listed at $365k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $15 ($174/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $320k (12.4% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $320k (12.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 64/100 on livability (#673 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment D-.
  • Hillsborough (suburban): math 47% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #41 of 73 in FL (top 56%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Mcdonald Elementary School (math 30% / reading 34%, grade F, #1,797 of 2,144 statewide, top 86%, 559 students, 82% FRL); Burnett Middle School (math 21% / reading 29%, grade F, #517 of 571 statewide, top 91%, 628 students, 73% FRL); Armwood High School (math 28% / reading 38%, grade F, #406 of 667 statewide, top 61%, 2,400 students, 66% FRL) — zoned schools average 74% FRL vs 52% district-wide (22 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 30% at this address vs 48% district-wide (-18 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Hillsborough average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
  • Market conditions: 120 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 9,053 units permitted in Hillsborough County in 2024 (4,555 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $3,198/mo this rent would consume 56% of the median local household income ($69k/yr) (locally 306% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $11k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Hillsborough County population projected at +37% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 26 days — a 2% lower offer ($359k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 17y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $60k; list at $365k implies a 508% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $319,782 (12.4% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  3. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.88%
Cap rate
6.34%
Cash-on-cash
0.17%
DSCR
1.01
GRM
9.5

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-16.0%
Equity multiple
0.43×
Total profit
$-58,163
Equity at exit
$54,408
10-year hold
IRR
-7.6%
Equity multiple
0.52×
Total profit
$-49,285
Equity at exit
$31,550

Cash invested: $102,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 33592

Home prices YoY
-7.8%
Active inventory
120
Price-to-rent
9.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,198 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,914
Tax from tax record
$446 /mo · $5,354/yr
Insurance
$152
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$672
Net cashflow
$15

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,179
Max offer price $364,900
Occupancy floor 95%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $221 -5% $118 +0% $15 +5% $-89 +10% $-192
Rent -10% $-238 -5% $-112 +0% $15 +5% $141 +10% $267
Rate -1.0pp $198 -0.5pp $107 base $15 +0.5pp $-80 +1.0pp $-176

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$91,225
Closing costs
$10,947
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
10027 Dolphin Gull Cir Thonotosassa, FL 4.0 3.0 2691 $3,450 $1.28 22d 1 1.22mi
10067 Dolphin Gull Cir Thonotosassa, FL 4.0 3.0 2675 $3,500 $1.31 14d 1 1.23mi

Listing history 23 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    pricedays on market $364,900 Active 26 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $374,900 Active 23 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $374,900 Active 22 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $374,900 Active 21 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $374,900 Active 20 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $374,900 Active 18 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $374,900 Active 17 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $374,900 Active 14 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $374,900 Active 13 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $374,900 Active 12 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $374,900 Active 9 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $374,900 Active 8 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $374,900 Active 7 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $374,900 Active 6 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $374,900 Active 5 DOM
  16. 2026-05-26
    listed $374,900 Active
  17. 2018-08-06
    soldstatus $60,000
  18. 2009-11-13
    soldstatus $45,000 1116-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1116 chars)

    Short Sale. PRICE REDUCED! Totally renovated mobile home in Thonotosassa! Set on a quiet dead-end street, this property is just five minutes from I-4. Inside, it`s an all-new residence, complete with brand-new floors, repainted walls in neutral colors andand replaced A/C. The kitchen is filled with wood cabinets, easy-care laminate counters and white Maytag and Frigidaire appliances, with a convenient breakfast bar that`s ideal for everyday dining. The master offers a double closet and new laminate floors, and the private master bath features a stand-alone shower and a single vanity with easy-care counters. The carpeted guest bedrooms shared the second full bath, which comes with a shower/tub. Outside, surrounding the backyard is a privacy-enhancing wooden fence, creating a tranquil retreat-like space and the play fort will stay! As a special bonus, the new, three-tier wooden deck provides 360 square feet of space! "List price may not be sufficient to pay the total of all liens & costs of sale, & sale ofProperty at full listing price may require approval of seller's lender(s). "

  19. 2009-04-13
    listed $49,900 1116-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1116 chars)

    Short Sale. PRICE REDUCED! Totally renovated mobile home in Thonotosassa! Set on a quiet dead-end street, this property is just five minutes from I-4. Inside, it`s an all-new residence, complete with brand-new floors, repainted walls in neutral colors andand replaced A/C. The kitchen is filled with wood cabinets, easy-care laminate counters and white Maytag and Frigidaire appliances, with a convenient breakfast bar that`s ideal for everyday dining. The master offers a double closet and new laminate floors, and the private master bath features a stand-alone shower and a single vanity with easy-care counters. The carpeted guest bedrooms shared the second full bath, which comes with a shower/tub. Outside, surrounding the backyard is a privacy-enhancing wooden fence, creating a tranquil retreat-like space and the play fort will stay! As a special bonus, the new, three-tier wooden deck provides 360 square feet of space! "List price may not be sufficient to pay the total of all liens & costs of sale, & sale ofProperty at full listing price may require approval of seller's lender(s). "

  20. 2001-07-16
    soldstatus $59,000
  21. 1989-12-01
    soldstatus $29,500
  22. 1985-02-01
    soldstatus $20,500
  23. 1983-07-01
    soldstatus $17,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$5,354 · $446/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$5,354 · $446/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$38,374
− Mortgage interest
−$20,440
− Property taxes
−$5,354
− Insurance
−$1,824
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,070
− Management
−$3,070
− Depreciation
−$10,615
Taxable loss
−$6,000
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,440
After-tax cash flow
$1,614/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Hillsborough
NCES district ID
1200870
Math proficiency
47% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
50% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$50,622
Composite
41.6/100
National rank
#3435
State rank
#41 of 73 in FL

Livability — Thonotosassa

Score
64/100
State rank
#673
US rank
#13914

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Thonotosassa, FL
County
Hillsborough County · 1,540,968 people
City population
12,333
Metro
Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
Population (ZIP)
12,333
Household income
$68,802
Rent vs Own
37.2% rent · 62.8% own
Severe rent burden
306.0

Population outlook (Hillsborough County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,607,022 people
By 2030
1,733,968 · +7.9%
By 2040
1,979,565 · +23.2%
By 2050
2,203,427 · +37.1%
By 2075
2,667,893 · +66.0%
By 2100
2,891,558 · +79.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
Race & ethnicity
White 62% Hispanic / Latino 16% Black 15% Two or more races 7% Asian 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 6% Puerto Rican 4% Cuban 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 3% Italian 2% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada, Jamaica, Vietnam
Languages at home
82% English-only · Spanish 12% Other Indo-European 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Hillsborough

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 47.8% · R 50.9% · Other 1.3%
2008→2024 swing
-10.2pp toward R · 2008: 7.1pp · 2024: -3.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+3.1 2020: D+6.9 2016: D+6.8 2012: D+6.7 2008: D+7.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -30.90%
Current HPI
364.3745
Rent YoY
Metro
Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+2105.3% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-26 Listed $374,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2018-08-06 Sold (Public Records) $60,000 Public Records
  • 2009-11-13 Sold (MLS) $45,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2009-04-13 Listed $49,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2001-07-16 Sold (Public Records) $59,000 Public Records
  • 1989-12-01 Sold (Public Records) $29,500 Public Records
  • 1985-02-01 Sold (Public Records) $20,500 Public Records
  • 1983-07-01 Sold (Public Records) $17,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+14.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $5,354 · +302.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…