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771 Amherst St Multi-family
C Composite 56.5
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +18.8/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +5.9/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.4/5.0
  • Schools +3.3/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$364,900

771 Amherst St · Buffalo, NY 14216
6 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,280 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 4 Days on market
Built 1919 4,690 sqft lot $160/sqft · 19% below area Est $450k · 19% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 1 unit. estimate disagrees with records

Listing remarks

Welcome to 771 Amherst Street. This spacious and turn key, North Buffalo double is ready for its new owner and has been meticulously cared for and improved. Each apartment features three generous bedrooms, renovated full bath, fully applianced eat-in kitchen, large dining and living room spaces and luxury vinyl flooring throughout. The upper apartment provides easy access to an inviting enclosed porch with multiple potential uses and a full attic for additional storage and living options. This unit was also recently renovated with brand new luxury vinyl flooring (2026), fresh neutral paint and a tastefully remodeled kitchen with corian counters, tile backsplash and stainless appliances. Cap

Key facts

  • Updated furnaces
  • Renovated full bath
  • Enclosed porch

Tags

ENCLOSED PORCHFULL ATTICRENOVATED FULL BATHUPDATED FURNACESCENTRAL AIRNEWER ELECTRICAL

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Two total units; Separate gas and electric meters for each unit; Operating expenses may include insurance, maintenance, snow removal, trash, and water/sewer
  • HOA & community: Owner pays grounds care, snow removal, trash collection, water; Rent may include common area maintenance, gardener, snow removal, trash collection, water

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage with 3 spaces; Paved parking available
  • Utilities: Public water connected; Sewer connected; Electricity connected (circuit breakers); Cable available; High-speed internet available
  • Home design: Two stories; Residential 2-unit zoning; Resale property
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Copper plumbing; Asphalt architectural shingle roof; Block foundation; Existing structure
  • Exterior features: Enclosed porch; Open porch; Patio; Private yard; Partial fencing; Fence; See remarks

Interior

  • Kitchen: Gas water heater
  • Bedrooms: Two-unit property (unit-level bedroom details not provided)
  • Flooring: Carpet; Luxury vinyl; Varies by area
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms (total)
  • Heating & cooling: Gas heating with forced air; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Natural woodwork; Thermal windows; Full basement
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 6-bed/2.0-bath multifamily listed at $365k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $366 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $318k (12.8% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $318k (12.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 77/100 on livability (#195 in NY, #3,011 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
  • Buffalo City School District (urban): math 41% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #535 of 590 in NY (top 91%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.6%/yr); 91 active listings in the ZIP; 1,244 units permitted in Erie County in 2024 (563 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $3,181/mo this rent would consume 55% of the median local household income ($70k/yr) (locally 1831% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $11k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • Current owner paid $250k; 46% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1919 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $318,100 (12.8% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1919 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.87%
Cap rate
7.50%
Cash-on-cash
4.30%
DSCR
1.19
GRM
9.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$450,150
List price
$364,900
Delta
-18.94%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
818 Amherst St 0.09mi 6/2.0 2,322 (+2%) 8mo $300,000 $129 86
81 Elmhurst Pl 0.06mi 5/2.0 (-1) 2,156 (-5%) 10mo $250,000 $116 75
263 Chandler St 0.37mi 5/2.0 (-1) 2,254 (-1%) 2mo $195,000 $87 74
202 Grote St 0.46mi 6/2.0 2,200 (-4%) 5mo $219,750 $100 68
43 Sunset St 0.73mi 6/2.0 2,271 (-0%) 1mo $165,000 $73 64
75 Saint Florian St 0.65mi 6/2.0 2,338 (+2%) 10mo $160,000 $68 58
41 Page St 0.75mi 5/2.0 (-1) 2,274 (-0%) 4mo $230,000 $101 57
49 Fairchild Pl 0.71mi 6/2.0 2,136 (-6%) 8mo $400,000 $187 50
532 Linden Ave 0.72mi 6/2.0 2,432 (+7%) 8mo $413,400 $170 49
94 Germain St 0.70mi 6/2.0 2,142 (-6%) 10mo $110,000 $51 49
20 Fairchild Pl 0.66mi 6/2.0 1,944 (-15%) 2mo $380,000 $195 43
38 Reservation St 0.50mi 5/2.0 (-1) 1,955 (-14%) 12mo $330,000 $169 38

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.65% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-9.0%
Equity multiple
0.67×
Total profit
$-33,878
Equity at exit
$54,408
10-year hold
IRR
1.2%
Equity multiple
1.08×
Total profit
$8,519
Equity at exit
$31,550

Cash invested: $102,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 14216

Rents YoY
3.6%
Active inventory
91
Price-to-rent
19.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,181 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,914
Tax from tax record
$81 /mo · $971/yr
Insurance
$152
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$668
Net cashflow
$366

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,717
Max offer price $364,900
Occupancy floor 83%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $573 -5% $470 +0% $366 +5% $263 +10% $160
Rent -10% $115 -5% $241 +0% $366 +5% $492 +10% $618
Rate -1.0pp $550 -0.5pp $459 base $366 +0.5pp $272 +1.0pp $176

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $3,181

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$91,225
Closing costs
$10,947
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 5 events

  1. 2026-05-05
    status Pending 1363-char remark
  2. 2026-05-01
    listed $364,900 Active 1363-char remark
  3. 2019-11-06
    soldstatus $250,000
  4. 2007-10-31
    soldstatus $116,000
  5. 2005-08-08
    soldstatus $82,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$971 · $81/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,569 · $297/mo
Expected delta
+$2,598/yr (+$216/mo · 267.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥91°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 9 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$38,172
− Mortgage interest
−$20,440
− Property taxes
−$971
− Insurance
−$1,824
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,054
− Management
−$3,054
− Depreciation
−$10,615
Taxable loss
−$1,786
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$429
After-tax cash flow
$4,826/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Buffalo City School District
NCES district ID
3605850
Math proficiency
41% ▲ 11.00%
Reading proficiency
40% ▲ 7.00%
Median HH income
$31,665
Composite
33.17/100
National rank
#5544
State rank
#535 of 590 in NY

Livability — Buffalo

Score
77/100
State rank
#195
US rank
#3011

Category grades

Amenities A Commute A+ Cost of living A Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Buffalo, NY
County
Erie County · 714,559 people
City population
440,021
Metro
Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
Population (ZIP)
22,849
Household income
$69,629
Rent vs Own
54.4% rent · 45.6% own
Severe rent burden
1831.0

Population outlook (Erie County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
933,037 people
By 2030
935,181 · +0.2%
By 2040
928,531 · -0.5%
By 2050
905,725 · -2.9%
By 2075
834,037 · -10.6%
By 2100
708,033 · -24.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (72%)
Race & ethnicity
White 72% Black 16% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 5% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 5%
Common ancestry
Romanian 10% Iranian 2% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada, China
Languages at home
90% English-only · Spanish 5% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Erie

2024 margin
Lean D (+9.7) · D 54.8% · R 45.2%
2008→2024 swing
-7.9pp toward R · 2008: 17.5pp · 2024: 9.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+9.7 2020: D+14.7 2016: D+4.8 2012: D+15.6 2008: D+17.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -264.53%
Current HPI
421.1138
Rent YoY
▲ 3.65%
Metro
Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+345.0% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-05 Pending WNYREIS
  • 2026-05-01 Listed $364,900 WNYREIS
  • 2019-11-06 Sold (Public Records) $250,000 Public Records
  • 2007-10-31 Sold (Public Records) $116,000 Public Records
  • 2005-08-08 Sold (Public Records) $82,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+4.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $971 · -5.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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