🔨 Auction
4019 N 8th Ave · Pensacola, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Rent growth +3.3/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Cash flow +0.8/30.0
- 1% rule +0.0/10.0
- DSCR +0.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$5,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Foreclosure Auction Ends June 12, 2026 at 12:00 PM EST. Discover this inviting 3-bedroom, 3-bathroom single-family home, offering a great opportunity in the desirable Pensacola area. The list price is the opening bid for the online auction. Sold As-is. Explore more details and submit your bid through Federa.
Key facts
- Built 1956
- Listed 5 days
Property features AI
Exterior
- Home design: Residential property
- Construction: One-story building
- Exterior features: Lot zoned R-1
Interior
- Bathrooms: 3 full bathrooms
- Interior features: One-story layout
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $5k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-3k ($-35k/yr) — negative.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $5k).
- Cap rate 1.2% vs local median 3.6% in Pensacola — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 83/100 on livability (#53 in FL, #924 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+.
- Escambia (suburban): math 40% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #56 of 73 in FL (top 77%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.4%/yr); 239 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 1,479 units permitted in Escambia County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($71k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $5k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $21k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Escambia County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 206.6% of price; built in 1956 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1956 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.34% ✗
- Cap rate
- 1.22%
- Cash-on-cash
- -18.11%
- DSCR
- 0.19
- GRM
- 24.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $688,820
- Comps found
- 8
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4140 Fern Ct | 0.38mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 3,126 (-0%) | 5mo | $462,000 | $148 | 65 |
| 212 Euclid St | 0.34mi | 4/3.5 (+1) | 2,950 (-6%) | 2mo | $520,000 | $176 | 58 |
| 1210 Durnford Pl | 0.48mi | 4/3.5 (+1) | 3,068 (-2%) | 4mo | $919,000 | $300 | 56 |
| 4150 Menendez Dr | 0.52mi | 3/3.0 | 2,813 (-10%) | 1mo | $1,260,000 | $448 | 50 |
| 3991 Raintree Dr | 0.45mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 3,011 (-4%) | 14mo | $465,000 | $154 | 48 |
| 4241 Ellison Pl | 0.61mi | 4/4.0 (+1) | 3,300 (+5%) | 6mo | $725,000 | $220 | 40 |
| 4000 Menendez Dr | 0.63mi | 4/4.0 (+1) | 3,307 (+6%) | 11mo | $1,875,000 | $567 | 35 |
| 4324 Calm Ter | 0.73mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 2,831 (-10%) | 4mo | $600,000 | $212 | 34 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.39% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -52.4%
- Equity multiple
- -0.53×
- Total profit
- $-296,017
- Equity at exit
- $102,705
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- -1.55×
- Total profit
- $-492,482
- Equity at exit
- $59,557
Cash invested: $192,870 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32503
- Rents YoY
- 3.4%
- Active inventory
- 239
- Price-to-rent
- 0.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,342 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$3,612
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$861 /mo · $10,332/yr
- Insurance
- −$287
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$492
- Net cashflow
- $-2,910
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-2,434 | -5% $-2,672 | +0% $-2,910 | +5% $-3,148 | +10% $-3,386 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-3,095 | -5% $-3,003 | +0% $-2,910 | +5% $-2,818 | +10% $-2,725 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-2,563 | -0.5pp $-2,735 | base $-2,910 | +0.5pp $-3,089 | +1.0pp $-3,270 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $172,205
- Closing costs
- $20,665
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1301 E Cross St Pensacola, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2200 | $3,900 | $1.77 | 15d | 1 | 1.27mi |
Listing history 5 events
-
2026-06-10days on market $5,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $5,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $5,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-07remarks 309-char remark
-
2026-06-07$5,000 Active 3 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $28,102
- − Mortgage interest
- −$38,585
- − Property taxes
- −$10,332
- − Insurance
- −$3,444
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,248
- − Management
- −$2,248
- − Depreciation
- −$20,038
- Taxable loss
- −$48,794
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$11,711
- After-tax cash flow
- $-23,213/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Escambia
- NCES district ID
- 1200510
- Math proficiency
- 40% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 45% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,649
- Composite
- 36.04/100
- National rank
- #4773
- State rank
- #56 of 73 in FL
Livability — Pensacola
- Score
- 83/100
- State rank
- #53
- US rank
- #924
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Pensacola, FL
- County
- Escambia County · 301,722 people
- City population
- 237,636
- Metro
- Pensacola-Ferry Pass-Brent, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 33,559
- Household income
- $71,411
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 948.0
Population outlook (Escambia County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 334,637 people
- By 2030
- 345,779 · +3.3%
- By 2040
- 364,828 · +9.0%
- By 2050
- 378,514 · +13.1%
- By 2075
- 403,220 · +20.5%
- By 2100
- 386,125 · +15.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (68%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 68% Black 20% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 5% Asian 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Italian 2% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 3% Arabic 1% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Escambia
- 2024 margin
- R (+19.5) · D 39.7% · R 59.2% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -0.2pp no change · 2008: -19.3pp · 2024: -19.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+19.5 2020: R+15.1 2016: R+20.6 2012: R+20.6 2008: R+19.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -300.02%
- Current HPI
- 294.4873
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.39%
- Metro
- Pensacola-Ferry Pass-Brent, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
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Price history
-82.7% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-04 Listed $5,000 NFMLS
- 1977-01-01 Sold (Public Records) $28,900 Public Records
Property tax history
+14.5%/yrLatest (2025): $3,648 · +230.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…