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4019 N 8th Ave 🔨 Auction
F Composite 21.89
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +4.2/5.0
  • Schools +3.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.3/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Cash flow +0.8/30.0
  • 1% rule +0.0/10.0
  • DSCR +0.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$5,000

4019 N 8th Ave · Pensacola, FL 32503
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 3,131 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 6 Days on market
Built 1956

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Foreclosure Auction Ends June 12, 2026 at 12:00 PM EST. Discover this inviting 3-bedroom, 3-bathroom single-family home, offering a great opportunity in the desirable Pensacola area. The list price is the opening bid for the online auction. Sold As-is. Explore more details and submit your bid through Federa.

Key facts

  • Built 1956
  • Listed 5 days

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Home design: Residential property
  • Construction: One-story building
  • Exterior features: Lot zoned R-1

Interior

  • Bathrooms: 3 full bathrooms
  • Interior features: One-story layout

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🔨 Auction listing. The $5,000 list price is a nominal opening bid, not a real ask — every metric below is computed on the estimated value $688,820 (ARV from comps), not the list price.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $5k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-3k ($-35k/yr) — negative.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $5k).
  • Cap rate 1.2% vs local median 3.6% in Pensacola — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 83/100 on livability (#53 in FL, #924 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+.
  • Escambia (suburban): math 40% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #56 of 73 in FL (top 77%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.4%/yr); 239 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 1,479 units permitted in Escambia County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($71k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $5k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $21k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Escambia County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 206.6% of price; built in 1956 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $5,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Built in 1956 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.34%
Cap rate
1.22%
Cash-on-cash
-18.11%
DSCR
0.19
GRM
24.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$688,820
Comps found
8
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
4140 Fern Ct 0.38mi 4/3.0 (+1) 3,126 (-0%) 5mo $462,000 $148 65
212 Euclid St 0.34mi 4/3.5 (+1) 2,950 (-6%) 2mo $520,000 $176 58
1210 Durnford Pl 0.48mi 4/3.5 (+1) 3,068 (-2%) 4mo $919,000 $300 56
4150 Menendez Dr 0.52mi 3/3.0 2,813 (-10%) 1mo $1,260,000 $448 50
3991 Raintree Dr 0.45mi 4/3.0 (+1) 3,011 (-4%) 14mo $465,000 $154 48
4241 Ellison Pl 0.61mi 4/4.0 (+1) 3,300 (+5%) 6mo $725,000 $220 40
4000 Menendez Dr 0.63mi 4/4.0 (+1) 3,307 (+6%) 11mo $1,875,000 $567 35
4324 Calm Ter 0.73mi 4/3.0 (+1) 2,831 (-10%) 4mo $600,000 $212 34

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.39% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-52.4%
Equity multiple
-0.53×
Total profit
$-296,017
Equity at exit
$102,705
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
-1.55×
Total profit
$-492,482
Equity at exit
$59,557

Cash invested: $192,870 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 32503

Rents YoY
3.4%
Active inventory
239
Price-to-rent
0.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,342 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$3,612
Tax est. 1.5%
$861 /mo · $10,332/yr
Insurance
$287
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$492
Net cashflow
$-2,910

Break-even live

Break-even rent $6,026
Max offer price $267,701
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-2,434 -5% $-2,672 +0% $-2,910 +5% $-3,148 +10% $-3,386
Rent -10% $-3,095 -5% $-3,003 +0% $-2,910 +5% $-2,818 +10% $-2,725
Rate -1.0pp $-2,563 -0.5pp $-2,735 base $-2,910 +0.5pp $-3,089 +1.0pp $-3,270

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$172,205
Closing costs
$20,665
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1301 E Cross St Pensacola, FL 3.0 2.0 2200 $3,900 $1.77 15d 1 1.27mi

Listing history 5 events

  1. 2026-06-10
    days on market $5,000 Active 6 DOM
  2. 2026-06-09
    days on market $5,000 Active 5 DOM
  3. 2026-06-08
    days on market $5,000 Active 4 DOM
  4. 2026-06-07
    remarks 309-char remark
  5. 2026-06-07
    listed $5,000 Active 3 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$28,102
− Mortgage interest
−$38,585
− Property taxes
−$10,332
− Insurance
−$3,444
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,248
− Management
−$2,248
− Depreciation
−$20,038
Taxable loss
−$48,794
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$11,711
After-tax cash flow
$-23,213/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Escambia
NCES district ID
1200510
Math proficiency
40% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
45% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$44,649
Composite
36.04/100
National rank
#4773
State rank
#56 of 73 in FL

Livability — Pensacola

Score
83/100
State rank
#53
US rank
#924

Category grades

Amenities A Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime B Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Pensacola, FL
County
Escambia County · 301,722 people
City population
237,636
Metro
Pensacola-Ferry Pass-Brent, FL
Population (ZIP)
33,559
Household income
$71,411
Rent vs Own
30.8% rent · 69.2% own
Severe rent burden
948.0

Population outlook (Escambia County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
334,637 people
By 2030
345,779 · +3.3%
By 2040
364,828 · +9.0%
By 2050
378,514 · +13.1%
By 2075
403,220 · +20.5%
By 2100
386,125 · +15.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (68%)
Race & ethnicity
White 68% Black 20% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 5% Asian 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 3% Italian 2% Romanian 2%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada, China
Languages at home
93% English-only · Spanish 3% Arabic 1% Tagalog/Filipino 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Escambia

2024 margin
R (+19.5) · D 39.7% · R 59.2% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
-0.2pp no change · 2008: -19.3pp · 2024: -19.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+19.5 2020: R+15.1 2016: R+20.6 2012: R+20.6 2008: R+19.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -300.02%
Current HPI
294.4873
Rent YoY
▲ 3.39%
Metro
Pensacola-Ferry Pass-Brent, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-82.7% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-04 Listed $5,000 NFMLS
  • 1977-01-01 Sold (Public Records) $28,900 Public Records

Property tax history

+14.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,648 · +230.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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