10 Bexhill Ct · Waldorf, MD
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $755 – $1,403
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 25.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +13.6/30.0
- ARV discount +12.8/15.0
- DSCR +4.1/10.0
- 1% rule +3.6/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$315,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Don’t let this one get away! Super Cute home tucked away on a large fenced in yard with mature landscaping at the end of a cul-de-sac. Upgraded Kitchen, freshly painted, granite countertops, stainless steel appliances - open to dining with walk out to back yard that boasts a 6’ privacy fence, attached storage, and detached shed. Larger, newly painted, primary bedroom with walk in closet Upgraded flooring and bath. Great windows and tons of great lighting throughout. HVAC is about 10 years old, heat pump is Roughly 6 years old.
Key facts
- Quiet cul-de-sac
- Large fenced yard
- 0.24 acre lot
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Fee simple ownership; Property listed in average condition; Lease not considered
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Detached property; Estimated year built
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Other foundation; Above- and below-grade structures
- Exterior features: No basement; No tidal water
Interior
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms on the main level
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom on the main level
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning (electric); Electric hot water
- Interior features: Estimated living area
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $315k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $19 ($222/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $271k (14.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $271k (14.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.4% vs local median 4.8% in Waldorf — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#141 in MD) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+, crime D-, amenities F.
- Charles County Public Schools (suburban): math 13% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #14 of 24 in MD (top 58%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 95 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,542 units permitted in Charles County in 2024 (516 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($107k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Charles County population projected at +27% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 10 sale attempts since 20y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wind risk, 25% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1976 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.86% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.36%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.25%
- DSCR
- 1.01
- GRM
- 9.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $356,776
- Comps found
- 3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Tadcaster Cir | 0.11mi | 3/1.0 | 1,132 (+2%) | 12mo | $364,000 | $322 | 81 |
| 1104 University Pl | 0.57mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,014 (-8%) | 8mo | $399,900 | $394 | 44 |
| 4076 Hamlin Ln | 0.72mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,270 (+15%) | 14mo | $385,000 | $303 | 24 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -15.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.43×
- Total profit
- $-49,856
- Equity at exit
- $46,968
- IRR
- -7.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.53×
- Total profit
- $-41,866
- Equity at exit
- $27,235
Cash invested: $88,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 27 Tenant-Leaning
- State Maryland
- 27 Tenant-Leaning · D+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 20602
- Active inventory
- 95
- Price-to-rent
- 9.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,709 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,652
- Tax from tax record
- −$338 /mo · $4,062/yr
- Insurance
- −$131
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$569
- Net cashflow
- $19
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $197 | -5% $108 | +0% $19 | +5% $-71 | +10% $-160 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-195 | -5% $-88 | +0% $19 | +5% $126 | +10% $233 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $177 | -0.5pp $99 | base $19 | +0.5pp $-63 | +1.0pp $-146 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $78,750
- Closing costs
- $9,450
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 6 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1001 Tyler Ct Waldorf, MD | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1315 | $2,600 | $1.98 | 23d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 1015 Copperfield Ct Waldorf, MD | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1380 | $2,600 | $1.88 | 23d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 1718 Brightwell Ct Waldorf, MD | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1056 | $2,195 | $2.08 | 23d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 5066 Oyster Reef Pl Waldorf, MD | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1380 | $2,695 | $1.95 | 13d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 4503 Ruston Pl Unit 43M Waldorf, MD | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1076 | $2,300 | $2.14 | 12d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 4703 Rookewood Pl Unit 28K Waldorf, MD | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1350 | $2,500 | $1.85 | 44d | 1 | 1.11mi |
Listing history 36 events
-
2026-06-02statusdays on market $315,000 Pending 10 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $315,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $315,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-05-23$315,000 Active
-
2023-10-20historical $2,345
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2023-10-01$2,345
-
2021-11-23soldstatus $300,000
-
2021-10-08soldstatus $300,000 Closed 544-char remark
Show marketing remark (544 chars)
Don’t let this one get away! Super Cute home tucked away on a large fenced in yard with mature landscaping at the end of a cul-de-sac. Upgraded Kitchen, freshly painted, granite countertops, stainless steel appliances - open to dining with walk out to back yard that boasts a 6’ privacy fence, attached storage, and detached shed. Larger, newly painted, primary bedroom with walk in closet Upgraded flooring and bath. Great windows and tons of great lighting throughout. HVAC is about 10 years old, heat pump is Roughly 6 years old.
-
2021-09-14status Pending 544-char remark
Show marketing remark (544 chars)
Don’t let this one get away! Super Cute home tucked away on a large fenced in yard with mature landscaping at the end of a cul-de-sac. Upgraded Kitchen, freshly painted, granite countertops, stainless steel appliances - open to dining with walk out to back yard that boasts a 6’ privacy fence, attached storage, and detached shed. Larger, newly painted, primary bedroom with walk in closet Upgraded flooring and bath. Great windows and tons of great lighting throughout. HVAC is about 10 years old, heat pump is Roughly 6 years old.
-
2021-09-03historical Active Under Contract 544-char remark
Show marketing remark (544 chars)
Don’t let this one get away! Super Cute home tucked away on a large fenced in yard with mature landscaping at the end of a cul-de-sac. Upgraded Kitchen, freshly painted, granite countertops, stainless steel appliances - open to dining with walk out to back yard that boasts a 6’ privacy fence, attached storage, and detached shed. Larger, newly painted, primary bedroom with walk in closet Upgraded flooring and bath. Great windows and tons of great lighting throughout. HVAC is about 10 years old, heat pump is Roughly 6 years old.
-
2021-08-25$295,000 Active 544-char remark
Show marketing remark (544 chars)
Don’t let this one get away! Super Cute home tucked away on a large fenced in yard with mature landscaping at the end of a cul-de-sac. Upgraded Kitchen, freshly painted, granite countertops, stainless steel appliances - open to dining with walk out to back yard that boasts a 6’ privacy fence, attached storage, and detached shed. Larger, newly painted, primary bedroom with walk in closet Upgraded flooring and bath. Great windows and tons of great lighting throughout. HVAC is about 10 years old, heat pump is Roughly 6 years old.
-
2020-08-31soldstatus $245,000
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2020-08-25soldstatus $245,000 Closed 376-char remark
Show marketing remark (376 chars)
Beautiful move in ready one level home located within minutes to shopping, restaurants, recreation, and more. Located on a cul-de-sac . It has a very large fenced in back yard, complete with big shed, deck and stone firepit. Beautiful bay window in the living room allowing abundant sunshine to shine through. New flooring. Well maintained home with lots of storage. Must see!
-
2020-07-28status Pending 376-char remark
Show marketing remark (376 chars)
Beautiful move in ready one level home located within minutes to shopping, restaurants, recreation, and more. Located on a cul-de-sac . It has a very large fenced in back yard, complete with big shed, deck and stone firepit. Beautiful bay window in the living room allowing abundant sunshine to shine through. New flooring. Well maintained home with lots of storage. Must see!
-
2020-06-25status Active Under Contract 376-char remark
Show marketing remark (376 chars)
Beautiful move in ready one level home located within minutes to shopping, restaurants, recreation, and more. Located on a cul-de-sac . It has a very large fenced in back yard, complete with big shed, deck and stone firepit. Beautiful bay window in the living room allowing abundant sunshine to shine through. New flooring. Well maintained home with lots of storage. Must see!
-
2020-06-23historical 376-char remark
Show marketing remark (376 chars)
Beautiful move in ready one level home located within minutes to shopping, restaurants, recreation, and more. Located on a cul-de-sac . It has a very large fenced in back yard, complete with big shed, deck and stone firepit. Beautiful bay window in the living room allowing abundant sunshine to shine through. New flooring. Well maintained home with lots of storage. Must see!
-
2020-06-22$234,900 Active 376-char remark
Show marketing remark (376 chars)
Beautiful move in ready one level home located within minutes to shopping, restaurants, recreation, and more. Located on a cul-de-sac . It has a very large fenced in back yard, complete with big shed, deck and stone firepit. Beautiful bay window in the living room allowing abundant sunshine to shine through. New flooring. Well maintained home with lots of storage. Must see!
-
2016-09-30soldstatus $177,000
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2016-09-02historical
-
2016-08-31soldstatus $177,000
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2016-08-31soldstatus $177,000 Sold
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2016-06-28status Contract
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2016-05-09historical Contingent (Kick Out)
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2016-05-07status Contract
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2016-04-22$177,000 Active
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2016-04-22$177,000
-
2015-12-01historical
-
2015-06-04status Contingent (No Kick Out)
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2015-06-04historical Expired
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2015-05-21Active
-
2015-05-21$162,900
-
2006-10-13soldstatus $270,000
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2006-09-18soldstatus $270,000
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2006-08-27historical
-
2006-05-31soldstatus $190,000
-
2006-04-21$269,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MD · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $4,062 · $338/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,062 · $338/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 5/10 Major 25% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $32,509
- − Mortgage interest
- −$17,645
- − Property taxes
- −$4,062
- − Insurance
- −$1,575
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,601
- − Management
- −$2,601
- − Depreciation
- −$9,164
- Taxable loss
- −$5,138
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,233
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,456/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Charles County Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2400270
- Math proficiency
- 13% ▼ -19.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 29% ▼ -13.00%
- Median HH income
- $90,389
- Composite
- 22.54/100
- National rank
- #8087
- State rank
- #14 of 24 in MD
Livability — Waldorf
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #141
- US rank
- #6083
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Waldorf, MD
- County
- Charles County · 103,527 people
- City population
- 103,527
- Metro
- Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, DC-VA-MD-WV
- Population (ZIP)
- 28,331
- Household income
- $107,360
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 867.0
Population outlook (Charles County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 176,616 people
- By 2030
- 186,471 · +5.6%
- By 2040
- 206,472 · +16.9%
- By 2050
- 224,883 · +27.3%
- By 2075
- 272,101 · +54.1%
- By 2100
- 303,564 · +71.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 62% White 19% Two or more races 11% Hispanic / Latino 9% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 1% Iranian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 11% · Canada, South Korea, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 88% English-only · Spanish 6% Other Indo-European 1% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Charles
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+40.7) · D 69.2% · R 28.5% · Other 2.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +15.2pp toward D · 2008: 25.5pp · 2024: 40.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+40.7 2020: D+40.9 2016: D+30.2 2012: D+31.3 2008: D+25.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -261.39%
- Current HPI
- 267.3445
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, DC-VA-MD-WV
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.97%
- F500 in state
- 12
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MD)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 1 | $71B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
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| Hotels | 1 | $24B |
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $7B |
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| Real Estate | 1 | $6B |
|
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| Chemicals | 1 | $2B |
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Price history
+16.7% since first listed33 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-23 Listed $315,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2023-10-20 Rental Removed $2,345 RENTLY
- 2023-10-01 Listed for Rent $2,345 RENTLY
- 2021-11-23 Sold (Public Records) $300,000 Public Records
- 2021-10-08 Sold (MLS) $300,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2021-09-14 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2021-09-03 Contingent — BRIGHT MLS
- 2021-08-25 Listed $295,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2020-08-31 Sold (Public Records) $245,000 Public Records
- 2020-08-25 Sold (MLS) $245,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2020-07-28 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2020-06-25 Relisted — BRIGHT MLS
- 2020-06-23 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2020-06-22 Listed $234,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2016-09-30 Sold (Public Records) $177,000 Public Records
- 2016-09-02 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2016-08-31 Sold (MLS) $177,000 MRIS
- 2016-08-31 Sold (MLS) $177,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2016-06-28 Pending — MRIS
- 2016-05-09 Contingent — MRIS
- 2016-05-07 Pending — MRIS
- 2016-04-22 Listed $177,000 MRIS
- 2016-04-22 Listed $177,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2015-12-01 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2015-06-04 Pending — MRIS
- 2015-06-04 Delisted — MRIS
- 2015-05-21 Listed — MRIS
- 2015-05-21 Listed $162,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2006-10-13 Sold (Public Records) $270,000 Public Records
- 2006-09-18 Sold (MLS) $270,000 MRIS
- 2006-08-27 Delisted — MRIS
- 2006-05-31 Sold (Public Records) $190,000 Public Records
- 2006-04-21 Listed $269,900 MRIS
Property tax history
+4.5%/yrLatest (2025): $4,062 · +3.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…