37 Carruth Rd · Arcade, GA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 16.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +14.7/30.0
- DSCR +4.5/10.0
- Rent growth +4.4/5.0
- Schools +3.3/10.0
- 1% rule +3.2/10.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$224,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to 37 Carruth Road, Jefferson, GA 30549 - a spacious property in a prime location with endless possibilities. On a generous 1.37-acre lot, this home offers room to grow, play, and create your dream space. While the house needs some TLC, its solid bones and desirable setting make it a worthwhile investment for the right buyer. Whether you're a renovator, investor, or someone with vision, this property is ready for transformation. Possible financing options may be available with a substantial down payment - ask for details.
Key facts
- 1.37 acre lot
- Built 1985
- Listed 212 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $225k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $57 ($690/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $184k (18.2% below list).
- Recommended offer: $184k (18.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.6% vs local median 2.3% in Arcade — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 60/100 on livability (#366 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B+; Watch: employment C-, schools F, amenities F.
- Jackson County (rural): math 38% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #50 of 174 in GA (top 29%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.5%/yr); 570 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 2,167 units permitted in Jackson County in 2024 (59 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Jackson County population projected at +14% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 213 days — a 12% lower offer ($198k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 7 sale attempts since 21y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $25k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 213 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 18% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.82% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.60%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.10%
- DSCR
- 1.05
- GRM
- 10.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $288,164
- List price
- $224,900
- Delta
- -21.95%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 15 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 940 Swann Rd | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 | 1,152 (+3%) | 20mo | $270,000 | $234 | 39 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 7.48% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -10.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.62×
- Total profit
- $-24,187
- Equity at exit
- $33,533
- IRR
- 4.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.36×
- Total profit
- $22,374
- Equity at exit
- $19,445
Cash invested: $62,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 30549
- Home prices YoY
- -13.1%
- Rents YoY
- 7.5%
- Active inventory
- 570
- Price-to-rent
- 10.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,839 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,179
- Tax from tax record
- −$122 /mo · $1,468/yr
- Insurance
- −$94
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$386
- Net cashflow
- $57
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $56,225
- Closing costs
- $6,747
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 45 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $224,900 Active 213 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $224,900 Active 212 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $224,900 Active 211 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $224,900 Active 210 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $224,900 Active 209 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $224,900 Active 207 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $224,900 Active 206 DOM
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2026-06-10days on market $224,900 Active 204 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $224,900 Active 203 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $224,900 Active 202 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $224,900 Active 201 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $224,900 Active 196 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $224,900 Active 195 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $224,900 Active 194 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $224,900 Active 193 DOM
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2026-05-13price $224,900 535-char remark
Show marketing remark (535 chars)
Welcome to 37 Carruth Road, Jefferson, GA 30549 - a spacious property in a prime location with endless possibilities. On a generous 1.37-acre lot, this home offers room to grow, play, and create your dream space. While the house needs some TLC, its solid bones and desirable setting make it a worthwhile investment for the right buyer. Whether you're a renovator, investor, or someone with vision, this property is ready for transformation. Possible financing options may be available with a substantial down payment - ask for details.
-
2026-03-23price $234,900 535-char remark
Show marketing remark (535 chars)
Welcome to 37 Carruth Road, Jefferson, GA 30549 - a spacious property in a prime location with endless possibilities. On a generous 1.37-acre lot, this home offers room to grow, play, and create your dream space. While the house needs some TLC, its solid bones and desirable setting make it a worthwhile investment for the right buyer. Whether you're a renovator, investor, or someone with vision, this property is ready for transformation. Possible financing options may be available with a substantial down payment - ask for details.
-
2026-01-20price $239,900 535-char remark
Show marketing remark (535 chars)
Welcome to 37 Carruth Road, Jefferson, GA 30549 - a spacious property in a prime location with endless possibilities. On a generous 1.37-acre lot, this home offers room to grow, play, and create your dream space. While the house needs some TLC, its solid bones and desirable setting make it a worthwhile investment for the right buyer. Whether you're a renovator, investor, or someone with vision, this property is ready for transformation. Possible financing options may be available with a substantial down payment - ask for details.
-
2025-12-26price $244,900 535-char remark
Show marketing remark (535 chars)
Welcome to 37 Carruth Road, Jefferson, GA 30549 - a spacious property in a prime location with endless possibilities. On a generous 1.37-acre lot, this home offers room to grow, play, and create your dream space. While the house needs some TLC, its solid bones and desirable setting make it a worthwhile investment for the right buyer. Whether you're a renovator, investor, or someone with vision, this property is ready for transformation. Possible financing options may be available with a substantial down payment - ask for details.
-
2025-11-17$249,900 New 535-char remark
Show marketing remark (535 chars)
Welcome to 37 Carruth Road, Jefferson, GA 30549 - a spacious property in a prime location with endless possibilities. On a generous 1.37-acre lot, this home offers room to grow, play, and create your dream space. While the house needs some TLC, its solid bones and desirable setting make it a worthwhile investment for the right buyer. Whether you're a renovator, investor, or someone with vision, this property is ready for transformation. Possible financing options may be available with a substantial down payment - ask for details.
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2025-11-11historical
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2025-10-03$245,000 New
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2025-10-03historical
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2025-10-02historical
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2025-09-29price $245,000
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2025-09-29price $245,000
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2025-08-12price $250,000
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2025-08-12price $250,000
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2025-08-05price $285,000
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2025-08-05price $285,000
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2025-07-30$310,000 Active
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2025-07-26price $310,000
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2025-07-25price $310,000
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2025-07-25historical
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2025-07-24$31,000 New
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2024-10-30soldstatus $200,000
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2024-09-26soldstatus $98,500
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2023-09-22historical
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2023-09-18status Back On Market
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2023-02-07status Under Contract
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2022-12-27$127,900 New
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2006-10-30soldstatus $62,000
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2005-04-28soldstatus $40,000
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2005-04-21soldstatus $40,000
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2005-01-20$45,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,468 · $122/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,069 · $172/mo
- Expected delta
- +$601/yr (+$50/mo · 40.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 16% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,070
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,598
- − Property taxes
- −$1,468
- − Insurance
- −$1,124
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,766
- − Management
- −$1,766
- − Depreciation
- −$6,543
- Taxable loss
- −$3,194
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$767
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,457/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Jackson County
- NCES district ID
- 1302940
- Math proficiency
- 38% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 37% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $56,773
- Composite
- 33.08/100
- National rank
- #5566
- State rank
- #50 of 174 in GA
Livability — Arcade
- Score
- 60/100
- State rank
- #366
- US rank
- #18719
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Arcade, GA
- County
- Jackson County · 50,436 people
- Metro
- Jefferson, GA
- Population (ZIP)
- 32,075
- Household income
- $96,195
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 354.0
Population outlook (Jackson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 68,403 people
- By 2030
- 70,771 · +3.5%
- By 2040
- 75,050 · +9.7%
- By 2050
- 78,022 · +14.1%
- By 2075
- 82,646 · +20.8%
- By 2100
- 80,701 · +18.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (79%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 79% Black 9% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 5% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 3% Slovak 3% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 4% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Jackson
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+55.1) · D 22.2% · R 77.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +0.8pp no change · 2008: -55.9pp · 2024: -55.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+55.1 2020: R+58.0 2016: R+63.9 2012: R+62.9 2008: R+55.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -49.79%
- Current HPI
- 330.992
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 7.48%
- Metro
- Jefferson, GA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $160B |
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
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| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
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Price history
+399.8% since first listed30 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-13 Price Changed $224,900 GAMLS
- 2026-03-23 Price Changed $234,900 GAMLS
- 2026-01-20 Price Changed $239,900 GAMLS
- 2025-12-26 Price Changed $244,900 GAMLS
- 2025-11-17 Listed $249,900 GAMLS
- 2025-11-11 Listing Removed — GAMLS
- 2025-10-03 Listing Removed — GAMLS
- 2025-10-03 Listed $245,000 GAMLS
- 2025-10-02 Listing Removed — FMLS
- 2025-09-29 Price Changed $245,000 GAMLS
- 2025-09-29 Price Changed $245,000 FMLS
- 2025-08-12 Price Changed $250,000 FMLS
- 2025-08-12 Price Changed $250,000 GAMLS
- 2025-08-05 Price Changed $285,000 GAMLS
- 2025-08-05 Price Changed $285,000 FMLS
- 2025-07-30 Listed $310,000 FMLS
- 2025-07-26 Price Changed $310,000 GAMLS
- 2025-07-25 Price Changed $310,000 FMLS
- 2025-07-25 Coming Soon — FMLS
- 2025-07-24 Listed $31,000 GAMLS
- 2024-10-30 Sold (Public Records) $200,000 Public Records
- 2024-09-26 Sold (Public Records) $98,500 Public Records
- 2023-09-22 Listing Removed — GAMLS
- 2023-09-18 Relisted — GAMLS
- 2023-02-07 Pending — GAMLS
- 2022-12-27 Listed $127,900 GAMLS
- 2006-10-30 Sold (Public Records) $62,000 Public Records
- 2005-04-28 Sold (Public Records) $40,000 Public Records
- 2005-04-21 Sold (MLS) $40,000 Hive MLS
- 2005-01-20 Listed $45,000 Hive MLS
Property tax history
+4.1%/yrLatest (2025): $1,468 · +0.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…