35 Hickory Rdg #35 · Richfield, MI
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.1/10.0
- Condition / age +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$86,700
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
* THIS IS A RESALE LISTING * You'll love living in this 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom home within a wonderful family-friendly community. Check out the awesome amenities your community has to offer such as a fitness center, scenic views, a clubhouse, and more! This home won't be on the market long, so call us today for more information or to schedule a tour. Deposits & Fees are subject to change.
Key facts
- Picnic area
- Fitness center
- Modern bathroom
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $87k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $465 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $87k).
- Recommended offer: $81k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Davison Community Schools (suburban): math 40% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #117 of 540 in MI (top 22%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 221 active listings in the ZIP; 419 units permitted in Genesee County in 2024 (68 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $599 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Genesee County population projected at -27% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 77 days — a 6% lower offer ($81k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $8k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 77 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.55% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.72%
- Cash-on-cash
- 22.96%
- DSCR
- 2.02
- GRM
- 5.4
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 15.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.64×
- Total profit
- $15,560
- Equity at exit
- $12,927
- IRR
- 24.6%
- Equity multiple
- 3.13×
- Total profit
- $51,732
- Equity at exit
- $7,496
Cash invested: $24,276 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48423
- Active inventory
- 221
- Price-to-rent
- 5.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,346 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$455
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$108 /mo · $1,300/yr
- Insurance
- −$36
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$283
- Net cashflow
- $465
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $524 | -5% $495 | +0% $465 | +5% $435 | +10% $405 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $358 | -5% $411 | +0% $465 | +5% $518 | +10% $571 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $508 | -0.5pp $487 | base $465 | +0.5pp $442 | +1.0pp $419 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $21,675
- Closing costs
- $2,601
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 25 events
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2026-06-18days on market $86,700 Active 77 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $86,700 Active 76 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $86,700 Active 75 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $86,700 Active 74 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $86,700 Active 72 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $86,700 Active 71 DOM
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2026-06-10days on market $86,700 Active 69 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $86,700 Active 68 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $86,700 Active 67 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $86,700 Active 66 DOM
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2026-06-05days on market $86,700 Active 63 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $86,700 Active 61 DOM
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2026-06-01pricedays on market $86,700 Active 60 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $86,200 Active 59 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $86,200 Active 58 DOM
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2026-04-08status Active 399-char remark
Show marketing remark (399 chars)
* THIS IS A RESALE LISTING * You'll love living in this 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom home within a wonderful family-friendly community. Check out the awesome amenities your community has to offer such as a fitness center, scenic views, a clubhouse, and more! This home won't be on the market long, so call us today for more information or to schedule a tour. Deposits & Fees are subject to change.
-
2026-04-08price $86,200 399-char remark
Show marketing remark (399 chars)
* THIS IS A RESALE LISTING * You'll love living in this 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom home within a wonderful family-friendly community. Check out the awesome amenities your community has to offer such as a fitness center, scenic views, a clubhouse, and more! This home won't be on the market long, so call us today for more information or to schedule a tour. Deposits & Fees are subject to change.
-
2024-05-21historical 399-char remark
Show marketing remark (399 chars)
* THIS IS A RESALE LISTING * You'll love living in this 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom home within a wonderful family-friendly community. Check out the awesome amenities your community has to offer such as a fitness center, scenic views, a clubhouse, and more! This home won't be on the market long, so call us today for more information or to schedule a tour. Deposits & Fees are subject to change.
-
2024-05-21status Active 399-char remark
Show marketing remark (399 chars)
* THIS IS A RESALE LISTING * You'll love living in this 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom home within a wonderful family-friendly community. Check out the awesome amenities your community has to offer such as a fitness center, scenic views, a clubhouse, and more! This home won't be on the market long, so call us today for more information or to schedule a tour. Deposits & Fees are subject to change.
-
2024-05-21historical 399-char remark
Show marketing remark (399 chars)
* THIS IS A RESALE LISTING * You'll love living in this 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom home within a wonderful family-friendly community. Check out the awesome amenities your community has to offer such as a fitness center, scenic views, a clubhouse, and more! This home won't be on the market long, so call us today for more information or to schedule a tour. Deposits & Fees are subject to change.
-
2024-05-20status Active 399-char remark
Show marketing remark (399 chars)
* THIS IS A RESALE LISTING * You'll love living in this 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom home within a wonderful family-friendly community. Check out the awesome amenities your community has to offer such as a fitness center, scenic views, a clubhouse, and more! This home won't be on the market long, so call us today for more information or to schedule a tour. Deposits & Fees are subject to change.
-
2024-05-20historical 399-char remark
Show marketing remark (399 chars)
* THIS IS A RESALE LISTING * You'll love living in this 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom home within a wonderful family-friendly community. Check out the awesome amenities your community has to offer such as a fitness center, scenic views, a clubhouse, and more! This home won't be on the market long, so call us today for more information or to schedule a tour. Deposits & Fees are subject to change.
-
2024-05-14status Active 399-char remark
Show marketing remark (399 chars)
* THIS IS A RESALE LISTING * You'll love living in this 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom home within a wonderful family-friendly community. Check out the awesome amenities your community has to offer such as a fitness center, scenic views, a clubhouse, and more! This home won't be on the market long, so call us today for more information or to schedule a tour. Deposits & Fees are subject to change.
-
2024-05-14historical 399-char remark
Show marketing remark (399 chars)
* THIS IS A RESALE LISTING * You'll love living in this 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom home within a wonderful family-friendly community. Check out the awesome amenities your community has to offer such as a fitness center, scenic views, a clubhouse, and more! This home won't be on the market long, so call us today for more information or to schedule a tour. Deposits & Fees are subject to change.
-
2024-05-14$94,400 Active 399-char remark
Show marketing remark (399 chars)
* THIS IS A RESALE LISTING * You'll love living in this 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom home within a wonderful family-friendly community. Check out the awesome amenities your community has to offer such as a fitness center, scenic views, a clubhouse, and more! This home won't be on the market long, so call us today for more information or to schedule a tour. Deposits & Fees are subject to change.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,158
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,857
- − Property taxes
- −$1,300
- − Insurance
- −$434
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,293
- − Management
- −$1,293
- − Depreciation
- −$2,522
- Taxable income
- $4,460
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,070
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,504/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 1 photo
This mobile home is in good condition with minimal maintenance required. It's a great opportunity for a buyer looking for a move-in-ready property in a family-friendly community.
Value-add opportunities
- Resale Paint exterior — Fresh paint can enhance the home's curb appeal and make it more attractive to potential buyers.
- Rental Clean gutters — Clean gutters improve the home's appearance and reduce the risk of water damage, which is important for renters.
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Resale Paint exterior — Fresh paint can enhance the home's curb appeal and make it more attractive to potential buyers. ↑
- Rental Clean gutters — Clean gutters improve the home's appearance and reduce the risk of water damage, which is important for renters. ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Davison Community Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2611430
- Math proficiency
- 40% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 57% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,102
- Composite
- 41.39/100
- National rank
- #3479
- State rank
- #117 of 540 in MI
Livability — Richfield
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- County
- Genesee County · 221,329 people
- Metro
- Flint, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 33,757
- Household income
- $65,079
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1394.0
Population outlook (Genesee County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 381,312 people
- By 2030
- 362,731 · -4.9%
- By 2040
- 321,550 · -15.7%
- By 2050
- 279,212 · -26.8%
- By 2075
- 193,336 · -49.3%
- By 2100
- 128,118 · -66.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (90%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 90% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 4% Black 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 10% Lithuanian 4% Italian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Genesee
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 51.4% · R 47.2% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -28.3pp toward R · 2008: 32.5pp · 2024: 4.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+4.2 2020: D+9.3 2016: D+9.5 2012: D+28.2 2008: D+32.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -226.14%
- Current HPI
- 228.684
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Flint, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
-8.7% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-08 Relisted — Zillow
- 2026-04-08 Price Changed $86,200 Zillow
- 2024-05-21 Delisted — Zillow
- 2024-05-21 Relisted — Zillow
- 2024-05-21 Delisted — Zillow
- 2024-05-20 Relisted — Zillow
- 2024-05-20 Delisted — Zillow
- 2024-05-14 Relisted — Zillow
- 2024-05-14 Delisted — Zillow
- 2024-05-14 Listed $94,400 Zillow
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…