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35 Hickory Rdg #35
B Composite 70.39
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +4.1/10.0
  • Condition / age +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$86,700

35 Hickory Rdg #35 · Richfield, MI 48423
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,344 sqft · Manufactured · 77 Days on market
Built 2024 Good condition ↓ 9% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

* THIS IS A RESALE LISTING * You'll love living in this 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom home within a wonderful family-friendly community. Check out the awesome amenities your community has to offer such as a fitness center, scenic views, a clubhouse, and more! This home won't be on the market long, so call us today for more information or to schedule a tour. Deposits & Fees are subject to change.

Key facts

  • Picnic area
  • Fitness center
  • Modern bathroom

Tags

PREMIUM ENTRY DOORSMODERN BATHROOMBRAND NAME APPLIANCESPICNIC AREAFITNESS CENTERCOMMUNITY EVENTS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $87k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $465 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $87k).
  • Recommended offer: $81k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Davison Community Schools (suburban): math 40% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #117 of 540 in MI (top 22%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 221 active listings in the ZIP; 419 units permitted in Genesee County in 2024 (68 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $599 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Genesee County population projected at -27% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 77 days — a 6% lower offer ($81k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $8k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Recommended offer $81,498 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 77 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.55%
Cap rate
12.72%
Cash-on-cash
22.96%
DSCR
2.02
GRM
5.4

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
15.9%
Equity multiple
1.64×
Total profit
$15,560
Equity at exit
$12,927
10-year hold
IRR
24.6%
Equity multiple
3.13×
Total profit
$51,732
Equity at exit
$7,496

Cash invested: $24,276 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48423

Active inventory
221
Price-to-rent
5.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,346 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$455
Tax est. 1.5%
$108 /mo · $1,300/yr
Insurance
$36
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$283
Net cashflow
$465

Break-even live

Break-even rent $758
Max offer price $86,700
Occupancy floor 60%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $524 -5% $495 +0% $465 +5% $435 +10% $405
Rent -10% $358 -5% $411 +0% $465 +5% $518 +10% $571
Rate -1.0pp $508 -0.5pp $487 base $465 +0.5pp $442 +1.0pp $419

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$21,675
Closing costs
$2,601
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 25 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $86,700 Active 77 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $86,700 Active 76 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $86,700 Active 75 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $86,700 Active 74 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $86,700 Active 72 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $86,700 Active 71 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $86,700 Active 69 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $86,700 Active 68 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $86,700 Active 67 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $86,700 Active 66 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $86,700 Active 63 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $86,700 Active 61 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    pricedays on market $86,700 Active 60 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $86,200 Active 59 DOM
  15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $86,200 Active 58 DOM
  16. 2026-04-08
    status Active 399-char remark
    Show marketing remark (399 chars)

    * THIS IS A RESALE LISTING * You'll love living in this 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom home within a wonderful family-friendly community. Check out the awesome amenities your community has to offer such as a fitness center, scenic views, a clubhouse, and more! This home won't be on the market long, so call us today for more information or to schedule a tour. Deposits & Fees are subject to change.

  17. 2026-04-08
    price $86,200 399-char remark
    Show marketing remark (399 chars)

    * THIS IS A RESALE LISTING * You'll love living in this 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom home within a wonderful family-friendly community. Check out the awesome amenities your community has to offer such as a fitness center, scenic views, a clubhouse, and more! This home won't be on the market long, so call us today for more information or to schedule a tour. Deposits & Fees are subject to change.

  18. 2024-05-21
    historical 399-char remark
    Show marketing remark (399 chars)

    * THIS IS A RESALE LISTING * You'll love living in this 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom home within a wonderful family-friendly community. Check out the awesome amenities your community has to offer such as a fitness center, scenic views, a clubhouse, and more! This home won't be on the market long, so call us today for more information or to schedule a tour. Deposits & Fees are subject to change.

  19. 2024-05-21
    status Active 399-char remark
    Show marketing remark (399 chars)

    * THIS IS A RESALE LISTING * You'll love living in this 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom home within a wonderful family-friendly community. Check out the awesome amenities your community has to offer such as a fitness center, scenic views, a clubhouse, and more! This home won't be on the market long, so call us today for more information or to schedule a tour. Deposits & Fees are subject to change.

  20. 2024-05-21
    historical 399-char remark
    Show marketing remark (399 chars)

    * THIS IS A RESALE LISTING * You'll love living in this 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom home within a wonderful family-friendly community. Check out the awesome amenities your community has to offer such as a fitness center, scenic views, a clubhouse, and more! This home won't be on the market long, so call us today for more information or to schedule a tour. Deposits & Fees are subject to change.

  21. 2024-05-20
    status Active 399-char remark
    Show marketing remark (399 chars)

    * THIS IS A RESALE LISTING * You'll love living in this 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom home within a wonderful family-friendly community. Check out the awesome amenities your community has to offer such as a fitness center, scenic views, a clubhouse, and more! This home won't be on the market long, so call us today for more information or to schedule a tour. Deposits & Fees are subject to change.

  22. 2024-05-20
    historical 399-char remark
    Show marketing remark (399 chars)

    * THIS IS A RESALE LISTING * You'll love living in this 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom home within a wonderful family-friendly community. Check out the awesome amenities your community has to offer such as a fitness center, scenic views, a clubhouse, and more! This home won't be on the market long, so call us today for more information or to schedule a tour. Deposits & Fees are subject to change.

  23. 2024-05-14
    status Active 399-char remark
    Show marketing remark (399 chars)

    * THIS IS A RESALE LISTING * You'll love living in this 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom home within a wonderful family-friendly community. Check out the awesome amenities your community has to offer such as a fitness center, scenic views, a clubhouse, and more! This home won't be on the market long, so call us today for more information or to schedule a tour. Deposits & Fees are subject to change.

  24. 2024-05-14
    historical 399-char remark
    Show marketing remark (399 chars)

    * THIS IS A RESALE LISTING * You'll love living in this 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom home within a wonderful family-friendly community. Check out the awesome amenities your community has to offer such as a fitness center, scenic views, a clubhouse, and more! This home won't be on the market long, so call us today for more information or to schedule a tour. Deposits & Fees are subject to change.

  25. 2024-05-14
    listed $94,400 Active 399-char remark
    Show marketing remark (399 chars)

    * THIS IS A RESALE LISTING * You'll love living in this 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom home within a wonderful family-friendly community. Check out the awesome amenities your community has to offer such as a fitness center, scenic views, a clubhouse, and more! This home won't be on the market long, so call us today for more information or to schedule a tour. Deposits & Fees are subject to change.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,158
− Mortgage interest
−$4,857
− Property taxes
−$1,300
− Insurance
−$434
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,293
− Management
−$1,293
− Depreciation
−$2,522
Taxable income
$4,460
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,070
After-tax cash flow
$4,504/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 1 photo

Good 75/100 Cosmetic rehab

This mobile home is in good condition with minimal maintenance required. It's a great opportunity for a buyer looking for a move-in-ready property in a family-friendly community.

Value-add opportunities

  • Resale Paint exterior — Fresh paint can enhance the home's curb appeal and make it more attractive to potential buyers.
  • Rental Clean gutters — Clean gutters improve the home's appearance and reduce the risk of water damage, which is important for renters.

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Resale Paint exterior — Fresh paint can enhance the home's curb appeal and make it more attractive to potential buyers.
  • Rental Clean gutters — Clean gutters improve the home's appearance and reduce the risk of water damage, which is important for renters.

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Davison Community Schools
NCES district ID
2611430
Math proficiency
40% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
57% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$49,102
Composite
41.39/100
National rank
#3479
State rank
#117 of 540 in MI

Livability — Richfield

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

County
Genesee County · 221,329 people
Metro
Flint, MI
Population (ZIP)
33,757
Household income
$65,079
Rent vs Own
34.8% rent · 65.2% own
Severe rent burden
1394.0

Population outlook (Genesee County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
381,312 people
By 2030
362,731 · -4.9%
By 2040
321,550 · -15.7%
By 2050
279,212 · -26.8%
By 2075
193,336 · -49.3%
By 2100
128,118 · -66.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (90%)
Race & ethnicity
White 90% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 4% Black 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 10% Lithuanian 4% Italian 3%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Genesee

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 51.4% · R 47.2% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-28.3pp toward R · 2008: 32.5pp · 2024: 4.2pp
All cycles
2024: D+4.2 2020: D+9.3 2016: D+9.5 2012: D+28.2 2008: D+32.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -226.14%
Current HPI
228.684
Rent YoY
Metro
Flint, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-8.7% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-08 Relisted Zillow
  • 2026-04-08 Price Changed $86,200 Zillow
  • 2024-05-21 Delisted Zillow
  • 2024-05-21 Relisted Zillow
  • 2024-05-21 Delisted Zillow
  • 2024-05-20 Relisted Zillow
  • 2024-05-20 Delisted Zillow
  • 2024-05-14 Relisted Zillow
  • 2024-05-14 Delisted Zillow
  • 2024-05-14 Listed $94,400 Zillow

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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