🏗️ New Construction
Ludlow Plan · Bryan, TX
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- —
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
- —
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- —
Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- —
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Cash flow +3.9/30.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Schools +2.6/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +0.2/10.0
- DSCR +0.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$1
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
The Ludlow plan, featuring 3 bedrooms, 2.5 bathrooms, an office and a massive 2nd level bonus room! This home is overflowing with storage with a built in mud room, under the stairs closet & a huge primary bedroom closet! Upon entering you immediately feel a sense of home in our open concept plan that is great for entertaining & relaxing. Near the entry is an office/flex room. A great area for a playroom, home office, game room, anything your family needs! The Ludlow kitchen is fitted with a massive island with ample prepping space, stainless steel appliances, large pantry, beautiful tile backsplash & granite or quartz countertops. If you are a chef, this is the kitchen for you! The main level also features the primary bedroom that is your go-to space to wind down after a long day. It has a very private entry & is secluded from the rest of the house. Attached is the spacious en suite bath with double vanities & a spa like oversized walk in shower with intricate tile details from top to bottom! You will also find direct access to your dream closet & a private toilet room. We spared no detail in the making of this gorgeous home. Heading upstairs you find a massive open bonus room great for movie/game nights, video gaming, home schooling & more! The shared bathroom upstairs has double vanities & a private area for the shower & toilet, great for sharing! This home has everything you need!
Key facts
- Built in mud room
- Open concept plan
- Massive island
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $1. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-1k ($-17k/yr) — negative.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $1).
- Cap rate 2.9% vs local median 4.0% in Bryan — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#99 in TX, #3,341 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime C-, amenities C-, employment D+.
- Bryan ISD (urban): math 30% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #608 of 826 in TX (top 74%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Sam Houston El (math 57% / reading 57%, grade C+, #505 of 4,322 statewide, top 13%, 457 students, 38% FRL); Sam Rayburn (math 42% / reading 34%, grade F, #717 of 1,662 statewide, top 44%, 1,173 students, 74% FRL); Travis B Bryan H S (math 22% / reading 34%, grade F, #1,170 of 1,632 statewide, top 72%, 2,419 students, 67% FRL).
- Market conditions: 372 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 2,211 units permitted in Brazos County in 2024 (768 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $15k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Brazos County population projected at +55% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 423 days — a 12% lower offer ($0) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 750139.4% of price.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 423 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 5% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.52% ✗
- Cap rate
- 2.91%
- Cash-on-cash
- -12.10%
- DSCR
- 0.46
- GRM
- 15.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $500,093
- List price
- $1
- Delta
- -100.00%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3568 Chantilly Path | 0.28mi | 3/2.5 | 2,139 (-6%) | 10mo | $545,000 | $255 | 70 |
| 3509 Castine Ct | 0.23mi | 3/2.0 | 2,052 (-10%) | 8mo | $480,000 | $234 | 65 |
| 3516 Chantilly Path | 0.14mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 2,469 (+9%) | 9mo | $475,000 | $192 | 64 |
| 4663 River Rock Dr | 0.62mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 2,478 (+9%) | 3mo | $499,500 | $202 | 48 |
| 3305 Durant Ct | 0.50mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 2,467 (+9%) | 10mo | $799,000 | $324 | 47 |
| 3217 Arundala Way | 0.73mi | 3/3.0 | 2,117 (-7%) | 14mo | $439,500 | $208 | 41 |
| 3448 Lockett Hall Cir | 0.62mi | 4/3.5 (+1) | 2,581 (+14%) | 3mo | $495,000 | $192 | 36 |
| 3320 Lewisburg Ct | 0.66mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 2,427 (+7%) | 18mo | $475,000 | $196 | 36 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -38.6%
- Equity multiple
- -0.22×
- Total profit
- $-170,887
- Equity at exit
- $74,565
- IRR
- -58.6%
- Equity multiple
- -0.89×
- Total profit
- $-264,349
- Equity at exit
- $43,239
Cash invested: $140,026 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 77808
- Home prices YoY
- -30.4%
- Active inventory
- 372
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,620 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,623
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$625 /mo · $7,501/yr
- Insurance
- −$208
- HOA
- −$25
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$550
- Net cashflow
- $-1,412
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-1,066 | -5% $-1,239 | +0% $-1,412 | +5% $-1,584 | +10% $-1,757 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-1,619 | -5% $-1,515 | +0% $-1,412 | +5% $-1,308 | +10% $-1,205 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-1,160 | -0.5pp $-1,284 | base $-1,412 | +0.5pp $-1,541 | +1.0pp $-1,673 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $125,023
- Closing costs
- $15,003
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 6 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3024 Teller Dr Bryan, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1979 | $2,600 | $1.31 | 22d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 2915 Bombay Ct Bryan, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2085 | $2,900 | $1.39 | 15d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 3019 Wolfpack Loop Bryan, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1906 | $2,750 | $1.44 | 22d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 3508 Broad Oak Cir Bryan, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1745 | $2,400 | $1.38 | 45d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 5041 Mooney Falls Dr Bryan, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1814 | $2,400 | $1.32 | 45d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 5040 Mooney Falls Dr Unit 1328058P Bryan, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1840 | $5,551 | $3.02 | 15d | 1 | 1.48mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $25 · $300/yr
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $1 Active 423 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $1 Active 420 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $1 Active 419 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $1 Active 418 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $1 Active 417 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $1 Active 415 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $1 Active 414 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $1 Active 412 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $1 Active 411 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $1 Active 410 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $1 Active 409 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $1 Active 405 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $1 Active 404 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $1 Active 403 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $1 Active 402 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $1 Active 401 DOM
-
2025-04-24$1 Active 1460-char remark
Show marketing remark (1460 chars)
The Ludlow plan, featuring 3 bedrooms, 2.5 bathrooms, an office and a massive 2nd level bonus room! This home is overflowing with storage with a built in mud room, under the stairs closet & a huge primary bedroom closet! Upon entering you immediately feel a sense of home in our open concept plan that is great for entertaining & relaxing. Near the entry is an office/flex room. A great area for a playroom, home office, game room, anything your family needs! The Ludlow kitchen is fitted with a massive island with ample prepping space, stainless steel appliances, large pantry, beautiful tile backsplash & granite or quartz countertops. If you are a chef, this is the kitchen for you! The main level also features the primary bedroom that is your go-to space to wind down after a long day. It has a very private entry & is secluded from the rest of the house. Attached is the spacious en suite bath with double vanities & a spa like oversized walk in shower with intricate tile details from top to bottom! You will also find direct access to your dream closet & a private toilet room. We spared no detail in the making of this gorgeous home. Heading upstairs you find a massive open bonus room great for movie/game nights, video gaming, home schooling & more! The shared bathroom upstairs has double vanities & a private area for the shower & toilet, great for sharing! This home has everything you need!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $31,434
- − Mortgage interest
- −$28,013
- − Property taxes
- −$7,501
- − Insurance
- −$2,500
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,515
- − Management
- −$2,515
- − HOA
- −$300
- − Depreciation
- −$14,548
- Taxable loss
- −$26,458
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$6,350
- After-tax cash flow
- $-10,589/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 30 photos
This home is in excellent condition with modern finishes and a well-maintained exterior. It's move-in ready and would benefit from a fresh coat of paint and some minor updates to the kitchen and smart home integration.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
- Resale Replace kitchen faucet — Modern faucet improves kitchen functionality and appearance
- Both Install smart home devices — Enhances home's appeal and convenience
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Painting exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics ↑
- Resale Replace kitchen faucet — Modern faucet improves kitchen functionality and appearance ↑
- Both Install smart home devices — Enhances home's appeal and convenience ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Bryan ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4811790
- Math proficiency
- 30% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 32% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,895
- Composite
- 26.26/100
- National rank
- #7253
- State rank
- #608 of 826 in TX
Livability — Bryan
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #99
- US rank
- #3341
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Bryan, TX
- County
- Brazos County · 233,400 people
- City population
- 101,772
- Metro
- College Station-Bryan, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 15,797
- Household income
- $113,343
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 110.0
Population outlook (Brazos County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 267,942 people
- By 2030
- 296,630 · +10.7%
- By 2040
- 354,560 · +32.3%
- By 2050
- 414,616 · +54.7%
- By 2075
- 562,158 · +109.8%
- By 2100
- 678,828 · +153.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (68%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 68% Hispanic / Latino 23% Two or more races 6% Black 4% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 20% Cuban 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 4% Romanian 3% Slovak 3%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 88% English-only · Spanish 11% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Brazos
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+24.9) · D 36.9% · R 61.7% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +4.1pp toward D · 2008: -28.9pp · 2024: -24.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+24.9 2020: R+14.3 2016: R+23.7 2012: R+35.3 2008: R+28.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -94.49%
- Current HPI
- 216.65
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- College Station-Bryan, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
|
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Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…