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3 Pearl St Duplex
B+ Composite 78.07
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +29.5/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.7/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +4.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$235,000

3 Pearl St · Kerhonkson, NY 12446
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,942 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 75 Days on market
Built 1910 0.27 ac lot $121/sqft · 64% below area

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks MLS

Fully rented!! This two-family property offers separate utilities, with tenants responsible for their own electric, heat, and hot water-making it an ideal income-producing opportunity. The home does require some TLC, but with the right vision and updates, it can truly shine. Being sold as is, this property is perfectly suited for investors/buyers looking to add value. Conveniently located--this is a great buy you won't want to miss!

Key facts

  • 0.27 acre lot
  • Built 1910
  • Listed 74 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $235k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $843 ($10k/yr) — positive. Per door: $421/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $235k).
  • Recommended offer: $221k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 68/100 on livability (#552 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, crime A-; Watch: amenities F, health & safety D-.
  • Rondout Valley Central School District (rural): math 39% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #447 of 590 in NY (top 76%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Kerhonkson Elementary School (math 15% / reading 54%, grade F, #1,574 of 2,108 statewide, top 75%, 209 students, 54% FRL); Rondout Valley Junior High School (math 27% / reading 42%, grade F, #483 of 729 statewide, top 68%, 243 students, 42% FRL); Rondout Valley High School (math 87% / reading 64%, grade A-, #623 of 1,100 statewide, top 57%, 569 students, 41% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 68 active listings in the ZIP; 464 units permitted in Ulster County in 2024 (170 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $25k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $24k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Ulster County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $66k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$40k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 75 days — a 6% lower offer ($221k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 12 sale attempts since 14y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $82k; list at $235k implies a 188% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 8→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $220,900 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 75 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  4. Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.37%
Cap rate
10.60%
Cash-on-cash
15.37%
DSCR
1.68
GRM
6.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$643,975
List price
$235,000
Delta
-63.51%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
2 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
35.7%
Equity multiple
3.76×
Total profit
$181,768
Equity at exit
$211,707
10-year hold
IRR
30.7%
Equity multiple
8.50×
Total profit
$493,246
Equity at exit
$456,553

Cash invested: $65,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 12446

Home prices YoY
8.7%
Active inventory
68
Price-to-rent
12.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,218 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,232
Tax from tax record
$369 /mo · $4,428/yr
Insurance
$98
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$676
Net cashflow
$843

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,151
Max offer price $235,000
Occupancy floor 69%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $976 -5% $909 +0% $843 +5% $776 +10% $710
Rent -10% $589 -5% $716 +0% $843 +5% $970 +10% $1,097
Rate -1.0pp $961 -0.5pp $903 base $843 +0.5pp $782 +1.0pp $720

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $3,218

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$58,750
Closing costs
$7,050
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 36 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $235,000 Active 75 DOM
  2. 2026-06-19
    days on market $235,000 Active 73 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $235,000 Active 72 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $235,000 Active 71 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $235,000 Active 70 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $235,000 Active 69 DOM
  7. 2026-06-14
    days on market $235,000 Active 67 DOM
  8. 2026-06-12
    days on market $235,000 Active 66 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $235,000 Active 63 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $235,000 Active 62 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $235,000 Active 61 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $235,000 Active 57 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $235,000 Active 56 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $235,000 Active 55 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $235,000 Active 54 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $235,000 Active 53 DOM
  17. 2026-04-07
    listed $250,000 Active 436-char remark
    Show marketing remark (436 chars)

    Fully rented!! This two-family property offers separate utilities, with tenants responsible for their own electric, heat, and hot water-making it an ideal income-producing opportunity. The home does require some TLC, but with the right vision and updates, it can truly shine. Being sold as is, this property is perfectly suited for investors/buyers looking to add value. Conveniently located--this is a great buy you won't want to miss!

  18. 2018-11-01
    soldstatus $81,600 534-char remark
    Show marketing remark (534 chars)

    CALLING ALL INVESTORS!! This fully occupied, 2 family home, is the perfect income property. First floor apartment has 3 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms and is currently being rented for $875/month. Access to side, fenced in yard from apartment. Second floor apartment has 3 bedrooms and 1 bathroom, and is rented for $925/month. Both apartments share the front porch and parking lot (fits 6 cars). There are separate electric meters. House is on corner lot on quiet street in Kerhonkson. Additional Information: HeatingFuel:Oil Above Ground,

  19. 2018-04-15
    listed $99,000
    Show marketing remark (534 chars)

    CALLING ALL INVESTORS!! This fully occupied, 2 family home, is the perfect income property. First floor apartment has 3 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms and is currently being rented for $875/month. Access to side, fenced in yard from apartment. Second floor apartment has 3 bedrooms and 1 bathroom, and is rented for $925/month. Both apartments share the front porch and parking lot (fits 6 cars). There are separate electric meters. House is on corner lot on quiet street in Kerhonkson. Additional Information: HeatingFuel:Oil Above Ground,

  20. 2018-04-15
    listed $99,000 534-char remark
    Show marketing remark (534 chars)

    CALLING ALL INVESTORS!! This fully occupied, 2 family home, is the perfect income property. First floor apartment has 3 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms and is currently being rented for $875/month. Access to side, fenced in yard from apartment. Second floor apartment has 3 bedrooms and 1 bathroom, and is rented for $925/month. Both apartments share the front porch and parking lot (fits 6 cars). There are separate electric meters. House is on corner lot on quiet street in Kerhonkson. Additional Information: HeatingFuel:Oil Above Ground,

  21. 2018-02-28
    historical
  22. 2017-08-28
    listed $99,000
  23. 2017-08-28
    listed $99,000
  24. 2017-06-21
    historical
  25. 2016-12-21
    listed $99,000
  26. 2016-12-21
    listed $99,000
  27. 2016-11-03
    historical
  28. 2015-04-13
    listed $118,900
  29. 2015-04-06
    listed $108,900
  30. 2013-10-18
    listed $124,900
  31. 2013-04-11
    listed $129,900
  32. 2013-03-18
    historical
  33. 2012-09-04
    listed $107,000
  34. 2003-12-08
    soldstatus $130,000
  35. 1999-10-06
    soldstatus $55,000
  36. 1984-09-25
    soldstatus $25,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$4,428 · $369/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,428 · $369/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 27% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 8 d/yr ≥92°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 9% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$38,616
− Mortgage interest
−$13,164
− Property taxes
−$4,428
− Insurance
−$1,175
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,089
− Management
−$3,089
− Depreciation
−$6,836
Taxable income
$6,834
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,640
After-tax cash flow
$8,475/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Rondout Valley Central School District
NCES district ID
3624960
Math proficiency
39% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
51% ▲ 5.00%
Median HH income
$59,408
Composite
39.5/100
National rank
#3949
State rank
#447 of 590 in NY

Livability — Kerhonkson

Score
68/100
State rank
#552
US rank
#9921

Category grades

Amenities F Commute C Cost of living B- Crime A- Employment B- Housing A+ Health & safety D- User ratings D

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Kerhonkson, NY
City population
5,232
Population (ZIP)
5,232

Population outlook (Ulster County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
175,887 people
By 2030
171,876 · -2.3%
By 2040
161,771 · -8.0%
By 2050
151,470 · -13.9%
By 2075
133,023 · -24.4%
By 2100
113,504 · -35.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (80%)
Race & ethnicity
White 80% Hispanic / Latino 13% Two or more races 11% Black 2% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 4% Cuban 3%
Common ancestry
Iranian 8% Romanian 6% Italian 3%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
88% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 4% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Ulster

2024 margin
D (+18.7) · D 59.3% · R 40.7%
2008→2024 swing
-4.9pp toward R · 2008: 23.6pp · 2024: 18.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+18.7 2020: D+20.9 2016: D+9.1 2012: D+21.9 2008: D+23.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 30.32%
Current HPI
380.6732
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+900.0% since first listed
20 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-07 Listed $250,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2018-11-01 Sold (MLS) $81,600 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2018-04-15 Listed $99,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2018-04-15 Listed $99,000 HVCRMLS
  • 2018-02-28 Listing Removed OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2017-08-28 Listed $99,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2017-08-28 Listed $99,000 HVCRMLS
  • 2017-06-21 Listing Removed OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2016-12-21 Listed $99,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2016-12-21 Listed $99,000 HVCRMLS
  • 2016-11-03 Listing Removed OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2015-04-13 Listed $118,900 HVCRMLS
  • 2015-04-06 Listed $108,900 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2013-10-18 Listed $124,900 HVCRMLS
  • 2013-04-11 Listed $129,900 HVCRMLS
  • 2013-03-18 Listing Removed OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2012-09-04 Listed $107,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2003-12-08 Sold (Public Records) $130,000 Public Records
  • 1999-10-06 Sold (Public Records) $55,000 Public Records
  • 1984-09-25 Sold (Public Records) $25,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+2.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $4,428 · +5.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…