3701 Fillmore St #122 · Riverside, CA
Flood risk 3/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.12%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 7/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 102°F)
- 6 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 9/10 · Severe
- Unhealthy air days now
- 19 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.5/10.0
- ARV discount +8.3/15.0
- Rent growth +3.6/5.0
- Schools +3.4/10.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$180,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Location, Location, Location. This property is close to everything shopping centers, restaurants, & Mexican markets. Close to Fwys 91, and 15, this complex, that has no age restrictions, rarely go on the market. This property has 4 good size bedrooms and 2 bathrooms. Open floor plan with newer flooring and fixtures throughout. Central air and heat. Great covered parking area, and a shed. Lots of pride of ownership is visible throughout the property. It is move in ready and turn key. Complex has a pool and clubhouse, pick nick area.
Key facts
- Community pool
- Built 2003
- Listed 24 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Located on a lot zoned approximately 0–1 unit per acre
- Financial info: Land lease amount $2,000 per month; Special assessments noted
- HOA & community: Land lease community with monthly land lease
Exterior
- Parking: Located in Rancho Riverside park
- Utilities: Public sewer; District/public water
- Home design: Single-story mobile home; Mobile home remains on site
- Construction: Mobile home 60' x 24'; Property recorded as one story; Year built reported by builder
- Exterior features: Community pool; Street lighting
Interior
- Bedrooms: All bedrooms are on the first floor
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (furnace); Central air conditioning
- Interior features: All bedrooms located on the main level; One-story layout; entry on main level
- Laundry & utility: Laundry in a dedicated room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $180k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $992 ($12k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $180k).
- Recommended offer: $177k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 12.9% vs local median 3.0% in Riverside — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#337 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, employment A-, commute B+; Watch: schools C-, health & safety D, crime F.
- Alvord Unified (urban): math 28% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #852 of 1,400 in CA (top 61%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 63% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.5%/yr); 63 active listings in the ZIP; 32 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 9,195 units permitted in Riverside County in 2024 (1,512 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($85k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Riverside County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.5% rent growth), your $50k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 24 days — a 2% lower offer ($177k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $95k; list at $180k implies a 89% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 6→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.45% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.90%
- Cash-on-cash
- 23.61%
- DSCR
- 2.05
- GRM
- 5.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $183,447
- List price
- $180,000
- Delta
- -1.88%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 2 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3701 Fillmore St #32 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,254 (-7%) | 2mo | $160,000 | $128 | 83 |
| 3701 Fillmore St #71 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,512 (+12%) | 7mo | $210,000 | $139 | 68 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.47% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 18.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.75×
- Total profit
- $37,858
- Equity at exit
- $26,839
- IRR
- 27.6%
- Equity multiple
- 3.59×
- Total profit
- $130,634
- Equity at exit
- $15,563
Cash invested: $50,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 92505
- Rents YoY
- 4.5%
- Active inventory
- 63
- Price-to-rent
- 5.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,615 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$944
- Tax from tax record
- −$55 /mo · $666/yr
- Insurance
- −$75
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$549
- Net cashflow
- $992
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $45,000
- Closing costs
- $5,400
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 32 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11207 Magnolia Ave Riverside, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $2,250 | $1.88 | 24d | 1 | 0.15mi |
| 11520 Magnolia Ave Riverside, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 851 | $2,634 | $3.09 | 2d | 7 | 0.26mi |
| 3900 Fir Tree Dr Riverside, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 789 | $2,695 | $3.42 | 2d | 6 | 0.28mi |
| 11282 Price Ct Riverside, CA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1646 | $3,095 | $1.88 | 43d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 3850 Skofstad St Riverside, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 880 | $2,135 | $2.43 | 24d | 2 | 0.47mi |
| 3957 Pierce St Riverside, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 845 | $2,795 | $3.31 | 1d | 31 | 0.68mi |
| 4259 Redstar Ct Riverside, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1178 | $3,000 | $2.55 | 20d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 4259 Redstar Ct Riverside, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1178 | $3,000 | $2.55 | 14d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 4259 Redstar Ct Riverside, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1178 | $3,000 | $2.55 | 5d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 4259 Redstar Ct Riverside, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1178 | $3,000 | $2.55 | 24d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 3411 Grande Vista Pkwy Riverside, CA | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 982 | $2,885 | $2.94 | 2d | 10 | 0.70mi |
| 11249 Heathrow Dr Riverside, CA | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1421 | $2,895 | $2.04 | 2d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 3874 Polk St Unit F Riverside, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1211 | $2,700 | $2.23 | 14d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 3944 Polk St Unit B Riverside, CA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1481 | $3,000 | $2.03 | 4d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 11309 Rasmussen Ct Riverside, CA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1535 | $3,225 | $2.10 | 17d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 3984 Polk St Unit C Riverside, CA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1394 | $2,795 | $2.01 | 19d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 10743 Cass St Riverside, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1228 | $2,400 | $1.95 | 1d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 11711 Collett Ave Riverside, CA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1018 | $3,229 | $3.17 | 1d | 21 | 0.96mi |
| 11377 Brookglen Ct Riverside, CA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1532 | $3,400 | $2.22 | 24d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 10601 Diana Ave Riverside, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 964 | $1,275 | $1.32 | 2d | 3 | 1.05mi |
| 11331 River Trail Ct Riverside, CA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1532 | $3,200 | $2.09 | 43d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 3572 Banbury Dr Riverside, CA | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 949 | $2,212 | $2.33 | 5d | 4 | 1.09mi |
| 3516 Banbury Dr Riverside, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 846 | $2,250 | $2.66 | 14d | 7 | 1.13mi |
| 4655 Sierra Vista Ave Riverside, CA | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1043 | $2,536 | $2.43 | 2d | 11 | 1.16mi |
| 4408 Ambs Dr Riverside, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1470 | $3,040 | $2.07 | 43d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 10566 Hole Ave Riverside, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 925 | $2,238 | $2.42 | 5d | 14 | 1.22mi |
| 4725 Sierra Vista Ave Riverside, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 785 | $2,882 | $3.67 | 3d | 10 | 1.27mi |
| 4635 Mitchell Ave Riverside, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 925 | $2,417 | $2.61 | 43d | 2 | 1.29mi |
| 4564 Jones Ave Riverside, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 988 | $2,150 | $2.18 | 1d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 4848 Doane Ave Unit Back House Riverside, CA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $2,295 | $2.29 | 24d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 3262 Winnebago Ln Riverside, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1732 | $3,400 | $1.96 | 43d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 2930 Via Milano Outside Area (Inside Ca), CA | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1007 | $2,500 | $2.48 | 43d | 1 | 1.47mi |
Listing history 13 events
-
2026-06-08days on market $180,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $180,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $180,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $180,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $180,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $180,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $180,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-05-15$180,000 Active 516-char remark
-
2020-10-02soldstatus $95,000 Closed Sale 543-char remark
Show marketing remark (543 chars)
Location, Location, Location. This property is close to everything shopping centers, restaurants, & Mexican markets. Close to Fwys 91, and 15, this complex, that has no age restrictions, rarely go on the market. This property has 4 good size bedrooms and 2 bathrooms. Open floor plan with newer flooring and fixtures throughout. Central air and heat. Great covered parking area, and a shed. Lots of pride of ownership is visible throughout the property. It is move in ready and turn key. Complex has a pool and clubhouse, pick nick area.
-
2020-08-06status Pending Sale 543-char remark
Show marketing remark (543 chars)
Location, Location, Location. This property is close to everything shopping centers, restaurants, & Mexican markets. Close to Fwys 91, and 15, this complex, that has no age restrictions, rarely go on the market. This property has 4 good size bedrooms and 2 bathrooms. Open floor plan with newer flooring and fixtures throughout. Central air and heat. Great covered parking area, and a shed. Lots of pride of ownership is visible throughout the property. It is move in ready and turn key. Complex has a pool and clubhouse, pick nick area.
-
2020-07-08status Active 543-char remark
Show marketing remark (543 chars)
Location, Location, Location. This property is close to everything shopping centers, restaurants, & Mexican markets. Close to Fwys 91, and 15, this complex, that has no age restrictions, rarely go on the market. This property has 4 good size bedrooms and 2 bathrooms. Open floor plan with newer flooring and fixtures throughout. Central air and heat. Great covered parking area, and a shed. Lots of pride of ownership is visible throughout the property. It is move in ready and turn key. Complex has a pool and clubhouse, pick nick area.
-
2020-06-20historical Active Under Contract 543-char remark
Show marketing remark (543 chars)
Location, Location, Location. This property is close to everything shopping centers, restaurants, & Mexican markets. Close to Fwys 91, and 15, this complex, that has no age restrictions, rarely go on the market. This property has 4 good size bedrooms and 2 bathrooms. Open floor plan with newer flooring and fixtures throughout. Central air and heat. Great covered parking area, and a shed. Lots of pride of ownership is visible throughout the property. It is move in ready and turn key. Complex has a pool and clubhouse, pick nick area.
-
2020-06-01$99,999 Active 543-char remark
Show marketing remark (543 chars)
Location, Location, Location. This property is close to everything shopping centers, restaurants, & Mexican markets. Close to Fwys 91, and 15, this complex, that has no age restrictions, rarely go on the market. This property has 4 good size bedrooms and 2 bathrooms. Open floor plan with newer flooring and fixtures throughout. Central air and heat. Great covered parking area, and a shed. Lots of pride of ownership is visible throughout the property. It is move in ready and turn key. Complex has a pool and clubhouse, pick nick area.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $666 · $55/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,368 · $114/mo
- Expected delta
- +$702/yr (+$59/mo · 105.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 12% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 7/10 Severe
- Heat 7/10 Severe 6 d/yr ≥102°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 9/10 Extreme 19 unhealthy d/yr today · 23 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $31,385
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,083
- − Property taxes
- −$666
- − Insurance
- −$900
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,511
- − Management
- −$2,511
- − Depreciation
- −$5,236
- Taxable income
- $9,478
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,275
- After-tax cash flow
- $9,626/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Alvord Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0602430
- Math proficiency
- 28% ▲ 1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 42% ▲ 2.00%
- Median HH income
- $58,965
- Composite
- 33.81/100
- National rank
- #10383
- State rank
- #852 of 1400 in CA
Livability — Riverside
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #337
- US rank
- #11613
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Riverside, CA
- County
- Riverside County · 2,287,001 people
- City population
- 367,890
- Metro
- Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 53,419
- Household income
- $84,906
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1940.0
Population outlook (Riverside County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,664,475 people
- By 2030
- 2,802,692 · +5.2%
- By 2040
- 3,050,904 · +14.5%
- By 2050
- 3,256,783 · +22.2%
- By 2075
- 3,655,058 · +37.2%
- By 2100
- 3,766,594 · +41.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 60% White 20% Two or more races 17% Asian 10% Black 6% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 53%
- Common ancestry
- Scandinavian 1% Lithuanian 1% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 29% · Canada, Vietnam, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 40% English-only · Spanish 47% Other Indo-European 4% Vietnamese 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Riverside
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 48.0% · R 49.3% · Other 2.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.6pp toward R · 2008: 2.3pp · 2024: -1.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+1.3 2020: D+8.0 2016: D+4.3 2012: R+0.4 2008: D+2.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -379.14%
- Current HPI
- 405.3408
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.47%
- Metro
- Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
|
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| Retail | 3 | $44B |
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| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
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| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
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Price history
+80.0% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-15 Listed $180,000 CRMLS
- 2020-10-02 Sold (MLS) $95,000 CRMLS
- 2020-08-06 Pending — CRMLS
- 2020-07-08 Relisted — CRMLS
- 2020-06-20 Contingent — CRMLS
- 2020-06-01 Listed $99,999 CRMLS
Property tax history
-2.9%/yrLatest (2025): $666 · +3.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…