4384 Auto Rd · Falling Spring, WV
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $787 – $1,461
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 95°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.6/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +6.7/10.0
- DSCR +4.8/10.0
- 1% rule +3.6/10.0
- Livability +2.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.5/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$112,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Great opportunity to buy this 1.5 story cottage style fixer upper located near Renick, WV and coming with 2 parcels of land totaling . 239 acre (50x130 and 30x130). The interior has 1533 sq. ft. with 3 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms.
Key facts
- 0.24 acre lot
- Built 2001
- Listed 9 days
Property features AI
Exterior
- Utilities: Well water; Septic tank sewer
- Home design: Single-family residential property
- Construction: Frame construction
- Exterior features: Metal roof; Lot dimensions approximately 30 x 30 x 130 x 130
Interior
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Electric, forced air and oil heating
- Interior features: Five total rooms; No basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $112k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $48 ($576/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $97k (13.8% below list).
- Recommended offer: $97k (13.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 56/100 on livability (#266 in WV) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
- Greenbrier County Schools (town): math 24% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #31 of 55 in WV (top 56%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Frankford Elementary (math 37% / reading 47%, grade F, #87 of 377 statewide, top 28%, 214 students, 0% FRL); Eastern Greenbrier Middle School (math 14% / reading 36%, grade F, #81 of 109 statewide, top 76%, 732 students, 0% FRL); Greenbrier West High School (math 17% / reading 37%, grade F, #79 of 110 statewide, top 78%, 404 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 49% district-wide (49 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: 16 active listings in the ZIP; 74 units permitted in Greenbrier County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $5k of equity ($774 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (3.4% local appreciation)).
- Greenbrier County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (3.4% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.86% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.81%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.84%
- DSCR
- 1.08
- GRM
- 9.7
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
3.36% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 10.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.60×
- Total profit
- $18,660
- Equity at exit
- $52,628
- IRR
- 12.3%
- Equity multiple
- 2.90×
- Total profit
- $59,525
- Equity at exit
- $82,914
Cash invested: $31,360 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State West Virginia
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+22
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 24966
- Home prices YoY
- 1.9%
- Active inventory
- 16
- Price-to-rent
- 9.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $965 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$587
- Tax from tax record
- −$80 /mo · $966/yr
- Insurance
- −$47
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$203
- Net cashflow
- $48
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $111 | -5% $80 | +0% $48 | +5% $16 | +10% $-15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-28 | -5% $10 | +0% $48 | +5% $86 | +10% $124 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $104 | -0.5pp $77 | base $48 | +0.5pp $19 | +1.0pp $-11 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $28,000
- Closing costs
- $3,360
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 10 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $112,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $112,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $112,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $112,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-17price $112,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $117,800 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $117,800 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $117,800 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-12remarks 227-char remark
-
2026-06-12$117,800 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast WV · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $966 · $80/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $966 · $80/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,582
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,274
- − Property taxes
- −$966
- − Insurance
- −$560
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$927
- − Management
- −$927
- − Depreciation
- −$3,258
- Taxable loss
- −$1,329
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$319
- After-tax cash flow
- $895/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Greenbrier County Schools
- NCES district ID
- 5400390
- Math proficiency
- 24% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 37% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $37,088
- Composite
- 25.34/100
- National rank
- #7477
- State rank
- #31 of 55 in WV
Livability — Falling Spring
- Score
- 56/100
- State rank
- #266
- US rank
- #22482
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 1,127
Population outlook (Greenbrier County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 35,394 people
- By 2030
- 35,182 · -0.6%
- By 2040
- 34,241 · -3.3%
- By 2050
- 32,882 · -7.1%
- By 2075
- 29,435 · -16.8%
- By 2100
- 24,473 · -30.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (100%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 100%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 11% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Greenbrier
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+42.1) · D 28.0% · R 70.1% · Other 1.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -29.9pp toward R · 2008: -12.3pp · 2024: -42.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+42.1 2020: R+39.6 2016: R+41.2 2012: R+24.8 2008: R+12.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 3.36%
- Current HPI
- 179.2082
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
-30.1% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-12 Listed $117,800 KVBOR
- 2025-08-07 Pending — KVBOR
- 2025-06-26 Price Changed $124,000 KVBOR
- 2025-05-23 Price Changed $130,500 KVBOR
- 2025-04-25 Price Changed $137,300 KVBOR
- 2025-03-18 Price Changed $144,500 KVBOR
- 2025-02-19 Price Changed $152,100 KVBOR
- 2025-01-16 Price Changed $160,100 KVBOR
- 2024-12-05 Listed $168,434 KVBOR
Property tax history
+7.8%/yrLatest (2025): $966 · +105.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…