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4384 Auto Rd
D+ Composite 48.59
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.6/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +6.7/10.0
  • DSCR +4.8/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.6/10.0
  • Livability +2.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.5/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$112,000

4384 Auto Rd · Falling Spring, WV 24966
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,037 sqft · Other public records · 9 Days on market
Built 2001 10,398 sqft lot ↓ 30% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Great opportunity to buy this 1.5 story cottage style fixer upper located near Renick, WV and coming with 2 parcels of land totaling . 239 acre (50x130 and 30x130). The interior has 1533 sq. ft. with 3 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms.

Key facts

  • 0.24 acre lot
  • Built 2001
  • Listed 9 days

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Utilities: Well water; Septic tank sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residential property
  • Construction: Frame construction
  • Exterior features: Metal roof; Lot dimensions approximately 30 x 30 x 130 x 130

Interior

  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Electric, forced air and oil heating
  • Interior features: Five total rooms; No basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $112k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $48 ($576/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $97k (13.8% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $97k (13.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 56/100 on livability (#266 in WV) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
  • Greenbrier County Schools (town): math 24% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #31 of 55 in WV (top 56%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Frankford Elementary (math 37% / reading 47%, grade F, #87 of 377 statewide, top 28%, 214 students, 0% FRL); Eastern Greenbrier Middle School (math 14% / reading 36%, grade F, #81 of 109 statewide, top 76%, 732 students, 0% FRL); Greenbrier West High School (math 17% / reading 37%, grade F, #79 of 110 statewide, top 78%, 404 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 49% district-wide (49 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: 16 active listings in the ZIP; 74 units permitted in Greenbrier County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $5k of equity ($774 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (3.4% local appreciation)).
  • Greenbrier County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (3.4% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $96,517 (13.8% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  3. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.86%
Cap rate
6.81%
Cash-on-cash
1.84%
DSCR
1.08
GRM
9.7

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

3.36% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
10.2%
Equity multiple
1.60×
Total profit
$18,660
Equity at exit
$52,628
10-year hold
IRR
12.3%
Equity multiple
2.90×
Total profit
$59,525
Equity at exit
$82,914

Cash invested: $31,360 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State West Virginia
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+22
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Landlord-favorable; preempted; minimal protections.

ZIP-level market 24966

Home prices YoY
1.9%
Active inventory
16
Price-to-rent
9.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$965 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$587
Tax from tax record
$80 /mo · $966/yr
Insurance
$47
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$203
Net cashflow
$48

Break-even live

Break-even rent $904
Max offer price $112,000
Occupancy floor 90%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $111 -5% $80 +0% $48 +5% $16 +10% $-15
Rent -10% $-28 -5% $10 +0% $48 +5% $86 +10% $124
Rate -1.0pp $104 -0.5pp $77 base $48 +0.5pp $19 +1.0pp $-11

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$28,000
Closing costs
$3,360
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 10 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $112,000 Active 9 DOM
  2. 2026-06-21
    days on market $112,000 Active 8 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $112,000 Active 6 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $112,000 Active 5 DOM
  5. 2026-06-17
    price $112,000 Active 4 DOM
  6. 2026-06-16
    days on market $117,800 Active 4 DOM
  7. 2026-06-15
    days on market $117,800 Active 3 DOM
  8. 2026-06-15
    days on market $117,800 Active 2 DOM
  9. 2026-06-12
    remarks 227-char remark
  10. 2026-06-12
    listed $117,800 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast WV · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$966 · $80/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$966 · $80/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$11,582
− Mortgage interest
−$6,274
− Property taxes
−$966
− Insurance
−$560
− Repairs & maintenance
−$927
− Management
−$927
− Depreciation
−$3,258
Taxable loss
−$1,329
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$319
After-tax cash flow
$895/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Greenbrier County Schools
NCES district ID
5400390
Math proficiency
24% ▼ -14.00%
Reading proficiency
37% ▼ -10.00%
Median HH income
$37,088
Composite
25.34/100
National rank
#7477
State rank
#31 of 55 in WV

Livability — Falling Spring

Score
56/100
State rank
#266
US rank
#22482

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
1,127

Population outlook (Greenbrier County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
35,394 people
By 2030
35,182 · -0.6%
By 2040
34,241 · -3.3%
By 2050
32,882 · -7.1%
By 2075
29,435 · -16.8%
By 2100
24,473 · -30.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (100%)
Race & ethnicity
White 100%
Common ancestry
Serbian 11% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Greenbrier

2024 margin
Solid R (+42.1) · D 28.0% · R 70.1% · Other 1.9%
2008→2024 swing
-29.9pp toward R · 2008: -12.3pp · 2024: -42.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+42.1 2020: R+39.6 2016: R+41.2 2012: R+24.8 2008: R+12.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 3.36%
Current HPI
179.2082
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

-30.1% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-12 Listed $117,800 KVBOR
  • 2025-08-07 Pending KVBOR
  • 2025-06-26 Price Changed $124,000 KVBOR
  • 2025-05-23 Price Changed $130,500 KVBOR
  • 2025-04-25 Price Changed $137,300 KVBOR
  • 2025-03-18 Price Changed $144,500 KVBOR
  • 2025-02-19 Price Changed $152,100 KVBOR
  • 2025-01-16 Price Changed $160,100 KVBOR
  • 2024-12-05 Listed $168,434 KVBOR

Property tax history

+7.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $966 · +105.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…