🏗️ New Construction
598 Cooper Rd · Greenup, KY
Flood risk 10/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $839 – $1,559
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.4/10.0
- Cash flow +0.0/30.0
- 1% rule +0.0/10.0
- DSCR +0.0/10.0
$235,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Tucked away in a peaceful country setting, this beautiful NEW home offers the privacy and space so many buyers are searching for. Situated on approximately 10+/- acres, the property is ideal for homesteading, hobby farming, gardening, recreational use, or simply enjoying the quiet beauty of the outdoors. Inside, you'll find a spacious open-concept layout designed for both everyday living and entertaining. The large kitchen island serves as the heart of the home, offering plenty of prep space and room to gather. Featuring 4 bedrooms and 2 full baths, this home offers plenty of space for comfort and functionality, while the relaxing soaker tub in the primary suite creates the perfect place to
Key facts
- Large kitchen island
- Relaxing soaker tub
- Split-bedroom design
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Approximately 10-acre lot (public records); Rural location; directions available
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway; Off-street parking
- Utilities: Septic tank; Electricity connected; Water connected
- Home design: Manufactured house; New construction; One level
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Block foundation; Shingle roof; Built as new construction
- Exterior features: Secluded lot with many trees and wooded setting; Public water
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Refrigerator; Oven; Range; Vented exhaust fan
- Bedrooms: 2 total rooms (includes bedrooms and living areas)
- Flooring: Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Breakfast bar; Ceiling fan(s); Soaking tub; Crawl space basement; Fireplace
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup on main level; Electric dryer hookup
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $236k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-4k ($-45k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $132k (44.0% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $124k (47.4% below list).
- Recommended offer: $124k (47.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#192 in KY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Greenup County (suburban): math 23% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #118 of 165 in KY (top 72%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Argillite Elementary School (math 22% / reading 32%, grade F, #434 of 676 statewide, top 69%, 205 students, 73% FRL); Wurtland Middle School (math 20% / reading 38%, grade F, #156 of 217 statewide, top 74%, 250 students, 74% FRL); Greenup County High School (math 30% / reading 30%, grade F, #122 of 254 statewide, top 49%, 849 students, 62% FRL) — zoned schools average 70% FRL vs 52% district-wide (18 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 36 active listings in the ZIP; 20 units permitted in Greenup County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $72k of equity ($5k loan paydown + $68k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Greenup County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$116k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 44 days — a 3% lower offer ($229k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 4.3% of price; flood insurance adds $66/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; major wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 44 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 47% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.18% ✗
- Cap rate
- -0.26%
- Cash-on-cash
- -23.42%
- DSCR
- -0.04
- GRM
- 45.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $677,151
- List price
- $235,900
- Delta
- -65.16%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 1 within 2.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 8.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.68×
- Total profit
- $128,948
- Equity at exit
- $610,032
- IRR
- 10.0%
- Equity multiple
- 4.00×
- Total profit
- $568,510
- Equity at exit
- $1,315,556
Cash invested: $189,602 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Kentucky
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 41144
- Home prices YoY
- 8.4%
- Active inventory
- 36
- Price-to-rent
- 15.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,240 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$3,551
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$846 /mo · $10,157/yr
- Insurance
- −$282
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$260
- Net cashflow
- $-3,767
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-3,299 | -5% $-3,533 | +0% $-3,767 | +5% $-4,001 | +10% $-4,235 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-3,865 | -5% $-3,816 | +0% $-3,767 | +5% $-3,718 | +10% $-3,669 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-3,426 | -0.5pp $-3,595 | base $-3,767 | +0.5pp $-3,942 | +1.0pp $-4,121 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $169,288
- Closing costs
- $20,315
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 23 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $235,900 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $235,900 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-18status $235,900 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $235,900 Contingent 41 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $235,900 Contingent 40 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $235,900 Contingent 39 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $235,900 Contingent 38 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $235,900 Contingent 36 DOM
-
2026-06-12statusdays on market $235,900 Contingent 35 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $235,900 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $235,900 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $235,900 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $235,900 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $235,900 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $235,900 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $235,900 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $235,900 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $235,900 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-05-04$235,900 Active 1059-char remark
-
2026-03-02price $235,900
-
2025-10-31price $239,900
-
2025-09-26price $244,900
-
2025-09-14$249,900 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 10/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,876
- − Mortgage interest
- −$37,931
- − Property taxes
- −$10,157
- − Insurance
- −$4,183
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,190
- − Management
- −$1,190
- − Depreciation
- −$19,699
- Taxable loss
- −$59,474
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$14,274
- After-tax cash flow
- $-30,927/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Greenup County
- NCES district ID
- 2102400
- Math proficiency
- 23% ▼ -19.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 35% ▼ -18.00%
- Median HH income
- $39,526
- Composite
- 24.33/100
- National rank
- #7702
- State rank
- #118 of 165 in KY
Livability — Greenup
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #192
- US rank
- #9586
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Greenup · 24,497 people
- Metro
- Huntington-Ashland, WV-KY-OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 8,457
- Household income
- $57,782
- Rent vs Own
Population outlook (Greenup County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 34,374 people
- By 2030
- 33,145 · -3.6%
- By 2040
- 30,407 · -11.5%
- By 2050
- 27,702 · -19.4%
- By 2075
- 21,970 · -36.1%
- By 2100
- 16,670 · -51.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (96%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 96% Two or more races 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Italian 1% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 0%
Political lean MEDSL · Greenup
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+50.5) · D 24.1% · R 74.6% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -36.4pp toward R · 2008: -14.1pp · 2024: -50.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+50.5 2020: R+45.1 2016: R+45.5 2012: R+18.6 2008: R+14.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 17.56%
- Current HPI
- 225.77
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.81%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in KY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $118B |
|
||
| Food / Beverage | 1 | $7B |
|
||
Price history
-5.6% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-12 Contingent — ImagineMLS
- 2026-05-04 Listed $235,900 ImagineMLS
- 2026-03-02 Price Changed $235,900 AABOR
- 2025-10-31 Price Changed $239,900 AABOR
- 2025-09-26 Price Changed $244,900 AABOR
- 2025-09-14 Listed $249,900 AABOR
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…