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1912 Clapboard Hill Rd
D+ Composite 45.52
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +14.5/30.0
  • ARV discount +11.0/15.0
  • DSCR +4.4/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.7/5.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.6/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.1/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$249,000

1912 Clapboard Hill Rd · Little Rock, AR 72227
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 3,299 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 204 Days on market
Built 1968 10,454 sqft lot $75/sqft · 32% below area Est $270k · 8% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Discover comfort, convenience and space in this inviting three bed, two and a half bath home in the heart of Little Rock. Enjoy generous parking and a spacious, fully fenced backyard - perfect for kids, pets, and outdoor entertaining. Inside, the home offers two separate living area plus a versatile downstairs bonus room that can serve as a playroom, office, gym, or media space. The back deck provides a peaceful spot to relax and and soak in those beautiful Arkansas days. Home owners also have access to a community pool and park; and you are just minutes from dining, shopping, and everyday conveniences.

Key facts

  • Back deck
  • 0.24 acre lot
  • Built 1968

Tags

FULLY FENCED BACKYARDTWO LIVING ROOM SPACESDOWNSTAIRS BONUS ROOMBACK DECK

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $249k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $56 ($677/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $215k (13.8% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $215k (13.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.6% vs local median 4.1% in Little Rock — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#22 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
  • Little Rock School District (urban): math 23% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #183 of 238 in AR (top 77%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 69% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.8%/yr); 46 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 60% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,006 units permitted in Pulaski County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($74k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Pulaski County population projected at +6% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 204 days — a 12% lower offer ($219k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 13y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $142k; list at $249k implies a 75% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $214,701 (13.8% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 204 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 14% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1968 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.86%
Cap rate
6.56%
Cash-on-cash
0.97%
DSCR
1.04
GRM
9.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$269,822
List price
$249,000
Delta
-7.72%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2304 Breckenridge Dr 0.36mi 3/2.5 2,900 (-12%) 4mo $428,000 $148 58
2507 Arkansas Valley Dr 0.74mi 4/3.0 (+1) 3,298 (-0%) 3mo $441,950 $134 54
7 Big Stone Ct 0.67mi 3/3.0 3,156 (-4%) 5mo $325,500 $103 53
10606 San Joaquin Vly 0.59mi 3/3.0 3,096 (-6%) 15mo $462,500 $149 46
10815 San Joaquin Valley Dr 0.70mi 4/2.5 (+1) 3,381 (+2%) 12mo $495,000 $146 46
14 Chaparral Ln 0.71mi 4/3.0 (+1) 3,075 (-7%) 3mo $549,999 $179 44
2709 Grist Mill Rd 0.33mi 4/3.0 (+1) 2,886 (-12%) 13mo $290,000 $100 44
1617 Mountain 0.73mi 3/3.5 3,197 (-3%) 14mo $380,000 $119 43
82 Kingspark Rd 0.52mi 4/2.5 (+1) 2,928 (-11%) 13mo $335,000 $114 39
2704 Wentwood Valley Dr 0.74mi 3/2.5 2,904 (-12%) 6mo $400,000 $138 38
2717 Charter Oak 0.49mi 4/3.5 (+1) 3,031 (-8%) 22mo $310,000 $102 34
101 Claremore Ct 0.69mi 4/3.5 (+1) 2,827 (-14%) 12mo $325,000 $115 23

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.84% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-12.8%
Equity multiple
0.53×
Total profit
$-32,725
Equity at exit
$37,127
10-year hold
IRR
-1.3%
Equity multiple
0.90×
Total profit
$-6,694
Equity at exit
$21,529

Cash invested: $69,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Arkansas
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Only US state where non-payment is criminal. Strongly landlord-favorable; very few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 72227

Rents YoY
4.8%
Active inventory
46
Price-to-rent
9.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,147 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,306
Tax from tax record
$230 /mo · $2,762/yr
Insurance
$104
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$451
Net cashflow
$56

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,076
Max offer price $249,000
Occupancy floor 92%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$62,250
Closing costs
$7,470
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 5 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1816 Breckenridge Dr Little Rock, AR 4.0 2.0 2300 $2,225 $0.97 23d 1 0.14mi
76 Kingspark Rd Little Rock, AR 4.0 3.0 2359 $2,750 $1.17 23d 1 0.49mi
1304 Biscayne Dr Little Rock, AR 3.0 2.5 2421 $1,850 $0.76 44d 1 1.12mi
9 Oak Glen Ln Little Rock, AR 4.0 3.0 2780 $4,500 $1.62 44d 1 1.18mi
7902 Harmon Dr Little Rock, AR 4.0 3.0 2500 $2,320 $0.93 44d 1 1.25mi

Listing history 13 events

  1. 2026-06-08
    statusdays on market $249,000 Under Contract 204 DOM
  2. 2026-06-05
    days on market $249,000 Active 203 DOM
  3. 2026-06-03
    days on market $249,000 Active 202 DOM
  4. 2026-06-02
    days on market $249,000 Active 201 DOM
  5. 2026-06-01
    days on market $249,000 Active 200 DOM
  6. 2026-05-31
    days on market $249,000 Active 199 DOM
  7. 2026-05-31
    days on market $249,000 Active 198 DOM
  8. 2026-04-21
    price $249,000 610-char remark
    Show marketing remark (610 chars)

    Discover comfort, convenience and space in this inviting three bed, two and a half bath home in the heart of Little Rock. Enjoy generous parking and a spacious, fully fenced backyard - perfect for kids, pets, and outdoor entertaining. Inside, the home offers two separate living area plus a versatile downstairs bonus room that can serve as a playroom, office, gym, or media space. The back deck provides a peaceful spot to relax and and soak in those beautiful Arkansas days. Home owners also have access to a community pool and park; and you are just minutes from dining, shopping, and everyday conveniences.

  9. 2025-11-13
    listed $259,000 New Listing 610-char remark
    Show marketing remark (610 chars)

    Discover comfort, convenience and space in this inviting three bed, two and a half bath home in the heart of Little Rock. Enjoy generous parking and a spacious, fully fenced backyard - perfect for kids, pets, and outdoor entertaining. Inside, the home offers two separate living area plus a versatile downstairs bonus room that can serve as a playroom, office, gym, or media space. The back deck provides a peaceful spot to relax and and soak in those beautiful Arkansas days. Home owners also have access to a community pool and park; and you are just minutes from dining, shopping, and everyday conveniences.

  10. 2013-12-23
    soldstatus $142,000
  11. 2013-12-20
    soldstatus $142,000 101-char remark
    Show marketing remark (101 chars)

    Wonderful taken care of inside and out! Large rooms lots of storage. Workshop/Game room a bonus room.

  12. 2013-08-29
    historical 101-char remark
    Show marketing remark (101 chars)

    Wonderful taken care of inside and out! Large rooms lots of storage. Workshop/Game room a bonus room.

  13. 2013-06-20
    listed $149,000 101-char remark
    Show marketing remark (101 chars)

    Wonderful taken care of inside and out! Large rooms lots of storage. Workshop/Game room a bonus room.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AR · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,762 · $230/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,762 · $230/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 10% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$25,764
− Mortgage interest
−$13,948
− Property taxes
−$2,762
− Insurance
−$1,245
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,061
− Management
−$2,061
− Depreciation
−$7,244
Taxable loss
−$3,557
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$854
After-tax cash flow
$1,531/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Little Rock School District
NCES district ID
0509000
Math proficiency
23% ▼ -12.00%
Reading proficiency
26% ▼ -8.00%
Median HH income
$43,346
Composite
21.0/100
National rank
#8457
State rank
#183 of 238 in AR

Livability — Little Rock

Score
73/100
State rank
#22
US rank
#5295

Category grades

Amenities C+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Little Rock, AR
County
Pulaski County · 372,764 people
City population
218,896
Metro
Little Rock-North Little Rock-Conway, AR
Population (ZIP)
11,284
Household income
$73,879
Rent vs Own
38.2% rent · 61.8% own
Severe rent burden
488.0

Population outlook (Pulaski County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
415,378 people
By 2030
423,720 · +2.0%
By 2040
435,182 · +4.8%
By 2050
440,904 · +6.1%
By 2075
445,521 · +7.3%
By 2100
419,173 · +0.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority White (62%)
Race & ethnicity
White 62% Black 26% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 5%
Common ancestry
Slovak 4% Italian 3% Serbian 2%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Pulaski

2024 margin
Strong D (+22.1) · D 59.8% · R 37.7% · Other 2.5%
2008→2024 swing
+10.6pp toward D · 2008: 11.6pp · 2024: 22.1pp
All cycles
2024: D+22.1 2020: D+22.5 2016: D+17.9 2012: D+11.4 2008: D+11.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -176.00%
Current HPI
194.5483
Rent YoY
▲ 4.84%
Metro
Little Rock-North Little Rock-Conway, AR
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.80%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+67.1% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-21 Price Changed $249,000 CARMLS
  • 2025-11-13 Listed $259,000 CARMLS
  • 2013-12-23 Sold (Public Records) $142,000 Public Records
  • 2013-12-20 Sold (MLS) $142,000 CARMLS
  • 2013-08-29 Listing Removed CARMLS
  • 2013-06-20 Listed $149,000 CARMLS

Property tax history

+1.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,762 · +4.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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