1912 Clapboard Hill Rd · Little Rock, AR
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,499 – $2,785
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 111°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 10.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +14.5/30.0
- ARV discount +11.0/15.0
- DSCR +4.4/10.0
- Rent growth +3.7/5.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- 1% rule +3.6/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.1/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$249,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Discover comfort, convenience and space in this inviting three bed, two and a half bath home in the heart of Little Rock. Enjoy generous parking and a spacious, fully fenced backyard - perfect for kids, pets, and outdoor entertaining. Inside, the home offers two separate living area plus a versatile downstairs bonus room that can serve as a playroom, office, gym, or media space. The back deck provides a peaceful spot to relax and and soak in those beautiful Arkansas days. Home owners also have access to a community pool and park; and you are just minutes from dining, shopping, and everyday conveniences.
Key facts
- Back deck
- 0.24 acre lot
- Built 1968
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $249k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $56 ($677/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $215k (13.8% below list).
- Recommended offer: $215k (13.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.6% vs local median 4.1% in Little Rock — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#22 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
- Little Rock School District (urban): math 23% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #183 of 238 in AR (top 77%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 69% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.8%/yr); 46 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 60% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,006 units permitted in Pulaski County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($74k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Pulaski County population projected at +6% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 204 days — a 12% lower offer ($219k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 13y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $142k; list at $249k implies a 75% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 204 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 14% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1968 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.86% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.56%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.97%
- DSCR
- 1.04
- GRM
- 9.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $269,822
- List price
- $249,000
- Delta
- -7.72%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2304 Breckenridge Dr | 0.36mi | 3/2.5 | 2,900 (-12%) | 4mo | $428,000 | $148 | 58 |
| 2507 Arkansas Valley Dr | 0.74mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 3,298 (-0%) | 3mo | $441,950 | $134 | 54 |
| 7 Big Stone Ct | 0.67mi | 3/3.0 | 3,156 (-4%) | 5mo | $325,500 | $103 | 53 |
| 10606 San Joaquin Vly | 0.59mi | 3/3.0 | 3,096 (-6%) | 15mo | $462,500 | $149 | 46 |
| 10815 San Joaquin Valley Dr | 0.70mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 3,381 (+2%) | 12mo | $495,000 | $146 | 46 |
| 14 Chaparral Ln | 0.71mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 3,075 (-7%) | 3mo | $549,999 | $179 | 44 |
| 2709 Grist Mill Rd | 0.33mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 2,886 (-12%) | 13mo | $290,000 | $100 | 44 |
| 1617 Mountain | 0.73mi | 3/3.5 | 3,197 (-3%) | 14mo | $380,000 | $119 | 43 |
| 82 Kingspark Rd | 0.52mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 2,928 (-11%) | 13mo | $335,000 | $114 | 39 |
| 2704 Wentwood Valley Dr | 0.74mi | 3/2.5 | 2,904 (-12%) | 6mo | $400,000 | $138 | 38 |
| 2717 Charter Oak | 0.49mi | 4/3.5 (+1) | 3,031 (-8%) | 22mo | $310,000 | $102 | 34 |
| 101 Claremore Ct | 0.69mi | 4/3.5 (+1) | 2,827 (-14%) | 12mo | $325,000 | $115 | 23 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.84% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -12.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.53×
- Total profit
- $-32,725
- Equity at exit
- $37,127
- IRR
- -1.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.90×
- Total profit
- $-6,694
- Equity at exit
- $21,529
Cash invested: $69,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arkansas
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 72227
- Rents YoY
- 4.8%
- Active inventory
- 46
- Price-to-rent
- 9.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,147 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,306
- Tax from tax record
- −$230 /mo · $2,762/yr
- Insurance
- −$104
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$451
- Net cashflow
- $56
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $62,250
- Closing costs
- $7,470
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 5 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1816 Breckenridge Dr Little Rock, AR | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2300 | $2,225 | $0.97 | 23d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 76 Kingspark Rd Little Rock, AR | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2359 | $2,750 | $1.17 | 23d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 1304 Biscayne Dr Little Rock, AR | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2421 | $1,850 | $0.76 | 44d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 9 Oak Glen Ln Little Rock, AR | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2780 | $4,500 | $1.62 | 44d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 7902 Harmon Dr Little Rock, AR | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2500 | $2,320 | $0.93 | 44d | 1 | 1.25mi |
Listing history 13 events
-
2026-06-08statusdays on market $249,000 Under Contract 204 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $249,000 Active 203 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $249,000 Active 202 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $249,000 Active 201 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $249,000 Active 200 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $249,000 Active 199 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $249,000 Active 198 DOM
-
2026-04-21price $249,000 610-char remark
Show marketing remark (610 chars)
Discover comfort, convenience and space in this inviting three bed, two and a half bath home in the heart of Little Rock. Enjoy generous parking and a spacious, fully fenced backyard - perfect for kids, pets, and outdoor entertaining. Inside, the home offers two separate living area plus a versatile downstairs bonus room that can serve as a playroom, office, gym, or media space. The back deck provides a peaceful spot to relax and and soak in those beautiful Arkansas days. Home owners also have access to a community pool and park; and you are just minutes from dining, shopping, and everyday conveniences.
-
2025-11-13$259,000 New Listing 610-char remark
Show marketing remark (610 chars)
Discover comfort, convenience and space in this inviting three bed, two and a half bath home in the heart of Little Rock. Enjoy generous parking and a spacious, fully fenced backyard - perfect for kids, pets, and outdoor entertaining. Inside, the home offers two separate living area plus a versatile downstairs bonus room that can serve as a playroom, office, gym, or media space. The back deck provides a peaceful spot to relax and and soak in those beautiful Arkansas days. Home owners also have access to a community pool and park; and you are just minutes from dining, shopping, and everyday conveniences.
-
2013-12-23soldstatus $142,000
-
2013-12-20soldstatus $142,000 101-char remark
Show marketing remark (101 chars)
Wonderful taken care of inside and out! Large rooms lots of storage. Workshop/Game room a bonus room.
-
2013-08-29historical 101-char remark
Show marketing remark (101 chars)
Wonderful taken care of inside and out! Large rooms lots of storage. Workshop/Game room a bonus room.
-
2013-06-20$149,000 101-char remark
Show marketing remark (101 chars)
Wonderful taken care of inside and out! Large rooms lots of storage. Workshop/Game room a bonus room.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AR · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,762 · $230/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,762 · $230/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 10% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $25,764
- − Mortgage interest
- −$13,948
- − Property taxes
- −$2,762
- − Insurance
- −$1,245
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,061
- − Management
- −$2,061
- − Depreciation
- −$7,244
- Taxable loss
- −$3,557
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$854
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,531/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Little Rock School District
- NCES district ID
- 0509000
- Math proficiency
- 23% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 26% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,346
- Composite
- 21.0/100
- National rank
- #8457
- State rank
- #183 of 238 in AR
Livability — Little Rock
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #22
- US rank
- #5295
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Little Rock, AR
- County
- Pulaski County · 372,764 people
- City population
- 218,896
- Metro
- Little Rock-North Little Rock-Conway, AR
- Population (ZIP)
- 11,284
- Household income
- $73,879
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 488.0
Population outlook (Pulaski County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 415,378 people
- By 2030
- 423,720 · +2.0%
- By 2040
- 435,182 · +4.8%
- By 2050
- 440,904 · +6.1%
- By 2075
- 445,521 · +7.3%
- By 2100
- 419,173 · +0.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (62%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 62% Black 26% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 5%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 4% Italian 3% Serbian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Pulaski
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+22.1) · D 59.8% · R 37.7% · Other 2.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +10.6pp toward D · 2008: 11.6pp · 2024: 22.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+22.1 2020: D+22.5 2016: D+17.9 2012: D+11.4 2008: D+11.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -176.00%
- Current HPI
- 194.5483
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.84%
- Metro
- Little Rock-North Little Rock-Conway, AR
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.80%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 1 | $681B |
|
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| Food / Agriculture | 1 | $53B |
|
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| Retail / Energy | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $12B |
|
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| Energy | 1 | $4B |
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Price history
+67.1% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-21 Price Changed $249,000 CARMLS
- 2025-11-13 Listed $259,000 CARMLS
- 2013-12-23 Sold (Public Records) $142,000 Public Records
- 2013-12-20 Sold (MLS) $142,000 CARMLS
- 2013-08-29 Listing Removed — CARMLS
- 2013-06-20 Listed $149,000 CARMLS
Property tax history
+1.6%/yrLatest (2025): $2,762 · +4.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…