11 SE Elm Ave · Fort Walton Beach, FL
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.13%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +5.2/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.8/5.0
- Condition / age +1.0/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$135,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
This block duplex will need extensive repairs. It is however in a great location and holds great promise to the person willing to put the labor and upgrades necessary to bring it back to its potential. Selling ''As Is'' with no repairs by the Seller.
Key facts
- Extensive repairs
- 4 parking spots
- Built 1952
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Subdivision: OCEAN CITY
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway with space for 4 vehicles
- Utilities: Electric service; Public water; Public sewer; Electric water heater
- Home design: Duplex; Single-story
- Construction: Built in 1952; Slab foundation; Block, concrete and trim wood construction
- Exterior features: City zoning
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric water heater
- Bedrooms: Four first-floor bedrooms (each approximately 10 x 12)
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Window unit cooling; Wall/window heating
- Interior features: First-floor living room; First-floor kitchen; Six total rooms
- Laundry & utility: Washer/dryer hookup not specified
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath townhouse listed at $135k. Condition is rated poor.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $720 ($9k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $135k).
- Cap rate 12.7% vs local median 0.9% in Fort Walton Beach — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 80/100 on livability (#111 in FL, #1,628 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F.
- Okaloosa (other): math 60% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #12 of 73 in FL (top 16%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Elliott Point Elementary School (math 38% / reading 51%, grade F, #1,288 of 2,144 statewide, top 62%, 597 students, 70% FRL); Choctawhatchee Senior High School (math 42% / reading 50%, grade D-, #220 of 667 statewide, top 33%, 1,677 students, 52% FRL) — zoned schools average 61% FRL vs 36% district-wide (25 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 45% at this address vs 60% district-wide (-15 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Okaloosa average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.3%/yr); 341 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 40% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,268 units permitted in Okaloosa County in 2024 (175 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($65k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $933 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Okaloosa County population projected at +37% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.3% rent growth), your $38k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1952 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Built in 1952 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.55% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.69%
- Cash-on-cash
- 22.85%
- DSCR
- 2.02
- GRM
- 5.4
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.33% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 13.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.54×
- Total profit
- $20,542
- Equity at exit
- $20,129
- IRR
- 21.4%
- Equity multiple
- 2.68×
- Total profit
- $63,328
- Equity at exit
- $11,672
Cash invested: $37,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32548
- Home prices YoY
- -31.1%
- Rents YoY
- 1.3%
- Active inventory
- 341
- Price-to-rent
- 5.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,092 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$708
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$169 /mo · $2,025/yr
- Insurance
- −$56
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$439
- Net cashflow
- $720
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $33,750
- Closing costs
- $4,050
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 5 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 107 Magnolia Ave SE Fort Walton Beach, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1106 | $1,700 | $1.54 | 13d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 22 Laurie Dr NE Fort Walton Beach, FL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1064 | $1,800 | $1.69 | 21d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 37 Laurie Dr NE Fort Walton Beach, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1375 | $2,095 | $1.52 | 21d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 50 Laurie Dr NE Fort Walton Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1484 | $2,000 | $1.35 | 43d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 110 Loizos Dr NW Fort Walton Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1148 | $2,200 | $1.92 | 43d | 1 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-06-17remarks 250-char remark
-
2026-06-17$135,000 Pending 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 13% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $25,105
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,562
- − Property taxes
- −$2,025
- − Insurance
- −$675
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,008
- − Management
- −$2,008
- − Depreciation
- −$3,927
- Taxable income
- $6,899
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,656
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,982/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 8 photos
This townhouse requires extensive repairs and maintenance to bring it up to a livable condition. Significant work is needed on the exterior, roof, and landscaping to improve its value and curb appeal.
Repairs flagged
- Major siding — Severe weathering and damage
- Major roof — Significant wear and tear
- Major landscaping — Overgrown vegetation and debris
- Major exterior walls — Visible cracks and damage
Value-add opportunities
- Both landscaping and exterior maintenance — Improves curb appeal and property value
- Both roof repair — Essential for structural integrity and safety
- Both siding repair — Enhances property appearance and value
- Both interior updates — Improves living conditions and property value
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| siding · Severe weathering and damage | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| roof · Significant wear and tear | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| landscaping · Overgrown vegetation and debris | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| exterior walls · Visible cracks and damage | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 4 items | $60,000–200,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Both landscaping and exterior maintenance — Improves curb appeal and property value ↑
- Both roof repair — Essential for structural integrity and safety ↑
- Both siding repair — Enhances property appearance and value ↑
- Both interior updates — Improves living conditions and property value ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Okaloosa
- NCES district ID
- 1201380
- Math proficiency
- 60% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 60% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $55,601
- Composite
- 51.62/100
- National rank
- #1705
- State rank
- #12 of 73 in FL
Livability — Fort Walton Beach
- Score
- 80/100
- State rank
- #111
- US rank
- #1628
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Fort Walton Beach, FL
- County
- Okaloosa County · 194,352 people
- City population
- 59,301
- Metro
- Crestview-Fort Walton Beach-Destin, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 23,774
- Household income
- $65,342
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 889.0
Population outlook (Okaloosa County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 235,133 people
- By 2030
- 253,483 · +7.8%
- By 2040
- 289,537 · +23.1%
- By 2050
- 322,954 · +37.3%
- By 2075
- 399,624 · +70.0%
- By 2100
- 425,311 · +80.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 63% Hispanic / Latino 13% Black 12% Two or more races 9% Asian 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 4% Slovak 3% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 12% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 84% English-only · Spanish 9% Other Asian/Pacific 3% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Okaloosa
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+42.4) · D 28.2% · R 70.7% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +2.5pp toward D · 2008: -44.9pp · 2024: -42.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+42.4 2020: R+39.1 2016: R+47.8 2012: R+49.4 2008: R+44.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -123.88%
- Current HPI
- 274.8418
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.33%
- Metro
- Crestview-Fort Walton Beach-Destin, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
2 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-17 Pending — ECAR
- 2026-06-16 Listed $135,000 ECAR
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…