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1040 Spawn Pl
D Composite 41.92
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +12.6/30.0
  • ARV discount +9.5/15.0
  • Schools +4.9/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • DSCR +3.8/10.0
  • 1% rule +2.6/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.1/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$269,900

1040 Spawn Pl · Wendell, NC 27545
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,026 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 82 Days on market
Built 1996 7,841 sqft lot Est $282k · at est. $10/mo HOA

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Nice ranch style home complete with covered porch, patio, 2 car pad, and crawlspace. Three bedrooms, living rm, large kitchen, pantry, and WIC. Enjoy the great suburban feel but just minutes from downtown Raleigh. Convenient to the US 64 bypass and I-540(opening in 2007).

Key facts

  • Updated toilets
  • Hot water heater
  • Updated vanities

Tags

NEW ROOFHOT WATER HEATERGRANITE COUNTERTOPSNEW LVP FLOORINGUPDATED VANITIESUPDATED TOILETS

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Lot size approximately 0.18 acres; Zoned CU-R-
  • HOA & community: Part of Amber Acres HOA; HOA fee $10 monthly; Not a senior community

Exterior

  • Parking: Concrete driveway
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Publicly maintained road
  • Home design: One-story house; Site-built construction; Updated/remodeled condition; Facing information not provided
  • Construction: Brick and vinyl siding exterior; Architectural shingle roof; No common walls
  • Exterior features: Covered front porch; Patio/porch; Community pool (association); Association amenities include community pool

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Electric oven; Electric range; Free-standing refrigerator; Ice maker; Microwave; Oven; Refrigerator; Self-cleaning oven; Stainless steel appliances; ENERGY STAR qualified dishwasher; ENERGY STAR qualified freezer
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (all on the main level)
  • Flooring: Luxury vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Electric heating with heat pump; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Bathtub/shower combination; Ceiling fan(s); Eat-in kitchen; Granite counters; Pantry; Smooth ceilings; Storage; Blinds
  • Laundry & utility: Main level laundry; ENERGY STAR qualified washer; Electric water heater; Water heater; Exhaust fan

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $270k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-34 ($-412/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $264k (2.2% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $206k (23.8% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $206k (23.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.1% vs local median 3.7% in Wendell — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 78/100 on livability (#25 in NC, #2,391 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, crime A; Watch: amenities D.
  • Wake County Schools (suburban): math 52% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #35 of 178 in NC (top 20%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Lake Myra Elementary (math 23% / reading 35%, grade F, #1,007 of 1,410 statewide, top 72%, 648 students, 55% FRL); Wendell Middle (math 21% / reading 39%, grade F, #335 of 475 statewide, top 72%, 719 students, 68% FRL); East Wake High (math 51% / reading 44%, grade D, #331 of 535 statewide, top 62%, 1,646 students, 62% FRL) — zoned schools average 62% FRL vs 30% district-wide (31 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 36% at this address vs 56% district-wide (-20 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Wake County Schools average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.4%/yr); 406 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 15,249 units permitted in Wake County in 2024 (5,568 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Wake County population projected at +51% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 82 days — a 6% lower offer ($254k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 20y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $194k; 39% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 58% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $205,687 (23.8% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 82 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 24% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.76%
Cap rate
6.14%
Cash-on-cash
-0.54%
DSCR
0.98
GRM
10.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$282,150
Comps found
2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
5717 Woof Pl 0.13mi 3/2.0 1,032 (+1%) 14mo $280,000 $271 82
2001 Ballston Pl 0.39mi 3/2.0 1,018 (-1%) 12mo $280,000 $275 71

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-20.3%
Equity multiple
0.31×
Total profit
$-52,043
Equity at exit
$40,243
10-year hold
IRR
-20.7%
Equity multiple
0.05×
Total profit
$-71,815
Equity at exit
$23,336

Cash invested: $75,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State North Carolina
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable but court speed varies.

ZIP-level market 27545

Home prices YoY
-33.1%
Rents YoY
-1.4%
Active inventory
406
Price-to-rent
10.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,057 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,415
Tax from tax record
$121 /mo · $1,457/yr
Insurance
$112
HOA
$10
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$432
Net cashflow
$-34

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,100
Max offer price $263,841
Occupancy floor 97%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $118 -5% $42 +0% $-34 +5% $-111 +10% $-187
Rent -10% $-197 -5% $-116 +0% $-34 +5% $47 +10% $128
Rate -1.0pp $102 -0.5pp $34 base $-34 +0.5pp $-104 +1.0pp $-175

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$67,475
Closing costs
$8,097
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 6 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1112 Amber Acres Ln Knightdale, NC 3.0 2.0 950 $2,000 $2.11 25d 1 0.19mi
5809 Taylor Rd Wendell, NC 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1109 $2,134 $1.92 3d 12 0.61mi
1005 Henchman Ct Knightdale, NC 3.0 2.0 1295 $1,995 $1.54 3d 1 0.85mi
207 Meadow Run Knightdale, NC 3.0 1.5 1138 $1,800 $1.58 25d 1 1.21mi
3301 Renee Ct Knightdale, NC 3.0 2.0 1283 $1,920 $1.50 23d 1 1.35mi
1440 Yellow Desert Way Wendell, NC 3.0 1.0–2.5 1267 $2,368 $1.87 3d 49 1.42mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$10 · $120/yr

Listing history 11 events

  1. 2026-05-20
    status Pending
  2. 2026-03-18
    price $269,900
  3. 2026-02-27
    listed $279,900 Active
  4. 2026-01-15
    soldstatus $193,500
  5. 2025-12-13
    historical
  6. 2025-11-14
    historical
  7. 2007-04-11
    soldstatus $100,000
  8. 2007-04-05
    soldstatus $100,000 272-char remark
    Show marketing remark (272 chars)

    Nice ranch style home complete with covered porch, patio, 2 car pad, and crawlspace. Three bedrooms, living rm, large kitchen, pantry, and WIC. Enjoy the great suburban feel but just minutes from downtown Raleigh. Convenient to the US 64 bypass and I-540(opening in 2007).

  9. 2007-02-20
    historical 272-char remark
    Show marketing remark (272 chars)

    Nice ranch style home complete with covered porch, patio, 2 car pad, and crawlspace. Three bedrooms, living rm, large kitchen, pantry, and WIC. Enjoy the great suburban feel but just minutes from downtown Raleigh. Convenient to the US 64 bypass and I-540(opening in 2007).

  10. 2006-12-20
    listed $98,500 272-char remark
    Show marketing remark (272 chars)

    Nice ranch style home complete with covered porch, patio, 2 car pad, and crawlspace. Three bedrooms, living rm, large kitchen, pantry, and WIC. Enjoy the great suburban feel but just minutes from downtown Raleigh. Convenient to the US 64 bypass and I-540(opening in 2007).

  11. 1997-01-28
    soldstatus $86,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,457 · $121/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,213 · $184/mo
Expected delta
+$757/yr (+$63/mo · 51.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 58% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$24,682
− Mortgage interest
−$15,119
− Property taxes
−$1,457
− Insurance
−$1,350
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,975
− Management
−$1,975
− HOA
−$120
− Depreciation
−$7,852
Taxable loss
−$5,163
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,239
After-tax cash flow
$828/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Wake County Schools
NCES district ID
3704720
Math proficiency
52% ▲ 2.00%
Reading proficiency
60% ▲ 4.00%
Median HH income
$67,509
Composite
49.41/100
National rank
#2010
State rank
#35 of 178 in NC

Livability — Wendell

Score
78/100
State rank
#25
US rank
#2391

Category grades

Amenities D Commute C+ Cost of living A Crime A Employment B+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Wake County · 1,216,256 people
City population
29,838
Metro
Raleigh-Cary, NC
Population (ZIP)
34,163
Household income
$91,527
Rent vs Own
29.5% rent · 70.5% own
Severe rent burden
637.0

Population outlook (Wake County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,293,152 people
By 2030
1,428,223 · +10.4%
By 2040
1,698,188 · +31.3%
By 2050
1,955,807 · +51.2%
By 2075
2,520,273 · +94.9%
By 2100
2,893,335 · +123.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.70)
Race & ethnicity
Black 37% White 34% Hispanic / Latino 20% Two or more races 12% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 12% Dominican 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 1% Romanian 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
17% · Canada, Vietnam, Philippines
Languages at home
77% English-only · Spanish 18% Other Indo-European 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Wake

2024 margin
Strong D (+25.5) · D 61.9% · R 36.4% · Other 1.7%
2008→2024 swing
+11.1pp toward D · 2008: 14.4pp · 2024: 25.5pp
All cycles
2024: D+25.5 2020: D+26.4 2016: D+20.5 2012: D+10.2 2008: D+14.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -112.68%
Current HPI
228.2131
Rent YoY
▼ -1.44%
Metro
Raleigh-Cary, NC
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
26

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+213.8% since first listed
11 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-20 Pending TMLS
  • 2026-03-18 Price Changed $269,900 TMLS
  • 2026-02-27 Listed $279,900 TMLS
  • 2026-01-15 Sold (Public Records) $193,500 Public Records
  • 2025-12-13 Listing Removed TMLS
  • 2025-11-14 Coming Soon TMLS
  • 2007-04-11 Sold (Public Records) $100,000 Public Records
  • 2007-04-05 Sold (MLS) $100,000 TMLS
  • 2007-02-20 Listing Removed TMLS
  • 2006-12-20 Listed $98,500 TMLS
  • 1997-01-28 Sold (Public Records) $86,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+5.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,457 · +3.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…