Duplex
564 26th St · Niagara Falls, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 94°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- Rent growth +4.7/5.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Schools +2.5/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
$159,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks
Excellent investment opportunity in Niagara Falls! This well-maintained 2-unit home on a corner lot, 2 bedrooms and 1 full bath in each. The downstairs unit includes air conditioning. The home offers separate electric meters with one gas meter plus a 2 car garage. Tenants can enjoy a rare inground pool. The hot water tank is only 6 years old. Conveniently located near schools, shopping, and public transportation, this property is ideal for investors or owner-occupants looking to generate rental income while building equity.
Key facts
- 6,200 sq ft lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1890
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Operating expenses include insurance, trash, and water/sewer; Owner pays heat; rent includes heat; Two rental units with reported rents of $525 each (one unit is month-to-month)
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage; 2-car garage
- Utilities: Public water connected; Sewer connected; Circuit breaker electrical service
- Home design: Two-story building; Existing structure
- Construction: Brick and vinyl siding exterior; Shingle roof; Poured foundation
- Exterior features: Fully fenced yard; Corner lot; Near public transit; Rectangular residential lot; City street frontage
Interior
- Kitchen: Gas water heater (appliance noted)
- Bedrooms: Two-unit property: one unit with 3 bedrooms, one unit with 2 bedrooms
- Flooring: Carpet; Ceramic tile; Varies by area
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms (one in each unit)
- Heating & cooling: Central air; Wall unit(s); Gas heating; Forced air and radiant heating components
- Interior features: Full basement; Varied flooring throughout
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $160k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $687 ($8k/yr) — positive. Per door: $344/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $160k).
- Recommended offer: $141k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 11.5% vs local median 7.7% in Niagara Falls — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 60/100 on livability (#956 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
- Niagara Falls City School District (urban): math 26% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #578 of 590 in NY (top 98%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.8%/yr); 164 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 3d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 167 units permitted in Niagara County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,470/mo this rent would consume 86% of the median local household income ($35k/yr) (locally 954% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $17k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $16k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Niagara County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $45k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$43k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 220 days — a 12% lower offer ($141k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $30k (16%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.7% of price; built in 1890 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 220 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1890 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.54% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.45%
- Cash-on-cash
- 18.43%
- DSCR
- 1.82
- GRM
- 5.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $136,920
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 609 24th St | 0.11mi | 4/2.0 | 2,000 (+2%) | 4mo | $140,000 | $70 | 88 |
| 2449 Grand Ave | 0.18mi | 5/2.0 (+1) | 1,918 (-2%) | 4mo | $135,000 | $70 | 80 |
| 2615 Ferry Ave | 0.16mi | 4/2.0 | 1,848 (-6%) | 6mo | $115,000 | $62 | 79 |
| 541 20th St | 0.33mi | 5/2.0 (+1) | 1,917 (-2%) | 1mo | $112,000 | $58 | 76 |
| 2459 La Salle Ave | 0.44mi | 4/2.0 | 1,920 (-2%) | 2mo | $160,000 | $83 | 75 |
| 2219 Cudaback Ave | 0.56mi | 4/2.0 | 2,000 (+2%) | 8mo | $80,000 | $40 | 63 |
| 2455 La Salle Ave | 0.43mi | 4/2.0 | 2,152 (+10%) | 3mo | $112,000 | $52 | 61 |
| 2443 Pierce Ave | 0.56mi | 4/2.0 | 2,112 (+8%) | 4mo | $120,000 | $57 | 57 |
| 2409 La Salle Ave | 0.45mi | 4/2.0 | 2,154 (+10%) | 6mo | $185,000 | $86 | 57 |
| 346 Portage Rd | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,940 (-1%) | 4mo | $142,500 | $73 | 56 |
| 2734 Forest Ave | 0.37mi | 4/2.0 | 2,208 (+13%) | 7mo | $160,000 | $72 | 55 |
| 1968 Cudaback Ave | 0.56mi | 4/3.0 | 1,848 (-6%) | 8mo | $20,000 | $11 | 54 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 40.9%
- Equity multiple
- 4.22×
- Total profit
- $144,059
- Equity at exit
- $144,051
- IRR
- 37.4%
- Equity multiple
- 10.43×
- Total profit
- $422,404
- Equity at exit
- $310,651
Cash invested: $44,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 14301
- Home prices YoY
- 6.2%
- Rents YoY
- 8.8%
- Active inventory
- 164
- Price-to-rent
- 10.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,470 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$839
- Tax from tax record
- −$359 /mo · $4,304/yr
- Insurance
- −$67
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$519
- Net cashflow
- $687
Break-even live
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 2 | 1 | $2,470 |
| #1 | 2 | 1 | $1,235 |
| #2 | 2 | 1 | $1,235 |
| Total (2 units) | $2,470 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $39,975
- Closing costs
- $4,797
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 5 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 Forest Ave Niagara Falls, NY | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1600 | $1,500 | $0.94 | 17d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 2420 Mackenna Ave Unit 1 Niagara Falls, NY | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $1,390 | $1.07 | 1d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 3225 Belden Pl Niagara Falls, NY | 5.0 | 1.5 | 1344 | $1,750 | $1.30 | 1d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 784 15th St Niagara Falls, NY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1380 | $1,350 | $0.98 | 3d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 642 Ashland Ave Niagara Falls, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1238 | $1,100 | $0.89 | 3d | 1 | 1.38mi |
Listing history 5 events
-
2026-05-01status Pending
-
2026-03-31price $159,900
-
2026-03-11status Active
-
2026-03-11price $169,900
-
2025-09-22$190,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $4,304 · $359/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,304 · $359/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥94°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $29,640
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,957
- − Property taxes
- −$4,304
- − Insurance
- −$800
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,371
- − Management
- −$2,371
- − Depreciation
- −$4,652
- Taxable income
- $6,185
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,485
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,765/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Niagara Falls City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3620820
- Math proficiency
- 26% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 34% ▲ 3.00%
- Median HH income
- $32,488
- Composite
- 24.5/100
- National rank
- #7655
- State rank
- #578 of 590 in NY
Livability — Niagara Falls
- Score
- 60/100
- State rank
- #956
- US rank
- #18749
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Niagara Falls, NY
- County
- Niagara County · 157,377 people
- City population
- 62,983
- Metro
- Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 10,923
- Household income
- $34,549
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 954.0
Population outlook (Niagara County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 204,149 people
- By 2030
- 197,900 · -3.1%
- By 2040
- 182,239 · -10.7%
- By 2050
- 165,198 · -19.1%
- By 2075
- 129,416 · -36.6%
- By 2100
- 96,222 · -52.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 59% Black 25% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 8% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 3% Cuban 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 6% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, China, Dominican Republic
- Languages at home
- 90% English-only · Spanish 6% Other Indo-European 3% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Niagara
- 2024 margin
- R (+14.9) · D 42.5% · R 57.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -15.9pp toward R · 2008: 1.0pp · 2024: -14.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+14.9 2020: R+9.7 2016: R+19.0 2012: D+0.6 2008: D+1.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 15.41%
- Current HPI
- 266.1457
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 8.79%
- Metro
- Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
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Price history
-15.8% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-01 Pending — WNYREIS
- 2026-03-31 Price Changed $159,900 WNYREIS
- 2026-03-11 Relisted — WNYREIS
- 2026-03-11 Price Changed $169,900 WNYREIS
- 2025-09-22 Listed $190,000 WNYREIS
Property tax history
+13.8%/yrLatest (2025): $4,304 · +4.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…