95 Florissant Park Dr · Florissant, MO
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.75%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,054 – $1,958
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +27.3/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +9.5/10.0
- 1% rule +7.3/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +3.6/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.7/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$127,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Ranch with 3 bedrooms and 1 bathroom in the heart of Florissant. Ready for its next chapter and your personal touch.
Key facts
- 0.32 acre lot
- Parking
- Built 1956
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $128k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $369 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $128k).
- Recommended offer: $113k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.8% vs local median 6.3% in Florissant — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#82 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety B+; Watch: crime C-, amenities D+, schools D.
- Hazelwood (suburban): math 11% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #306 of 324 in MO (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.3%/yr); 272 active listings in the ZIP; 35 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 19d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 920 units permitted in St. Louis County in 2024 (250 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $884 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.3% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 143 days — a 12% lower offer ($113k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $12k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1956 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 143 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1956 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.23% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.76%
- Cash-on-cash
- 12.37%
- DSCR
- 1.55
- GRM
- 6.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $165,205
- List price
- $127,900
- Delta
- -22.58%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 695 Mullanphy Rd | 0.11mi | 3/1.0 | 927 (0%) | 1mo | $185,000 | $200 | 94 |
| 715 Tyson Dr | 0.06mi | 3/1.5 | 927 (0%) | 3mo | $179,900 | $194 | 93 |
| 85 Ruth Dr | 0.19mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 912 (-2%) | 2mo | $144,900 | $159 | 82 |
| 515 Myrtle Dr | 0.30mi | 3/1.0 | 962 (+4%) | 3mo | $174,900 | $182 | 77 |
| 1435 Aspen Dr | 0.63mi | 3/1.0 | 912 (-2%) | 1mo | $134,000 | $147 | 67 |
| 1115 Verlene Dr | 0.48mi | 3/2.0 | 980 (+6%) | 3mo | $174,900 | $178 | 62 |
| 2052 Aristocrat Dr | 0.68mi | 3/1.5 | 960 (+4%) | 1mo | $89,900 | $94 | 59 |
| 750 Blackbird Dr | 0.55mi | 3/1.5 | 1,025 (+11%) | 1mo | $174,900 | $171 | 54 |
| 1865 Violet Dr | 0.47mi | 3/1.5 | 1,064 (+15%) | 0mo | $100,000 | $94 | 51 |
| 460 Wren Dr | 0.65mi | 3/1.0 | 1,025 (+11%) | 2mo | $177,000 | $173 | 50 |
| 660 Crabapple Ln | 0.57mi | 3/2.0 | 1,045 (+13%) | 2mo | $199,999 | $191 | 46 |
| 18 Redwood Dr | 0.72mi | 3/2.0 | 1,046 (+13%) | 2mo | $134,000 | $128 | 39 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.27% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 3.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.14×
- Total profit
- $4,848
- Equity at exit
- $19,070
- IRR
- 14.2%
- Equity multiple
- 2.21×
- Total profit
- $43,156
- Equity at exit
- $11,058
Cash invested: $35,812 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Missouri
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 63031
- Rents YoY
- 4.3%
- Active inventory
- 272
- Price-to-rent
- 6.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,574 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$671
- Tax from tax record
- −$150 /mo · $1,806/yr
- Insurance
- −$53
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$331
- Net cashflow
- $369
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $442 | -5% $405 | +0% $369 | +5% $333 | +10% $297 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $245 | -5% $307 | +0% $369 | +5% $431 | +10% $494 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $434 | -0.5pp $402 | base $369 | +0.5pp $336 | +1.0pp $302 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $31,975
- Closing costs
- $3,837
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 35 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 765 Babler Dr Florissant, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 888 | $1,700 | $1.91 | 8d | 1 | 0.09mi |
| 4 Sharon Ct Florissant, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1108 | $1,800 | $1.62 | 3d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 855 Daniel Boone Dr Florissant, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 964 | $1,400 | $1.45 | 45d | 1 | 0.15mi |
| 470 Hundley Dr Florissant, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 962 | $1,595 | $1.66 | 45d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 1015 Lindsay Ln Florissant, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 988 | $1,600 | $1.62 | 25d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 1095 Humes Ln Florissant, MO | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1100 | $1,650 | $1.50 | 5d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 3 Champlain Ct Florissant, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,600 | $1.45 | 45d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 1540 Aspen Dr Florissant, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 912 | $1,395 | $1.53 | 8d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 9 Saint Celeste Dr Florissant, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 992 | $1,450 | $1.46 | 45d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 13 Bruce Dr Florissant, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 880 | $975 | $1.11 | 25d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 13 Bruce Dr Unit Bruce 13-2 Florissant, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 880 | $975 | $1.11 | 45d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 10 Saint Celeste Dr Florissant, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 716 | $1,290 | $1.80 | 13d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 14 Bruce Dr Unit Bruce 14-4 Florissant, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 880 | $975 | $1.11 | 45d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 1710 Kay Dr Florissant, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 960 | $1,500 | $1.56 | 3d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 155 Reeb Ln Apt 2 Florissant, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $995 | $1.17 | 45d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 167 Reeb Ln Florissant, MO | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,300 | $1.53 | 3d | 4 | 0.93mi |
| 330 Moule Dr Florissant, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1014 | $1,575 | $1.55 | 45d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 785 Florland Dr Florissant, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,700 | $1.55 | 19d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 2160 Splendor Dr Florissant, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,800 | $1.64 | 4d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 21 Quick Dr Apt 3 Florissant, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $995 | $1.17 | 25d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 21 Quick Dr Apt 1 Florissant, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,100 | $1.29 | 45d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 23 Quick Dr Apt 2 Florissant, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,100 | $1.29 | 45d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 651 Southwell Ln Florissant, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 694 | $1,100 | $1.59 | 19d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 1045 N New Florissant Rd Florissant, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 783 | $1,250 | $1.60 | 16d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 1315 Bobolink Dr Florissant, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1025 | $1,700 | $1.66 | 13d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 1983 Greenheath Dr Florissant, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1040 | $1,331 | $1.28 | 4d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 1004 N New Florissant Rd Florissant, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 719 | $1,375 | $1.91 | 25d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 775 Sherwood Dr Florissant, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1023 | $1,690 | $1.65 | 45d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 305 S Lafayette St Florissant, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 864 | $1,409 | $1.63 | 17d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 840 Dawnview Ct Florissant, MO | 3.0 | 1.5 | 750 | $900 | $1.20 | 25d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 858 Hazelvalley Dr Hazelwood, MO | 3.0 | 1.5 | 912 | $1,450 | $1.59 | 45d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 1545 Swan Dr Florissant, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1064 | $1,590 | $1.49 | 8d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 1095 Cedar Pl Florissant, MO | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1107 | $1,710 | $1.54 | 3d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 2857 Dawnview Dr Florissant, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 890 | $1,325 | $1.49 | 8d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 2942 Chance Dr Florissant, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 912 | $1,700 | $1.86 | 13d | 1 | 1.50mi |
Listing history 31 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $127,900 Active 143 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $127,900 Active 140 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $127,900 Active 139 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $127,900 Active 138 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $127,900 Active 137 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $127,900 Active 135 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $127,900 Active 134 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $127,900 Active 131 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $127,900 Active 130 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $127,900 Active 129 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $127,900 Active 126 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $127,900 Active 125 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $127,900 Active 124 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $127,900 Active 123 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $127,900 Active 122 DOM
-
2026-04-23price $127,900 117-char remark
Show marketing remark (117 chars)
Ranch with 3 bedrooms and 1 bathroom in the heart of Florissant. Ready for its next chapter and your personal touch.
-
2026-03-12price $134,900 117-char remark
Show marketing remark (117 chars)
Ranch with 3 bedrooms and 1 bathroom in the heart of Florissant. Ready for its next chapter and your personal touch.
-
2026-01-29$139,900 Active 117-char remark
Show marketing remark (117 chars)
Ranch with 3 bedrooms and 1 bathroom in the heart of Florissant. Ready for its next chapter and your personal touch.
-
2025-03-31status Active
-
2025-02-21status Pending
-
2025-01-05status Active
-
2024-12-17status Pending
-
2024-12-14$129,000 Active
-
2023-03-27soldstatus $138,000
-
2017-05-08soldstatus $65,000
-
2016-10-18soldstatus $36,000
-
2010-03-30soldstatus $101,000
-
2005-08-01soldstatus $100,000
-
2002-05-02soldstatus $86,800
-
1996-08-01soldstatus $52,900
-
1983-05-01soldstatus $40,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,806 · $150/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,806 · $150/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (shaded) · 75% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,892
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,164
- − Property taxes
- −$1,806
- − Insurance
- −$640
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,511
- − Management
- −$1,511
- − Depreciation
- −$3,721
- Taxable income
- $2,539
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$609
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,822/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Hazelwood
- NCES district ID
- 2913830
- Math proficiency
- 11% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 26% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $51,621
- Composite
- 16.77/100
- National rank
- #9156
- State rank
- #306 of 324 in MO
Livability — Florissant
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #82
- US rank
- #5406
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Florissant, MO
- County
- Saint Louis County · 888,823 people
- City population
- 69,104
- Metro
- St. Louis, MO-IL
- Population (ZIP)
- 50,196
- Household income
- $70,811
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1279.0
Population outlook (St. Louis County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,025,227 people
- By 2030
- 1,028,023 · +0.3%
- By 2040
- 1,020,940 · -0.4%
- By 2050
- 1,007,280 · -1.8%
- By 2075
- 987,277 · -3.7%
- By 2100
- 921,984 · -10.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 49% Black 41% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Lithuanian 3% Swedish 1%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 2% Arabic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · St. Louis
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+23.4) · D 60.8% · R 37.4% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +3.5pp toward D · 2008: 19.9pp · 2024: 23.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+23.4 2020: D+24.0 2016: D+16.2 2012: D+13.7 2008: D+19.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -223.57%
- Current HPI
- 202.7192
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.27%
- Metro
- St. Louis, MO-IL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.84%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $163B |
|
||
| Insurance | 1 | $21B |
|
||
| Industrial Technology | 1 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $16B |
|
||
| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $10B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
|
||
Price history
+212.7% since first listed16 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-23 Price Changed $127,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-12 Price Changed $134,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-29 Listed $139,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-03-31 Relisted — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-02-21 Pending — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-01-05 Relisted — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-12-17 Pending — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-12-14 Listed $129,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-03-27 Sold (Public Records) $138,000 Public Records
- 2017-05-08 Sold (Public Records) $65,000 Public Records
- 2016-10-18 Sold (Public Records) $36,000 Public Records
- 2010-03-30 Sold (Public Records) $101,000 Public Records
- 2005-08-01 Sold (Public Records) $100,000 Public Records
- 2002-05-02 Sold (Public Records) $86,800 Public Records
- 1996-08-01 Sold (Public Records) $52,900 Public Records
- 1983-05-01 Sold (Public Records) $40,900 Public Records
Property tax history
+1.5%/yrLatest (2022): $1,806 · +2.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…