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95 Florissant Park Dr
B Composite 70.49
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +27.3/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +9.5/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.6/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.7/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$127,900

95 Florissant Park Dr · Florissant, MO 63031
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 927 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 143 Days on market
Built 1956 0.32 ac lot $138/sqft · 23% below area Est $165k · 23% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Ranch with 3 bedrooms and 1 bathroom in the heart of Florissant. Ready for its next chapter and your personal touch.

Key facts

  • 0.32 acre lot
  • Parking
  • Built 1956

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $128k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $369 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $128k).
  • Recommended offer: $113k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.8% vs local median 6.3% in Florissant — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#82 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety B+; Watch: crime C-, amenities D+, schools D.
  • Hazelwood (suburban): math 11% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #306 of 324 in MO (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.3%/yr); 272 active listings in the ZIP; 35 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 19d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 920 units permitted in St. Louis County in 2024 (250 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $884 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.3% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 143 days — a 12% lower offer ($113k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $12k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1956 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $112,552 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 143 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1956 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.23%
Cap rate
9.76%
Cash-on-cash
12.37%
DSCR
1.55
GRM
6.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$165,205
List price
$127,900
Delta
-22.58%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
695 Mullanphy Rd 0.11mi 3/1.0 927 (0%) 1mo $185,000 $200 94
715 Tyson Dr 0.06mi 3/1.5 927 (0%) 3mo $179,900 $194 93
85 Ruth Dr 0.19mi 2/1.0 (-1) 912 (-2%) 2mo $144,900 $159 82
515 Myrtle Dr 0.30mi 3/1.0 962 (+4%) 3mo $174,900 $182 77
1435 Aspen Dr 0.63mi 3/1.0 912 (-2%) 1mo $134,000 $147 67
1115 Verlene Dr 0.48mi 3/2.0 980 (+6%) 3mo $174,900 $178 62
2052 Aristocrat Dr 0.68mi 3/1.5 960 (+4%) 1mo $89,900 $94 59
750 Blackbird Dr 0.55mi 3/1.5 1,025 (+11%) 1mo $174,900 $171 54
1865 Violet Dr 0.47mi 3/1.5 1,064 (+15%) 0mo $100,000 $94 51
460 Wren Dr 0.65mi 3/1.0 1,025 (+11%) 2mo $177,000 $173 50
660 Crabapple Ln 0.57mi 3/2.0 1,045 (+13%) 2mo $199,999 $191 46
18 Redwood Dr 0.72mi 3/2.0 1,046 (+13%) 2mo $134,000 $128 39

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.27% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
3.5%
Equity multiple
1.14×
Total profit
$4,848
Equity at exit
$19,070
10-year hold
IRR
14.2%
Equity multiple
2.21×
Total profit
$43,156
Equity at exit
$11,058

Cash invested: $35,812 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Missouri
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Generally landlord-friendly; St Louis has some habitability requirements.

ZIP-level market 63031

Rents YoY
4.3%
Active inventory
272
Price-to-rent
6.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,574 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$671
Tax from tax record
$150 /mo · $1,806/yr
Insurance
$53
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$331
Net cashflow
$369

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,107
Max offer price $127,900
Occupancy floor 72%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $442 -5% $405 +0% $369 +5% $333 +10% $297
Rent -10% $245 -5% $307 +0% $369 +5% $431 +10% $494
Rate -1.0pp $434 -0.5pp $402 base $369 +0.5pp $336 +1.0pp $302

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$31,975
Closing costs
$3,837
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 35 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
765 Babler Dr Florissant, MO 3.0 2.0 888 $1,700 $1.91 8d 1 0.09mi
4 Sharon Ct Florissant, MO 3.0 2.0 1108 $1,800 $1.62 3d 1 0.14mi
855 Daniel Boone Dr Florissant, MO 3.0 1.0 964 $1,400 $1.45 45d 1 0.15mi
470 Hundley Dr Florissant, MO 3.0 2.0 962 $1,595 $1.66 45d 1 0.26mi
1015 Lindsay Ln Florissant, MO 3.0 2.0 988 $1,600 $1.62 25d 1 0.55mi
1095 Humes Ln Florissant, MO 3.0 1.5 1100 $1,650 $1.50 5d 1 0.63mi
3 Champlain Ct Florissant, MO 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,600 $1.45 45d 1 0.71mi
1540 Aspen Dr Florissant, MO 3.0 2.0 912 $1,395 $1.53 8d 1 0.72mi
9 Saint Celeste Dr Florissant, MO 3.0 1.0 992 $1,450 $1.46 45d 1 0.75mi
13 Bruce Dr Florissant, MO 2.0 1.0 880 $975 $1.11 25d 1 0.78mi
13 Bruce Dr Unit Bruce 13-2 Florissant, MO 2.0 1.0 880 $975 $1.11 45d 1 0.78mi
10 Saint Celeste Dr Florissant, MO 2.0 1.0 716 $1,290 $1.80 13d 1 0.78mi
14 Bruce Dr Unit Bruce 14-4 Florissant, MO 2.0 1.0 880 $975 $1.11 45d 1 0.79mi
1710 Kay Dr Florissant, MO 3.0 1.0 960 $1,500 $1.56 3d 1 0.80mi
155 Reeb Ln Apt 2 Florissant, MO 2.0 1.0 850 $995 $1.17 45d 1 0.90mi
167 Reeb Ln Florissant, MO 1.0–2.0 1.0 850 $1,300 $1.53 3d 4 0.93mi
330 Moule Dr Florissant, MO 3.0 1.0 1014 $1,575 $1.55 45d 1 0.93mi
785 Florland Dr Florissant, MO 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,700 $1.55 19d 1 0.98mi
2160 Splendor Dr Florissant, MO 3.0 2.0 1100 $1,800 $1.64 4d 1 0.98mi
21 Quick Dr Apt 3 Florissant, MO 2.0 1.0 850 $995 $1.17 25d 1 1.01mi
21 Quick Dr Apt 1 Florissant, MO 2.0 1.0 850 $1,100 $1.29 45d 1 1.01mi
23 Quick Dr Apt 2 Florissant, MO 2.0 1.0 850 $1,100 $1.29 45d 1 1.03mi
651 Southwell Ln Florissant, MO 2.0 1.0 694 $1,100 $1.59 19d 1 1.09mi
1045 N New Florissant Rd Florissant, MO 2.0 1.0 783 $1,250 $1.60 16d 1 1.14mi
1315 Bobolink Dr Florissant, MO 3.0 2.0 1025 $1,700 $1.66 13d 1 1.15mi
1983 Greenheath Dr Florissant, MO 3.0 2.0 1040 $1,331 $1.28 4d 1 1.15mi
1004 N New Florissant Rd Florissant, MO 2.0 1.0 719 $1,375 $1.91 25d 1 1.17mi
775 Sherwood Dr Florissant, MO 3.0 1.0 1023 $1,690 $1.65 45d 1 1.20mi
305 S Lafayette St Florissant, MO 3.0 1.0 864 $1,409 $1.63 17d 1 1.22mi
840 Dawnview Ct Florissant, MO 3.0 1.5 750 $900 $1.20 25d 1 1.27mi
858 Hazelvalley Dr Hazelwood, MO 3.0 1.5 912 $1,450 $1.59 45d 1 1.37mi
1545 Swan Dr Florissant, MO 3.0 1.0 1064 $1,590 $1.49 8d 1 1.39mi
1095 Cedar Pl Florissant, MO 3.0 1.5 1107 $1,710 $1.54 3d 1 1.41mi
2857 Dawnview Dr Florissant, MO 3.0 1.0 890 $1,325 $1.49 8d 1 1.44mi
2942 Chance Dr Florissant, MO 3.0 1.0 912 $1,700 $1.86 13d 1 1.50mi

Listing history 31 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $127,900 Active 143 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $127,900 Active 140 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $127,900 Active 139 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $127,900 Active 138 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $127,900 Active 137 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $127,900 Active 135 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $127,900 Active 134 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $127,900 Active 131 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $127,900 Active 130 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $127,900 Active 129 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $127,900 Active 126 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $127,900 Active 125 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $127,900 Active 124 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $127,900 Active 123 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $127,900 Active 122 DOM
  16. 2026-04-23
    price $127,900 117-char remark
    Show marketing remark (117 chars)

    Ranch with 3 bedrooms and 1 bathroom in the heart of Florissant. Ready for its next chapter and your personal touch.

  17. 2026-03-12
    price $134,900 117-char remark
    Show marketing remark (117 chars)

    Ranch with 3 bedrooms and 1 bathroom in the heart of Florissant. Ready for its next chapter and your personal touch.

  18. 2026-01-29
    listed $139,900 Active 117-char remark
    Show marketing remark (117 chars)

    Ranch with 3 bedrooms and 1 bathroom in the heart of Florissant. Ready for its next chapter and your personal touch.

  19. 2025-03-31
    status Active
  20. 2025-02-21
    status Pending
  21. 2025-01-05
    status Active
  22. 2024-12-17
    status Pending
  23. 2024-12-14
    listed $129,000 Active
  24. 2023-03-27
    soldstatus $138,000
  25. 2017-05-08
    soldstatus $65,000
  26. 2016-10-18
    soldstatus $36,000
  27. 2010-03-30
    soldstatus $101,000
  28. 2005-08-01
    soldstatus $100,000
  29. 2002-05-02
    soldstatus $86,800
  30. 1996-08-01
    soldstatus $52,900
  31. 1983-05-01
    soldstatus $40,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,806 · $150/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,806 · $150/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (shaded) · 75% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,892
− Mortgage interest
−$7,164
− Property taxes
−$1,806
− Insurance
−$640
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,511
− Management
−$1,511
− Depreciation
−$3,721
Taxable income
$2,539
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$609
After-tax cash flow
$3,822/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Hazelwood
NCES district ID
2913830
Math proficiency
11% ▼ -13.00%
Reading proficiency
26% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$51,621
Composite
16.77/100
National rank
#9156
State rank
#306 of 324 in MO

Livability — Florissant

Score
73/100
State rank
#82
US rank
#5406

Category grades

Amenities D+ Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C- Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety B+ User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Florissant, MO
County
Saint Louis County · 888,823 people
City population
69,104
Metro
St. Louis, MO-IL
Population (ZIP)
50,196
Household income
$70,811
Rent vs Own
27.7% rent · 72.3% own
Severe rent burden
1279.0

Population outlook (St. Louis County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,025,227 people
By 2030
1,028,023 · +0.3%
By 2040
1,020,940 · -0.4%
By 2050
1,007,280 · -1.8%
By 2075
987,277 · -3.7%
By 2100
921,984 · -10.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
Race & ethnicity
White 49% Black 41% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Lithuanian 3% Swedish 1%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 2% Arabic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · St. Louis

2024 margin
Strong D (+23.4) · D 60.8% · R 37.4% · Other 1.7%
2008→2024 swing
+3.5pp toward D · 2008: 19.9pp · 2024: 23.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+23.4 2020: D+24.0 2016: D+16.2 2012: D+13.7 2008: D+19.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -223.57%
Current HPI
202.7192
Rent YoY
▲ 4.27%
Metro
St. Louis, MO-IL
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.84%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+212.7% since first listed
16 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-23 Price Changed $127,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-12 Price Changed $134,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-29 Listed $139,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-03-31 Relisted MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-02-21 Pending MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-01-05 Relisted MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-12-17 Pending MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-12-14 Listed $129,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-03-27 Sold (Public Records) $138,000 Public Records
  • 2017-05-08 Sold (Public Records) $65,000 Public Records
  • 2016-10-18 Sold (Public Records) $36,000 Public Records
  • 2010-03-30 Sold (Public Records) $101,000 Public Records
  • 2005-08-01 Sold (Public Records) $100,000 Public Records
  • 2002-05-02 Sold (Public Records) $86,800 Public Records
  • 1996-08-01 Sold (Public Records) $52,900 Public Records
  • 1983-05-01 Sold (Public Records) $40,900 Public Records

Property tax history

+1.5%/yr

Latest (2022): $1,806 · +2.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…