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250 &300 Hicks Ramsey Rd
C- Composite 50.31
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +16.2/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.7/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.1/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$130,000

250 &300 Hicks Ramsey Rd · Monticello, KY 42633
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,216 sqft · SingleFamily · 112 Days on market
Built 2003 2.38 ac lot $107/sqft · 50% below area Est $258k · 50% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Rare opportunity to own two homes on one 2.38 acre parcel, offered together for one price and selling as-is. Perfect for investors, multi-generational living, rental potential, or buyers looking to downsize while maintaing extra space. The property includes a 3-BR, 2 bath mobile home and a 3BR, 1bath stick built home. Also a lot in between already equipped with electric and septic perfect for parking an RV or , building timy home. With rwo sepeate residences. the possibilities are endless--- live in one and rent the other, renovate for income, or create a private family compound. Nestled in the roing hills of Central Kentucky, the land offers a mix of open rolling terrain and wooded areas. Enjoy the quiet country setting while being iwithin reach of local amenities. Approximately 2 miles from nearest boat ramp on Lake Cumlerland. Call 270-403-8379 to view,

Key facts

  • Open rolling terrain
  • Wooded areas
  • 2.38 acre lot

Tags

TWO HOMES ON ONE PARCEL3BR 2 BATH MOBILE HOME3BR 1 BATH STICK BUILT HOMEQUIET COUNTRY SETTINGOPEN ROLLING TERRAINWOODED AREAS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $130k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $69 ($834/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $113k (13.2% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $113k (13.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.9% vs local median 3.9% in Monticello — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 65/100 on livability (#265 in KY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Wayne County (town): math 20% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #142 of 165 in KY (top 86%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 192 active listings in the ZIP.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $899 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Wayne County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 112 days — a 9% lower offer ($118k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $35k; list at $130k implies a 271% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $112,889 (13.2% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 112 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 13% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.87%
Cap rate
6.93%
Cash-on-cash
2.29%
DSCR
1.10
GRM
9.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$258,000
List price
$130,000
Delta
-49.61%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
3 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-12.7%
Equity multiple
0.54×
Total profit
$-16,671
Equity at exit
$19,383
10-year hold
IRR
-3.7%
Equity multiple
0.75×
Total profit
$-8,940
Equity at exit
$11,240

Cash invested: $36,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Kentucky
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit (URLTA cities); generally landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 42633

Home prices YoY
-11.3%
Active inventory
192
Price-to-rent
9.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,129 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$682
Tax from tax record
$86 /mo · $1,037/yr
Insurance
$54
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$237
Net cashflow
$69

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,041
Max offer price $130,000
Occupancy floor 89%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $143 -5% $106 +0% $69 +5% $33 +10% $-4
Rent -10% $-20 -5% $25 +0% $69 +5% $114 +10% $159
Rate -1.0pp $135 -0.5pp $103 base $69 +0.5pp $36 +1.0pp $2

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$32,500
Closing costs
$3,900
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 7 events

  1. 2026-05-05
    status Pending 870-char remark
    Show marketing remark (870 chars)

    Rare opportunity to own two homes on one 2.38 acre parcel, offered together for one price and selling as-is. Perfect for investors, multi-generational living, rental potential, or buyers looking to downsize while maintaing extra space. The property includes a 3-BR, 2 bath mobile home and a 3BR, 1bath stick built home. Also a lot in between already equipped with electric and septic perfect for parking an RV or , building timy home. With rwo sepeate residences. the possibilities are endless--- live in one and rent the other, renovate for income, or create a private family compound. Nestled in the roing hills of Central Kentucky, the land offers a mix of open rolling terrain and wooded areas. Enjoy the quiet country setting while being iwithin reach of local amenities. Approximately 2 miles from nearest boat ramp on Lake Cumlerland. Call 270-403-8379 to view,

  2. 2026-03-24
    price $130,000 870-char remark
    Show marketing remark (870 chars)

    Rare opportunity to own two homes on one 2.38 acre parcel, offered together for one price and selling as-is. Perfect for investors, multi-generational living, rental potential, or buyers looking to downsize while maintaing extra space. The property includes a 3-BR, 2 bath mobile home and a 3BR, 1bath stick built home. Also a lot in between already equipped with electric and septic perfect for parking an RV or , building timy home. With rwo sepeate residences. the possibilities are endless--- live in one and rent the other, renovate for income, or create a private family compound. Nestled in the roing hills of Central Kentucky, the land offers a mix of open rolling terrain and wooded areas. Enjoy the quiet country setting while being iwithin reach of local amenities. Approximately 2 miles from nearest boat ramp on Lake Cumlerland. Call 270-403-8379 to view,

  3. 2026-01-13
    listed $149,900 Active 870-char remark
    Show marketing remark (870 chars)

    Rare opportunity to own two homes on one 2.38 acre parcel, offered together for one price and selling as-is. Perfect for investors, multi-generational living, rental potential, or buyers looking to downsize while maintaing extra space. The property includes a 3-BR, 2 bath mobile home and a 3BR, 1bath stick built home. Also a lot in between already equipped with electric and septic perfect for parking an RV or , building timy home. With rwo sepeate residences. the possibilities are endless--- live in one and rent the other, renovate for income, or create a private family compound. Nestled in the roing hills of Central Kentucky, the land offers a mix of open rolling terrain and wooded areas. Enjoy the quiet country setting while being iwithin reach of local amenities. Approximately 2 miles from nearest boat ramp on Lake Cumlerland. Call 270-403-8379 to view,

  4. 2006-03-08
    soldstatus $35,000
  5. 2006-03-08
    soldstatus $25,000
  6. 2001-10-01
    soldstatus $9,500
  7. 1982-09-01
    soldstatus $7,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast KY · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,037 · $86/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,118 · $93/mo
Expected delta
+$81/yr (+$7/mo · 7.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 3/10 Moderate 5% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,547
− Mortgage interest
−$7,282
− Property taxes
−$1,037
− Insurance
−$650
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,084
− Management
−$1,084
− Depreciation
−$3,782
Taxable loss
−$1,372
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$329
After-tax cash flow
$1,163/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Wayne County
NCES district ID
2105790
Math proficiency
20% ▼ -21.00%
Reading proficiency
33% ▼ -21.00%
Median HH income
$30,391
Composite
21.38/100
National rank
#8358
State rank
#142 of 165 in KY

Livability — Monticello

Score
65/100
State rank
#265
US rank
#12963

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
18,609

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
19,477 people
By 2030
18,776 · -3.6%
By 2040
17,199 · -11.7%
By 2050
15,602 · -19.9%
By 2075
11,883 · -39.0%
By 2100
8,300 · -57.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (92%)
Race & ethnicity
White 92% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 3% Black 1%
Common ancestry
Slovak 1% Iranian 1% Scottish 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Wayne

2024 margin
Solid R (+66.0) · D 16.5% · R 82.5%
2008→2024 swing
-28.9pp toward R · 2008: -37.1pp · 2024: -66.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+66.0 2020: R+62.0 2016: R+61.8 2012: R+47.6 2008: R+37.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -29.14%
Current HPI
227.5936
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.81%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in KY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+1757.1% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-05 Pending HKARMLS
  • 2026-03-24 Price Changed $130,000 HKARMLS
  • 2026-01-13 Listed $149,900 HKARMLS
  • 2006-03-08 Sold (Public Records) $25,000 Public Records
  • 2006-03-08 Sold (Public Records) $35,000 Public Records
  • 2001-10-01 Sold (Public Records) $9,500 Public Records
  • 1982-09-01 Sold (Public Records) $7,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+5.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,037 · +53.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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