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4928 Robin Hood Dr
B Composite 72.89
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +29.7/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.6/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.6/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$159,500

4928 Robin Hood Dr · New Orleans, LA 70128
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,522 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 89 Days on market
Built 1983 $63/sqft · 32% below area Est $223k · 29% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

NICE SPACIOUS 4 BEDROOM 2 BATH, LARGE DEN, DRIVEWAY, FENCE BACKYARD, HOUSE BEING SOLD AS IS.

Key facts

  • Parking
  • Built 1983
  • Listed 88 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $160k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $513 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $160k).
  • Recommended offer: $150k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 10.7% vs local median 4.4% in New Orleans — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 81/100 on livability (#3 in LA, #1,383 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime C-, employment D.
  • Orleans Parish (urban): math 11% / reading 27% proficiency, ranked #69 of 98 in LA (top 70%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 105 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 710 units permitted in Orleans Parish in 2024 (244 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Orleans County population projected at +61% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $45k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 89 days — a 6% lower offer ($150k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 11 sale attempts since 19y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $149,930 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 89 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.26%
Cap rate
10.65%
Cash-on-cash
15.56%
DSCR
1.69
GRM
6.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$223,134
List price
$159,500
Delta
-28.52%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
4937 Robin Hood Dr 0.03mi 3/2.0 (-1) 2,545 (+1%) 16mo $210,000 $83 78
11276 Notaway Ln 0.37mi 4/2.5 2,461 (-2%) 21mo $275,000 $112 59
11210 S Idlewood Ct 0.34mi 3/2.0 (-1) 2,253 (-11%) 8mo $215,000 $95 55
11280 Fernley Dr 0.43mi 4/2.0 2,690 (+7%) 18mo $277,000 $103 54
5042 Par Four Dr 0.55mi 4/3.5 2,618 (+4%) 14mo $370,000 $141 51
11404 Melvin Pl 0.69mi 3/2.5 (-1) 2,443 (-3%) 7mo $295,000 $121 50
5301 E Idlewood Ct 0.46mi 3/2.0 (-1) 2,168 (-14%) 5mo $70,000 $32 46
11404 N Easterlyn Cir 0.57mi 4/3.0 2,318 (-8%) 19mo $375,000 $162 40
11420 S Easterlyn Cir 0.62mi 4/2.0 2,800 (+11%) 16mo $405,000 $145 40

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
4.0%
Equity multiple
1.15×
Total profit
$6,829
Equity at exit
$23,782
10-year hold
IRR
13.5%
Equity multiple
2.08×
Total profit
$48,056
Equity at exit
$13,791

Cash invested: $44,660 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Louisiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; no state rent control; civil-law jurisdiction; landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 70128

Home prices YoY
-5.9%
Active inventory
105
Price-to-rent
6.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,009 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$836
Tax from tax record
$105 /mo · $1,256/yr
Insurance
$66
Flood insurance flood zone
−$66 /mo · $798/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$422
Net cashflow
$513

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,359
Max offer price $159,500
Occupancy floor 69%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $603 -5% $558 +0% $513 +5% $468 +10% $423
Rent -10% $354 -5% $433 +0% $513 +5% $592 +10% $671
Rate -1.0pp $593 -0.5pp $553 base $513 +0.5pp $471 +1.0pp $429

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$39,875
Closing costs
$4,785
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
5000 Cardenas Dr New Orleans, LA 3.0 2.0 1800 $1,920 $1.07 24d 1 0.73mi
5754 Louis Prima Dr E New Orleans, LA 3.0 2.5 2069 $2,195 $1.06 24d 1 0.87mi
10951 Roger Dr Unit B New Orleans, LA 3.0 2.5 2048 $1,850 $0.90 24d 1 1.45mi

Listing history 24 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $159,500 Active 89 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $159,500 Active 88 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $159,500 Active 87 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    pricestatus $159,500 Active 86 DOM
  5. 2026-04-29
    status Active 92-char remark
    Show marketing remark (92 chars)

    NICE SPACIOUS 4 BEDROOM 2 BATH, LARGE DEN, DRIVEWAY, FENCE BACKYARD, HOUSE BEING SOLD AS IS.

  6. 2026-04-29
    status Active 92-char remark
    Show marketing remark (92 chars)

    NICE SPACIOUS 4 BEDROOM 2 BATH, LARGE DEN, DRIVEWAY, FENCE BACKYARD, HOUSE BEING SOLD AS IS.

  7. 2026-03-18
    status Pending 92-char remark
    Show marketing remark (92 chars)

    NICE SPACIOUS 4 BEDROOM 2 BATH, LARGE DEN, DRIVEWAY, FENCE BACKYARD, HOUSE BEING SOLD AS IS.

  8. 2026-03-18
    status Pending 92-char remark
    Show marketing remark (92 chars)

    NICE SPACIOUS 4 BEDROOM 2 BATH, LARGE DEN, DRIVEWAY, FENCE BACKYARD, HOUSE BEING SOLD AS IS.

  9. 2026-01-19
    listed $165,000 Active 92-char remark
    Show marketing remark (92 chars)

    NICE SPACIOUS 4 BEDROOM 2 BATH, LARGE DEN, DRIVEWAY, FENCE BACKYARD, HOUSE BEING SOLD AS IS.

  10. 2026-01-19
    listed $165,000 Active 92-char remark
    Show marketing remark (92 chars)

    NICE SPACIOUS 4 BEDROOM 2 BATH, LARGE DEN, DRIVEWAY, FENCE BACKYARD, HOUSE BEING SOLD AS IS.

  11. 2025-07-17
    listed $169,500 Active
  12. 2018-10-09
    soldstatus $158,345
  13. 2018-10-04
    soldstatus $158,345 Sold
  14. 2018-08-06
    status Under Contract
  15. 2018-04-10
    listed $164,500 Active
  16. 2018-04-10
    listed $164,500
  17. 2018-02-17
    historical
  18. 2017-10-31
    price $168,500
  19. 2017-08-21
    listed $179,000 Active
  20. 2017-08-16
    listed $168,500
  21. 2007-08-08
    soldstatus $70,000
  22. 2007-05-11
    listed $75,000
  23. 2007-05-11
    listed $75,000
  24. 1990-01-09
    soldstatus $87,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,256 · $105/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,256 · $105/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (shaded) · 60% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$24,103
− Mortgage interest
−$8,934
− Property taxes
−$1,256
− Insurance
−$1,595
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,928
− Management
−$1,928
− Depreciation
−$4,640
Taxable income
$3,822
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$917
After-tax cash flow
$5,237/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Orleans Parish
NCES district ID
2201170
Math proficiency
11% ▼ -52.00%
Reading proficiency
27% ▼ -46.00%
Median HH income
$37,011
Composite
15.78/100
National rank
#9271
State rank
#69 of 98 in LA

Livability — New Orleans

Score
81/100
State rank
#3
US rank
#1383

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living B+ Crime C- Employment D Housing B- Health & safety A+ User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
New Orleans, LA
City population
338,817
Population (ZIP)
22,973

Population outlook (Orleans County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
513,025 people
By 2030
575,781 · +12.2%
By 2040
700,174 · +36.5%
By 2050
826,541 · +61.1%
By 2075
1,123,374 · +119.0%
By 2100
1,355,609 · +164.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (86%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 86% Asian 5% White 4% Two or more races 3%
Foreign-born
4% · Vietnam, Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Vietnamese 4% Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Orleans

2024 margin
Solid D (+67.0) · D 82.2% · R 15.2% · Other 2.7%
2008→2024 swing
+6.7pp toward D · 2008: 60.3pp · 2024: 67.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+67.0 2020: D+68.2 2016: D+66.2 2012: D+62.5 2008: D+60.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -15.51%
Current HPI
247.7131
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.29%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+88.6% since first listed
20 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-29 Relisted AcadianaMLS
  • 2026-04-29 Relisted GSREIN
  • 2026-03-18 Pending AcadianaMLS
  • 2026-03-18 Pending GSREIN
  • 2026-01-19 Listed $165,000 GSREIN
  • 2026-01-19 Listed $165,000 AcadianaMLS
  • 2025-07-17 Listed $169,500 AcadianaMLS
  • 2018-10-09 Sold (Public Records) $158,345 Public Records
  • 2018-10-04 Sold (MLS) $158,345 GSREIN
  • 2018-08-06 Pending GSREIN
  • 2018-04-10 Listed $164,500 AcadianaMLS
  • 2018-04-10 Listed $164,500 GSREIN
  • 2018-02-17 Listing Removed GSREIN
  • 2017-10-31 Price Changed $168,500 GSREIN
  • 2017-08-21 Listed $179,000 GSREIN
  • 2017-08-16 Listed $168,500 AcadianaMLS
  • 2007-08-08 Sold (MLS) $70,000 GSREIN
  • 2007-05-11 Listed $75,000 GSREIN
  • 2007-05-11 Listed $75,000 AcadianaMLS
  • 1990-01-09 Sold (Public Records) $87,500 Public Records

Property tax history

+5.4%/yr

Latest (2026): $1,256 · -5.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…