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8 Shutesbury Rd
D+ Composite 47.0
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +6.2/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.8/5.0
  • DSCR +4.6/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.9/10.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$280,000

8 Shutesbury Rd · Pelham, MA 01002
2 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,067 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 30 Days on market
Built 1910 0.65 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Pelham—3 Bedroom, 1 Bath newly renovated Cape on quiet road 7 miles from Amherst Center. Light and airy, this charming home boasts a brand new kitchen, new bathroom with whirlpool tub, and new flooring throughout. Also featured are an enclosed sun-room with sliders to back yard, and a freshly painted interior. Newer washer and dryer on first floor. Convenient for commuting, easy route to Rt. 2 and 202, yet in the Amherst/Pelham school system. Wood, pellet or gas stove to be added. New septic.

Key facts

  • Spacious kitchen
  • Open study
  • Bright living room

Tags

ENCLOSED FRONT PORCHBRIGHT LIVING ROOMOPEN STUDYSPACIOUS KITCHENREAR FAMILY ROOM3-SEASON SUNROOM

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Not a senior community

Exterior

  • Parking: Off-street open parking (5 spaces); Unpaved parking area
  • Utilities: Private water; Private sewer (inspection required for sale); Public road frontage on a paved, public-maintained road
  • Home design: Single family residence; Approximate year built (public records); White exterior
  • Construction: Frame construction; Block foundation; Shingle roof
  • Exterior features: Level lot; Porch - enclosed; Patio - enclosed; Storage

Interior

  • Kitchen: Range; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Master bedroom on the second floor; Second bedroom on the second floor
  • Flooring: Vinyl; Carpet
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom (primary bathroom on the first floor)
  • Heating & cooling: Electric baseboard heating
  • Interior features: Six total rooms; Crawl space basement with bulkhead and concrete foundation; Basement has a sump pump; Unfinished basement; Enclosed porch and enclosed patio; Storage
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry on the first floor; Electric water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $280k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $85 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $250k (10.6% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $250k (10.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Pelham (suburban): math 65% / reading 70% proficiency, ranked #75 of 371 in MA (top 20%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 12% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+9.3%/yr); 53 active listings in the ZIP; 349 units permitted in Hampshire County in 2024 (185 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 42% of the median local income ($71k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Hampshire County population projected at +5% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 30 days — a 2% lower offer ($276k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 25y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $154k; list at $280k implies a 81% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $250,267 (10.6% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.89%
Cap rate
6.66%
Cash-on-cash
1.30%
DSCR
1.06
GRM
9.3

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-8.9%
Equity multiple
0.66×
Total profit
$-26,710
Equity at exit
$41,749
10-year hold
IRR
6.2%
Equity multiple
1.56×
Total profit
$43,970
Equity at exit
$24,209

Cash invested: $78,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
20 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State Massachusetts
20 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Cambridge / Boston historically rent-controlled (preempted 1994 but consideration ongoing); strong tenant protections; court backlogs.

ZIP-level market 01002

Rents YoY
9.3%
Active inventory
53
Price-to-rent
9.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,503 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,468
Tax from tax record
$307 /mo · $3,683/yr
Insurance
$117
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$526
Net cashflow
$85

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,395
Max offer price $280,000
Occupancy floor 92%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$70,000
Closing costs
$8,400
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 24 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $280,000 Active 30 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $280,000 Active 29 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $280,000 Active 28 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $280,000 Active 27 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $280,000 Active 25 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $280,000 Active 24 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $280,000 Active 22 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $280,000 Active 21 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $280,000 Active 20 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $280,000 Active 19 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $280,000 Active 16 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $280,000 Active 15 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $280,000 Active 14 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $280,000 Active 13 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $280,000 Active 12 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $280,000 Active 11 DOM
  17. 2026-05-19
    listed $280,000 New
  18. 2013-02-14
    soldstatus $154,500 503-char remark
    Show marketing remark (503 chars)

    Pelham—3 Bedroom, 1 Bath newly renovated Cape on quiet road 7 miles from Amherst Center. Light and airy, this charming home boasts a brand new kitchen, new bathroom with whirlpool tub, and new flooring throughout. Also featured are an enclosed sun-room with sliders to back yard, and a freshly painted interior. Newer washer and dryer on first floor. Convenient for commuting, easy route to Rt. 2 and 202, yet in the Amherst/Pelham school system. Wood, pellet or gas stove to be added. New septic.

  19. 2012-09-17
    listed $159,900 503-char remark
    Show marketing remark (503 chars)

    Pelham—3 Bedroom, 1 Bath newly renovated Cape on quiet road 7 miles from Amherst Center. Light and airy, this charming home boasts a brand new kitchen, new bathroom with whirlpool tub, and new flooring throughout. Also featured are an enclosed sun-room with sliders to back yard, and a freshly painted interior. Newer washer and dryer on first floor. Convenient for commuting, easy route to Rt. 2 and 202, yet in the Amherst/Pelham school system. Wood, pellet or gas stove to be added. New septic.

  20. 2012-07-27
    soldstatus $14,000 309-char remark
    Show marketing remark (309 chars)

    Three bedroom in Pelham, needs work, but good opportunity. Sold 'As-is'. Failed Title 5, Seller offering 3% seller paid points towards a permanent interest rate buy down with Prospect Mortgage. Buyer must be pre-approved or have proof of funds prior to submission of the offer to purchase (purchase contract).

  21. 2010-09-01
    listed $39,900 309-char remark
    Show marketing remark (309 chars)

    Three bedroom in Pelham, needs work, but good opportunity. Sold 'As-is'. Failed Title 5, Seller offering 3% seller paid points towards a permanent interest rate buy down with Prospect Mortgage. Buyer must be pre-approved or have proof of funds prior to submission of the offer to purchase (purchase contract).

  22. 2001-07-02
    soldstatus $97,900
  23. 2001-06-28
    soldstatus $97,900
  24. 2001-02-09
    listed $94,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$3,683 · $307/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,683 · $307/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 16% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$30,032
− Mortgage interest
−$15,684
− Property taxes
−$3,683
− Insurance
−$1,400
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,403
− Management
−$2,403
− Depreciation
−$8,145
Taxable loss
−$3,686
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$885
After-tax cash flow
$1,907/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Pelham
NCES district ID
2509390
Math proficiency
65% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
70% ▲ 5.00%
Median HH income
$84,973
Composite
61.93/100
National rank
#1485
State rank
#75 of 371 in MA

Livability — Pelham

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

County
Hampshire County · 76,035 people
Metro
Springfield, MA
Population (ZIP)
26,370
Household income
$70,818
Rent vs Own
53.1% rent · 46.9% own
Severe rent burden
2123.0

Population outlook (Hampshire County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
166,577 people
By 2030
168,928 · +1.4%
By 2040
171,197 · +2.8%
By 2050
175,542 · +5.4%
By 2075
199,884 · +20.0%
By 2100
211,819 · +27.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (71%)
Race & ethnicity
White 71% Two or more races 11% Hispanic / Latino 9% Asian 8% Black 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 3% Dominican 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 5% Lithuanian 3% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
15% · Canada, China, South Korea
Languages at home
80% English-only · Spanish 6% Other Indo-European 4% Chinese 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Hampshire

2024 margin
Solid D (+41.9) · D 69.5% · R 27.6% · Other 2.9%
2008→2024 swing
-3.6pp toward R · 2008: 45.6pp · 2024: 41.9pp
All cycles
2024: D+41.9 2020: D+46.8 2016: D+39.5 2012: D+43.8 2008: D+45.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -193.66%
Current HPI
294.492
Rent YoY
▲ 9.32%
Metro
Springfield, MA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.28%
F500 in state
38

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+195.0% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-19 Listed $280,000 MLS PIN
  • 2013-02-14 Sold (MLS) $154,500 MLS PIN
  • 2012-09-17 Listed $159,900 MLS PIN
  • 2012-07-27 Sold (MLS) $14,000 MLS PIN
  • 2010-09-01 Listed $39,900 MLS PIN
  • 2001-07-02 Sold (MLS) $97,900 MLS PIN
  • 2001-06-28 Sold (Public Records) $97,900 Public Records
  • 2001-02-09 Listed $94,900 MLS PIN

Property tax history

-0.0%/yr

Latest (2023): $3,683 · -0.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…