259 E 3rd St · Ashland, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $2,026 – $9,024
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +5.8/10.0
- Rent growth +4.3/5.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$89,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Hud Case # 412-974385 This property was built in 1901. This home features 3 bedrooms upstairs with a potential fourth bedroom that is currently being used as a second-floor laundry room, 1.5 bathrooms, with 1,590 sq. ft. of living space. Interior includes hardwood floors, walk up attic for extra storage or could be turned into extra living space. Fence rear yard. Street Parking.
Key facts
- Walk up attic
- Street parking
- Hardwood floors
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; 2 stories
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Composition roof
- Exterior features: Fenced yard; Level lot
Interior
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced-air heating; Natural gas heating
- Interior features: Electric water heater; Full basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $89k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $57 ($684/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $89k).
- Recommended offer: $86k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 13.3% vs local median 3.8% in Ashland — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#373 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B+; Watch: employment C-, amenities D-, commute F.
- Ashland City (town): math 70% / reading 69% proficiency, ranked #165 of 656 in OH (top 25%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.1%/yr); 122 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 61 units permitted in Ashland County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $615 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Ashland County population projected at -13% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 7.1% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 41 days — a 3% lower offer ($86k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 6y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $17k (16%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $460/mo; built in 1901 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 41 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1901 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.56% ✓
- Cap rate
- 13.27%
- Cash-on-cash
- 24.92%
- DSCR
- 2.11
- GRM
- 5.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $192,390
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 347 East 4th St | 0.14mi | 3/1.5 | 1,442 (-9%) | 5mo | $100,000 | $69 | 71 |
| 113 E Liberty St | 0.35mi | 3/2.0 | 1,660 (+4%) | 4mo | $65,000 | $39 | 69 |
| 827 Orange St | 0.45mi | 3/1.5 | 1,664 (+5%) | 6mo | $231,900 | $139 | 65 |
| 224 Freer Ct | 0.54mi | 3/1.0 | 1,548 (-3%) | 8mo | $220,000 | $142 | 63 |
| 716 Ohio 302 | 0.62mi | 3/1.0 | 1,534 (-4%) | 2mo | $75,000 | $49 | 63 |
| 232 High St | 0.66mi | 3/2.0 | 1,594 (+0%) | 6mo | $182,500 | $114 | 60 |
| 208 High St | 0.63mi | 3/2.0 | 1,528 (-4%) | 6mo | $185,000 | $121 | 55 |
| 416 Diamond St | 0.38mi | 3/2.0 | 1,773 (+12%) | 6mo | $229,000 | $129 | 54 |
| 518 Cherry Ave | 0.49mi | 3/2.0 | 1,439 (-10%) | 5mo | $183,700 | $128 | 53 |
| 145 College Ave | 0.57mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,516 (-5%) | 6mo | $172,500 | $114 | 50 |
| 47 Samaritan Ave | 0.73mi | 3/1.5 | 1,681 (+6%) | 8mo | $230,000 | $137 | 48 |
| 1115 Cottage St | 0.70mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,522 (-4%) | 8mo | $112,500 | $74 | 45 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 7.07% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -4.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.82×
- Total profit
- $-4,598
- Equity at exit
- $13,270
- IRR
- 11.2%
- Equity multiple
- 2.13×
- Total profit
- $28,191
- Equity at exit
- $7,695
Cash invested: $24,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 44805
- Rents YoY
- 7.1%
- Active inventory
- 122
- Price-to-rent
- 5.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,386 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$467
- Tax from tax record
- −$74 /mo · $888/yr
- Insurance
- −$37
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$460 /mo · $5,525/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$291
- Net cashflow
- $57
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $107 | -5% $82 | +0% $57 | +5% $32 | +10% $7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-52 | -5% $2 | +0% $57 | +5% $112 | +10% $167 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $102 | -0.5pp $80 | base $57 | +0.5pp $34 | +1.0pp $11 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $22,250
- Closing costs
- $2,670
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 6 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 917 Birch St Ashland, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1116 | $1,175 | $1.05 | 44d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 606 Edgehill Ave Ashland, OH | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1858 | $1,850 | $1.00 | 44d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 200 Race St Unit 200 Ashland, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1532 | $735 | $0.48 | 44d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 510 Broad St Ashland, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1681 | $1,650 | $0.98 | 45d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 332 Sloan Ave Ashland, OH | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1120 | $1,300 | $1.16 | 44d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 1436 Eagle Way Ashland, OH | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1017 | $1,295 | $1.27 | 44d | 1 | 1.47mi |
Listing history 12 events
-
2026-05-20status Pending 381-char remark
Show marketing remark (381 chars)
Hud Case # 412-974385 This property was built in 1901. This home features 3 bedrooms upstairs with a potential fourth bedroom that is currently being used as a second-floor laundry room, 1.5 bathrooms, with 1,590 sq. ft. of living space. Interior includes hardwood floors, walk up attic for extra storage or could be turned into extra living space. Fence rear yard. Street Parking.
-
2026-05-20status Pending
Show marketing remark (381 chars)
Hud Case # 412-974385 This property was built in 1901. This home features 3 bedrooms upstairs with a potential fourth bedroom that is currently being used as a second-floor laundry room, 1.5 bathrooms, with 1,590 sq. ft. of living space. Interior includes hardwood floors, walk up attic for extra storage or could be turned into extra living space. Fence rear yard. Street Parking.
-
2026-05-20status Active 381-char remark
Show marketing remark (381 chars)
Hud Case # 412-974385 This property was built in 1901. This home features 3 bedrooms upstairs with a potential fourth bedroom that is currently being used as a second-floor laundry room, 1.5 bathrooms, with 1,590 sq. ft. of living space. Interior includes hardwood floors, walk up attic for extra storage or could be turned into extra living space. Fence rear yard. Street Parking.
-
2026-05-19status Active
-
2026-04-24status Pending 381-char remark
Show marketing remark (381 chars)
Hud Case # 412-974385 This property was built in 1901. This home features 3 bedrooms upstairs with a potential fourth bedroom that is currently being used as a second-floor laundry room, 1.5 bathrooms, with 1,590 sq. ft. of living space. Interior includes hardwood floors, walk up attic for extra storage or could be turned into extra living space. Fence rear yard. Street Parking.
-
2026-04-24status Pending
Show marketing remark (381 chars)
Hud Case # 412-974385 This property was built in 1901. This home features 3 bedrooms upstairs with a potential fourth bedroom that is currently being used as a second-floor laundry room, 1.5 bathrooms, with 1,590 sq. ft. of living space. Interior includes hardwood floors, walk up attic for extra storage or could be turned into extra living space. Fence rear yard. Street Parking.
-
2026-04-15price $89,000
Show marketing remark (381 chars)
Hud Case # 412-974385 This property was built in 1901. This home features 3 bedrooms upstairs with a potential fourth bedroom that is currently being used as a second-floor laundry room, 1.5 bathrooms, with 1,590 sq. ft. of living space. Interior includes hardwood floors, walk up attic for extra storage or could be turned into extra living space. Fence rear yard. Street Parking.
-
2026-04-15price $89,000 381-char remark
Show marketing remark (381 chars)
Hud Case # 412-974385 This property was built in 1901. This home features 3 bedrooms upstairs with a potential fourth bedroom that is currently being used as a second-floor laundry room, 1.5 bathrooms, with 1,590 sq. ft. of living space. Interior includes hardwood floors, walk up attic for extra storage or could be turned into extra living space. Fence rear yard. Street Parking.
-
2026-03-16$106,000 Active 381-char remark
Show marketing remark (381 chars)
Hud Case # 412-974385 This property was built in 1901. This home features 3 bedrooms upstairs with a potential fourth bedroom that is currently being used as a second-floor laundry room, 1.5 bathrooms, with 1,590 sq. ft. of living space. Interior includes hardwood floors, walk up attic for extra storage or could be turned into extra living space. Fence rear yard. Street Parking.
-
2026-03-15$106,000 Active
-
2021-03-31soldstatus $94,000 693-char remark
Show marketing remark (693 chars)
Completely renovated & ready for a new owner! This two story home has the character & built-ins of a century home with tasteful updates including new carpet in October of 2020 and freshly painted a neutral gray & white throughout. Three bedrooms are upstairs with a potential fourth that is currently being used as a second floor laundry room. Walk-up attic provides great storage or has potential for extra living space! The home also has a private, fenced back yard w/ storage shed & a beautiful front porch that would be the perfect home for a swing or rockers! This is a VIP listing:sellers have provided a general home inspection and are offering a home warranty.
-
2020-11-04$99,500 693-char remark
Show marketing remark (693 chars)
Completely renovated & ready for a new owner! This two story home has the character & built-ins of a century home with tasteful updates including new carpet in October of 2020 and freshly painted a neutral gray & white throughout. Three bedrooms are upstairs with a potential fourth that is currently being used as a second floor laundry room. Walk-up attic provides great storage or has potential for extra living space! The home also has a private, fenced back yard w/ storage shed & a beautiful front porch that would be the perfect home for a swing or rockers! This is a VIP listing:sellers have provided a general home inspection and are offering a home warranty.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $888 · $74/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,138 · $95/mo
- Expected delta
- +$250/yr (+$21/mo · 28.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone AE · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,637
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,985
- − Property taxes
- −$888
- − Insurance
- −$5,970
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,331
- − Management
- −$1,331
- − Depreciation
- −$2,589
- Taxable loss
- −$457
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$110
- After-tax cash flow
- $794/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Ashland City
- NCES district ID
- 3904350
- Math proficiency
- 70% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 69% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,164
- Composite
- 58.31/100
- National rank
- #1015
- State rank
- #165 of 656 in OH
Livability — Ashland
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #373
- US rank
- #6095
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Ashland, OH
- County
- Ashland County · 30,805 people
- City population
- 30,805
- Metro
- Ashland, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 30,805
- Household income
- $68,299
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 706.0
Population outlook (Ashland County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 52,732 people
- By 2030
- 51,728 · -1.9%
- By 2040
- 48,956 · -7.2%
- By 2050
- 46,070 · -12.6%
- By 2075
- 38,945 · -26.1%
- By 2100
- 30,883 · -41.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (93%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 93% Two or more races 3% Black 2% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Romanian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · German/W. Germanic 4% Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Ashland
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+50.0) · D 24.5% · R 74.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -26.7pp toward R · 2008: -23.3pp · 2024: -50.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+50.0 2020: R+48.7 2016: R+47.8 2012: R+30.0 2008: R+23.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -196.79%
- Current HPI
- 201.96
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 7.07%
- Metro
- Ashland, OH
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
||
| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
||
| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
|
||
Price history
-10.6% since first listed12 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-20 Pending — ABOR
- 2026-05-20 Pending — MARMLS
- 2026-05-20 Relisted — ABOR
- 2026-05-19 Relisted — MARMLS
- 2026-04-24 Pending — ABOR
- 2026-04-24 Pending — MARMLS
- 2026-04-15 Price Changed $89,000 MARMLS
- 2026-04-15 Price Changed $89,000 ABOR
- 2026-03-16 Listed $106,000 ABOR
- 2026-03-15 Listed $106,000 MARMLS
- 2021-03-31 Sold (MLS) $94,000 ABOR
- 2020-11-04 Listed $99,500 ABOR
Property tax history
+1.9%/yrLatest (2025): $888 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…