881 Precision Ct · Hope Mills, NC
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $906 – $1,684
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 7/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 78.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Rent growth +3.6/5.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Schools +3.1/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$84,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
-NEWLY RENOVATED!! NEW CARPETS, PAINT and SS Appliances! Great country home location! This one has a Great Kitchen Layout, spacious, open floor-plan, 4 bedroom 2 bath home set in a cul-de-sac on a large private lot! Close to i-95, shopping, etc. Great School District -Open floor plan with large, spacious rooms. Don't miss this little beauty-Stop by Today!!
Key facts
- 0.47 acre lot
- Built 2000
- Listed 12 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Subdivision: WINDY PINES; GPS-friendly directions provided
Exterior
- Parking: No garage
- Utilities: Water from spring and well; Sewer: Other
- Home design: Manufactured home; Residential property
- Construction: Construction materials: Unknown
- Exterior features: Located on a cul-de-sac; Lot approximately 0.47 acres
Interior
- Flooring: Other flooring
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Has heating (type: Other)
- Interior features: Wood-burning fireplace (1); Crawl space basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $84k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $841 ($10k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $84k).
- Cap rate 18.3% vs local median 4.8% in Hope Mills — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#234 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety B+; Watch: crime D-, amenities F, commute F.
- Cumberland County Schools (urban): math 32% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #126 of 178 in NC (top 71%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Gray'S Creek Middle (math 33% / reading 48%, grade F, #215 of 475 statewide, top 46%, 1,126 students, 50% FRL); Gray'S Creek High (math 61% / reading 58%, grade C+, #216 of 535 statewide, top 43%, 1,395 students, 44% FRL).
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 50% at this address vs 36% district-wide (+14 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Cumberland County Schools average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.3%/yr); 317 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 1,125 units permitted in Cumberland County in 2024 (104 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($66k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $581 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.3% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 12 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 6 sale attempts since 12y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $65k; 29% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 78% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.16% ✓
- Cap rate
- 18.31%
- Cash-on-cash
- 42.91%
- DSCR
- 2.91
- GRM
- 3.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $201,096
- Comps found
- 9
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 881 Precision Ct | 0.00mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 2,052 (0%) | 0mo | $76,000 | $37 | 95 |
| 762 Precision Ct | 0.24mi | 3/2.0 | 2,015 (-2%) | 5mo | $189,900 | $94 | 82 |
| 6210 Earp Ct | 0.22mi | 3/2.0 | 1,890 (-8%) | 4mo | $185,000 | $98 | 74 |
| 6133 Earp Ct | 0.35mi | 3/2.0 | 2,121 (+3%) | 15mo | $211,000 | $99 | 66 |
| 6119 Twiggs Ct | 0.40mi | 3/2.0 | 2,076 (+1%) | 24mo | $199,000 | $96 | 60 |
| 757 Precision Ct | 0.23mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 2,280 (+11%) | 9mo | $208,000 | $91 | 59 |
| 6117 Earp Ct | 0.44mi | 3/2.0 | 1,836 (-10%) | 8mo | $199,900 | $109 | 55 |
| 550 Palindrome Ct | 0.50mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 2,164 (+6%) | 24mo | $211,000 | $98 | 43 |
| 6105 Earp Ct | 0.50mi | 3/3.0 | 1,831 (-11%) | 19mo | $199,900 | $109 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.28% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 41.2%
- Equity multiple
- 2.80×
- Total profit
- $42,365
- Equity at exit
- $12,525
- IRR
- 48.0%
- Equity multiple
- 5.93×
- Total profit
- $116,004
- Equity at exit
- $7,263
Cash invested: $23,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State North Carolina
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 28348
- Home prices YoY
- -14.0%
- Rents YoY
- 4.3%
- Active inventory
- 317
- Price-to-rent
- 3.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,818 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$441
- Tax from tax record
- −$119 /mo · $1,434/yr
- Insurance
- −$35
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$382
- Net cashflow
- $841
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $889 | -5% $865 | +0% $841 | +5% $817 | +10% $794 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $697 | -5% $769 | +0% $841 | +5% $913 | +10% $985 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $883 | -0.5pp $862 | base $841 | +0.5pp $819 | +1.0pp $797 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $21,000
- Closing costs
- $2,520
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5536 Gilcrest Sands Dr Hope Mills, NC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1421 | $1,395 | $0.98 | 24d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 5660 Bauer St Hope Mills, NC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1492 | $1,495 | $1.00 | 24d | 1 | 0.69mi |
Listing history 10 events
-
2026-05-14$84,000 Active
-
2018-05-29soldstatus $65,000 358-char remark
Show marketing remark (358 chars)
-NEWLY RENOVATED!! NEW CARPETS, PAINT and SS Appliances! Great country home location! This one has a Great Kitchen Layout, spacious, open floor-plan, 4 bedroom 2 bath home set in a cul-de-sac on a large private lot! Close to i-95, shopping, etc. Great School District -Open floor plan with large, spacious rooms. Don't miss this little beauty-Stop by Today!!
-
2018-05-18soldstatus $65,000
-
2018-02-27$65,000 358-char remark
Show marketing remark (358 chars)
-NEWLY RENOVATED!! NEW CARPETS, PAINT and SS Appliances! Great country home location! This one has a Great Kitchen Layout, spacious, open floor-plan, 4 bedroom 2 bath home set in a cul-de-sac on a large private lot! Close to i-95, shopping, etc. Great School District -Open floor plan with large, spacious rooms. Don't miss this little beauty-Stop by Today!!
-
2018-01-04$65,000
-
2017-04-20$65,000
-
2015-12-31historical
-
2014-11-26$74,900
-
2014-11-26$74,900
-
2008-03-26soldstatus $67,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,434 · $119/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,434 · $119/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 7/10 Severe 78% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,814
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,705
- − Property taxes
- −$1,434
- − Insurance
- −$420
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,745
- − Management
- −$1,745
- − Depreciation
- −$2,444
- Taxable income
- $9,321
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,237
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,856/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Cumberland County Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3700011
- Math proficiency
- 32% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 41% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,168
- Composite
- 31.0/100
- National rank
- #6096
- State rank
- #126 of 178 in NC
Livability — Hope Mills
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #234
- US rank
- #10761
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Cumberland County · 265,314 people
- City population
- 39,196
- Metro
- Fayetteville, NC
- Population (ZIP)
- 39,196
- Household income
- $66,129
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 746.0
Population outlook (Cumberland County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 330,855 people
- By 2030
- 333,523 · +0.8%
- By 2040
- 335,583 · +1.4%
- By 2050
- 335,325 · +1.4%
- By 2075
- 342,853 · +3.6%
- By 2100
- 340,698 · +3.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.67)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 49% Black 27% Hispanic / Latino 13% Two or more races 11% Asian 2% Native American 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Lithuanian 1% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, South Korea, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 90% English-only · Spanish 8% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Cumberland
- 2024 margin
- D (+13.4) · D 56.1% · R 42.7% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -4.3pp toward R · 2008: 17.7pp · 2024: 13.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+13.4 2020: D+16.6 2016: D+16.0 2012: D+19.7 2008: D+17.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -37.14%
- Current HPI
- 228.3122
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.28%
- Metro
- Fayetteville, NC
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 26
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 2 | $213B |
|
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| Retail | 2 | $95B |
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| Industrial Conglomerate | 1 | $38B |
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $30B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 1 | $19B |
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Price history
+24.4% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-14 Listed $84,000 LPRMLS
- 2018-05-29 Sold (MLS) $65,000 LPRMLS
- 2018-05-18 Sold (Public Records) $65,000 Public Records
- 2018-02-27 Listed $65,000 LPRMLS
- 2018-01-04 Listed $65,000 LPRMLS
- 2017-04-20 Listed $65,000 LPRMLS
- 2015-12-31 Listing Removed — TMLS
- 2014-11-26 Listed $74,900 LPRMLS
- 2014-11-26 Listed $74,900 TMLS
- 2008-03-26 Sold (Public Records) $67,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+6.5%/yrLatest (2025): $1,434 · +57.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…