26474 Asbury Ave · Crisfield, MD
Flood risk 10/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,737 – $8,500
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $755 – $1,403
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.1/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.5/10.0
$89,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Affordable living in the quaint waterfront community of Crisfield! Bring your imagination and update this home to fit your needs! Spacious lot to enjoy outdoor hobbies & adorable front porch to feel the breeze and relax. Located less than 2 miles from the Crisfield City Docks!
Key facts
- Adorable front porch
- Waterfront community
- Spacious lot
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Ownership: Fee simple; Lease not considered
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric hot water
- Home design: Detached structure; Finished above-grade area reported by assessor
- Construction: Combination construction materials; Crawl space foundation; Above-grade and below-grade structures
- Exterior features: Property is in a federal flood zone; Ground rent paid annually
Interior
- Bedrooms: Two bedrooms on the upper level; One bedroom on the main level
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the main level; One full bathroom total
- Heating & cooling: Electric baseboard heating; Other cooling
- Interior features: No basement; Living area reported by assessor
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $90k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-1 ($-8/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $90k (0.1% below list).
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $90k).
- Recommended offer: $90k (0.1% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
- Cap rate 12.0% vs local median 1.5% in Crisfield — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#199 in MD) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
- Somerset County Public Schools (town): math 12% / reading 23% proficiency, ranked #22 of 24 in MD (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 92 active listings in the ZIP; 49 units permitted in Somerset County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $10k of equity ($622 loan paydown + $9k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Somerset County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo; built in 1875 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1875 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.41% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.98%
- Cash-on-cash
- 20.30%
- DSCR
- 1.90
- GRM
- 5.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $157,003
- List price
- $89,900
- Delta
- -42.74%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Cove St | 0.45mi | 3/1.0 | 1,752 (+4%) | 1mo | $125,000 | $71 | 71 |
| 3310 Lawsonia Rd | 0.43mi | 3/1.5 | 1,684 (+0%) | 9mo | $150,000 | $89 | 70 |
| 3330 Sackertown Rd | 0.26mi | 3/1.0 | 1,584 (-6%) | 15mo | $122,000 | $77 | 66 |
| 16 E Chesapeake Ave | 0.42mi | 3/1.5 | 1,575 (-6%) | 4mo | $130,000 | $83 | 65 |
| 3327 Lawsonia Rd | 0.39mi | 3/2.5 | 1,644 (-2%) | 12mo | $249,900 | $152 | 63 |
| 3349 Sackertown Rd | 0.24mi | 3/2.0 | 1,540 (-8%) | 13mo | $199,900 | $130 | 60 |
| 26552 Old State Rd | 0.39mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,612 (-4%) | 9mo | $110,000 | $68 | 59 |
| 3175 Boone Rd | 0.64mi | 3/2.0 | 1,782 (+6%) | 1mo | $171,200 | $96 | 55 |
| 26545 Asbury Ave | 0.18mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,920 (+15%) | 8mo | $216,500 | $113 | 50 |
| 3221 Boone Rd | 0.62mi | 3/2.0 | 1,824 (+9%) | 6mo | $321,000 | $176 | 47 |
| 26419 Minden Ave | 0.74mi | 3/1.0 | 1,482 (-12%) | 0mo | $194,500 | $131 | 46 |
| 26830 Johnson Creek Rd | 0.70mi | 3/2.0 | 1,876 (+12%) | 9mo | $245,000 | $131 | 36 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 24.4%
- Equity multiple
- 2.95×
- Total profit
- $49,171
- Equity at exit
- $80,989
- IRR
- 21.6%
- Equity multiple
- 6.77×
- Total profit
- $145,334
- Equity at exit
- $174,656
Cash invested: $25,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 27 Tenant-Leaning
- State Maryland
- 27 Tenant-Leaning · D+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 21817
- Home prices YoY
- 7.3%
- Active inventory
- 92
- Price-to-rent
- 5.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,265 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$471
- Tax from tax record
- −$65 /mo · $777/yr
- Insurance
- −$37
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$266
- Net cashflow
- $-1
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $22,475
- Closing costs
- $2,697
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-05-07status Pending 283-char remark
-
2026-05-01$89,900 Active 283-char remark
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MD · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $777 · $65/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $879 · $73/mo
- Expected delta
- +$101/yr (+$8/mo · 13.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 10/10 Extreme FEMA zone AE · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,183
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,036
- − Property taxes
- −$777
- − Insurance
- −$5,568
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,215
- − Management
- −$1,215
- − Depreciation
- −$2,615
- Taxable loss
- −$1,243
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$298
- After-tax cash flow
- $290/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Somerset County Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2400570
- Math proficiency
- 12% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 23% ▼ -14.00%
- Median HH income
- $38,810
- Composite
- 14.73/100
- National rank
- #9396
- State rank
- #22 of 24 in MD
Livability — Crisfield
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #199
- US rank
- #9181
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 4,102
Population outlook (Somerset County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 24,474 people
- By 2030
- 23,547 · -3.8%
- By 2040
- 21,498 · -12.2%
- By 2050
- 20,427 · -16.5%
- By 2075
- 16,594 · -32.2%
- By 2100
- 12,132 · -50.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (72%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 72% Black 20% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Serbian 1% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Somerset
- 2024 margin
- R (+17.4) · D 40.2% · R 57.5% · Other 2.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -14.8pp toward R · 2008: -2.6pp · 2024: -17.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+17.4 2020: R+14.8 2016: R+17.9 2012: R+2.5 2008: R+2.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 19.92%
- Current HPI
- 292.866
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.97%
- F500 in state
- 12
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MD)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 1 | $71B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
|
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| Hotels | 1 | $24B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $7B |
|
||
| Real Estate | 1 | $6B |
|
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| Chemicals | 1 | $2B |
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Price history
2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-07 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-05-01 Listed $89,900 BRIGHT MLS
Property tax history
+0.2%/yrLatest (2025): $777 · +15.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…