58 1910 3920 S · Roy, UT
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +21.3/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +6.8/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Schools +3.2/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.4/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$109,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Step into this beautifully updated mobile home in the sought-after Northcrest community of Roy, UT. The Master Bedroom shines with complete renovations including new flooring, false ceilings, and upgraded vents. A brand-new fourth room adds flexible space for an office, guest room, or playroom, seamlessly integrated into the home. The kitchen has been fully upgraded with sleek new cabinets, a gas stove, and durable ceramic flooring, making it both stylish and practical for everyday living! Significant investments have been made in essential systems, including a $11,000 new roof, brand-new central air, and $12,000 in several upgrades including the ventilation system for both the Master and
Key facts
- Updated mobile home
- Complete renovations
- New cabinets
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Monthly association fee of $701
Exterior
- Home design: Mobile home; Built and currently standing
- Construction: Mobile construction
- Exterior features: Covered patio; Private lot; Fruit trees; Vegetable garden
Interior
- Kitchen: Microwave; Refrigerator; Gas range
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Updated kitchen; Gas range
- Laundry & utility: Electric dryer hookup
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $109k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $159 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $109k).
- Recommended offer: $96k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#32 in UT, #1,449 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, commute A; Watch: amenities F.
- Weber District (suburban): math 36% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #56 of 80 in UT (top 70%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: North Park School (math 32% / reading 32%, grade F, #419 of 585 statewide, top 72%, 467 students, 50% FRL); Sand Ridge Jr High (math 26% / reading 26%, grade F, #119 of 138 statewide, top 87%, 857 students, 40% FRL); Roy High (math 15% / reading 39%, grade F, #131 of 171 statewide, top 79%, 1,834 students, 28% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.5%/yr); 203 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,630 units permitted in Weber County in 2024 (521 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $754 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Weber County population projected at +24% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 253 days — a 12% lower offer ($96k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $36k (25%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 34% of rent.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 253 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1974 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.87% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.05%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.27%
- DSCR
- 1.28
- GRM
- 4.4
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -12.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.57×
- Total profit
- $-13,035
- Equity at exit
- $16,252
- IRR
- -15.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.36×
- Total profit
- $-19,536
- Equity at exit
- $9,424
Cash invested: $30,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 86 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Utah
- 86 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 84067
- Rents YoY
- -0.5%
- Active inventory
- 203
- Price-to-rent
- 4.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,043 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$572
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$136 /mo · $1,635/yr
- Insurance
- −$45
- HOA
- −$701
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$429
- Net cashflow
- $159
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $27,250
- Closing costs
- $3,270
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 12 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4499 S 1930 W Roy, UT | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1106 | $2,162 | $1.95 | 14d | 11 | 0.74mi |
| 3560 Midland Dr West Haven, UT | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 932 | $1,599 | $1.71 | 14d | 22 | 0.79mi |
| 3330 S Midland Dr West Haven, UT | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1000 | $1,750 | $1.75 | 14d | 3 | 0.87mi |
| 3405 S 2400 W West Haven, UT | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 978 | $1,800 | $1.84 | 23d | 5 | 0.92mi |
| 90 West Roy, UT | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1075 | $1,635 | $1.52 | 14d | 11 | 1.00mi |
| 2112 W 3300 S West Haven, UT | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 975 | $1,772 | $1.82 | 14d | 15 | 1.00mi |
| 4389 S Locomotive DR Roy, UT | 2.0–4.0 | 2.5–3.5 | 1651 | $2,750 | $1.67 | 14d | 48 | 1.15mi |
| 2914 W 3885 S West Haven, UT | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1440 | $2,395 | $1.66 | 23d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 4372 S 1000 W Unit A Riverdale, UT | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1375 | $1,725 | $1.25 | 23d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 918 W 4350 S Ogden, UT | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1800 | $2,350 | $1.31 | 23d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 832 W 4200 S Ogden, UT | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1850 | $2,245 | $1.21 | 23d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 735 3900 S Unit 1 Riverdale, UT | 3.0 | 1.0 | 975 | $1,150 | $1.18 | 23d | 1 | 1.48mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $701 · $8,412/yr
- Likely covers
- gas
Listing history 23 events
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2026-06-18days on market $109,000 Active 253 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $109,000 Active 252 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $109,000 Active 251 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $109,000 Active 250 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $109,000 Active 248 DOM
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2026-06-10days on market $109,000 Active 245 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $109,000 Active 244 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $109,000 Active 243 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $109,000 Active 242 DOM
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2026-06-05days on market $109,000 Active 239 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $109,000 Active 238 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $109,000 Active 237 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $109,000 Active 236 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $109,000 Active 235 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $109,000 Active 234 DOM
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2026-05-18price $109,000
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2026-04-08status Active
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2026-03-26historical
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2026-01-08price $110,000
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2025-11-29price $140,000
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2025-10-22status Active
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2025-10-21historical
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2025-09-26$145,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,512
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,106
- − Property taxes
- −$1,635
- − Insurance
- −$545
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,961
- − Management
- −$1,961
- − HOA
- −$8,412
- − Depreciation
- −$3,171
- Taxable income
- $721
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$173
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,740/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Weber District
- NCES district ID
- 4901200
- Math proficiency
- 36% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 35% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $65,750
- Composite
- 32.28/100
- National rank
- #5757
- State rank
- #56 of 80 in UT
Livability — Roy
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #32
- US rank
- #1449
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Roy, UT
- County
- Weber County · 260,557 people
- City population
- 38,794
- Metro
- Ogden-Clearfield, UT
- Population (ZIP)
- 38,794
- Household income
- $91,115
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 216.0
Population outlook (Weber County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 274,329 people
- By 2030
- 288,577 · +5.2%
- By 2040
- 314,848 · +14.8%
- By 2050
- 338,710 · +23.5%
- By 2075
- 384,412 · +40.1%
- By 2100
- 409,305 · +49.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (73%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 73% Hispanic / Latino 19% Two or more races 8% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 14%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 4% Italian 4% Portuguese 3%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 86% English-only · Spanish 11% Other Asian/Pacific 1% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Weber
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+23.5) · D 36.8% · R 60.3% · Other 2.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +4.1pp toward D · 2008: -27.6pp · 2024: -23.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+23.5 2020: R+22.7 2016: R+20.0 2012: R+46.0 2008: R+27.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -284.84%
- Current HPI
- 323.642
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.45%
- Metro
- Ogden-Clearfield, UT
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.54%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in UT)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $3B |
|
||
Price history
-24.8% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-18 Price Changed $109,000 WFRMLS
- 2026-04-08 Relisted — WFRMLS
- 2026-03-26 Listing Removed — WFRMLS
- 2026-01-08 Price Changed $110,000 WFRMLS
- 2025-11-29 Price Changed $140,000 WFRMLS
- 2025-10-22 Relisted — WFRMLS
- 2025-10-21 Listing Removed — WFRMLS
- 2025-09-26 Listed $145,000 WFRMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…