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2574 Baldwin St
D+ Composite 49.96
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$39,900

2574 Baldwin St · Detroit, MI 48214
6 bd · 3.0 ba · 2,526 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 202 Days on market
Built 1915 3,485 sqft lot $16/sqft · 26% below area Est $54k · 26% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This brick duplex offers over 2,500 square feet of living space with two spacious 2-bedroom, 1-bath units. The property is vacant and ready for renovation. Located near Kercheval and E Grand Blvd, with easy access to Gratiot, Mack, and Vernor, this property sits in the Islandview neighborhood known for its classic architecture and strong community presence. Zoned for residential use, this property offers strong potential for redevelopment or a new residential project. The parcels are government-owned and included in the Detroit Land Bank Authority (DLBA) program. The DLBA recommends reviewing relevant Neighborhood Framework Plans from the City of Detroit's Planning and Development Department for additional context about the neighborhood. How to Apply: Interested buyers must submit a proposal that includes: 1. Project Proposal (intended use of structure + timeline) 2. Proof of Funds (bank statement or lender letter) 3. Scope of Work (breakdown of renovation costs) 4. Proof of Previous Projects: (include addresses and photos) Important Note: Sale is contingent on execution of a DLBA Renovation/Development Agreement. The Detroit Land Bank Authority is entitled to a tax recapture for the five (5) tax years following transfer of ownership. This may be incompatible with certain abatements or lot combinations. Waiver requests will be considered on a case-by-case basis and may require a payment in lieu of taxes, determined after review of the development pro forma and financing.

Key facts

  • Brick duplex
  • 3,485 sq ft lot
  • Built 1915

Tags

BRICK DUPLEXZONED FOR RESIDENTIAL USE

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 6-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $40k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($14k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $40k).
  • Recommended offer: $35k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 40.6% vs local median 10.2% in Detroit — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
  • Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 298 active listings in the ZIP; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $1,740/mo this rent would consume 62% of the median local household income ($34k/yr) (locally 1364% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $276 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $11k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 202 days — a 12% lower offer ($35k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1915 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $35,112 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 202 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1915 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
4.36%
Cap rate
40.58%
Cash-on-cash
122.47%
DSCR
6.45
GRM
1.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$53,787
List price
$39,900
Delta
-25.82%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2468 Sheridan St 0.15mi 6/3.0 2,552 (+1%) 16mo $235,000 $92 78
2505 Baldwin St 0.07mi 5/2.5 (-1) 2,485 (-2%) 11mo $345,000 $139 78
561 E Grand Blvd 0.31mi 5/2.5 (-1) 2,497 (-1%) 0mo $230,000 $92 76
2445 Concord St 0.49mi 6/3.0 2,500 (-1%) 2mo $88,000 $35 74
2915 Seminole St 0.29mi 5/3.5 (-1) 2,716 (+8%) 1mo $657,000 $242 66
2579 Townsend St 0.08mi 5/2.5 (-1) 2,263 (-10%) 10mo $385,000 $170 63
3000 Field St 0.20mi 6/2.0 2,810 (+11%) 6mo $100,000 $36 63
853 E Grand Blvd 0.54mi 5/2.5 (-1) 2,510 (-1%) 16mo $50,000 $20 54
2256 Fischer St 0.59mi 6/2.5 2,576 (+2%) 21mo $199,000 $77 50
267 E Grand Blvd 0.72mi 5/2.0 (-1) 2,373 (-6%) 21mo $364,000 $153 30
1057 Parker St 0.72mi 5/3.5 (-1) 2,874 (+14%) 9mo $600,000 $209 29

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
6.92×
Total profit
$66,155
Equity at exit
$5,949
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
14.53×
Total profit
$151,119
Equity at exit
$3,450

Cash invested: $11,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48214

Active inventory
298
Price-to-rent
1.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,740 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$209
Tax from tax record
$8 /mo · $100/yr
Insurance
$17
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$365
Net cashflow
$1,140

Break-even live

Break-even rent $296
Max offer price $39,900
Occupancy floor 29%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$9,975
Closing costs
$1,197
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 6 events

  1. 2026-01-29
    status Active 1495-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1501 chars)

    This brick duplex offers over 2,500 square feet of living space with two spacious 2-bedroom, 1-bath units. The property is vacant and ready for renovation. Located near Kercheval and E Grand Blvd, with easy access to Gratiot, Mack, and Vernor, this property sits in the Islandview neighborhood known for its classic architecture and strong community presence. Zoned for residential use, this property offers strong potential for redevelopment or a new residential project. The parcels are government-owned and included in the Detroit Land Bank Authority (DLBA) program. The DLBA recommends reviewing relevant Neighborhood Framework Plans from the City of Detroit’s Planning and Development Department for additional context about the neighborhood. How to Apply: Interested buyers must submit a proposal that includes: 1. Project Proposal (intended use of structure + timeline) 2. Proof of Funds (bank statement or lender letter) 3. Scope of Work (breakdown of renovation costs) 4. Proof of Previous Projects: (include addresses and photos) Important Note: Sale is contingent on execution of a DLBA Renovation/Development Agreement. The Detroit Land Bank Authority is entitled to a tax recapture for the five (5) tax years following transfer of ownership. This may be incompatible with certain abatements or lot combinations. Waiver requests will be considered on a case-by-case basis and may require a payment in lieu of taxes, determined after review of the development pro forma and financing.

  2. 2026-01-29
    status Active 1501-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1501 chars)

    This brick duplex offers over 2,500 square feet of living space with two spacious 2-bedroom, 1-bath units. The property is vacant and ready for renovation. Located near Kercheval and E Grand Blvd, with easy access to Gratiot, Mack, and Vernor, this property sits in the Islandview neighborhood known for its classic architecture and strong community presence. Zoned for residential use, this property offers strong potential for redevelopment or a new residential project. The parcels are government-owned and included in the Detroit Land Bank Authority (DLBA) program. The DLBA recommends reviewing relevant Neighborhood Framework Plans from the City of Detroit’s Planning and Development Department for additional context about the neighborhood. How to Apply: Interested buyers must submit a proposal that includes: 1. Project Proposal (intended use of structure + timeline) 2. Proof of Funds (bank statement or lender letter) 3. Scope of Work (breakdown of renovation costs) 4. Proof of Previous Projects: (include addresses and photos) Important Note: Sale is contingent on execution of a DLBA Renovation/Development Agreement. The Detroit Land Bank Authority is entitled to a tax recapture for the five (5) tax years following transfer of ownership. This may be incompatible with certain abatements or lot combinations. Waiver requests will be considered on a case-by-case basis and may require a payment in lieu of taxes, determined after review of the development pro forma and financing.

  3. 2026-01-05
    status Pending 1495-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1501 chars)

    This brick duplex offers over 2,500 square feet of living space with two spacious 2-bedroom, 1-bath units. The property is vacant and ready for renovation. Located near Kercheval and E Grand Blvd, with easy access to Gratiot, Mack, and Vernor, this property sits in the Islandview neighborhood known for its classic architecture and strong community presence. Zoned for residential use, this property offers strong potential for redevelopment or a new residential project. The parcels are government-owned and included in the Detroit Land Bank Authority (DLBA) program. The DLBA recommends reviewing relevant Neighborhood Framework Plans from the City of Detroit’s Planning and Development Department for additional context about the neighborhood. How to Apply: Interested buyers must submit a proposal that includes: 1. Project Proposal (intended use of structure + timeline) 2. Proof of Funds (bank statement or lender letter) 3. Scope of Work (breakdown of renovation costs) 4. Proof of Previous Projects: (include addresses and photos) Important Note: Sale is contingent on execution of a DLBA Renovation/Development Agreement. The Detroit Land Bank Authority is entitled to a tax recapture for the five (5) tax years following transfer of ownership. This may be incompatible with certain abatements or lot combinations. Waiver requests will be considered on a case-by-case basis and may require a payment in lieu of taxes, determined after review of the development pro forma and financing.

  4. 2026-01-05
    status Pending 1501-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1501 chars)

    This brick duplex offers over 2,500 square feet of living space with two spacious 2-bedroom, 1-bath units. The property is vacant and ready for renovation. Located near Kercheval and E Grand Blvd, with easy access to Gratiot, Mack, and Vernor, this property sits in the Islandview neighborhood known for its classic architecture and strong community presence. Zoned for residential use, this property offers strong potential for redevelopment or a new residential project. The parcels are government-owned and included in the Detroit Land Bank Authority (DLBA) program. The DLBA recommends reviewing relevant Neighborhood Framework Plans from the City of Detroit’s Planning and Development Department for additional context about the neighborhood. How to Apply: Interested buyers must submit a proposal that includes: 1. Project Proposal (intended use of structure + timeline) 2. Proof of Funds (bank statement or lender letter) 3. Scope of Work (breakdown of renovation costs) 4. Proof of Previous Projects: (include addresses and photos) Important Note: Sale is contingent on execution of a DLBA Renovation/Development Agreement. The Detroit Land Bank Authority is entitled to a tax recapture for the five (5) tax years following transfer of ownership. This may be incompatible with certain abatements or lot combinations. Waiver requests will be considered on a case-by-case basis and may require a payment in lieu of taxes, determined after review of the development pro forma and financing.

  5. 2025-10-07
    listed $39,900 Active 1501-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1495 chars)

    This brick duplex offers over 2,500 square feet of living space with two spacious 2-bedroom, 1-bath units. The property is vacant and ready for renovation. Located near Kercheval and E Grand Blvd, with easy access to Gratiot, Mack, and Vernor, this property sits in the Islandview neighborhood known for its classic architecture and strong community presence. Zoned for residential use, this property offers strong potential for redevelopment or a new residential project. The parcels are government-owned and included in the Detroit Land Bank Authority (DLBA) program. The DLBA recommends reviewing relevant Neighborhood Framework Plans from the City of Detroit's Planning and Development Department for additional context about the neighborhood. How to Apply: Interested buyers must submit a proposal that includes: 1. Project Proposal (intended use of structure + timeline) 2. Proof of Funds (bank statement or lender letter) 3. Scope of Work (breakdown of renovation costs) 4. Proof of Previous Projects: (include addresses and photos) Important Note: Sale is contingent on execution of a DLBA Renovation/Development Agreement. The Detroit Land Bank Authority is entitled to a tax recapture for the five (5) tax years following transfer of ownership. This may be incompatible with certain abatements or lot combinations. Waiver requests will be considered on a case-by-case basis and may require a payment in lieu of taxes, determined after review of the development pro forma and financing.

  6. 2025-10-07
    listed $39,900 Active 1495-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1495 chars)

    This brick duplex offers over 2,500 square feet of living space with two spacious 2-bedroom, 1-bath units. The property is vacant and ready for renovation. Located near Kercheval and E Grand Blvd, with easy access to Gratiot, Mack, and Vernor, this property sits in the Islandview neighborhood known for its classic architecture and strong community presence. Zoned for residential use, this property offers strong potential for redevelopment or a new residential project. The parcels are government-owned and included in the Detroit Land Bank Authority (DLBA) program. The DLBA recommends reviewing relevant Neighborhood Framework Plans from the City of Detroit's Planning and Development Department for additional context about the neighborhood. How to Apply: Interested buyers must submit a proposal that includes: 1. Project Proposal (intended use of structure + timeline) 2. Proof of Funds (bank statement or lender letter) 3. Scope of Work (breakdown of renovation costs) 4. Proof of Previous Projects: (include addresses and photos) Important Note: Sale is contingent on execution of a DLBA Renovation/Development Agreement. The Detroit Land Bank Authority is entitled to a tax recapture for the five (5) tax years following transfer of ownership. This may be incompatible with certain abatements or lot combinations. Waiver requests will be considered on a case-by-case basis and may require a payment in lieu of taxes, determined after review of the development pro forma and financing.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$100 · $8/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$357 · $30/mo
Expected delta
+$257/yr (+$21/mo · 257.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,877
− Mortgage interest
−$2,235
− Property taxes
−$100
− Insurance
−$200
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,670
− Management
−$1,670
− Depreciation
−$1,161
Taxable income
$13,841
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$3,322
After-tax cash flow
$10,360/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Detroit Public Schools Community District
NCES district ID
2601103
Math proficiency
10% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▲ 6.00%
Median HH income
$25,815
Composite
13.06/100
National rank
#9564
State rank
#499 of 540 in MI

Livability — Detroit

Score
73/100
State rank
#218
US rank
#5427

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Detroit, MI
County
Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
City population
572,865
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
Population (ZIP)
18,595
Household income
$33,544
Rent vs Own
59.0% rent · 41.0% own
Severe rent burden
1364.0

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,675,273 people
By 2030
1,620,300 · -3.3%
By 2040
1,502,341 · -10.3%
By 2050
1,384,039 · -17.4%
By 2075
1,124,592 · -32.9%
By 2100
881,193 · -47.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (79%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 79% White 16% Two or more races 4%
Common ancestry
Romanian 1% Iranian 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Wayne

2024 margin
Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
2008→2024 swing
-20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -367.43%
Current HPI
102.0969
Rent YoY
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-01-29 Relisted MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-01-29 Relisted REALCOMP
  • 2026-01-05 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-01-05 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2025-10-07 Listed $39,900 REALCOMP
  • 2025-10-07 Listed $39,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS

Property tax history

+0.0%/yr

Latest (2016): $100 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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