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1568 Garwood Dr
C Composite 58.45
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +26.8/30.0
  • DSCR +9.2/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.1/10.0
  • ARV discount +5.8/15.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$165,000

1568 Garwood Dr · Dayton, OH 45432
5 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,137 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 3 Days on market
Built 1953 7,501 sqft lot $145/sqft · at area comps Est $159k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Good Value in Dayton. Property offers 2 bedrooms 1 bath and is listed at 1126 sqft PRC, Updated bath. Large kitchen open to living room. Close to shopping and I-35 access. Home is sold as-is and room sizes have been estimated.

Key facts

  • Open concept kitchen
  • Stone countertops
  • Private yard

Tags

OPEN CONCEPT KITCHENNEW STAINLESS STEEL APPLIANCESSTONE COUNTERTOPSPRIVATE YARDFENCESTORAGE SHED

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Offered for sale

Exterior

  • Parking: No garage
  • Home design: Single-story home; Residential zoning
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Slab foundation
  • Exterior features: Residential lot (approx. 24 x 36)

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Range; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the main level (approx. 12 x 10, 11 x 11, 11 x 13)
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom; One half bathroom; Two main-level bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Forced air heating
  • Interior features: Vinyl windows

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 5-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $165k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $449 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $165k).
  • Cap rate 9.6% vs local median 7.4% in Dayton — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 65/100 on livability (#716 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A; Watch: schools C-, amenities C-, crime F.
  • Dayton City (urban): math 12% / reading 21% proficiency, ranked #641 of 656 in OH (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 74% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 45 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 907 units permitted in Montgomery County in 2024 (416 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Montgomery County population projected at -10% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $46k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 4 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1953 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $165,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1953 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.21%
Cap rate
9.56%
Cash-on-cash
11.67%
DSCR
1.52
GRM
6.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$159,140
List price
$165,000
Delta
3.68%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
5332 Haverfield Rd 0.37mi 4/1.0 (-1) 1,075 (-6%) 22mo $170,000 $158 50
1461 Woodman Dr 0.32mi 4/1.5 (-1) 1,026 (-10%) 22mo $200,000 $195 43
4643 Amesborough Rd 0.65mi 4/2.0 (-1) 1,296 (+14%) 9mo $216,500 $167 30

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
1.1%
Equity multiple
1.04×
Total profit
$1,896
Equity at exit
$24,602
10-year hold
IRR
10.7%
Equity multiple
1.84×
Total profit
$38,588
Equity at exit
$14,266

Cash invested: $46,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Ohio
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; Cleveland / Columbus have some habitability code enforcement; otherwise landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 45432

Active inventory
45
Price-to-rent
6.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,000 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$865
Tax from tax record
$197 /mo · $2,362/yr
Insurance
$69
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$420
Net cashflow
$449

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,431
Max offer price $165,000
Occupancy floor 73%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $543 -5% $496 +0% $449 +5% $402 +10% $356
Rent -10% $291 -5% $370 +0% $449 +5% $528 +10% $607
Rate -1.0pp $532 -0.5pp $491 base $449 +0.5pp $406 +1.0pp $363

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$41,250
Closing costs
$4,950
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
5713 Mayville Dr Dayton, OH 4.0 2.0 1046 $2,000 $1.91 19d 1 1.03mi

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-05-04
    status Pending 878-char remark
  2. 2026-04-30
    listed $165,000 Active 878-char remark
  3. 2026-03-16
    soldstatus $75,000 Closed 226-char remark
    Show marketing remark (226 chars)

    Good Value in Dayton. Property offers 2 bedrooms 1 bath and is listed at 1126 sqft PRC, Updated bath. Large kitchen open to living room. Close to shopping and I-35 access. Home is sold as-is and room sizes have been estimated.

  4. 2026-01-23
    status Pending 226-char remark
    Show marketing remark (226 chars)

    Good Value in Dayton. Property offers 2 bedrooms 1 bath and is listed at 1126 sqft PRC, Updated bath. Large kitchen open to living room. Close to shopping and I-35 access. Home is sold as-is and room sizes have been estimated.

  5. 2026-01-15
    price $79,500 226-char remark
    Show marketing remark (226 chars)

    Good Value in Dayton. Property offers 2 bedrooms 1 bath and is listed at 1126 sqft PRC, Updated bath. Large kitchen open to living room. Close to shopping and I-35 access. Home is sold as-is and room sizes have been estimated.

  6. 2025-12-15
    price $99,500 226-char remark
    Show marketing remark (226 chars)

    Good Value in Dayton. Property offers 2 bedrooms 1 bath and is listed at 1126 sqft PRC, Updated bath. Large kitchen open to living room. Close to shopping and I-35 access. Home is sold as-is and room sizes have been estimated.

  7. 2025-12-08
    status Active 226-char remark
    Show marketing remark (226 chars)

    Good Value in Dayton. Property offers 2 bedrooms 1 bath and is listed at 1126 sqft PRC, Updated bath. Large kitchen open to living room. Close to shopping and I-35 access. Home is sold as-is and room sizes have been estimated.

  8. 2025-10-14
    status Pending 226-char remark
    Show marketing remark (226 chars)

    Good Value in Dayton. Property offers 2 bedrooms 1 bath and is listed at 1126 sqft PRC, Updated bath. Large kitchen open to living room. Close to shopping and I-35 access. Home is sold as-is and room sizes have been estimated.

  9. 2025-09-29
    listed $109,500 Active 226-char remark
    Show marketing remark (226 chars)

    Good Value in Dayton. Property offers 2 bedrooms 1 bath and is listed at 1126 sqft PRC, Updated bath. Large kitchen open to living room. Close to shopping and I-35 access. Home is sold as-is and room sizes have been estimated.

  10. 2022-09-21
    soldstatus $125,000
  11. 2022-08-19
    soldstatus $125,000 Closed
    Show marketing remark (783 chars)

    As you step into this home you will be greeted with a family room that flows into an enlarged kitchen, both rooms just waiting to be filled with your personal touch and imagination! Make your way to the other side of the home and you will discover two large bedrooms, both of which have been expanded, with new carpeting and LED lighting installed. Adjacent to these rooms, you will find a spacious bathroom hidden behind the sliding barn door. Outside of the home, the nicely shaded driveway adjoins to the back patio and has plenty of room for furniture and a grill. Other updates to the property include all new HVAC, partial electric, fully updated draining and plumbing, as well as new flooring throughout. Conveniently located just minutes from US 35, I-75, and I-675 Highways!

  12. 2022-08-19
    soldstatus $125,000 Sold
    Show marketing remark (783 chars)

    As you step into this home you will be greeted with a family room that flows into an enlarged kitchen, both rooms just waiting to be filled with your personal touch and imagination! Make your way to the other side of the home and you will discover two large bedrooms, both of which have been expanded, with new carpeting and LED lighting installed. Adjacent to these rooms, you will find a spacious bathroom hidden behind the sliding barn door. Outside of the home, the nicely shaded driveway adjoins to the back patio and has plenty of room for furniture and a grill. Other updates to the property include all new HVAC, partial electric, fully updated draining and plumbing, as well as new flooring throughout. Conveniently located just minutes from US 35, I-75, and I-675 Highways!

  13. 2022-07-04
    historical Active/Pending
    Show marketing remark (783 chars)

    As you step into this home you will be greeted with a family room that flows into an enlarged kitchen, both rooms just waiting to be filled with your personal touch and imagination! Make your way to the other side of the home and you will discover two large bedrooms, both of which have been expanded, with new carpeting and LED lighting installed. Adjacent to these rooms, you will find a spacious bathroom hidden behind the sliding barn door. Outside of the home, the nicely shaded driveway adjoins to the back patio and has plenty of room for furniture and a grill. Other updates to the property include all new HVAC, partial electric, fully updated draining and plumbing, as well as new flooring throughout. Conveniently located just minutes from US 35, I-75, and I-675 Highways!

  14. 2022-06-23
    price $119,900
    Show marketing remark (783 chars)

    As you step into this home you will be greeted with a family room that flows into an enlarged kitchen, both rooms just waiting to be filled with your personal touch and imagination! Make your way to the other side of the home and you will discover two large bedrooms, both of which have been expanded, with new carpeting and LED lighting installed. Adjacent to these rooms, you will find a spacious bathroom hidden behind the sliding barn door. Outside of the home, the nicely shaded driveway adjoins to the back patio and has plenty of room for furniture and a grill. Other updates to the property include all new HVAC, partial electric, fully updated draining and plumbing, as well as new flooring throughout. Conveniently located just minutes from US 35, I-75, and I-675 Highways!

  15. 2022-06-10
    listed $125,000 Active
    Show marketing remark (783 chars)

    As you step into this home you will be greeted with a family room that flows into an enlarged kitchen, both rooms just waiting to be filled with your personal touch and imagination! Make your way to the other side of the home and you will discover two large bedrooms, both of which have been expanded, with new carpeting and LED lighting installed. Adjacent to these rooms, you will find a spacious bathroom hidden behind the sliding barn door. Outside of the home, the nicely shaded driveway adjoins to the back patio and has plenty of room for furniture and a grill. Other updates to the property include all new HVAC, partial electric, fully updated draining and plumbing, as well as new flooring throughout. Conveniently located just minutes from US 35, I-75, and I-675 Highways!

  16. 2004-10-14
    soldstatus $79,900
  17. 1994-11-29
    soldstatus $59,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,362 · $197/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,468 · $206/mo
Expected delta
+$106/yr (+$9/mo · 4.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$24,000
− Mortgage interest
−$9,243
− Property taxes
−$2,362
− Insurance
−$825
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,920
− Management
−$1,920
− Depreciation
−$4,800
Taxable income
$2,931
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$703
After-tax cash flow
$4,687/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Dayton City
NCES district ID
3904384
Math proficiency
12% ▼ -12.00%
Reading proficiency
21% ▼ -11.00%
Median HH income
$28,688
Composite
12.94/100
National rank
#9579
State rank
#641 of 656 in OH

Livability — Dayton

Score
65/100
State rank
#716
US rank
#12895

Category grades

Amenities C- Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Dayton, OH
County
Greene · 199,376 people
City population
164,387
Metro
Dayton-Kettering-Beavercreek, OH
Population (ZIP)
14,988
Household income
$83,323
Rent vs Own
21.8% rent · 78.2% own
Severe rent burden
9.8

Population outlook (Montgomery County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
523,241 people
By 2030
514,948 · -1.6%
By 2040
493,378 · -5.7%
By 2050
469,639 · -10.2%
By 2075
418,360 · -20.0%
By 2100
353,315 · -32.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (84%)
Race & ethnicity
White 84% Two or more races 7% Asian 3% Black 3% Hispanic / Latino 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 4% Slovak 3% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada, India
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 2% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Montgomery

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 49.8% · R 49.3%
2008→2024 swing
-5.8pp toward R · 2008: 6.2pp · 2024: 0.5pp
All cycles
2024: D+0.5 2020: D+2.2 2016: R+1.2 2012: D+3.1 2008: D+6.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -187.81%
Current HPI
290.3859
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.98%
F500 in state
48

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+175.5% since first listed
18 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-01 Sold (MLS) $165,000 Dayton MLS
  • 2026-05-04 Pending Dayton MLS
  • 2026-04-30 Listed $165,000 Dayton MLS
  • 2026-03-16 Sold (MLS) $75,000 Dayton MLS
  • 2026-01-23 Pending Dayton MLS
  • 2026-01-15 Price Changed $79,500 Dayton MLS
  • 2025-12-15 Price Changed $99,500 Dayton MLS
  • 2025-12-08 Relisted Dayton MLS
  • 2025-10-14 Pending Dayton MLS
  • 2025-09-29 Listed $109,500 Dayton MLS
  • 2022-09-21 Sold (Public Records) $125,000 Public Records
  • 2022-08-19 Sold (MLS) $125,000 Dayton MLS
  • 2022-08-19 Sold (MLS) $125,000 Dayton MLS
  • 2022-07-04 Contingent Dayton MLS
  • 2022-06-23 Price Changed $119,900 Dayton MLS
  • 2022-06-10 Listed $125,000 Dayton MLS
  • 2004-10-14 Sold (Public Records) $79,900 Public Records
  • 1994-11-29 Sold (Public Records) $59,900 Public Records

Property tax history

-0.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,362 · -0.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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