Duplex
313 Topping St · St. Paul, MN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $888 – $1,650
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Rent growth +3.4/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.4/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$265,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks MLS
MUST ALLOW 24-HOUR NOTICE FOR UPPER TENANT. Up/Down duplex in very good condition. Internal and external stairways. Also, two separate laundry areas for each unit in the basement (which has lots of storage). Separate utilities-gas furnaces, water heaters, electric breaker boxes, central air units, and the roof on the home was pit on in 2021. HUGE 2.5 car garage (28x22) as well as a separate storage unit in the yard. Lower unit is vacant, and upper unit is month-to-month and would like to stay- she pays 1461 per month (she does not have garage access). The vacant lower unit had been paying 1770 a month. The lower unit has 3 bedrooms and 1 bath, and the upper unit has 2 bedrooms and 1 bath. Both units have natural woodwork and are in good condition. Fenced yard around the majority of the home This would be a great property to either owner-occupy or rent.
Key facts
- Separate utilities
- Up down duplex
- Lots of storage
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $265k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($15k/yr) — positive. Per door: $623/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $265k).
- Recommended offer: $261k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- St. Paul Public School District (urban): math 21% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #270 of 301 in MN (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Paul & Sheila Wellstone Elementary (math 8% / reading 17%, grade F, #800 of 857 statewide, top 95%, 507 students, 85% FRL); Murray Middle School (math 19% / reading 40%, grade F, #204 of 258 statewide, top 80%, 538 students, 64% FRL); Como Park Senior High (math 8% / reading 42%, grade F, #375 of 471 statewide, top 81%, 1,078 students, 75% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.6%/yr); 175 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 20d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,202 units permitted in Ramsey County in 2024 (880 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $4,099/mo this rent would consume 70% of the median local household income ($71k/yr) (locally 1588% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Ramsey County population projected at +27% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.6% rent growth), your $74k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 29 days — a 2% lower offer ($261k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 8 sale attempts since 19y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1912 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1912 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.55% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.93%
- Cash-on-cash
- 20.14%
- DSCR
- 1.90
- GRM
- 5.4
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.6% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 13.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.53×
- Total profit
- $39,032
- Equity at exit
- $39,512
- IRR
- 22.5%
- Equity multiple
- 2.98×
- Total profit
- $147,123
- Equity at exit
- $22,912
Cash invested: $74,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 46 Balanced
- State Minnesota
- 46 Balanced · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 55117
- Rents YoY
- 3.6%
- Active inventory
- 175
- Price-to-rent
- 10.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $4,099 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,390
- Tax from tax record
- −$493 /mo · $5,912/yr
- Insurance
- −$110
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$861
- Net cashflow
- $1,245
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,395 | -5% $1,320 | +0% $1,245 | +5% $1,170 | +10% $1,095 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $922 | -5% $1,084 | +0% $1,245 | +5% $1,407 | +10% $1,569 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,379 | -0.5pp $1,313 | base $1,245 | +0.5pp $1,177 | +1.0pp $1,107 |
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 2 | 1 | $4,098 |
| #1 | 2 | 1 | $2,049 |
| #2 | 2 | 1 | $2,049 |
| Total (2 units) | $4,099 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $66,250
- Closing costs
- $7,950
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 585 Cottage Ave W Saint Paul, MN | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1940 | $2,995 | $1.54 | 22d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 255 Western Ave N Saint Paul, MN | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1049 | $3,700 | $3.53 | 3d | 23 | 1.32mi |
| 1443 Saint Albans St N Saint Paul, MN | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $2,700 | $1.80 | 19d | 1 | 1.40mi |
Listing history 24 events
-
2026-05-14status Pending 864-char remark
Show marketing remark (864 chars)
MUST ALLOW 24-HOUR NOTICE FOR UPPER TENANT. Up/Down duplex in very good condition. Internal and external stairways. Also, two separate laundry areas for each unit in the basement (which has lots of storage). Separate utilities-gas furnaces, water heaters, electric breaker boxes, central air units, and the roof on the home was pit on in 2021. HUGE 2.5 car garage (28x22) as well as a separate storage unit in the yard. Lower unit is vacant, and upper unit is month-to-month and would like to stay- she pays 1461 per month (she does not have garage access). The vacant lower unit had been paying 1770 a month. The lower unit has 3 bedrooms and 1 bath, and the upper unit has 2 bedrooms and 1 bath. Both units have natural woodwork and are in good condition. Fenced yard around the majority of the home This would be a great property to either owner-occupy or rent.
-
2026-05-04historical Contingent - Inspection 864-char remark
Show marketing remark (864 chars)
MUST ALLOW 24-HOUR NOTICE FOR UPPER TENANT. Up/Down duplex in very good condition. Internal and external stairways. Also, two separate laundry areas for each unit in the basement (which has lots of storage). Separate utilities-gas furnaces, water heaters, electric breaker boxes, central air units, and the roof on the home was pit on in 2021. HUGE 2.5 car garage (28x22) as well as a separate storage unit in the yard. Lower unit is vacant, and upper unit is month-to-month and would like to stay- she pays 1461 per month (she does not have garage access). The vacant lower unit had been paying 1770 a month. The lower unit has 3 bedrooms and 1 bath, and the upper unit has 2 bedrooms and 1 bath. Both units have natural woodwork and are in good condition. Fenced yard around the majority of the home This would be a great property to either owner-occupy or rent.
-
2026-04-15$265,000 Active 864-char remark
Show marketing remark (864 chars)
MUST ALLOW 24-HOUR NOTICE FOR UPPER TENANT. Up/Down duplex in very good condition. Internal and external stairways. Also, two separate laundry areas for each unit in the basement (which has lots of storage). Separate utilities-gas furnaces, water heaters, electric breaker boxes, central air units, and the roof on the home was pit on in 2021. HUGE 2.5 car garage (28x22) as well as a separate storage unit in the yard. Lower unit is vacant, and upper unit is month-to-month and would like to stay- she pays 1461 per month (she does not have garage access). The vacant lower unit had been paying 1770 a month. The lower unit has 3 bedrooms and 1 bath, and the upper unit has 2 bedrooms and 1 bath. Both units have natural woodwork and are in good condition. Fenced yard around the majority of the home This would be a great property to either owner-occupy or rent.
-
2022-04-05soldstatus $253,000 Sold 277-char remark
Show marketing remark (277 chars)
True up & down Duplex w/separate gas forced air furnaces & CENTRAL AC. New 100 amp wiring services. New roof (total tear off) on main home 2021. Freshly painted & refinished Hardwood floors. ALL appliance stay. Oversized 28 x 22 garage, with room for all your toys.
-
2022-03-18status Pending 277-char remark
Show marketing remark (277 chars)
True up & down Duplex w/separate gas forced air furnaces & CENTRAL AC. New 100 amp wiring services. New roof (total tear off) on main home 2021. Freshly painted & refinished Hardwood floors. ALL appliance stay. Oversized 28 x 22 garage, with room for all your toys.
-
2022-03-08historical Contingent - Inspection 277-char remark
Show marketing remark (277 chars)
True up & down Duplex w/separate gas forced air furnaces & CENTRAL AC. New 100 amp wiring services. New roof (total tear off) on main home 2021. Freshly painted & refinished Hardwood floors. ALL appliance stay. Oversized 28 x 22 garage, with room for all your toys.
-
2022-03-05status Active 277-char remark
Show marketing remark (277 chars)
True up & down Duplex w/separate gas forced air furnaces & CENTRAL AC. New 100 amp wiring services. New roof (total tear off) on main home 2021. Freshly painted & refinished Hardwood floors. ALL appliance stay. Oversized 28 x 22 garage, with room for all your toys.
-
2022-03-03status Contingent - Inspection 277-char remark
Show marketing remark (277 chars)
True up & down Duplex w/separate gas forced air furnaces & CENTRAL AC. New 100 amp wiring services. New roof (total tear off) on main home 2021. Freshly painted & refinished Hardwood floors. ALL appliance stay. Oversized 28 x 22 garage, with room for all your toys.
-
2022-03-03price $240,000 277-char remark
Show marketing remark (277 chars)
True up & down Duplex w/separate gas forced air furnaces & CENTRAL AC. New 100 amp wiring services. New roof (total tear off) on main home 2021. Freshly painted & refinished Hardwood floors. ALL appliance stay. Oversized 28 x 22 garage, with room for all your toys.
-
2022-02-28historical 277-char remark
Show marketing remark (277 chars)
True up & down Duplex w/separate gas forced air furnaces & CENTRAL AC. New 100 amp wiring services. New roof (total tear off) on main home 2021. Freshly painted & refinished Hardwood floors. ALL appliance stay. Oversized 28 x 22 garage, with room for all your toys.
-
2022-01-17historical Contingent - Inspection 277-char remark
Show marketing remark (277 chars)
True up & down Duplex w/separate gas forced air furnaces & CENTRAL AC. New 100 amp wiring services. New roof (total tear off) on main home 2021. Freshly painted & refinished Hardwood floors. ALL appliance stay. Oversized 28 x 22 garage, with room for all your toys.
-
2022-01-13status Active 277-char remark
Show marketing remark (277 chars)
True up & down Duplex w/separate gas forced air furnaces & CENTRAL AC. New 100 amp wiring services. New roof (total tear off) on main home 2021. Freshly painted & refinished Hardwood floors. ALL appliance stay. Oversized 28 x 22 garage, with room for all your toys.
-
2022-01-13price $224,000 277-char remark
Show marketing remark (277 chars)
True up & down Duplex w/separate gas forced air furnaces & CENTRAL AC. New 100 amp wiring services. New roof (total tear off) on main home 2021. Freshly painted & refinished Hardwood floors. ALL appliance stay. Oversized 28 x 22 garage, with room for all your toys.
-
2021-12-14status Pending 277-char remark
Show marketing remark (277 chars)
True up & down Duplex w/separate gas forced air furnaces & CENTRAL AC. New 100 amp wiring services. New roof (total tear off) on main home 2021. Freshly painted & refinished Hardwood floors. ALL appliance stay. Oversized 28 x 22 garage, with room for all your toys.
-
2021-12-09historical Contingent - Inspection 277-char remark
Show marketing remark (277 chars)
True up & down Duplex w/separate gas forced air furnaces & CENTRAL AC. New 100 amp wiring services. New roof (total tear off) on main home 2021. Freshly painted & refinished Hardwood floors. ALL appliance stay. Oversized 28 x 22 garage, with room for all your toys.
-
2021-11-28price $210,000 277-char remark
Show marketing remark (277 chars)
True up & down Duplex w/separate gas forced air furnaces & CENTRAL AC. New 100 amp wiring services. New roof (total tear off) on main home 2021. Freshly painted & refinished Hardwood floors. ALL appliance stay. Oversized 28 x 22 garage, with room for all your toys.
-
2021-11-12historical
-
2021-11-10$224,000 Active 277-char remark
Show marketing remark (277 chars)
True up & down Duplex w/separate gas forced air furnaces & CENTRAL AC. New 100 amp wiring services. New roof (total tear off) on main home 2021. Freshly painted & refinished Hardwood floors. ALL appliance stay. Oversized 28 x 22 garage, with room for all your toys.
-
2021-11-10$224,000 Active
Show marketing remark (277 chars)
True up & down Duplex w/separate gas forced air furnaces & CENTRAL AC. New 100 amp wiring services. New roof (total tear off) on main home 2021. Freshly painted & refinished Hardwood floors. ALL appliance stay. Oversized 28 x 22 garage, with room for all your toys.
-
2009-05-01soldstatus $35,000
-
2009-03-19historical
-
2009-03-02$31,500
-
2008-05-09historical
-
2007-08-03$64,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $5,912 · $493/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $5,912 · $493/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $49,188
- − Mortgage interest
- −$14,844
- − Property taxes
- −$5,912
- − Insurance
- −$1,325
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,935
- − Management
- −$3,935
- − Depreciation
- −$7,709
- Taxable income
- $11,528
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,767
- After-tax cash flow
- $12,179/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- St. Paul Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 2733840
- Math proficiency
- 21% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 33% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,316
- Composite
- 23.51/100
- National rank
- #7868
- State rank
- #270 of 301 in MN
Livability — St. Paul
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- St. Paul, MN
- County
- Ramsey County · 542,837 people
- Metro
- Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI
- Population (ZIP)
- 44,697
- Household income
- $70,771
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1588.0
Population outlook (Ramsey County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 603,431 people
- By 2030
- 636,459 · +5.5%
- By 2040
- 700,596 · +16.1%
- By 2050
- 765,819 · +26.9%
- By 2075
- 929,297 · +54.0%
- By 2100
- 1,053,924 · +74.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.72)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 44% Asian 24% Black 15% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 10%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 7%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 6% Romanian 3% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 21% · Canada, Philippines, India
- Languages at home
- 68% English-only · Other Asian/Pacific 15% Spanish 8% Other Indo-European 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Ramsey
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+43.3) · D 70.5% · R 27.2% · Other 2.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +9.4pp toward D · 2008: 33.9pp · 2024: 43.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+43.3 2020: D+45.4 2016: D+39.4 2012: D+35.3 2008: D+33.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -308.56%
- Current HPI
- 267.4216
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.60%
- Metro
- Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.41%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $407B |
|
||
| Retail | 2 | $150B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 2 | $32B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $6B |
|
||
| Agriculture | 1 | $40B |
|
||
| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $32B |
|
||
Price history
+308.3% since first listed24 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-14 Pending — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-04 Contingent — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-15 Listed $265,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-04-05 Sold (MLS) $253,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-03-18 Pending — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-03-08 Contingent — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-03-05 Relisted — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-03-03 Relisted — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-03-03 Price Changed $240,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-02-28 Listing Removed — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-01-17 Contingent — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-01-13 Relisted — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-01-13 Price Changed $224,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-12-14 Pending — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-12-09 Contingent — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-11-28 Price Changed $210,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-11-12 Listing Removed — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-11-10 Listed $224,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-11-10 Listed $224,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2009-05-01 Sold (MLS) $35,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2009-03-19 Listing Removed — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2009-03-02 Listed $31,500 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2008-05-09 Listing Removed — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2007-08-03 Listed $64,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+19.5%/yrLatest (2025): $5,912 · +16.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…