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D+ Composite 46.11
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +18.9/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +6.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.2/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.3/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$122,500

3982 Saint Charles Pl · Macon-Bibb County, GA 31201
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,121 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 107 Days on market
Built 1950 10,018 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Recently renovated home ready for new owners. Conveniently located with easy access to shopping areas. Big backyard for those family gathering. Private back entrance and upgrades galore. Home includes all new appliances and new HVAC. Washer and Dryer included. Hurry and schedule your private showing. This one won't last long!

Key facts

  • 0.23 acre lot
  • Built 1950
  • Listed 107 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $122k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $126 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $113k (7.6% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $111k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 7.5% vs local median 5.4% in Macon-Bibb County — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Bibb County (urban): math 11% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #161 of 174 in GA (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Ballard Hudson Middle School (math 4% / reading 9%, grade F, #457 of 470 statewide, top 98%, 744 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 75% district-wide (25 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.1%/yr); 75 active listings in the ZIP; 31 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 55% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 154 units permitted in Bibb County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $1,132/mo this rent would consume 46% of the median local household income ($29k/yr) (locally 1124% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $847 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Bibb County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 107 days — a 9% lower offer ($111k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 9 sale attempts since 5y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $26k (18%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; major wind risk, 66% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $111,475 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 107 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.92%
Cap rate
7.53%
Cash-on-cash
4.41%
DSCR
1.20
GRM
9.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$53,808
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1322 Triple Hill Dr 0.38mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,117 (-0%) 6mo $27,500 $25 67
3837 Spencer Cir 0.39mi 3/1.0 1,080 (-4%) 5mo $45,000 $42 67
1388 Lakeview Cir 0.34mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,140 (+2%) 6mo $35,000 $31 67
3881 Spencer Cir 0.36mi 3/1.0 1,053 (-6%) 5mo $45,000 $43 65
3480 Travis Blvd 0.54mi 3/1.0 1,056 (-6%) 1mo $50,000 $47 60
4133 Buena Vista Ave 0.38mi 3/2.0 1,257 (+12%) 5mo $45,000 $36 58
1527 Hurley Cir 0.52mi 3/1.0 1,056 (-6%) 6mo $58,900 $56 57
1254 W Grenada Ter 0.66mi 3/2.0 1,188 (+6%) 3mo $100,000 $84 57
1664 Randall Rd 0.55mi 3/2.0 1,212 (+8%) 5mo $70,000 $58 56
4055 Emory Dr 0.54mi 3/1.0 1,216 (+8%) 2mo $58,000 $48 56
3366 Pio Nono Cir 0.52mi 3/1.0 962 (-14%) 8mo $106,000 $110 42
3366 Pio Nono Cir 0.52mi 3/1.0 962 (-14%) 8mo $106,000 $110 42

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.11% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-9.3%
Equity multiple
0.66×
Total profit
$-11,736
Equity at exit
$18,265
10-year hold
IRR
0.2%
Equity multiple
1.01×
Total profit
$497
Equity at exit
$10,592

Cash invested: $34,300 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Georgia
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 31201

Rents YoY
3.1%
Active inventory
75
Price-to-rent
9.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,132 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$642
Tax from tax record
$75 /mo · $899/yr
Insurance
$51
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$238
Net cashflow
$126

Break-even live

Break-even rent $973
Max offer price $122,500
Occupancy floor 84%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$30,625
Closing costs
$3,675
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 31 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
4028 Saint Charles Pl Macon, GA 3.0 1.0 900 $800 $0.89 20d 1 0.08mi
3823 Saint Charles Pl Macon, GA 3.0 1.0 1020 $1,150 $1.13 43d 1 0.16mi
3778 Spencer Cir Macon, GA 3.0 1.0 864 $1,300 $1.50 20d 1 0.33mi
1332 Hillridge Dr Macon, GA 3.0 2.0 1050 $1,050 $1.00 13d 1 0.36mi
3837 Spencer Cir Macon, GA 3.0 1.0 1080 $1,300 $1.20 43d 1 0.37mi
1289 Rocky Creek Rd Macon, GA 2.0 1.0 1404 $750 $0.53 43d 1 0.38mi
3685 Rice Mill Rd Macon, GA 3.0 1.0 1152 $1,450 $1.26 43d 1 0.40mi
1240 Rocky Creek Rd Unit A Macon, GA 4.0 1.0 1342 $1,090 $0.81 20d 1 0.52mi
1156 Triple Hill Dr Macon, GA 2.0 1.0 980 $875 $0.89 13d 1 0.60mi
1148 N Beddingfield Dr Macon, GA 3.0 1.0 1076 $825 $0.77 43d 1 0.72mi
1164 Newberg Ave Macon, GA 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,195 $1.09 43d 1 0.76mi
3238 Somerset Dr Macon, GA 3.0 1.0 1100 $975 $0.89 13d 1 0.85mi
1260 Auburn Dr Macon, GA 3.0 1.0 864 $1,075 $1.24 43d 1 0.92mi
1260 Auburn Dr Macon, GA 3.0 1.0 864 $1,295 $1.50 20d 1 0.92mi
3149 Somerset Dr Macon, GA 2.0 1.0 897 $745 $0.83 43d 1 0.95mi
3080 Rice Mill Rd Macon, GA 3.0 1.0 1100 $950 $0.86 43d 1 0.96mi
3080 Rice Mill Rd Unit C-1 Macon, GA 3.0 1.5 1100 $925 $0.84 20d 1 0.96mi
846 Bedingfield Ave Macon, GA 3.0 1.5 1187 $975 $0.82 43d 1 0.97mi
832 Richmond St Macon, GA 3.0 1.0 1364 $925 $0.68 20d 1 1.00mi
4322 Mikado Ave Macon, GA 3.0 2.0 1344 $1,230 $0.92 20d 1 1.04mi
906 Thomas St Macon, GA 2.0 1.0 800 $650 $0.81 43d 1 1.10mi
3257 Ohara Dr S Macon, GA 3.0 1.0 1352 $1,125 $0.83 20d 1 1.11mi
955 Putnam St Unit 1 Macon, GA 3.0 1.0 950 $1,199 $1.26 43d 1 1.11mi
837 Newberg Ave Macon, GA 3.0 1.0 966 $750 $0.78 43d 1 1.14mi
1089 Brisbane St Macon, GA 3.0 1.0 816 $1,075 $1.32 13d 1 1.16mi
1868 Sussex Dr Macon, GA 3.0 2.0 1450 $1,500 $1.03 43d 1 1.25mi
1575 Winston Dr Macon, GA 3.0 2.0 1215 $1,350 $1.11 20d 1 1.27mi
3709 Flamingo Dr Macon, GA 3.0 1.0 1360 $1,300 $0.96 43d 1 1.27mi
3423 Flamingo Dr Macon, GA 3.0 1.0 1048 $895 $0.85 43d 1 1.35mi
534 Lynmore Ave Macon, GA 2.0 1.0 864 $925 $1.07 43d 1 1.46mi
4011 Marion Ave Macon, GA 2.0 1.0 1200 $1,200 $1.00 20d 1 1.49mi

Listing history 34 events

  1. 2023-08-29
    status Pending
  2. 2023-08-10
    historical
  3. 2023-05-05
    soldstatus $119,000 Sold 327-char remark
    Show marketing remark (327 chars)

    Recently renovated home ready for new owners. Conveniently located with easy access to shopping areas. Big backyard for those family gathering. Private back entrance and upgrades galore. Home includes all new appliances and new HVAC. Washer and Dryer included. Hurry and schedule your private showing. This one won't last long!

  4. 2023-05-05
    status Under Contract 327-char remark
    Show marketing remark (327 chars)

    Recently renovated home ready for new owners. Conveniently located with easy access to shopping areas. Big backyard for those family gathering. Private back entrance and upgrades galore. Home includes all new appliances and new HVAC. Washer and Dryer included. Hurry and schedule your private showing. This one won't last long!

  5. 2023-04-11
    status Back On Market 327-char remark
    Show marketing remark (327 chars)

    Recently renovated home ready for new owners. Conveniently located with easy access to shopping areas. Big backyard for those family gathering. Private back entrance and upgrades galore. Home includes all new appliances and new HVAC. Washer and Dryer included. Hurry and schedule your private showing. This one won't last long!

  6. 2023-03-28
    status Under Contract 327-char remark
    Show marketing remark (327 chars)

    Recently renovated home ready for new owners. Conveniently located with easy access to shopping areas. Big backyard for those family gathering. Private back entrance and upgrades galore. Home includes all new appliances and new HVAC. Washer and Dryer included. Hurry and schedule your private showing. This one won't last long!

  7. 2023-03-09
    status Pending
    Show marketing remark (327 chars)

    Recently renovated home ready for new owners. Conveniently located with easy access to shopping areas. Big backyard for those family gathering. Private back entrance and upgrades galore. Home includes all new appliances and new HVAC. Washer and Dryer included. Hurry and schedule your private showing. This one won't last long!

  8. 2023-03-09
    historical Active Under Contract 327-char remark
    Show marketing remark (327 chars)

    Recently renovated home ready for new owners. Conveniently located with easy access to shopping areas. Big backyard for those family gathering. Private back entrance and upgrades galore. Home includes all new appliances and new HVAC. Washer and Dryer included. Hurry and schedule your private showing. This one won't last long!

  9. 2023-02-24
    price $122,500
  10. 2023-02-21
    price $122,500 327-char remark
    Show marketing remark (327 chars)

    Recently renovated home ready for new owners. Conveniently located with easy access to shopping areas. Big backyard for those family gathering. Private back entrance and upgrades galore. Home includes all new appliances and new HVAC. Washer and Dryer included. Hurry and schedule your private showing. This one won't last long!

  11. 2023-02-19
    price $130,000 327-char remark
    Show marketing remark (327 chars)

    Recently renovated home ready for new owners. Conveniently located with easy access to shopping areas. Big backyard for those family gathering. Private back entrance and upgrades galore. Home includes all new appliances and new HVAC. Washer and Dryer included. Hurry and schedule your private showing. This one won't last long!

  12. 2023-01-01
    price $139,000 327-char remark
    Show marketing remark (327 chars)

    Recently renovated home ready for new owners. Conveniently located with easy access to shopping areas. Big backyard for those family gathering. Private back entrance and upgrades galore. Home includes all new appliances and new HVAC. Washer and Dryer included. Hurry and schedule your private showing. This one won't last long!

  13. 2022-12-31
    price $139,000
  14. 2022-12-11
    listed $148,900 New 327-char remark
    Show marketing remark (327 chars)

    Recently renovated home ready for new owners. Conveniently located with easy access to shopping areas. Big backyard for those family gathering. Private back entrance and upgrades galore. Home includes all new appliances and new HVAC. Washer and Dryer included. Hurry and schedule your private showing. This one won't last long!

  15. 2022-11-28
    price $148,900
  16. 2022-11-10
    listed $159,000 Active
  17. 2022-11-03
    historical
  18. 2022-10-26
    listed $159,900 New
  19. 2022-10-24
    status Active
  20. 2022-10-24
    status Active
  21. 2022-10-24
    historical
  22. 2022-10-24
    historical
  23. 2022-10-24
    historical
  24. 2022-09-30
    price $160,000
  25. 2022-09-22
    price $169,000
  26. 2022-09-15
    listed $179,000 New
  27. 2022-06-24
    status Pending
  28. 2022-06-02
    soldstatus $35,000 Sold
  29. 2022-05-27
    soldstatus $35,000 Closed
  30. 2022-05-17
    status Under Contract
  31. 2022-05-16
    historical
  32. 2022-05-16
    listed $45,000
  33. 2021-12-02
    listed $45,000 New
  34. 2001-08-06
    soldstatus $71,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$899 · $75/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,127 · $94/mo
Expected delta
+$228/yr (+$19/mo · 25.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 67% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 66% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,584
− Mortgage interest
−$6,862
− Property taxes
−$899
− Insurance
−$612
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,087
− Management
−$1,087
− Depreciation
−$3,564
Taxable loss
−$526
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$126
After-tax cash flow
$1,637/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Bibb County
NCES district ID
1300420
Math proficiency
11% ▼ -14.00%
Reading proficiency
18% ▼ -11.00%
Median HH income
$37,426
Composite
12.13/100
National rank
#9654
State rank
#161 of 174 in GA

Livability — Macon-Bibb County

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
Macon-Bibb County, GA
County
Bibb County · 164,332 people
City population
143,186
Metro
Macon-Bibb County, GA
Population (ZIP)
7,891
Household income
$29,420
Rent vs Own
76.0% rent · 24.0% own
Severe rent burden
1124.0

Population outlook (Bibb County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
148,772 people
By 2030
145,904 · -1.9%
By 2040
139,404 · -6.3%
By 2050
131,603 · -11.5%
By 2075
111,050 · -25.4%
By 2100
83,346 · -44.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.55)
Race & ethnicity
Black 59% White 31% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 5% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Italian 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Indo-European 2% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Bibb

2024 margin
Strong D (+22.4) · D 61.0% · R 38.5%
2008→2024 swing
+4.4pp toward D · 2008: 18.0pp · 2024: 22.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+22.4 2020: D+23.8 2016: D+20.2 2012: D+20.0 2008: D+18.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -142.32%
Current HPI
100.04
Rent YoY
▲ 3.11%
Metro
Macon-Bibb County, GA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.66%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+67.6% since first listed
34 events — show timeline
  • 2023-08-29 Pending CGMLS
  • 2023-08-10 Delisted CGMLS
  • 2023-05-05 Sold (MLS) $119,000 GAMLS
  • 2023-05-05 Pending GAMLS
  • 2023-04-11 Relisted GAMLS
  • 2023-03-28 Pending GAMLS
  • 2023-03-09 Pending CGMLS
  • 2023-03-09 Contingent GAMLS
  • 2023-02-24 Price Changed $122,500 CGMLS
  • 2023-02-21 Price Changed $122,500 GAMLS
  • 2023-02-19 Price Changed $130,000 GAMLS
  • 2023-01-01 Price Changed $139,000 GAMLS
  • 2022-12-31 Price Changed $139,000 CGMLS
  • 2022-12-11 Listed $148,900 GAMLS
  • 2022-11-28 Price Changed $148,900 CGMLS
  • 2022-11-10 Listed $159,000 CGMLS
  • 2022-11-03 Listing Removed GAMLS
  • 2022-10-26 Listed $159,900 GAMLS
  • 2022-10-24 Relisted GAMLS
  • 2022-10-24 Relisted GAMLS
  • 2022-10-24 Listing Removed GAMLS
  • 2022-10-24 Listing Removed GAMLS
  • 2022-10-24 Listing Removed GAMLS
  • 2022-09-30 Price Changed $160,000 GAMLS
  • 2022-09-22 Price Changed $169,000 GAMLS
  • 2022-09-15 Listed $179,000 GAMLS
  • 2022-06-24 Pending FMLS
  • 2022-06-02 Sold (MLS) $35,000 GAMLS
  • 2022-05-27 Sold (MLS) $35,000 FMLS
  • 2022-05-17 Pending GAMLS
  • 2022-05-16 Listed $45,000 FMLS
  • 2022-05-16 Listing Removed FMLS
  • 2021-12-02 Listed $45,000 GAMLS
  • 2001-08-06 Sold (Public Records) $71,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+13.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $899 · -1.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…