328 S Talton St · Minden, LA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,269 – $2,357
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 111°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 66.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +21.3/30.0
- DSCR +6.8/10.0
- 1% rule +4.3/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.8/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$114,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Nicely remodeled home with 2 bedrooms and 2 full baths. Large living room and nice size kitchen. New flooring throughout. New kitchen appliances. New hot water heater. Has a room for an office or could be used as a 3rd bedroom. 1 car attached garage. Large lot. AGENTS: see agent remarks.
Key facts
- New flooring
- New hot water heater
- Room for office
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $115k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $169 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $107k (6.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $101k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.1% vs local median 5.0% in Minden — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#92 in LA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A; Watch: amenities D, crime F, commute F.
- Webster Parish (town): math 17% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #67 of 98 in LA (top 68%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: J. L. Jones Elementary School (math 12% / reading 12%, grade F, #568 of 646 statewide, top 89%, 334 students, 53% FRL); Webster Junior High School (math 13% / reading 21%, grade F, #174 of 218 statewide, top 81%, 519 students, 50% FRL); Minden High School (math 27% / reading 27%, grade F, #136 of 265 statewide, top 55%, 807 students, 44% FRL).
- Market conditions: 136 active listings in the ZIP; 36 units permitted in Webster Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $794 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Webster County population projected at -21% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 422 days — a 12% lower offer ($101k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 9 sale attempts since 5y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $25k (18%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 66% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 422 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.93% ✗
- Cap rate
- 8.06%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.30%
- DSCR
- 1.28
- GRM
- 8.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $93,785
- List price
- $114,900
- Delta
- 22.51%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 317 Joel St | 0.23mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,201 (-14%) | 11mo | $35,000 | $29 | 51 |
| 620 Durwood | 0.49mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,594 (+14%) | 0mo | $179,500 | $113 | 49 |
| 808 East St | 0.58mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,542 (+10%) | 11mo | $169,900 | $110 | 40 |
| 410 Bailey St | 0.45mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,230 (-12%) | 12mo | $84,500 | $69 | 40 |
| 410 Fort St | 0.58mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,589 (+14%) | 9mo | $126,000 | $79 | 38 |
| 804 Wood Street Woods | 0.65mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,271 (-9%) | 20mo | $62,000 | $49 | 28 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -6.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.75×
- Total profit
- $-7,921
- Equity at exit
- $17,132
- IRR
- 2.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.21×
- Total profit
- $6,725
- Equity at exit
- $9,934
Cash invested: $32,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Louisiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 71055
- Active inventory
- 136
- Price-to-rent
- 8.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,073 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$603
- Tax from tax record
- −$28 /mo · $338/yr
- Insurance
- −$48
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$225
- Net cashflow
- $169
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $234 | -5% $201 | +0% $169 | +5% $136 | +10% $104 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $84 | -5% $126 | +0% $169 | +5% $211 | +10% $254 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $227 | -0.5pp $198 | base $169 | +0.5pp $139 | +1.0pp $109 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $28,725
- Closing costs
- $3,447
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 35 events
-
2026-06-22days on market $114,900 Active 422 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $114,900 Active 419 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $114,900 Active 418 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $114,900 Active 417 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $114,900 Active 416 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $114,900 Active 414 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $114,900 Active 413 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $114,900 Active 411 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $114,900 Active 410 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $114,900 Active 409 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $114,900 Active 408 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $114,900 Active 403 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $114,900 Active 402 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $114,900 Active 401 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $114,900 Active 400 DOM
-
2026-01-07price $114,900 288-char remark
Show marketing remark (288 chars)
Nicely remodeled home with 2 bedrooms and 2 full baths. Large living room and nice size kitchen. New flooring throughout. New kitchen appliances. New hot water heater. Has a room for an office or could be used as a 3rd bedroom. 1 car attached garage. Large lot. AGENTS: see agent remarks.
-
2025-12-29status Active 288-char remark
Show marketing remark (288 chars)
Nicely remodeled home with 2 bedrooms and 2 full baths. Large living room and nice size kitchen. New flooring throughout. New kitchen appliances. New hot water heater. Has a room for an office or could be used as a 3rd bedroom. 1 car attached garage. Large lot. AGENTS: see agent remarks.
-
2025-09-24historical Active Contingent 288-char remark
Show marketing remark (288 chars)
Nicely remodeled home with 2 bedrooms and 2 full baths. Large living room and nice size kitchen. New flooring throughout. New kitchen appliances. New hot water heater. Has a room for an office or could be used as a 3rd bedroom. 1 car attached garage. Large lot. AGENTS: see agent remarks.
-
2025-09-12price $129,900 288-char remark
Show marketing remark (288 chars)
Nicely remodeled home with 2 bedrooms and 2 full baths. Large living room and nice size kitchen. New flooring throughout. New kitchen appliances. New hot water heater. Has a room for an office or could be used as a 3rd bedroom. 1 car attached garage. Large lot. AGENTS: see agent remarks.
-
2025-04-25$139,900 Active 288-char remark
Show marketing remark (288 chars)
Nicely remodeled home with 2 bedrooms and 2 full baths. Large living room and nice size kitchen. New flooring throughout. New kitchen appliances. New hot water heater. Has a room for an office or could be used as a 3rd bedroom. 1 car attached garage. Large lot. AGENTS: see agent remarks.
-
2023-11-09historical
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2023-03-21$36,900 Active
-
2023-03-02status Pending
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2023-01-20status Active
-
2022-11-16status Pending
-
2022-10-24price $36,900
-
2022-08-08$46,900 Active
-
2022-08-05historical
-
2022-07-26$46,900 Active
-
2022-07-06historical
-
2022-03-04$46,900 Active
-
2022-03-01historical
-
2021-12-27$46,900 Active
-
2021-12-21historical
-
2021-09-24$46,900 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $338 · $28/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $632 · $53/mo
- Expected delta
- +$294/yr (+$24/mo · 86.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 66% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,872
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,436
- − Property taxes
- −$338
- − Insurance
- −$574
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,030
- − Management
- −$1,030
- − Depreciation
- −$3,343
- Taxable income
- $121
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$29
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,997/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Webster Parish
- NCES district ID
- 2201890
- Math proficiency
- 17% ▼ -39.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 26% ▼ -38.00%
- Median HH income
- $33,011
- Composite
- 17.5/100
- National rank
- #9055
- State rank
- #67 of 98 in LA
Livability — Minden
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #92
- US rank
- #9771
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Minden, LA
- Population (ZIP)
- 17,406
Population outlook (Webster County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 37,736 people
- By 2030
- 36,203 · -4.1%
- By 2040
- 32,988 · -12.6%
- By 2050
- 29,743 · -21.2%
- By 2075
- 22,346 · -40.8%
- By 2100
- 15,045 · -60.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (56%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 56% Black 40% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 1% Serbian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Webster
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+36.5) · D 31.2% · R 67.7% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -10.2pp toward R · 2008: -26.3pp · 2024: -36.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+36.5 2020: R+31.1 2016: R+29.1 2012: R+25.0 2008: R+26.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -89.40%
- Current HPI
- 117.9577
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.29%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Telecommunications | 2 | $23B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $12B |
|
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| Wholesale / Distribution | 1 | $5B |
|
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| Advertising | 1 | $2B |
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Price history
+145.0% since first listed20 events — show timeline
- 2026-01-07 Price Changed $114,900 NTREIS
- 2025-12-29 Relisted — NTREIS
- 2025-09-24 Contingent — NTREIS
- 2025-09-12 Price Changed $129,900 NTREIS
- 2025-04-25 Listed $139,900 NTREIS
- 2023-11-09 Listing Removed — NTREIS
- 2023-03-21 Listed $36,900 NTREIS
- 2023-03-02 Pending — NTREIS
- 2023-01-20 Relisted — NTREIS
- 2022-11-16 Pending — NTREIS
- 2022-10-24 Price Changed $36,900 NTREIS
- 2022-08-08 Listed $46,900 NTREIS
- 2022-08-05 Listing Removed — NTREIS
- 2022-07-26 Listed $46,900 NTREIS
- 2022-07-06 Listing Removed — NTREIS
- 2022-03-04 Listed $46,900 NTREIS
- 2022-03-01 Listing Removed — NTREIS
- 2021-12-27 Listed $46,900 NTREIS
- 2021-12-21 Listing Removed — NTREIS
- 2021-09-24 Listed $46,900 NTREIS
Property tax history
+3.2%/yrLatest (2025): $338 · +1.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…