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8811 Bedell Ln Duplex
C Composite 55.07
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +17.1/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +5.3/10.0
  • Schools +5.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.9/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$800,000

8811 Bedell Ln · New York, NY 11236
6 bd · 4.0 ba · 2,520 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 111 Days on market
Built 1920 Est $1056k · 24% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks MLS

CoAgent: JEFFREY FERRETTI Ofc: 1722 - EXECUTRIX: MARGIE ESPOSITO. VERY LARGE 1 FAMILY USED AS 2 FAMILY WITH FULL LARGE FINISHED BASEMENT. BRAND NEW ROOF, THERMAL WINDOWS, BASEBOARDS, GAS GRILL, HUGE YARD W/FULL CABAINA AND SHED.,Water/Plumbing: CITY,Condition: ABOVE AVG

Key facts

  • Built 1920
  • Listed 111 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Property accepts bank mortgage or cash financing; Current tenant monthly rent reported as $1,500

Exterior

  • Parking: Community driveway
  • Utilities: 220V electric; Gas service; Public water and sewer (standard utilities implied)
  • Home design: Semi-detached residential building; Flat roof; Brick exterior
  • Construction: Brick construction; Poured concrete foundation; Building footprint approximately 840 sq ft; Building dimensions about 42.00 x 20.00
  • Exterior features: Back yard; Lot is irregular

Interior

  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms total — 1 bedroom on first level, 2 bedrooms on second level
  • Flooring: Hardwood floors
  • Bathrooms: 2 bathrooms total — 1 bathroom on first level, 1 bathroom on second level
  • Heating & cooling: Gas heating; Baseboard heat; Hot water coil in boiler
  • Interior features: Finished basement; Hardwood floors; No central air conditioning (0 AC units)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2 × 3-bed/2.0-bath units multifamily listed at $800k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $554 ($7k/yr) — positive. Per door: $277/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $713k (10.8% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $713k (10.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 7.1% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
  • Market conditions: 228 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 10,063 units permitted in Kings County in 2024 (9,789 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $7,133/mo this rent would consume 105% of the median local household income ($81k/yr) (locally 4225% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $6k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $24k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Kings County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 111 days — a 9% lower offer ($728k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 28y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $177k; list at $800k implies a 352% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 65% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $713,300 (10.8% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 111 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 11% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  4. Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  8. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.89%
Cap rate
7.12%
Cash-on-cash
2.97%
DSCR
1.13
GRM
9.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$1,055,880
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
732 E 82nd St 0.42mi 6/3.5 2,760 (+10%) 0mo $1,075,000 $389 62
1140 Remsen Ave 0.25mi 6/2.0 2,400 (-5%) 13mo $980,000 $408 61
683 E 59th St 0.61mi 6/4.5 2,700 (+7%) 4mo $990,000 $367 54
9015 Bayview Pl 0.17mi 7/2.0 (+1) 2,208 (-12%) 5mo $925,000 $419 54
567 E 81 St 0.36mi 5/2.5 (-1) 2,304 (-9%) 15mo $1,050,000 $456 46
602 E 81 St 0.39mi 5/3.5 (-1) 2,250 (-11%) 14mo $840,000 $373 45
8011 Avenue K 0.75mi 5/2.5 (-1) 2,440 (-3%) 9mo $970,000 $398 41
663 E 94th St 0.61mi 7/4.0 (+1) 2,800 (+11%) 10mo $1,110,000 $396 39
9508 Avenue B 0.59mi 5/3.0 (-1) 2,250 (-11%) 8mo $985,000 $438 39
5531 Kings Hwy 0.70mi 5/3.0 (-1) 2,214 (-12%) 4mo $965,000 $436 35
747 E 78th St 0.59mi 5/2.5 (-1) 2,214 (-12%) 12mo $975,000 $440 31
1327 E 94th St 0.70mi 6/2.5 2,184 (-13%) 14mo $960,000 $440 28

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-11.6%
Equity multiple
0.58×
Total profit
$-94,489
Equity at exit
$119,283
10-year hold
IRR
-2.5%
Equity multiple
0.83×
Total profit
$-37,489
Equity at exit
$69,169

Cash invested: $224,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (CITY)
0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City New York
0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+34
Rent Stabilization Code; HSTPA; 6+ months in housing court.

ZIP-level market 11236

Active inventory
228
Price-to-rent
18.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$7,133 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$4,195
Tax from tax record
$552 /mo · $6,624/yr
Insurance
$333
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$1,498
Net cashflow
$554

Break-even live

Break-even rent $6,431
Max offer price $800,000
Occupancy floor 87%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,007 -5% $781 +0% $554 +5% $328 +10% $102
Rent -10% $-9 -5% $273 +0% $554 +5% $836 +10% $1,118
Rate -1.0pp $957 -0.5pp $758 base $554 +0.5pp $347 +1.0pp $136

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $7,133

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$200,000
Closing costs
$24,000
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 15 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $800,000 Active 111 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $800,000 Active 110 DOM
  3. 2026-06-15
    days on market $800,000 Active 108 DOM
  4. 2026-06-13
    days on market $800,000 Active 106 DOM
  5. 2026-06-10
    days on market $800,000 Active 102 DOM
  6. 2026-06-08
    days on market $800,000 Active 101 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $800,000 Active 100 DOM
  8. 2026-06-04
    days on market $800,000 Active 97 DOM
  9. 2026-06-03
    days on market $800,000 Active 96 DOM
  10. 2026-06-01
    days on market $800,000 Active 94 DOM
  11. 2026-05-31
    days on market $800,000 Active 93 DOM
  12. 2026-02-27
    listed $800,000 Active
  13. 1998-12-18
    soldstatus $177,000
  14. 1998-02-03
    listed $184,000 270-char remark
    Show marketing remark (270 chars)

    CoAgent: JEFFREY FERRETTI Ofc: 1722 - EXECUTRIX: MARGIE ESPOSITO. VERY LARGE 1 FAMILY USED AS 2 FAMILY WITH FULL LARGE FINISHED BASEMENT. BRAND NEW ROOF, THERMAL WINDOWS, BASEBOARDS, GAS GRILL, HUGE YARD W/FULL CABAINA AND SHED.,Water/Plumbing: CITY,Condition: ABOVE AVG

  15. 1983-09-01
    soldstatus $71,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$6,624 · $552/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$10,072 · $839/mo
Expected delta
+$3,448/yr (+$287/mo · 52.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 65% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 5/10 Major 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$85,596
− Mortgage interest
−$44,812
− Property taxes
−$6,624
− Insurance
−$4,000
− Repairs & maintenance
−$6,848
− Management
−$6,848
− Depreciation
−$23,273
Taxable loss
−$6,809
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,634
After-tax cash flow
$8,287/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

No district data.

Livability — New York

Score
75/100
State rank
#268
US rank
#4188

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime F Employment A- Housing C+ Health & safety A User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
New York, NY
County
Kings County · 2,614,986 people
City population
7,731,280
Metro
New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
Population (ZIP)
88,051
Household income
$81,464
Rent vs Own
48.4% rent · 51.6% own
Severe rent burden
4225.0

Population outlook (Kings County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
2,847,441 people
By 2030
2,937,006 · +3.1%
By 2040
3,095,491 · +8.7%
By 2050
3,228,968 · +13.4%
By 2075
3,321,723 · +16.7%
By 2100
3,111,387 · +9.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (79%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 79% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 8% White 4% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 3% Dominican 2%
Common ancestry
Hispanic 14%
Foreign-born
45% · Canada, Mexico, China
Languages at home
74% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 14% Spanish 6% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Kings

2024 margin
Solid D (+44.0) · D 72.0% · R 28.0%
2008→2024 swing
-15.5pp toward R · 2008: 59.4pp · 2024: 44.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+44.0 2020: D+54.8 2016: D+61.8 2012: D+63.9 2008: D+59.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -375.21%
Current HPI
330.8367
Rent YoY
Metro
New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+1026.8% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-02-27 Listed $800,000 BNYMLS
  • 1998-12-18 Sold (Public Records) $177,000 Public Records
  • 1998-02-03 Listed $184,000 BNYMLS
  • 1983-09-01 Sold (Public Records) $71,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+4.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $6,624 · +3.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…