9800 Base Line Rd #114 · Rancho Cucamonga, CA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 6 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 9/10 · Severe
- Unhealthy air days now
- 23 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 28 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Schools +5.8/10.0
- Rent growth +3.7/5.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- ARV discount +2.7/15.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$195,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome to this charming 2-bedroom, 2-bath, 1,344 sq ft home located in a beautifully maintained 55+ senior community. This spacious residence features a bright living room, a large dining area with built-in cabinetry, and a well-appointed kitchen with plenty of storage. The living room has been professionally reinforced to support the weight of a full-size pool table, making it perfect for entertaining or enjoying your favorite hobbies. The home also offers a covered carport, indoor laundry, and a low-maintenance yard with mature fruit trees. Clean, comfortable, and full of potential—this home is ready for its next owner to make it their own.
Key facts
- Community pool
- Built 1974
- Listed 182 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Lot density approximately 0–1 unit per acre; Located on Baseline between Archibald and Hermosa
- Financial info: Land lease amount applies
- HOA & community: Senior community; Land lease community
Exterior
- Parking: Park space in Ramona Villa Estates
- Utilities: Public sewer; Water included with rent (for rental/land lease contexts)
- Home design: Manufactured/mobile home (Royal Lancer model); Double-wide body type; Single-story; Mobile home remains on property; Located in Ramona Villa Estates
- Construction: Mobile home with 12 ft width and 56 ft length; Year built per assessor
- Exterior features: Association pool; Close to clubhouse; Urban community setting
Interior
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (furnace); Central cooling
- Interior features: Ground-level entry; Single-story home; Entry located on the ground floor
- Laundry & utility: Laundry in an individual room; Washer and dryer excluded from sale
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $195k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($13k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $195k).
- Recommended offer: $172k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 12.9% vs local median 2.7% in Rancho Cucamonga — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#237 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, commute A, housing A-; Watch: amenities D+, health & safety D, cost of living F.
- Alta Loma Elementary (suburban): math 58% / reading 68% proficiency, ranked #162 of 1,400 in CA (top 12%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.7%/yr); 61 active listings in the ZIP; 33 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 2d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 5,458 units permitted in San Bernardino County in 2024 (1,500 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($114k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- San Bernardino County population projected at +15% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.7% rent growth), your $55k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 182 days — a 12% lower offer ($172k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 6→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 182 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1974 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.57% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.92%
- Cash-on-cash
- 23.68%
- DSCR
- 2.05
- GRM
- 5.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $176,064
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9800 Baseline Rd #82 | 0.01mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,440 (+7%) | 3mo | $148,500 | $103 | 80 |
| 9800 Baseline Rd #62 | 0.16mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,296 (-4%) | 3mo | $150,000 | $116 | 79 |
| 9800 Baseline Rd #76 | 0.09mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,440 (+7%) | 2mo | $125,000 | $87 | 78 |
| 10210 Baseline #263 | 0.46mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,320 (-2%) | 2mo | $155,500 | $118 | 69 |
| 10210 Baseline Rd #115 | 0.46mi | 3/2.0 | 1,440 (+7%) | 3mo | $200,000 | $139 | 64 |
| 10210 Base Line #289 | 0.55mi | 3/2.0 | 1,440 (+7%) | 1mo | $210,000 | $146 | 62 |
| 10210 Baseline #274 | 0.46mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,440 (+7%) | 3mo | $189,000 | $131 | 59 |
| 10350 Base Line #108 | 0.64mi | 3/2.0 | 1,400 (+4%) | 4mo | $230,000 | $164 | 59 |
| 10210 Base Line Rd #235 | 0.55mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,440 (+7%) | 2mo | $212,000 | $147 | 56 |
| 10210 Baseline #291 | 0.55mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,440 (+7%) | 3mo | $215,000 | $149 | 55 |
| 10210 Baseline Rd #51 | 0.55mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,440 (+7%) | 4mo | $160,000 | $111 | 54 |
| 10210 Baseline #173 | 0.55mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,200 (-11%) | 3mo | $145,000 | $121 | 49 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.67% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 18.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.78×
- Total profit
- $42,329
- Equity at exit
- $29,075
- IRR
- 28.2%
- Equity multiple
- 3.71×
- Total profit
- $147,694
- Equity at exit
- $16,860
Cash invested: $54,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 91701
- Rents YoY
- 4.7%
- Active inventory
- 61
- Price-to-rent
- 5.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,070 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,023
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$244 /mo · $2,925/yr
- Insurance
- −$81
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$645
- Net cashflow
- $1,078
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $48,750
- Closing costs
- $5,850
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 33 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9600 Lomita Ct Rancho Cucamonga, CA | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 886 | $2,345 | $2.65 | 2d | 4 | 0.34mi |
| 7325 Layton St Rancho Cucamonga, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1471 | $3,450 | $2.35 | 2d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 9775 El Paseo Dr Rancho Cucamonga, CA | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1166 | $2,650 | $2.27 | 2d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 10223 19th St Rancho Cucamonga, CA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1785 | $3,500 | $1.96 | 22d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 9247 Spur Dr Rancho Cucamonga, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $2,350 | $2.35 | 15d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 6653 Canary Pine Ave Rancho Cucamonga, CA | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0–3.0 | 1141 | $3,709 | $3.25 | 2d | 13 | 0.81mi |
| 7360 Lariat Pl Rancho Cucamonga, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $2,350 | $2.35 | 2d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 7374 Lariat Pl Rancho Cucamonga, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $2,300 | $2.30 | 2d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 9600 19th St Rancho Cucamonga, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 763 | $2,265 | $2.97 | 1d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 7689 Cornel Ct Rancho Cucamonga, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1454 | $3,600 | $2.48 | 2d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 10375 Church St Rancho Cucamonga, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1264 | $2,800 | $2.22 | 10d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 9860 Galena Ct Rancho Cucamonga, CA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1288 | $3,000 | $2.33 | 24d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 10596 Evergreen Dr Rancho Cucamonga, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1420 | $3,300 | $2.32 | 2d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 7055 Avenida Leon Rancho Cucamonga, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1627 | $3,995 | $2.46 | 15d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 9356 19th St Unit A Rancho Cucamonga, CA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1235 | $2,990 | $2.42 | 2d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 9920 Highland Ave Unit A Rancho Cucamonga, CA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1244 | $3,200 | $2.57 | 17d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 9920 Highland Ave Unit A Rancho Cucamonga, CA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1244 | $3,200 | $2.57 | 24d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 7619 Haven Ave Unit B Rancho Cucamonga, CA | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1403 | $2,700 | $1.92 | 24d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 7296 Parkside Pl Rancho Cucamonga, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1272 | $3,390 | $2.67 | 12d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 10554 Cannon Dr Rancho Cucamonga, CA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1794 | $3,895 | $2.17 | 15d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 9882 Hampshire St Rancho Cucamonga, CA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1440 | $3,700 | $2.57 | 3d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 8990 19th St Alta Loma, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 820 | $2,600 | $3.17 | 2d | 3 | 1.28mi |
| 10446 Alta Loma Dr Rancho Cucamonga, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $3,495 | $2.91 | 2d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 6220 Filkins Ave Rancho Cucamonga, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1350 | $3,000 | $2.22 | 2d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 10730 Church St Rancho Cucamonga, CA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 893 | $3,316 | $3.71 | 2d | 8 | 1.30mi |
| 8990 19th St #419 Rancho Cucamonga, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 925 | $2,350 | $2.54 | 24d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 10935 Terra Vista Pkwy Rancho Cucamonga, CA | 2.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 747 | $2,679 | $3.59 | 2d | 13 | 1.39mi |
| 10655 Lemon Ave #2610 Rancho Cucamonga, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1008 | $2,400 | $2.38 | 10d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 10655 Lemon Ave #2610 Rancho Cucamonga, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1008 | $2,200 | $2.18 | 2d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 10655 Lemon Ave #2610 Rancho Cucamonga, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1008 | $2,450 | $2.43 | 24d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 8200 Haven Ave Rancho Cucamonga, CA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1055 | $3,139 | $2.98 | 2d | 33 | 1.47mi |
| 8760 Church St Rancho Cucamonga, CA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1151 | $3,395 | $2.95 | 10d | 1 | 1.49mi |
| 10757 Lemon Ave Rancho Cucamonga, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 849 | $2,799 | $3.29 | 2d | 19 | 1.50mi |
Listing history 12 events
-
2026-06-13days on market $195,000 Active 182 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $195,000 Active 179 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $195,000 Active 178 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $195,000 Active 177 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $195,000 Active 174 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $195,000 Active 173 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $195,000 Active 172 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $195,000 Active 171 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $195,000 Active 170 DOM
-
2026-04-10price $195,000
-
2025-12-12$200,000 Active
-
2025-12-08historical $200,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 6 d/yr ≥100°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 9/10 Extreme 23 unhealthy d/yr today · 28 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $36,839
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,923
- − Property taxes
- −$2,925
- − Insurance
- −$975
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,947
- − Management
- −$2,947
- − Depreciation
- −$5,673
- Taxable income
- $10,449
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,508
- After-tax cash flow
- $10,424/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Alta Loma Elementary
- NCES district ID
- 0602160
- Math proficiency
- 58% ▲ 4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 68% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $84,463
- Composite
- 58.32/100
- National rank
- #2088
- State rank
- #162 of 1400 in CA
Livability — Rancho Cucamonga
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #237
- US rank
- #7808
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Rancho Cucamonga, CA
- County
- San Bernardino County · 2,030,291 people
- City population
- 175,531
- Metro
- Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 39,287
- Household income
- $114,244
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 899.0
Population outlook (San Bernardino County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,300,329 people
- By 2030
- 2,378,907 · +3.4%
- By 2040
- 2,523,137 · +9.7%
- By 2050
- 2,642,388 · +14.9%
- By 2075
- 2,880,769 · +25.2%
- By 2100
- 2,909,436 · +26.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.68)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 40% Hispanic / Latino 38% Two or more races 20% Asian 13% Black 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 29%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Lithuanian 2% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 18% · Canada, China, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 71% English-only · Spanish 16% Chinese 5% Other Indo-European 2%
Political lean MEDSL · San Bernardino
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 47.5% · R 49.7% · Other 2.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -8.5pp toward R · 2008: 6.3pp · 2024: -2.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+2.1 2020: D+10.7 2016: D+9.8 2012: D+5.4 2008: D+6.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -596.97%
- Current HPI
- 389.6264
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.67%
- Metro
- Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
|
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| Retail | 3 | $44B |
|
||
| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
|
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Price history
-2.5% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-10 Price Changed $195,000 CRMLS
- 2025-12-12 Listed $200,000 CRMLS
- 2025-12-08 Coming Soon $200,000 CRMLS
Property tax history
-16.9%/yrLatest (2025): $11 · +0.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…