698 Cindi Ave · Lisbon, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +19.8/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +6.5/10.0
- DSCR +6.3/10.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$139,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Beautifully updated 2-bedroom, 2 bath home in the desirable Bonfire MH Park 55+ Co-op. This move-in-ready property features major upgrades including a 2020 insulated membrane roof system with transferable lifetime leak-proof warranty, 2020 plumbing, new water heater, and double-pane windows. Bathrooms were remodeled in 2025, and the home features waterproof luxury vinyl plank flooring throughout. Enjoy Florida living in the 12' x 18' screened room, plus a 11'6" x 27' carport with room for two vehicles and a separate golf cart slab. Home includes a 6' x 29' utility room, 8' x 12' Cook shed on concrete pad, LED lighting, motion lights, and an irrigation system. Washer, dryer, refrigerato
Key facts
- 2,721 sq ft lot
- 2 parking spots
- Community pool
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Furnished; Living area reported as 768 sq ft (owner source); Building area reported as 1,124 sq ft (owner source); Lot approximately 0.06 acre (about 253 m²); Direction faces south
- Financial info: Total monthly fees $170 (total annual fees $2,040)
- HOA & community: Francine association with required monthly fee of $170; Association amenities include clubhouse, pool, recreation facilities, storage and wheelchair access; On-site property manager; Buyer approval required; Senior community; Community mailbox; Golf access; Handicap modified; Pets allowed with restrictions (cats and dogs permitted, limits on number, breed and size)
Exterior
- Parking: Covered parking; Driveway; 2-space carport
- Security: Closed-circuit cameras; Smoke detectors
- Utilities: Private water; Private sewer; Cable available; Public utilities available; Sewer and water included in association fee
- Home design: Manufactured double-wide home; One level; South-facing entry
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Membrane roof; Crawlspace foundation; Completed condition; Double-wide body type
- Exterior features: Patio with screened area; French doors; Exterior lighting; Storage shed(s); Assigned boat slip, private boat ramp and fishing pier access (lake — chain of lakes); Cleared, paved lot; Asphalt road on a private maintained road; Irrigation equipment
Interior
- Kitchen: Range; Microwave; Refrigerator; Freezer; Eat-in kitchen
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Heat pump; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Eat-in kitchen; High ceilings; Vaulted ceilings; Walk-in closet(s); Window treatments; Blinds, drapes and shades; Decorative non–wood-burning fireplace in the living room
- Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer included; Electric water heater; Laundry located outside
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $140k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $166 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $140k).
- Recommended offer: $123k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.7% vs local median 5.3% in Lisbon — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#642 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Lake (suburban): math 49% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #37 of 73 in FL (top 51%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Leesburg Elementary School (math 31% / reading 32%, grade F, #1,841 of 2,144 statewide, top 86%, 822 students, 71% FRL); Leesburg High School (math 24% / reading 32%, grade F, #464 of 667 statewide, top 70%, 1,641 students, 58% FRL) — zoned schools average 64% FRL vs 49% district-wide (15 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 30% at this address vs 50% district-wide (-20 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Lake average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: 287 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 4,799 units permitted in Lake County in 2024 (814 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($54k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $967 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lake County population projected at +37% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 123 days — a 12% lower offer ($123k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 123 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.15% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.72%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.10%
- DSCR
- 1.23
- GRM
- 7.2
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -8.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.69×
- Total profit
- $-11,964
- Equity at exit
- $20,860
- IRR
- 1.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.09×
- Total profit
- $3,676
- Equity at exit
- $12,096
Cash invested: $39,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 34788
- Home prices YoY
- -18.2%
- Active inventory
- 287
- Price-to-rent
- 7.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,614 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$734
- Tax from tax record
- −$147 /mo · $1,758/yr
- Insurance
- −$58
- HOA
- −$170
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$339
- Net cashflow
- $166
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $246 | -5% $206 | +0% $166 | +5% $127 | +10% $87 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $39 | -5% $103 | +0% $166 | +5% $230 | +10% $294 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $237 | -0.5pp $202 | base $166 | +0.5pp $130 | +1.0pp $93 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $34,975
- Closing costs
- $4,197
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 35 Aberdeen Cir Leesburg, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1072 | $1,400 | $1.31 | 25d | 1 | 1.18mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $170 · $2,040/yr
- Likely covers
- water
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $139,900 Active 123 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $139,900 Active 120 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $139,900 Active 119 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $139,900 Active 118 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $139,900 Active 117 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $139,900 Active 115 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $139,900 Active 111 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $139,900 Active 110 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $139,900 Active 109 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $139,900 Active 106 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $139,900 Active 105 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $139,900 Active 104 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $139,900 Active 103 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $139,900 Active 102 DOM
-
2026-03-05price $139,900
-
2026-02-18$149,900 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,758 · $147/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,758 · $147/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,364
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,837
- − Property taxes
- −$1,758
- − Insurance
- −$700
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,549
- − Management
- −$1,549
- − HOA
- −$2,040
- − Depreciation
- −$4,070
- Taxable loss
- −$138
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$33
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,029/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lake
- NCES district ID
- 1201050
- Math proficiency
- 49% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,632
- Composite
- 42.05/100
- National rank
- #3327
- State rank
- #37 of 73 in FL
Livability — Lisbon
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #642
- US rank
- #12649
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Lake County · 364,602 people
- City population
- 21,867
- Metro
- Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 22,137
- Household income
- $54,147
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 406.0
Population outlook (Lake County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 386,640 people
- By 2030
- 417,107 · +7.9%
- By 2040
- 476,676 · +23.3%
- By 2050
- 531,296 · +37.4%
- By 2075
- 648,303 · +67.7%
- By 2100
- 698,530 · +80.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (79%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 79% Hispanic / Latino 12% Two or more races 7% Black 5% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 88% English-only · Spanish 9% German/W. Germanic 1% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lake
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+24.7) · D 37.3% · R 62.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -11.2pp toward R · 2008: -13.5pp · 2024: -24.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+24.7 2020: R+20.0 2016: R+23.1 2012: R+17.1 2008: R+13.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -61.07%
- Current HPI
- 273.6616
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
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Price history
-6.7% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-05 Price Changed $139,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-18 Listed $149,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+11.6%/yrLatest (2025): $1,758 · +0.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…