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139 Gates St
C- Composite 50.1
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +12.4/30.0
  • 1% rule +6.5/10.0
  • Schools +4.0/10.0
  • DSCR +3.7/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$139,139

139 Gates St · Palmyra, NY 14522
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,760 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 8 Days on market
Built 1900 0.33 ac lot Est $241k · 42% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Opportunity awaits at 139 Gates Street in the Village of Palmyra! This spacious 3-bedroom, 1-bath home offers over 1,700 square feet of living space and sits on a generous lot with room to reimagine both the interior and exterior. Built in 1900, the property is full of character and potential for the next owner ready to bring their vision and personal touches. Inside, you’ll find large rooms, high ceilings, and a flexible layout with plenty of possibilities. The home needs updates, but the opportunity to build equity is clear. Conveniently located near schools, parks, downtown amenities, and commuter routes. Recent activity in the Palmyra market highlights continued demand for updated

Key facts

  • Generous lot
  • Flexible layout
  • 0.33 acre lot

Tags

GENEROUS LOTFLEXIBLE LAYOUT

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Rectangular residential lot (~0.33 acre, approx. 60 x 235) with city-street frontage

Exterior

  • Parking: No garage
  • Utilities: Electricity connected; Public water connected; Sewer connected
  • Home design: 2-story house; Existing/resale property; Stone foundation
  • Construction: Composite siding; Asphalt roof; Stone foundation; Built (existing)
  • Exterior features: Gravel driveway; Shed(s); Exterior storage

Interior

  • Kitchen: Gas oven; Gas range; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Main level bedrooms (see layout)
  • Flooring: Carpet; Laminate; Varied flooring
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 main-level bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Gas forced-air heating
  • Interior features: Den; Separate/formal dining room; Eat-in kitchen; Separate/formal living room; Library; Low-threshold shower
  • Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry; Washer; Dryer; Gas water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $139k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-23 ($-272/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $135k (2.9% below list).
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $139k).
  • Recommended offer: $135k (2.9% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 71/100 on livability (#381 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety D-.
  • Palmyra-Macedon Central School District (town): math 41% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #443 of 590 in NY (top 75%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 37 active listings in the ZIP; 259 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (90 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $962 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Wayne County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 4.3% of price; built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $135,130 (2.9% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.15%
Cap rate
6.10%
Cash-on-cash
-0.70%
DSCR
0.97
GRM
7.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$241,120
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
222 W Main St 0.12mi 3/1.5 1,958 (+11%) 1mo $230,000 $117 73
401 W Jackson St 0.19mi 4/2.5 (+1) 1,816 (+3%) 3mo $265,000 $146 72
138 Tremont St 0.06mi 3/1.5 1,588 (-10%) 13mo $255,000 $161 68
233 Stafford St 0.31mi 3/1.5 1,852 (+5%) 9mo $200,000 $108 68
159 Washington St 0.13mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,810 (+3%) 22mo $175,000 $97 64
229 Hansen St 0.21mi 3/2.0 1,645 (-6%) 16mo $225,000 $137 61
342 W Main St 0.12mi 3/1.0 1,528 (-13%) 14mo $220,000 $144 61
116 Mill St 0.66mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,768 (+0%) 2mo $205,000 $116 57
165 Burnham 0.45mi 4/3.0 (+1) 1,887 (+7%) 2mo $401,000 $213 52
361 Birdsall Pkwy 0.32mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,653 (-6%) 23mo $230,000 $139 47
226 Fayette St 0.49mi 3/2.0 1,976 (+12%) 10mo $250,000 $127 44
329 Hathaway Pl 0.44mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,584 (-10%) 23mo $213,000 $134 36

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-17.2%
Equity multiple
0.39×
Total profit
$-23,769
Equity at exit
$20,746
10-year hold
IRR
-8.9%
Equity multiple
0.44×
Total profit
$-21,653
Equity at exit
$12,030

Cash invested: $38,959 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 14522

Home prices YoY
-26.9%
Active inventory
37
Price-to-rent
7.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,598 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$730
Tax from tax record
$498 /mo · $5,971/yr
Insurance
$58
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$336
Net cashflow
$-23

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,627
Max offer price $135,130
Occupancy floor 96%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $56 -5% $17 +0% $-23 +5% $-62 +10% $-101
Rent -10% $-149 -5% $-86 +0% $-23 +5% $40 +10% $104
Rate -1.0pp $47 -0.5pp $13 base $-23 +0.5pp $-59 +1.0pp $-95

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$34,785
Closing costs
$4,174
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 7 events

  1. 2026-06-07
    statusdays on market $139,139 Pending 8 DOM
  2. 2026-06-05
    days on market $139,139 Active 7 DOM
  3. 2026-06-03
    days on market $139,139 Active 6 DOM
  4. 2026-06-03
    days on market $139,139 Active 5 DOM
  5. 2026-06-01
    days on market $139,139 Active 4 DOM
  6. 2026-05-31
    days on market $139,139 Active 3 DOM
  7. 2026-05-28
    listed $139,139 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$5,971 · $498/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$5,971 · $498/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,177
− Mortgage interest
−$7,794
− Property taxes
−$5,971
− Insurance
−$696
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,534
− Management
−$1,534
− Depreciation
−$4,048
Taxable loss
−$2,399
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$576
After-tax cash flow
$303/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Palmyra-Macedon Central School District
NCES district ID
3622380
Math proficiency
41% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
51% ▲ 10.00%
Median HH income
$52,190
Composite
39.65/100
National rank
#3915
State rank
#443 of 590 in NY

Livability — Palmyra

Score
71/100
State rank
#381
US rank
#6555

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A- Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety D- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Palmyra, NY
City population
9,230
Population (ZIP)
9,230

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
85,662 people
By 2030
81,945 · -4.3%
By 2040
73,735 · -13.9%
By 2050
65,029 · -24.1%
By 2075
47,451 · -44.6%
By 2100
31,574 · -63.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (94%)
Race & ethnicity
White 94% Two or more races 3% Asian 1% Hispanic / Latino 1%
Common ancestry
Iranian 8% Romanian 3% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
1% · China
Languages at home
98% English-only · Chinese 1% Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Wayne

2024 margin
Strong R (+23.1) · D 38.5% · R 61.5%
2008→2024 swing
-13.2pp toward R · 2008: -9.9pp · 2024: -23.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+23.1 2020: R+19.6 2016: R+26.1 2012: R+9.3 2008: R+9.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -80.23%
Current HPI
217.7254
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-05-28 Listed $139,139 UNYREIS

Property tax history

+7.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $5,971 · +4.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…